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Assani's NFL Wagers (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Assani Fisher
- Start date
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
Chicago +6
Min +9.5
Ind -3
NYJ +6.5
Atl +9
Min +9.5
Ind -3
NYJ +6.5
Atl +9
cobalt_27
Footballguy
Adrian Peterson: 20Ladanian Tomlinson: 0
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
A bit upset with myself for such poor line shopping considering I live here in Vegas. My record would have 3 less losses if I had just taken a better line the past few weeks. I feel as if I'm doing a good job picking winners, but that is just lazy. So no more...I'll now search for the best line.
Anyway I'm about to go make my bets this morning. I plan on taking....
Indy -7: I see this as a blowout. Carolina is simply not that good of a team. While they may be 4-2, their wins this year are over St Louis, Houston, New Orleans, and Arizona. They lost their other 2 games by double digits.
Miami +10: Miami is bad, but not this bad. They've been competitive in some games this year. I expect this to be a lot closer than people think.
Clev -3: Other than in week 1, Cleveland has really impressed me this year. They played the Pats as tough as anyone. I'm a bit scared with St Louis getting some key guys back, but I still don't think they'll keep it close.
I'm also very tempted to take WAshington and the points, but I know I'm a homer so I'll lay off it.
All bets made at MGM
Anyway I'm about to go make my bets this morning. I plan on taking....
Indy -7: I see this as a blowout. Carolina is simply not that good of a team. While they may be 4-2, their wins this year are over St Louis, Houston, New Orleans, and Arizona. They lost their other 2 games by double digits.
Miami +10: Miami is bad, but not this bad. They've been competitive in some games this year. I expect this to be a lot closer than people think.
Clev -3: Other than in week 1, Cleveland has really impressed me this year. They played the Pats as tough as anyone. I'm a bit scared with St Louis getting some key guys back, but I still don't think they'll keep it close.
I'm also very tempted to take WAshington and the points, but I know I'm a homer so I'll lay off it.
All bets made at MGM
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
3-0
20-10-1 on the year
20-10-1 on the year
Browns Rule!
Footballguy
Bet your glad you didn't go with Washington, like I did
I thought that was a sure thing.
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
Well every week it seems as if theres a new reason why the Pats opponents are a "sure thing getting so many points" yet they've covered every single week....pretty crazy. If the Pats continue to roll, I think the line may seriously approach 30 when they play the Jets and Miami at home in weeks 16 and 17.Bet your glad you didn't go with Washington, like I didI thought that was a sure thing.
Browns Rule!
Footballguy
This week to me seems like a very difficult week, I'm quite excited to see your picks. The only game I am fairly confident on would be Cincinnati -1.5. Hopefully you give some good insight this week 
ThePittbully
Footballguy
I wouldnt call Cinci -1.5 the safest bet on the board. I like Washington -3.5 and Pats/Colts over 56.5. Also two good underdog picks this week I think are Arizona +3.5 and Green Bay +2.5
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
I really don't see how the NE/Indy game stays under 56. That line has me scratching my head.
I'm going to POUND the over, so you can look for a 17-13 final score.
I'm going to POUND the over, so you can look for a 17-13 final score.
ThePittbully
Footballguy
Its already been pounded by me, as soon as it came out in fact. In there last 3 games its gone over twice and came pretty close on the time it didnt. The last encounter the total was 72, for those of you counting at home thats way more than 56. And that was before the Pats had an offense to rival the colts
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
Proud to say that I now have David Dodds(FBGs owner) helping me out. He sent me some money to place bets for him in Vegas, so we discuss the games on IM each week....should be a nice help to me to have someone so knowledgeable aiding me.
This week I like....
Wash - 3 1/2: Coles may be out. Jets won't be able to score.
Atl -3: SF is simply horrible
Buff +1: Buffalo is 3-1 in their last 4 with the one loss being a 1 point loss to Dallas. Why exactly are they underdogs?
Sd -7: SD rolls here
NE -5 1/2: Not much to say, as I'm sure this has been discussed plenty already
Philly +3 1/2: Dallas is so overrated. Philly wins this outright imo.
Cle -1: With Derek Anderson, Cleveland's only loss is to NE and they actually played them pretty tough. Seattle sucks on the road.
All games bet at Caesar's Palace except for NE which is bet at the Palms.
This week I like....
Wash - 3 1/2: Coles may be out. Jets won't be able to score.
Atl -3: SF is simply horrible
Buff +1: Buffalo is 3-1 in their last 4 with the one loss being a 1 point loss to Dallas. Why exactly are they underdogs?
Sd -7: SD rolls here
NE -5 1/2: Not much to say, as I'm sure this has been discussed plenty already
Philly +3 1/2: Dallas is so overrated. Philly wins this outright imo.
Cle -1: With Derek Anderson, Cleveland's only loss is to NE and they actually played them pretty tough. Seattle sucks on the road.
All games bet at Caesar's Palace except for NE which is bet at the Palms.
sheerterror
Footballguy
I agree with pretty much all these picks except for Philly. I know it's a division rivalry game on Sunday night, but what the hell has Philly proved? They've averaged a whopping 14.5 points a game over the last 4 games, and while the defense has been pretty stingy in that time period, they haven't faced anybody with close to the offensive firepower of Dallas. Not to mention the possibly continued distraction of Andy Reid with his personal issues. I like Dallas by over a TD in this one...to me, overrated or not, Dallas is just in a different class than the Eagles are right now.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
You and I butted heads a bit about this game in another thread, but I want to go on record before the game starts that I was working on the assumption that Harrison would start and be his normal self. Now, all bets are off... literally. His uncertain status has me taking a pass on this game, but good luck to you. I'm still feelin' the over a little bit though.
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
3-4 last week.
Going with MIami +3, NO -10.5, and Indy -3.5 this week...all bets just made at MGM this morning. No analysis this week, #####es.
Going with MIami +3, NO -10.5, and Indy -3.5 this week...all bets just made at MGM this morning. No analysis this week, #####es.
Mr Anonymous
Footballguy
AF, I think that Miami pick is the strongest for you out of the three.
My strongest play is Arizona -1.5. The public is on Detroit 3-to-1, yet since opening with Detroit -1, the line has gone in the opposite direction since despite heavy public betting on the Lions every stop along the way. One of the strangest line moves I've witnessed in some time. I wouldn't want to be on the public's side with this one.
My strongest play is Arizona -1.5. The public is on Detroit 3-to-1, yet since opening with Detroit -1, the line has gone in the opposite direction since despite heavy public betting on the Lions every stop along the way. One of the strangest line moves I've witnessed in some time. I wouldn't want to be on the public's side with this one.
