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Assani's picks for week 6 (1 Viewer)

Assani Fisher

Footballguy
Week 1: 20-10(66.66%), +14 units on 64 units wagered, ROI of +21.9%

Week 2: 14-17-1(45%), -5 units on 66 units wagered, ROI of -7.5%

Week 3: 13-13-2(50%), +54 units on 101 units wagered, ROI of +54%

Week 4: 16-12(57%), +12 units on 54 units wagered, ROI of +22.22%

Week 5: 13-12-1(52%), +74 units on 106 units wagered, ROI of +70%

Year to Date: 76-64-4(54%), +150 units on 391 units wagered, ROI of 38.36%

Please note that all lines are taken from sportsbook.com at the time of this posting.

Cincy -6 at TB, o/u 42.5

The rookie QB for TB impressed me last week. Cincy still can't stop the run. I see a close game here. TB isn't as bad as their record. I see no reason why this game shouldn't go over too. TB +6(2 units), over 42.5(3 units)

Ten +10 at Wash, o/u 39

Although Washington isn't an elite team, they have shown the ability to dominate the bottomfeeders(HOus this year, SF last year). I think they blow out Tennesee here. The o/u is a crapshoot imo. I'll go with under. Wash -10(2 units), under 39(1 unit)

Hous +13 at Dal, o/u 43

David Carr is playing really well, and I think that Houston is finally headed in somewhat of the right direction. Dallas wins in a close one. Hous +13(2 units), over 43(1 unit)

Buf -1 at Det, o/u 39

Detroit sucks. Buf -1(3 units), under 39(1 unit)

Sea -3 at StL, o/u 44.5

Tough game to call. Big, big game here too. I forsee a defensive battle, so I'll take the home team that is getting points. StL +3(2 units), under 44.5(4 units)

NYG +3 at Atl, o/u 42.5

I love Atlanta here. They are a much better team than the Giants imo. This one won't be close. Atl -3(6 units), over 42.5(1 unit)

Philly -3 at NO, o/u 46

NO has the biggest HFA in all of sports right now. Philly still hasn't impressed me since they've done it against a soft schedule, although if they win this one I may become a believer. NO +3(2 units), over 46(1 unit)

Car +3 at Balt, o/u 33.5

Tough game to call....I gotta go with Carolina, but its a crapshoot imo. The total is ridiculously low, but even still I think it could go under. Car +3(1 unit), under 33.5(1 unit)

Mia +3 at NYJ, o/u 36

I've been fading Miami all year, and it just keeps working. New York wins something like 17-6. NYJ -3(2 units), under 36(1 unit)

SD -10 at SF, o/u 42.5

This line is way too big. SD coming off 2 tough opponents may overlook SF, which is a much improved team this year. SF +10(3 units), under 42.5(1 unit)

KC +7 at Pit, o/u 36.5

Why on earth is Pit such a big favorite here? What have they proven? All they've done all year is beat one of the worst teams in the league! KC +7(5 units), under 36.5(2 units)

Oak +15 at Den, o/u 36.5

Such a big line for such a low total. Denver will suffer a bit of a letdown and will win a closer game than many expected. Oak +15(3 units), under 36.5(2 units)

Chi -10.5 at Ari, o/u 38

I got killed by going against Chicago last week. Leinart looked great in his first start though. Tough call, but I refuse to go against Chicago until they prove me wrong. Chi -10.5(1 unit), over 38(1 unit)

 
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Do you think Kansas City will leave Pittsburgh with a win outright?
Wouldn't surprise me, but if I had to pick a winner I'd say Pittsburgh. I havn't looked at the money line, but based upon the 7 point spread, I'd say that I think KC is probably a decent choice there too.
 
I like most of your choices this week. Which three do you like the best on either the spreads or the o/u's? Three that just jump out?

 
A few years ago I got into the habit of betting everything just so I had action on the game....not a good way to bet!

Since then I only pick a few games that really stick out and leave the rest....I've found my winning % improve dramatically. Always good to see how another gambler's analysis and picks compare to mine.

Some notes on your picks...

Oak +15 at Den, o/u 36.5

I would not bet on Oakland even with 15 extra points until they show me that they are anything but the worst team in the NFL.

Philly -3 at NO, o/u 46

Huge homefield advantage for the Saints but Philly is the real deal. Look for the Saints to be brought back to Earth with Philly covering.

Houst +13 at Dal, o/u 43

I doubt this will be close. Dallas should win easily.

SD -10 at SF, o/u 42.5

Can't see San Fran scoring much on the Chargers and pretty much anyone can score on San Fran. Chargers should cover.

KC +7 at Pit, o/u 36.5

Something stinks about this line. I'm steering clear of this game altogether.

Chi -10.5 at Ari, o/u 38

I'm also sticking with Da Bears until they prove they are not the best team in the NFL. Leinart is in for a long day.

Lastly I like Seattle to prove they are better than the thrashing they got from the bears...although I might not bet this one.

Good Luck!

 
Week 1: 20-10(66.66%), +14 units on 64 units wagered, ROI of +21.9%

Week 2: 14-17-1(45%), -5 units on 66 units wagered, ROI of -7.5%

Week 3: 13-13-2(50%), +54 units on 101 units wagered, ROI of +54%

Week 4: 16-12(57%), +12 units on 54 units wagered, ROI of +22.22%

Week 5: 13-12-1(52%), +74 units on 106 units wagered, ROI of +70%

Year to Date: 76-64-4(54%), +150 units on 391 units wagered, ROI of 38.36%

Please note that all lines are taken from sportsbook.com at the time of this posting.

Cincy -6 at TB, o/u 42.5

The rookie QB for TB impressed me last week. Cincy still can't stop the run. I see a close game here. TB isn't as bad as their record. I see no reason why this game shouldn't go over too. TB +6(2 units), over 42.5(3 units)

Ten +10 at Wash, o/u 39

Although Washington isn't an elite team, they have shown the ability to dominate the bottomfeeders(HOus this year, SF last year). I think they blow out Tennesee here. The o/u is a crapshoot imo. I'll go with under. Wash -10(2 units), under 39(1 unit)

Hous +13 at Dal, o/u 43

David Carr is playing really well, and I think that Houston is finally headed in somewhat of the right direction. Dallas wins in a close one. Hous +13(2 units), over 43(1 unit)

Buf -1 at Det, o/u 39

Detroit sucks. Buf -1(3 units), under 39(1 unit)

Sea -3 at StL, o/u 44.5

Tough game to call. Big, big game here too. I forsee a defensive battle, so I'll take the home team that is getting points. StL +3(2 units), under 44.5(4 units)

NYG +3 at Atl, o/u 42.5

I love Atlanta here. They are a much better team than the Giants imo. This one won't be close. Atl -3(6 units), over 42.5(1 unit)

Philly -3 at NO, o/u 46

NO has the biggest HFA in all of sports right now. Philly still hasn't impressed me since they've done it against a soft schedule, although if they win this one I may become a believer. NO +3(2 units), over 46(1 unit)

Car +3 at Balt, o/u 33.5

Tough game to call....I gotta go with Carolina, but its a crapshoot imo. The total is ridiculously low, but even still I think it could go under. Car +3(1 unit), under 33.5(1 unit)

Mia +3 at NYJ, o/u 36

I've been fading Miami all year, and it just keeps working. New York wins something like 17-6. NYJ -3(2 units), under 36(1 unit)

SD -10 at SF, o/u 42.5

This line is way too big. SD coming off 2 tough opponents may overlook SF, which is a much improved team this year. SF +10(3 units), under 42.5(1 unit)

KC +7 at Pit, o/u 36.5

Why on earth is Pit such a big favorite here? What have they proven? All they've done all year is beat one of the worst teams in the league! KC +7(5 units), under 36.5(2 units)

Oak +15 at Den, o/u 36.5

Such a big line for such a low total. Denver will suffer a bit of a letdown and will win a closer game than many expected. Oak +15(3 units), under 36.5(2 units)

Chi -10.5 at Ari, o/u 38

I got killed by going against Chicago last week. Leinart looked great in his first start though. Tough call, but I refuse to go against Chicago until they prove me wrong. Chi -10.5(1 unit), over 38(1 unit)
I agree on the Washington one. They looked horrible last week, but -10 at home against a terrible Titans team? I'd go with the 'Skins..I do like the Houston line, too. Part of me wanted to go with Dallas at home, but Houston hasn't played horrible at least, and that's a big spread to try and cover...

I also agree with STL +3. They're at home, and though Seattle just had a week off, they are still missing Alexander and need to find a running game.

Gotta disagree with you on the SD one. That defense is absolutely stout. They will give the 49ers fits, while LT & Co. will run all over them...

I do also agree about the KC and Chicago ones. The Oak/Denver one will be tough. Oakland does look horrible, and it is at Denver. That +15 is really tough to overcome. After what Denver did to Baltimore, I could see them covering that though...

 
Out of town all week and didn't get to update....

3-1 for +5 units on the Sunday night and MNF games.

9-15-1 for -21 units on the week.

 

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