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The draft dominator can do this for you automatically.There are ways to do what the dominator does in spreadsheets as well, but it is pretty complex.
That's how I get a "ballpark" idea of what they'll go for, taking into account scoring systems, league size, etc of course.For drafting strats, do a search on "auction" on this site and you'll find plenty.....
If you don't want to use Draft Dominator or MT's method, here is the gist of what I think you need to do at a minimum to find a good set of values.1. Make a list of all the players that should be taken in the auction fantasy leaguewide. Come up with a fantasy point projection for all the players you think should be auctioned. (Hint, use a spread sheet and save yourself time in step 3)2. Determine a VBD-style value for the players. It needs to take into account that good backups have more than 0 or negative value. But guys who you think should be minimum salary players should have 0 value.3. Now some math. Determine the following: a) Add up the values of all the players to get total value. b) Find the total amount of money available leaguewide. This is equal to: (# teams) * (team cap). So a 12 team, $200 cap league has $2400. c) Subtract from b) the cost of stocking a roster with minimum price players. This gives us how much discretionary money the league has to increase player cost over minimums. So that is (result from b) - ( (# roster spots) * (# teams) * (min bid) ). So for our 12 team, $200 cap team... if you have 20 player rosters and a $1 minimum bid, you have: $2400 - (20 * 12 * $1) = $2400 - $240 = $2160. d) Now we just need to know how much a "value point" is worth in our discretionary dollars. So divide total value from a) by the total discretionary money from c). If our player value added up to 1020 value points, then we would have 1020 vp /$2160 = 0.47 vp per dollar.4) Now we know how much a value point is worth in auction dollars, and we have our projection of each player's value, we multiply the two, and add the $1 minimum bid on him back in that we already subtracted out for every player, and we have what our projections say he is worth. I.e. Peyton Manning, value of 80, so his auction price should be $1 + (80 * .47) = $37.6 or $38.A backup player with a 0 value is just: $1 + (0 * .47) = $1Now review your numbers. If you find that some of them don't reflect what your auction actually does (like if TE has higher prices for mid level guys than reality will do), you should realize that your beliefs show the player is worth more than the price. The prices you came up with are what you should be willing to bid up to get a player for right at correct value, but of course your goal is to get players for cheaper than their value.If you see players at a position going for more than you think they should, wait and eventually the price will come down. However, you do still need a starter. If you see a position, like RB. will be depleted if you wait... then it is ok to overpay, you just try to overpay less than others are overpaying for their starter... get yourself a decent starter and make up for it by spending at another position.
