Auction Strategy Question (1 Viewer)

[jagerbomb]

I have auction strategy question. Assuming you've set up your max bid for all players, if the several guys at a position go for more than your max values, do you adjust slightly mid-draft?

For example if your max bids on LT, AD, Westy are 75, 75 and 65 and they go for 85, 85 and 75. Do you adjust your other max bids?

There are 3 possible approaches on this:

1) Don't adjust your values.

2) Reduce all players max bids slightly as there is less money available. (The draft dominator does this automatically if you enter values during the auction)

3) Increase your max bid for the remaining RBs and reduce you max bid for other positions. The thinking is that you've probably undervalued the position in your auction.

#2 makes sense to me but I think it runs the risk that you won't get anyone decent at the position in question. If the top 15-20 backs all go for more than your max because you've weighted them too low, you're pretty screwed. Ending up with 4-5 RB3 or RB4 type guys doesn't sound appealing.

Thoughts?

 

[Sabertooth]

I have auction strategy question. Assuming you've set up your max bid for all players, if the several guys at a position go for more than your max values, do you adjust slightly mid-draft?For example if your max bids on LT, AD, Westy are 75, 75 and 65 and they go for 85, 85 and 75. Do you adjust your other max bids?There are 3 possible approaches on this:1) Don't adjust your values.2) Reduce all players max bids slightly as there is less money available. (The draft dominator does this automatically if you enter values during the auction)3) Increase your max bid for the remaining RBs and reduce you max bid for other positions. The thinking is that you've probably undervalued the position in your auction.#2 makes sense to me but I think it runs the risk that you won't get anyone decent at the position in question. If the top 15-20 backs all go for more than your max because you've weighted them too low, you're pretty screwed. Ending up with 4-5 RB3 or RB4 type guys doesn't sound appealing.Thoughts?

2 would seem like the logical thing to do. But I think 3 is just as likely to happen for you. If the top 20 backs are all overpriced though, I'd say 2 would probably be the way to go. Of course, there isn't much left at that point.

 

[inca911]

I have auction strategy question. Assuming you've set up your max bid for all players, if the several guys at a position go for more than your max values, do you adjust slightly mid-draft?For example if your max bids on LT, AD, Westy are 75, 75 and 65 and they go for 85, 85 and 75. Do you adjust your other max bids?There are 3 possible approaches on this:1) Don't adjust your values.

I would not adjust my values, but I am willing to spend a bit more than my auction projections to get a player I feel would benefit my team. Knowing the true theoretical value of a player is just one data point. You do not have to be rigid and treat that "max bid" number as gospel. What's $1-2 more when projections are not a guarantee?

2) Reduce all players max bids slightly as there is less money available. (The draft dominator does this automatically if you enter values during the auction)

There is no need to reduce anything. If you have accounted for how the dollars should be spent, others' overspending is where you will naturally start to get players for less.

3) Increase your max bid for the remaining RBs and reduce you max bid for other positions. The thinking is that you've probably undervalued the position in your auction.

Definitely not! The point of using something like VBD in an auction setting is to know where the true value lies, not where the perception of value lies. If you increase your bid for that position, you are ignoring the mathematical reality of the situation and might as well ignore VBD altogether. Stick to your plan. You will field a team of top talent in other positions that will make up for the difference in the RB numbers.

#2 makes sense to me but I think it runs the risk that you won't get anyone decent at the position in question. If the top 15-20 backs all go for more than your max because you've weighted them too low, you're pretty screwed. Ending up with 4-5 RB3 or RB4 type guys doesn't sound appealing.Thoughts?

Only in a rare and extreme example would everyone "overspend" on every RBs, leaving you in the position to get top players in every other position. I wouldn't mind those odds, but it depends on the scoring in the specific league. I'm guessing a team with two lesser backs, but with the best WRs, QBs, TEs, Ks, and DSTs will outscore your competition. You can run the numbers and generate the proof you need to be comfortable in the end.

 

[BroadwayG]

I keep a manual tally of the total +/- actual spent vs. my totals just to get an idea of how things are shaping up. I don't necessarily adjust everyone's value, but it's good to have the knowledge.

 

[Varmint]

I don't neccesarily put a "value" (to the dollar) on the players.....I put them into tiers.

I draw up my budget. I plan to draft 2 QBs....4RBs....4WRs....1K.....and 1 DEF?ST.

I put a dollar value on the different positions I plan to buy.

For example:

QB1....$12

QB2....$ 3

RB1....$35

RB2....$15

RB3....$ 2

RB4....$ 2

...etc.

While bidding on a desired player.....I put him into the appropriate slot as the bidding ends.

I rarely pay EXACTLY what I budgeted so as I pay for a player....I adjust my open slots accordingly.

 

[jagerbomb]

I keep a manual tally of the total +/- actual spent vs. my totals just to get an idea of how things are shaping up. I don't necessarily adjust everyone's value, but it's good to have the knowledge.

So what changes (if any) do you make based on the +/- ? What if your auction was +50 on RBs and -20 on QBs?