Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Almost every year we get to the playoffs and someone does a real nose dive in the 1st round of the playoffs. And many are going to look at New Orleans and want to jump on but the fact is laying double digits on the road in the playoffs is a recipe for disaster. I'm not saying Seattle pulls the upset but the Saints are built to play inside or in decent weather and you put them on the road in Seattle even where they have had success recently...I'm not sure I want to bet my unit on that situation.
The game that stands out on the board to me is Baltimore -3 at KC. Yes, Arrowhead is a tough place to play but let's look at the 2 teams because there is a major difference. Baltimore is 12-4 and you look at the 4 losses and you see this. Cinci on a short week after a brutal MNF game against the Jets week 1 and I can understand that loss. The other 3 games were against New England, Atlanta and Pittsburgh. New England...they actually had that game won and ended up giving it away. 23-20 in OT...I watched that game and couldn't believe Baltimore let it slip away. They lose to Atlanta who is 13-3 and the No 1 seed in the NFC and they let that one get away...26-21. Finally they lost to Pitt in a game that could have easily gone their way, 13-10. Baltimore could be 15-1 or 14-2 right now so they really are even better than that record.
Let's look at KC. They had the easiest schedule in the land and their biggest wins were over 7-9 Seattle and St Louis. They have not beaten a quality opponent all season and now Weis has made a real riff and probably should have been dismissed to go to Gainesville and let Haley call the plays. The players can feel the tension and they are not solid inside the locker room. Add in that Baltimore is now getting 100% from guys like Ed Reed who is on a tear again and I honestly think Baltimore will win this game by 2 Touchdowns. Remember when Miami played Baltimore in the opening round of the playoffs a couple years ago and was destroyed? Baltimore is not a wildcard team, they are probably the 2nd or 3rd best team in the AFC but compete with the Steelers and come out on the short end of the stick. This game should be a laugher and get ugly. I predicted KC would win their division back in August but one of the main reasons was their easy schedule. Baltimore is a different level and they are not on that level yet.
My prediction...Baltimore 27...Kansas City 13
Back the Truck Up!!!
My other 2 plays on the board this weekend would be Indy -3 and the Phi/GB OVER. I don't think New York is playing good ball right now and I also feel the GB-Philly game could go either way so just take the over as there should be a lot of points scored. If you only make one play, bet the house on Baltimore.
The game that stands out on the board to me is Baltimore -3 at KC. Yes, Arrowhead is a tough place to play but let's look at the 2 teams because there is a major difference. Baltimore is 12-4 and you look at the 4 losses and you see this. Cinci on a short week after a brutal MNF game against the Jets week 1 and I can understand that loss. The other 3 games were against New England, Atlanta and Pittsburgh. New England...they actually had that game won and ended up giving it away. 23-20 in OT...I watched that game and couldn't believe Baltimore let it slip away. They lose to Atlanta who is 13-3 and the No 1 seed in the NFC and they let that one get away...26-21. Finally they lost to Pitt in a game that could have easily gone their way, 13-10. Baltimore could be 15-1 or 14-2 right now so they really are even better than that record.
Let's look at KC. They had the easiest schedule in the land and their biggest wins were over 7-9 Seattle and St Louis. They have not beaten a quality opponent all season and now Weis has made a real riff and probably should have been dismissed to go to Gainesville and let Haley call the plays. The players can feel the tension and they are not solid inside the locker room. Add in that Baltimore is now getting 100% from guys like Ed Reed who is on a tear again and I honestly think Baltimore will win this game by 2 Touchdowns. Remember when Miami played Baltimore in the opening round of the playoffs a couple years ago and was destroyed? Baltimore is not a wildcard team, they are probably the 2nd or 3rd best team in the AFC but compete with the Steelers and come out on the short end of the stick. This game should be a laugher and get ugly. I predicted KC would win their division back in August but one of the main reasons was their easy schedule. Baltimore is a different level and they are not on that level yet.
My prediction...Baltimore 27...Kansas City 13
Back the Truck Up!!!
My other 2 plays on the board this weekend would be Indy -3 and the Phi/GB OVER. I don't think New York is playing good ball right now and I also feel the GB-Philly game could go either way so just take the over as there should be a lot of points scored. If you only make one play, bet the house on Baltimore.
anyway...Nice call MoP. 
