Also, on this one, as I've noted - the bitcoins weren't actually trading for several cents a piece. Maybe a few - people claim to have bought some in 2009 - but the first "recognized transaction" was the Laszlo pizza deal which may or may not have actually happened.So you are citing a document from a year ago? (October 18, 2012) That references transactions from 3 years ago? (November 8th 2010)Actually, here's the original paper by the RSA guys.
http://www.loper-os.org/pub/bithogs.pdf
Page 11 talks about basically every large transaction stemming from a single 90K transaction made on November 10th 2010.
Other findings (Page 7):
- 78% were in savings accounts that never did any transactions.
- 36% of all owners recieved less than 1 BTC in their lifetime, 52% fewer than 10, and 88% fewer than 100.
- 4 owners received over 800,000 BTC's and 80 received over 400,000. And based on the findings from that 90K transaction, those owners seemed to like to pass around large amounts of them back and forth, never letting them hit the general public.
I wonder if there's any way to bring these guys up for fraud if they can prove they intentionally swindled people out of piles of money...and actually prove who this "Satoshi" entity is...
Is your assertion from this document that when a quantum computer is built that bitcoin is doomed?
If you are referring to mixing bitcoins (into various wallets) this is also a pretty well known procedure.
There's quite a few comments on the paper you linked here (again from a year ago)
I'm not going to comment about the bitcoin market from 2010 - to be honest nothing would surprise me, the market was very immature then - what was btc trading at in the cents per bitcoin or something? However if you want to provide some sort of evidence / proof / anything credible that the market today in 2013 is being manipulated then please do. You are talking about stuff that happened in the first few months of bitcoin - price history when a bitcoin was valued at less than a cent to as high as 8 cents.
It wasn't until:
Feb 2011 – April 2011 $1 Bitcoin takes parity with US dollar
.
They floated the slashdot mention of v.3 on July 11th of 2010 and then launched Mt Gox almost immediately afterwards. But even then none of them were actually moving. The raw data on the number of BTC traded is available here, click load raw data at the bottom and you'll see very few of them really moving during that time: http://bitcoincharts.com/charts/mtgoxUSD#tgSzm1g10zm2g25zv
A couple thousand a day here, a couple thousand a day there, a day where it went above 10K was rare. Mind you - there's 6 million of these things out there at this point, so that's less than .1% of the current amount "in circulation". Until all of the sudden starting in early October of 2010 they started trading in the 10's of thousands a day while the price just shoots up. Here's a look at the number of transactions per block at Garzik's site, indicating a very clear pattern of unusual activity around October/November of 2010 where things start jumping there: https://blockchain.info/charts/n-transactions-per-block?timespan=all&showDataPoints=false&daysAverageString=1&show_header=true&scale=0&address=
The spike in activity after the slashdot v.3 mention is somewhat explainable. You see a spike in the sourceforge downloads, we know slashdot can bring a lot of people in, great (though it is strange the volume traded stayed the same or accelerated even after that flurry of transactions had passed). The late 2010 activity that happened right as it starts running up (and right where this 90K transaction comes from) isn't explainable. There is no jump in the sourceforge download history to justify this. There is no subsequent activity that looks anything like it - it drops back to almost 0, and they don't trade again at that rate until 2012. Nothing all that significant happened to bring people in until the "Parity with US Dollar" article. Looks pretty clearly like someone's forcing a jump with their large pile of coins...and there's only a couple accounts that are even capable of moving these coins like this.
http://sourceforge.n...1 to 2013-12-20
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