Auction Strategy (1 Viewer)

[Warhogs]

I will try to be careful on wording this so it is not an AC forum question becuase it is just general strategy. I am going into year 3 of an auction league. I have pulled from a few sources and ran calculations on what a player's worth should be in the $150 salary cap league. I have also determined based on the past 2 seasons that this league has a tendency to overpay at QB-WR-TE and underpays at RB.

The question is how do you take advantage of a league like this? Should one adjust the pay scales at all positions so you evaluate each position based on your leagues values to determine bargains at each position? Do you grab 2 of the big 3 RB because you can get them at a discount from a normal price?

How do I use this information to gain my greatest advantage? I believe this should apply to any other auction leagues too where the league values positions differently from any auction guideline prices.

 

[Briman]

I'd go after 2 or 3 top running backs if your cap permits. I like to go into the draft with allocated $ for each position. Ex. 40% - 50% allocated for RB knowing I want at least 4 RBs.

 

[RSG]

I also find that the first couple of players auctioned off are usually less expensive than those that follow soon after. So don't worry about spending money up front and not having alot left for later if the money is well spent. There are always bargains later on and then the waiver wire, if you have one.

Please see my question. Thanks.

http://forums.footballguys.com/forum/index...howtopic=259876

 

[CalBear]

Obviously, you should grab up the value at RB, at least for your two starters and primary backup, more if the league tends to have lots of trades. (It can be hard to realize the value in your fourth or fifth RB if trades don't happen often).

Remember that people can't overpay forever; eventually they will not have enough money to overpay. Be patient and wait on value at positions where your leaguemates overpay (QB in my league).

 

[bentley]

I will try to be careful on wording this so it is not an AC forum question becuase it is just general strategy. I am going into year 3 of an auction league. I have pulled from a few sources and ran calculations on what a player's worth should be in the $150 salary cap league. I have also determined based on the past 2 seasons that this league has a tendency to overpay at QB-WR-TE and underpays at RB.The question is how do you take advantage of a league like this? Should one adjust the pay scales at all positions so you evaluate each position based on your leagues values to determine bargains at each position? Do you grab 2 of the big 3 RB because you can get them at a discount from a normal price?How do I use this information to gain my greatest advantage? I believe this should apply to any other auction leagues too where the league values positions differently from any auction guideline prices.

Do you know if these trends hold true across the board? Our league typically overpays for the top 6 - 7 backs, then there's a lot of value in the middle range. I haven't put too much thought into this, but it sounds like your structure is perfect for you. I'd suggest grabbing a couple top RBs so that you're way out front to begin, then going to the wide receivers and drafting QBs last. I've had success at the QB position by having 2 or 3 guys that are in the 9 - 14 range overall that are cheap and playing the matchups. Of course, none of this is worth anything if you have a scoring system that's not standard or if you start two QBs.

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Obviously, you should grab up the value at RB, at least for your two starters and primary backup, more if the league tends to have lots of trades. (It can be hard to realize the value in your fourth or fifth RB if trades don't happen often).Remember that people can't overpay forever; eventually they will not have enough money to overpay. Be patient and wait on value at positions where your leaguemates overpay (QB in my league).

Keep in mind that every auction is different and relative values lie squarely in the heads of the people you are competing against. Also if you "wait on value" you will find yourself SOL. If a position is being overvalued then a guy you projected at $35 goes for $43 and this tends to fall down the line to the next tiers. If you had the tenth RB at $22 before the draft don't be surprised if he goes for $25 when panic sets in. I've seen people wait then end up spending more for the #7 RB than a guy who supposedly overpaid spent on the #3 guy. A good idea is identifying a few guys you really like in the 10-20 area and introduce them early. A lot of times everyone is so hyped about the big names that the #14 guy goes way too low early on. I've seen this in every single auction I've been in and I've been doing them since 1998. At the end of the draft you will find that a guy ranked 12th went for $12 and the guy ranked 15th went for $17 Arbitrary numbers). Also never, I mean never target one specific guy with the players going $10 and higher. If you specifically want LT2 and have your heart set on him you'll overpay. Go in telling yourself you want one of the top six RBs, or one of Randy Moss, Holt, Owens, and Harrison. Then try and get the best value of that group (usually not the first or last player taken). Nothing is cut in dry in auctions however so you really have to be ready to adjust fire. Those who don't will not win these kinds of leagues.