Uncle Grandpa
Footballguy
Sure, there are a cluster of guys that I think will compete for WR1, but at the end of the day I need to put them in some order. And once that order is established, I need to assign a value to each spot. I don't see how the average performance of the WR1 for the guy I consider to have the best odds of finishing WR1 is a bad estimate.Unless you feel 100% sure that your top ranked RB actually will finish the season #1, doing that you are going to end up over projecting the top guys compared to your actual beliefs.
It may look aesthetically pleasing in that it looks like an end of season positional list. But if you think there's a range of spots your top guy could actually finish, then the points of the #1 guy isn't the best expression of your beliefs on him.
I would say that over time this method is way more accurate than any method that assigns values without regard to the historical performance of the position. Will Dodds be right by projecting his RB1 to score more points than the average RB1 scores each year? Maybe. But if he does that year after year, he's overvaluing the RB1 position.