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Bloom's Top 100 (1 Viewer)

Jene Bramel

Footballguy
Now out of the can.

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POST DRAFT ROOKIE 100

By Sigmund Bloom

Well, it’s time for the “real” rookie 100. The first few were just

warm-ups, mere speculation. We know the destinations of the 2006 rookie

class, and rookie drafts are in full swing. There is so much talent at the

skill positions in the late rounds and even among the undrafted free

agent pool. These rankings are sure to change dramatically once we see

how rookie minicamps and training camps sort the roster battles out,

especially in the 50-100 range. Previous rank in parenthesis.

**The Top 3 could be entrenched top producers as feature backs, the

rarest commodity in fantasy football**

1(1) Reggie Bush, RB, NO – I don’t see any different between Houston

and New Orleans for his long term outlook. He’s a supreme talent with a

chance to settle into the top 5 fantasy RBs and overall players for a

long time. Invest with confidence. If you own him, you may have to ride

out a protacted holdout. Don’t panic. He did experience some adversity

leading up to the draft, but New Orleans is excited to have him and that

will be forgotten once he signs his contract.

2(4) Laurence Maroney, RB, NE – You can’t ask for a better destination.

Maroney gets to tote the rock for a perennial winning team and only has

an aging, overpaid Corey Dillon in his way. New England is high rent

real estate for a running back and Maroney is a natural talent at RB.

Remember, Corey Dillon got 12 rushing TDs in this offense last year

despite being a shadow of his former self. He rushed for over 1600 yards in

2004. Maroney could take over this year if Dillon’s 2005 is like his

2004, and put up those kind of numbers in a best case scenario.

3(2) DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR – The Panthers got their draft card to

the podium in about one minute to take Williams. He should be the focal

point of their running attack, although the Panthers have shown a

propensity to go with bigger backs at the goal line, so I am interested to

see if Eric Shelton grabs that role. DeShaun Foster signed a contract in

the offseason with Carolina and should split carries with Williams for

at least this year, but Williams projects to be better than Foster and

outright take his job down the line. With Carolina’s commitment to the

run, Williams has a high upside.

**The next four are very close and you should adjust accordingly for

your scoring system/lineup**

4(5) Vince Young, QB, TEN – Im probably in the minority here, but I

prefer Young to Leinart in typical scoring leagues. Look at how anemic

Michael Vick’s running stats are, and he’s still a viable fantasy QB. If

Young is just an average passer at best, he could surpass Vick. A

quality passer and he should be top 5, with the potential to be #1 for

stretch. Young is for those who prefer upside in the way of athletic ability

and dual threat running QBs. If your league penalizes turnovers

heavily, it might be a rough ride at first with Young.

5(9) Matt Leinart, QB, ARI – Leinart landed in the plum situation for a

quarterback statistically. For this very valid reason, many have

Leinart ahead of Young. Another plus for Leinart is that he’ll be playing

indoors at least nine games a season. Leinart could definitely be a top 5,

Matt Hasselbeck level QB, but I don’t see him cracking the top 3 unless

the Cardinals stay as ridiculously pass heavy as they were in 2005.

This seems unlikely in the short term with the signing of Edgerrin James.

An aside: I am just getting an odd feeling from Leinart (Nervous,

Unhappy on draft day, Paris Hilton?) right now and I’m left wondering a

little bit about his makeup. It slightly registered on my bust-o-meter.

6(3) LenDale White, RB, TEN – Speaking on registering on the

bust-o-meter, LenDale White had a tailspin leading into the draft, culminating in

reports of a positive drug test on draft day - reports that Jeff Fisher

has since denied. Fisher seems elated to have White and will give him

the chance to be their lead sled dog a la Eddie George. If your league

has deflated QB scoring, or is only a 12 teamer, you might consider

bumping White up to 4. He’s a boom/bust pick.

7(8) Vernon Davis, TE, SF – Vernon Davis went astoundingly high for a

TE and has the rare chance to be a #1 target out of the TE position. If

your league is a TE premium scoring league, you should slot Davis at

least 4th, and possibly as high as 2nd. I wouldn’t argue with him at 4th

in PPR TE required formats. He seems like one of the safest investments

of the single digit picks.

**The beginning of the Second tier**

8(10) Joseph Addai, RB, IND – Addai will go a lot higher than this is

most leagues. If he really hits he’ll justify a pick as high as 2 or 3.

As it stands now, I just don’t see Addai as more than a solid RBBC RB

because of his lack of elusiveness. His track record as a feature back

is only a half season long. I think each of the seven players listed

above Addai have the chance be pro bowl talents. I don’t see that in Addai

and therefore I just can’t slot him above them in leagues where you

draft entire careers.

9(16) Jay Cutler, QB, DEN – Cutler takes a big leap going to Denver and

Mike Shanahan’s offense. He’ll always have a solid running game to fall

back on and he’s got some young weapons to develop with in this draft

class. If he doesn’t bust, he should at least put up Plummer’s numbers,

but he doesn’t have the elite fantasy upside of Young and Leinart.

10(7) Chad Jackson, WR, NE – I was looking for Jackson to land

somewhere where he would be groomed to be a #1. New England is notorious for

spreading the ball around and should re-sign Deion Branch. New England

lacks a #2 WR and Jackson does have the short and long game to be a #1,

so he’s worth a late first.

11(6) Santonio Holmes, WR, PIT – Almost no team throws less than the

Steelers. Hines Ward and Heath Miller already have their pieces of the

pie. I really like Holmes talent, but this is not a good place for a

fantasy WR. The Steelers are happy to have him, and he should flourish, but

it’s tough to see him cracking the top 20 in the long term.

12(17) Jerious Norwood, RB, ATL – Norwood should get an opportunity

eventually to take over Warrick Dunn’s role in the offense. Like Addai,

his late rise on my board is based mostly on opportunity, but I am not as

sold on his talent as I am the non-RB in this tier. The RB premium

bumps them both up a tier.

13(13) Maurice Drew, RB, JAX – Drew has the biggest boom/bust span of

the 2nd tier of rookies. He’s trying to beat the under 5’8” RB curse.

Jacksonville does present a nice opportunity, and Drew just might have

that “it” quality to overcome his shortcoming. There’s no denying that he

was as electrifying as any college RB except Reggie Bush in his best

moments last year.

14(15) Marcedes Lewis, TE, JAX – I felt vindicated to see Lewis go in

the first after all. He just has a special knack for receiving that is

rare in a guy with his long and tall of a frame and should be a heavily

used short, intermediate, and red zone target.

15(14) A.J. Hawk, LB, GB – Hawk went to Green Bay as expected, but took

a slight hit when they drafted a stud run stopping ILB in Abdul Hodge

later on the first day. He’ll still be a three down LB and he’s got

special playmaking instincts and intangibles. If your league heavily

weights IDPs, I could see drafting him as high as 8th or 9th.

16(24) Ernie Sims, LB, DET – WLB in a cover two is one of the highest

yielding roles in an IDP league and Sims will occupy that spot from day

one. Derrick Brooks production is possible.

17(25) Chad Greenway, LB, MIN – Like Sims, Greenway should occupy the

WLB position in the cover 2 as soon as he steps on the field. He won’t

be as explosive as Sims, but he’s definitely a 2nd tier player if you

are in need of an impact LB.

18(11) Brian Calhoun, RB, DET – Calhoun is blocked by Kevin Jones in

Detroit, but it’s not as bad as it might seem at first. Everyone has to

prove themselves to coach Marinelli anew and Jones is coming off a

disappointing year. Calhoun could jump back to the top 12 if the reports

this summer are promising.

19(33) D’Qwell Jackson, LB, CLE – Jackson was a coveted player on draft

day. Cleveland traded up for him in the early second and he should fit

well on the inside of Romeo Crennel’s defense. If you miss out on the

top three LBs because you don’t have a pick in the teens, you may very

well land Jackson in the mid to late 20s, so don’t despair.

**Third tier – talent level drops, less scarce postions, bigger

questions loom**

20(59) Joel Klopfenstein, TE, STL – Klopfenstein’s value took a huge

jump when he was selected by St. Louis in the second round. He really

broke away from the rest of the second tier TEs by landing in Scott

Linehan’s offense. They did draft another TE, but Klopfenstein was clearly

the one they were targeting. He’s not a threat to be a top five TE, but

should be starting quality unless he busts.

21(19) Brandon Marshall, WR, DEN – Marshall did not land in the best

situation in Denver as Javon Walker was added and is likely to get signed

long term. Marshall can certainly vie for the other starting slot

eventually as Rod Smith is getting closer to retirement, and Ashley Lelie is

out of favor. He’s got upside to match any WR in this class, but also

has a bigger bust risk.

22(30) Greg Jennings, WR, GB – Jennings is a nice well-rounded receiver

that may never be a force but should still be a useful fantasy WR. I am

really stuck on the Derrick Mason comparison, and he really has no

competition for the #2 WR slot in Green Bay. Donald Driver was making some

waves earlier and his departure could follow Favre’s. Jennings is a

solid 2nd rounder if you want to build WR depth.

23(18) Sinorice Moss, WR, NYG – Moss ended up being a mid-second

rounder and going to a team where I don’t see him being higher than the third

option in the passing offense in the long term. Plaxico Burress and

Jeremy Shockey are entrenched in the Giants passing offense. Moss is also

one of the least accomplished of the first day WRs and may need more

time to develop.

24(32) DeMeco Ryans, LB, HOU – Ryans landed in a nice spot, a Houston

defense that has switched to the 4-3 and is rebuilding. He could well be

the best LB on the defense within one of two years and he’s got a good

veteran down there in Sam Cowart to show him the ropes. Not penciled

already in a big time role in the defense like the LBs who make the

overall 2nd tier, Ryans also lacks the elite talent, although he is an

extremely dependable tackler, which bodes well for an IDP.

25(12) Jerome Harrison, RB, CLE – Harrison took a big tumble in value

on draft day when he lasted til the 5th round, but he should displace

Lee Suggs, and Reuben Droughns, while solid, is more of an average talent

at RB, so don’t totally count Harrison out. He was extremely productive

in college and could surprise.

26(65) Kellen Clemens, QB, NYJ – Clemens cruised up rookie draft boards

as fast as he did on NFL boards this month. He should have an open shot

the Jets job at some point and is a nice stash and hold player in the

late 2nd.

27(29) Travis Wilson, WR, CLE – Wilson’s talent kept him in the first

day mix in a tough draft for wide receivers. Joe Jurevicius is on the

wrong side of 30 and Wilson could have opportunity right around the time

he’s hitting his prime.

28(31) Leonard Pope, TE, ARI – Leonard Pope fell farther than a lot of

people expected on draft day and will be no higher that the #3 option

in Arizona no matter how well he does. I think he will be nice depth at

TE, but possibly on the fringe of starting quality unless he catches a

lot of TDs.

29(20) Demetrius Williams, WR, BAL – Demetrius fell to the 2nd day in a

bit of surprise, but he’s got an open path the WR3 role soon and has

more upside than your usual 4th round WR.

30(98) Tony Scheffler, TE, DEN – One of the biggest surprises of the

first day, Scheffler has clearly been tagged for a starting role by

Denver in the future. His risk as a project keeps him lower on this list,

but I’ll be quick to bump him up if he has a good training camp.

31(27) Maurice Stovall, WR, TB – Stovall is middling talent for

fantasy, but he is in a position to inherit a starting role when Joey Galloway

eventually moves on. He’s a solid investment of a third round pick.

32(51) Michael Huff, S, OAK – Huff was drafted in the top ten and Im

projecting him as a Ed Reed like presence in the secondary. He’s got a

knack for taking the ball to the house on turnovers and should be an

elite fantasy safety.

33(38) Mario Williams, DE, HOU – Bump him up even more in your leagues

that weight sacks. Williams is a solid pick in the third, especially if

you prefer to minimize risk in your rookie drafts.

34(45) Donte Whitner, S, BUF – Buffalo got their guy even if he was a

reach. He’s not quite the gamebreaker that Huff is, but Whitner should

definitely settle into the top 20 safeties and provide a solid return on

a 3rd round pick.

35(75) Rocky McIntosh, LB, WAS – Rocky is going to be asked to compete

for Lavar Arrington’s old job at WLB. He won’t be a three down LB at

first, but has the talent to develop into one if he can stay healthy.

36(28) Mike Hass, WR, NO – Some may see this as a reach, but I am still

sold on Hass and I think he can emerge in New Orleans down the line

because they only have Joe Horn and a WR they are somewhat disenchanted

with, Donte Stallworth, as starters right now.

37(21) Dominique Byrd, TE, STL – Byrd has the unfortunate luck of

landing on the same time as an earlier member of the 100, Joel Klopfenstein.

He is a talented receiver at TE and he could break out eventually –

maybe even surpass Klop, but he’ll need to solve dedication and motivation

issues to do it.

38(43) Manny Lawson, OLB, SF – Lawson can help offset the deflated

tackle numbers for a 3-4 OLB with his ferocious pass rush ability.

39(34) Abdul Hodge, LB, GB – Hodge was hurt for fantasy on draft day by

ending up on a team with two excellent young LBs, rookie 100 #15 A.J.

Hawk, and Nick Barnett. He’s still a prototype two down run stuffer and

will be a useful LB in IDP leagues.

**Fourth tier - Good opportunity or promising talent, but the beginning

of the long shots**

40(37) Jason Avant, WR, PHI – Avant landed in a decent situation in

Philly, with no real #2 WR on the roster, but I don’t see him as more than

a possession WR.

41(40) Derek Hagan, WR, MIA – Like Avant, Hagan landed in a situation

where he may have an opportunity to be the #2 WR eventually. I still

don’t trust his hands and think won’t live up to his college production.

42(61) Brodie Croyle, QB, KC – I don’t particularly like Croyle out of

the 2nd tier QBs, but he’s got the chance to be the heir to Trent Green

in Kansas City, and that is worth a mid 4th in just about any league.

43(44) Thomas Howard, LB, OAK – Howard has a chance to stick at OLB

with Oakland if he sharpens his instincts. He’s more of a project than the

other LBs on this list, so he falls to the 4th.

44(50) Kamerion Wimbley, OLB, CLE – Like Lawson, Wimbley can help

overcome the limited tackle opportunities of a 3-4 OLB by getting to the

passer consistently. I think he’s a less freakish talent than Lawson, but

worth roughly the same, a la Ware and Merriman at this time last year.

45(49) Bobby Carpenter, OLB, DAL – I envision him stuck with the same

fantasy limits as Wimbley and Lawson but with slightly less innate pass

rush talent. He should at least be good LB depth for fantasy right

away.

46(58) Jason Allen, S, MIA – The ups and downs of the last year ended

on a high note for Allen as he went in the mid 1st. He’s got the talent

to make a similar impact as Michael Huff, but his hip could limit his

longevity.

47(NL) Tarvaris Jackson, QB, MIN – Minnesota reached terribly for this

complete product at QB, but he will be very good if he is developed

well. You’ll just need to wait at least two years to see what happens.

More of a flier to me despite what Minnesota thought.

48(41) Leon Washington, RB, NYJ – I’m sticking to my guns that Leon is

really just a 3rd down back, but he does have nice speed and is on a

team without a true feature back, so he could always get that surprise

opportunity and make good. Worth a flier at the end of the 4th.

49(86) Ingle Martin, QB, GB – Props to Chaos Commish, who called Martin

as a sleeper months ago. Martin’s stock has only gone up since the pre

draft activities started. Aaron Rodgers is his main competition for the

QB of the future slot, and we’ve all heard the murmurs about Rodgers.

50(56) Cedric Humes, RB, PIT – Don’t let the 7th round position fool

you, Humes landed in an ideal situation. Teams like the Steelers that

emphasize power running can turn backs like Humes into RBs with some value

in dynasty leagues. If Duce Staley and Verron Haynes can’t cut it this

year, Humes could get a look.

51(69) Domenik Hixon, WR, DEN – Hixon will compete with Brandon

Marshall to be the #2 of the future opposite Javon Walker. Like Marshall, he’s

got a high upside and is a good flier later on if you like to draft raw

ability in your rookie drafts.

52(23) Omar Jacobs, QB, PIT – Omar takes a big tumble because he was

not drafted to be the QB of the future somewhere. Still, he could turn

into Matt Schaub in 2-3 years, the backup most teams look at as starting

material. Another good pick late if raw talent is what you value.

53(54) Bruce Gradkowski, QB, TB – I’m excited about Gradkowski with Jon

Gruden. His football IQ is valuable in Gruden’s complex offense. Chris

Simms looks good now, but the QBs can be on a carousel through with

Gruden at the helm. A must pick for Simms owners.

54(53) Brandon Williams, WR, SF – Williams is like a Moss brother

without the blazing speed, but he could break out as the WR3 in San

Francisco down the line. There’s no entrenched starter on the roster now and

Williams could break away from the pack of interesting project/question

WRs competing for the #3 spot this year.

55(22) Martin Nance, WR, BUF – Nance had one of the most puzzling drops

on draft day. Big WRs as productive as he was at Miami-Ohio just don’t

go undrafted. Apparently, a pulled hamstring hurt his stock. He still

has opportunity on a team without a true WR2. Watch early reports about

him closely and bump him up at least 10 spots if he is impressing the

Bills staff and looking like he will stick.

56(66). Daniel Bullocks, S, DET – The elite safeties went right in

front of Detroit in the first round, but they got Bullocks in the 2nd.

Paired with Kenoy Kennedy, he should be responsible for deep coverage,

limiting tackle opportunities, but he should still be good depth to start

out with upside to be more.

57(35) De’Arrius Howard, RB, KC – My main man from the Shrine game went

undrafted, as a paltry number of RBs went at the draft this year.

Combine him with sleeper power RB Derrick Ross and you might land Larry

Johnson’s backup. I saw NFL potential in Howard and still like him as much

as any late round RB flier.

58(26) Jonathan Orr, WR, TEN – Another one of my Shrine game favorites

that fell dramatically on this list because of his draft fate, Orr is

in a crowded WR situation in Tennessee. Still, I believe he has the

natural athletic ability to be a starting NFL WR if he develops

consistency.

59(46) Garrett Mills, FB/TE, NE – I was hoping Mills would land

somewhere that would use him as much as a #1 TE in the passing game, but the

Patriots already have their TE in Ben Watson and they also drafted David

Thomas. I can’t knock Mills down too far because of how natural he is

as a receiver, and the chance that he plays himself into a bigger role.

60(52) Brad Smith, UTIL/WR, NYJ – Smith has a long way to go on his

conversion to WR, but his open field running ability is excellent and he

is an athlete. I like using a late pick on at least one of the QB to WR

converts as they have been hitting with good frequency lately.

61(57) Darnell Bing, LB, OAK – Oakland seems to want him to convert to

LB, but they also drafted Thomas Howard to play opposite Kirk Morrison.

Bing still has big play skills and is not a bad flier late if you miss

out on the early LB crop.

62(91) Jon Alston, S/LB, STL – St. Louis has a long term opening at

both WLB and SS, productive fantasy positions. Alston has the skills to be

tried out at either, and is a saavy late round flier pick in IDP

leagues.

63(62) Charlie Whitehurst, QB, SD – Whitehurst landed in a possibly

good situation, depending on how well Philip Rivers plays in the next year

or two. I do not believe Whitehurst will be a starting quality QB, but

he is a good later pick for Rivers owners.

64(100) Jeff Webb, WR, KC – Webb went very late for a guy with his

size/speed combo, but his value was enhanced his destination, a team with

an uncertain long term situation at WR.

65(81) Cory Rodgers, WR, GB – Rodgers did not impress me at the

combine, and should have stayed at TCU for his senior year. He did land on a

team with a bare cupboard at WR, so Cory does merit extra consideration

now as a long term hold in deep leagues.

66(59) Ko Simpson, S, BUF – Ko should be able to beat out Troy Vincent

eventually, but Whitner is the going to be the more active safety.

Simpson still projects to be decent depth and he was a turnover machine in

college.

67(NL) P.J. Daniels, RB, BAL – Daniels looks to take over the RB3 role

from Musa Smith if Smith’s leg continues to give him problems. Jamal

Lewis’s situation could change on a dime and Daniels is a decent pick and

long hold for Lewis owners in deep leagues. I still see him as only a

battering ram role player RB.

68(36) Andre Hall, RB, TB – Hall’s absence from the 255 players drafted

was extremely surprising to me because of how fast and accomplished he

is. Tampa is not a great situation, but he is worth holding in deep

leagues if he makes their roster.

69(42) Taurean Henderson, RB, MIN – Henderson was another casualty of

the NFL’s disinterest in drafting late round RBs this year. He’s still

one of the five best receiving backs in this draft class and there is

not an established starter in Minnesota. Like most of the talents that

went undrafted, he could be a viable stash and hold player in deep

leagues if he makes a roster.

70(NL) Willie Reid, WR/KR, PIT – Now the second fast Willie on the

Steelers roster, Reid will be #3 at best for a while with the addition of

Santonio Holmes, but his speed is elite and he could have some upside at

WR. Opportunity is minimal for now, but the raw tools are intriguing.

71(39) Greg Lee, WR, ARI – I was very disappointed to see Lee go

undrafted, but one ray of hope is that he ended up with former teammate Larry

Fitzgerald in Arizona. He’s been a go-to WR in the past and could be

someone to watch for on another team a few years from now if he can stick

on a roster.

72(47) Todd Watkins, WR, ARI – Watkins was one of the WRs gored by a

lower than expected draft slot, lasting until the seventh round and

ending up on a team with two strongly established starters. His size/speed

combo makes him worth a late flier in deep leagues.

73(74) Bernard Pollard, S, KC – Pollard is a good tackler and has IDP

potential if he can settle in as an in the box safety or possible OLB in

the future for the Chiefs.

74(87) Michael Robinson, UTIL/RB, SF – Robinson will find a way to help

the 49ers win, and may emerge as a weapon on offense in the future.

Again, I’ll say, I like QB to WR converts.

75(71) Reggie McNeal, WR/QB, CIN – McNeal is probably another in the

group of athletic QBs that will be tried out at other positions. His

speed is top end, but I’m not sure he has the makeup to make a successful

switch.

76(NL) Anthony Smith, S, PIT – Smith was targeted by the Steelers on

the first day to compete long term with Ryan Clark for the spot vacated

by Chris Hope. It’s not an elite fantasy slot, but it would make Smith a

decent DB2/3 if he could land it. He’s a solid two way safety and fits

the needs of a stay at home DB opposite Troy Polamalu in the Steelers

defense.

77(85) Gerris Wilkinson, LB, NYG – Wilkinson should get to compete

early on to be the outside LB opposite Levar Arrington in New York.

78(NL) Stephen Tulloch, LB, TEN – Tulloch is on the slow side for an

LB, but he has a possible shot at working out in the middle for

Tennessee. He’s definitely a deep sleeper LB to watch

79(48) Hank Baskett, WR, MIN – I was down on Baskett during pre-draft

activities, but never did I dream the big WR would go undrafted. There

are just too many other late round/UDFA WRs I like more than Hank to

recommend him higher than this.

80(94) James Anderson, LB, CAR – Anderson could compete for one of OLB

positions in the Panthers defense. He’s athletic and could be decent

depth down the line.

81(99) Clint Ingram, LB, JAX – Ingram was drafted by the Jaguars, a

team with an opening at OLB opposite Daryl Smith. He’s been a playmaker,

and he’s got good athletic ability. He’s a good LB to draft and hold

while waiting for reports from training camp if you’re looking for LB

depth.

82(79) Mathias Kiwanuka, DE, NYG – All of the sudden, Justin Tuck has

competition in the battle to be the heir apparent to Michael Strahan.

Kiwanuka will have to diversify his game, but he’ll be studying under one

of the all time greats. He’s one to take a look at in leagues that

heavily weight sacks.

83(60) Marques Colston, WR, NO – Colston barely got drafted by New

Orleans, but he’s still one of my favorite deep sleepers WRs in this draft.

I like the idea of taking both him and Mike Hass later on in your draft

and seeing who sticks, because the long term WR picture is cloudy

there.

84(73) David Thomas, TE, NE – Thomas will likely become a Jim

Kleinsasser type dependable target in New England behind more talented targets

Ben Watson and Garrett Mills. He’s still worth a late round flier based

on his production at UT with Vince Young.

85(90) Skyler Green, WR, DAL – Green looks like a slot receiver type to

me and I don’t expect him to be a relevant WR for fantasy, but he is a

guy to watch if he can impress the coaching staff and maybe get in the

long term mix at WR in Dallas.

86(70) Tim Day, TE, CHI – Rarely would I list an undrafted free agent

TE, but Day has a big frame, soft hands, and he’s on a TE needy team in

Chicago. He could soar up this list with a strong camp.

87(NL) Antonio Cromartie, CB, SD – Cromartie is intriguing for a CB

prospect because he has a high ceiling and great playmaking ability.

88(68) Devon Aromashadu, WR, MIA – I always saw Devon as an athlete

that was not a natural receiver, so his late draft grade did not surprise

me as much as some others. He could beat out Derek Hagan for a future

role, but he seems like a one trick pony to me, with only deep threat

skills.

89(NL) Pat Watkins, S, DAL – Watkins should end up being a starting

safety, but his main role will be patrolling the deep middle, a wasteland

for the bread and butter of IDP stats - tackles.

90(NL) Tye Hill, CB, STL – Hill is another CB on the list, a position

that I avoid in rookie drafts because of how easy it is to cherry pick

CBs off the waiver wire in just about every league. Still, he will be

solid as he gets tested a lot early. He doesn’t have great hands, so

don’t expect a ton of INTs.

91(NL) Chris Gocong, LB/DE, PHI – Gocong may get a look at SLB, and he

could be a three down LB by staying in as an edge pass rusher. He’s my

favorite small school sleeper on the defensive side of the ball.

92(NL) Brodrick Bunkley, DT, PHI – Bunkley should be in attack mode in

Philly’s defense and he’s surrounded by a solid defensive line. I don’t

advocate spending picks on DTs, but if you’re so inclined, Bunkley is

the guy to go for.

93(NL) Wali Lundy, RB, HOU – Wali might appear to be a good RB flier to

some, but I am way down on him and only listed him because he was

drafted. He does have a strong lower body, but lacks suddenness. I don’t

expect him to pass Vernand Morency on the depth chart any time soon.

94(NL) Owen Daniels, TE, HOU – Daniels is not nearly as talented as

Garrett Mills, who want a few picks later to New England, but he’s worth a

late flier in TE required leagues.

95(78) Jimmy Williams, CB, ATL – Williams unexpectedly fell out of the

first round, but his physical style and hitting ability makes him a CB

worth drafting if you are looking for immediate help at the position

late in your rookie draft.

96(NL) Tamba Hali, DE, KC – Hali is a hustle DE who is very solid, but

is not likely to end up being an elite option at the position. Still a

solid late pick in sack weighted leagues or if you are really hurting

for DE depth.

97(NL) Marques Hagans, WR, STL – Normally, I really like the QB to WR

converts, but Hagans seems more like a return specialist to me who would

top out as a slot receiver in the best scenario,

98(67) DonTrell Moore, RB, NYJ – Moore did not find himself in the

meager class of RBs drafted in 2006, but the Jets RB situation presents

more opportunity than most. Be ready to pounce on Moore on your waiver

wire if there are reports that he is faster than he was in 2005.

99(64) Paul Pinegar, QB, JAX – Pinegar is a pure flier, as the Jags

have a solid backup in David Garrard. I still would keep an eye on the

sturdy pocket passer if he beats out Quinn Gray to be the #3 QB.

100(82) Mike Bell, RB, DEN – I was never impressed with Bell at

Arizona, but landing the Broncos organization always causes me to pay extra

attention to RBs.

BTW, Bloom is the man. That is all.

 
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Quick thoughts:

I'm with you on Addai. I don't see him getting it done.

I'd still take Leinart over Young. Young is the more dynamic talent, but Leinart is in a much better situation to succeed and is more prepared for the NFL.

I still don't see it with Brandon Marshall. He looks like the typical big possession WR that goes in the 4th-6th round every year. I'll be surprised if he's ever more than an Ernest Wilford type.

I think Hagan is one of the more underrated players out there. Yea, he had some drops issues in the postseason, but the guy can play. He's the #3 WR on my board. He reminds me a lot of Muhsin Muhammad.

I think Wali Lundy deserves to be a lot higher.

I think some of the project players could be underrated (Brad Smith, Michael Robinson, Reggie McNeal).

 
I think you're overlooking Tampa Bay's 4th round DB Alan Zemaitis. He's the heir apparent to Ronde Barber who may or may not be with the team next year. At the very least he'll be the nickel back for them this year.

 
I think you're overlooking Tampa Bay's 4th round DB Alan Zemaitis. He's the heir apparent to Ronde Barber who may or may not be with the team next year. At the very least he'll be the nickel back for them this year.

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Not overlooking him, I loved the pick. I just dont believe in investing picks in CBs in rookie drafts.
 
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Now out of the can.

Have at it

BTW, Bloom is the man.  That is all.

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Cool, it's out of the can... something to print and read in the can. :D BTW, I'm really pulling for WR Demetrius Williams. I knew him as a snot-faced little kid when his dad and I played tournament softball together. The guy was faster than the wind (turned routine singles to the outfield into doubles all the time) but had a girl's arm.

Demetrius, along with Maurice Drew, helped contribute to the De La Salle HS national record 151 game winning streak (1992 to 2003 without a loss is amazing). I got to watch him play a lot. Damn nice kid too.

Steal of Draft article

 
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Hey folks, I know there are some typos in there and I am working on fixing them.

thanks to those giving me the heads up.

 
Hey folks, I know there are some typos in there and I am working on fixing them.

thanks to those giving me the heads up.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
arrgh i have the article blocked by websense here at work too! bloom, any way you can post the whole article here so we can comment/critique like always (and so that people with the page blocked can view?) thanks!
 
Hey folks, I know there are some typos in there and I am working on fixing them.

thanks to those giving me the heads up.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
arrgh i have the article blocked by websense here at work too! bloom, any way you can post the whole article here so we can comment/critique like always (and so that people with the page blocked can view?) thanks!
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I'll add it to the initial post.Friday productivity in the can now too.

:D

 
Hey folks, I know there are some typos in there and I am working on fixing them.

thanks to those giving me the heads up.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
arrgh i have the article blocked by websense here at work too! bloom, any way you can post the whole article here so we can comment/critique like always (and so that people with the page blocked can view?) thanks!
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I'll add it to the initial post.Friday productivity in the can now too.

:D

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
thanks jene. its ok, its cinco de mayo so who cares about productivity.
 
Hey folks, I know there are some typos in there and I am working on fixing them.

thanks to those giving me the heads up.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
arrgh i have the article blocked by websense here at work too! bloom, any way you can post the whole article here so we can comment/critique like always (and so that people with the page blocked can view?) thanks!
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I'll add it to the initial post.Friday productivity in the can now too.

:D

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
thanks jene. its ok, its cinco de mayo so who cares about productivity.
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
That reminds me. I need to break out my Ween CD.Cinco de Mayo's on Tuesday

And I hoped we'd see each other again.

Yes I hoped we'd see each other again.

 
this is absolute gold.

i'm a little surprised not to see fasano on the top 100 either. if dallas regularly employs 2 te sets, he'll have value even as a 2nd tight end to witten.

 
One thing I have to toss out there. You MUST adjust this for your scoring system, lineup. in different leagues, this list changes dramatically! I also do not use it as a straight cheat sheet. I adjust for runs i expect to happen and which kinds of players have perceived trade value.

Lastly, I am still re-entering the atmosphere from being at the draft. This is PRELIMINARY. Rookie minicamps are going to shake things up a little. Training camp will turn this on its head...

Good luck in the rookie drafts everyone!

 
47(NL) Tarvaris Jackson, QB, MIN – Minnesota reached terribly for this

complete product at QB, but he will be very good if he is developed

well. You’ll just need to wait at least two years to see what happens.

More of a flier to me despite what Minnesota thought.

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Bloom - love ya man, but are you sure that's what you mean?
 
47(NL) Tarvaris Jackson, QB, MIN – Minnesota reached terribly for this

complete product at QB, but he will be very good if he is developed

well. You’ll just need to wait at least two years to see what happens.

More of a flier to me despite what Minnesota thought.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Bloom - love ya man, but are you sure that's what you mean?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
He had him(TJ) ranked at #100 before the draft
 
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47(NL) Tarvaris Jackson, QB, MIN – Minnesota reached terribly for this

complete product at QB, but he will be very good if he is developed

well. You’ll just need to wait at least two years to see what happens.

More of a flier to me despite what Minnesota thought.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Bloom - love ya man, but are you sure that's what you mean?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
i meant incomplete, one of the typos i didnt catch...he does have a complete package of raw tools.

 
He had him(TJ) ranked at #100 before the draft

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I did drop him out later on because i honestly saw him as a late round practice squad QB. With the opportunity he should get, I have to take a longer look at him. I just took him in the late 40s in a rookie draft im doing.
 
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from the other thread:

the next version of rookie 100 will be a lot better, please forgive me for not having the time to do the complete research y'all deserve on the news from the few days after the draft due to getting all my draft coverage out there. There's a ton of stuff coming up for the magazine, but after that ill be hitting the news wires hard to follow rookie minicamps.

thanks everyone for the kind words.

 
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Awesome job!

One major critique...

Maurice Drew over AJ Hawk?!?!? I'm well aware every league has a different scoring system, but how many times can a precedent be ignored?? The Jags have taken a RB in the 2nd thru 4th round the past THREE years and each one has essentially nill value (unless you have a deep league where Greg Jones should at least be rostered). Why throw the Maurice Drew log on the fire?? To make matters worse, the 5'7" Drew (...and maybe Pearman) have the least chance of the Jags crew of being a featured back in the NFL.

IMO, to pass on a Vilma-like opportunity at LB (ie. Hawk), for a guy like Maurice Drew is not a great idea.

 
from the other thread:

the next version of rookie 100 will be a lot better, please forgive me for not having the time to do the complete research y'all deserve on the news from the few days after the draft due to getting all my draft coverage out there. There's a ton of stuff coming up for the magazine, but after that ill be hitting the news wires hard to follow rookie minicamps.

thanks everyone for the kind words.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
top notch as always man.
 
Awesome job!

One major critique...

Maurice Drew over AJ Hawk?!?!?  I'm well aware every league has a different scoring system, but how many times can a precedent be ignored??  The Jags have taken a RB in the 2nd thru 4th round the past THREE years and each one has essentially nill value (unless you have a deep league where Greg Jones should at least be rostered).  Why throw the Maurice Drew log on the fire??  To make matters worse, the 5'7" Drew (...and maybe Pearman) have the least chance of the Jags crew of being a featured back in the NFL.

IMO, to pass on a Vilma-like opportunity at LB (ie. Hawk), for a guy like Maurice Drew is not a great idea.

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I am in the minority that thinks Drew has that "IT" quality at RB. He might be a longer shot because of his height, but if he hits, I think he can have Westbrook like impact.
 
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Bloom,

I was surprised to not see Fasano as well. He'll be the starter as the #2 TE for Dallas. That means he's the 4th option behind TO/Glenn/Witten. It also means that he'll draw single coverage from not-the-best pass defenders.

As a rough guess on production, take a look at Daniel Graham of NE last year. Watson more or less fits the Witten mold. NE's WRs are large enough threats to draw coverage. Brady-Bledsoe aren't too far off. Graham was the 4th receiver option/blocker TE role that Fasano will play. I doubt you'll be too far off with Graham's numbers for Fasano next year.

 
Bloom,

I was surprised to not see Fasano as well.  He'll be the starter as the #2 TE for Dallas.  That means he's the 4th option behind TO/Glenn/Witten.  It also means that he'll draw single coverage from not-the-best pass defenders.

As a rough guess on production, take a look at Daniel Graham of NE last year.  Watson more or less fits the Witten mold.  NE's WRs are large enough threats to draw coverage.  Brady-Bledsoe aren't too far off.  Graham was the 4th receiver option/blocker TE role that Fasano will play.  I doubt you'll be too far off with Graham's numbers for Fasano next year.

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But why spend a pick on a guy who will be an emergency TE option (for fantasy)at best? I would rather pick a guy with a 5 or 10% chance of being a fantasy starter, or take a less glamourous IDP who is solid. The list of TEs who can put up stats like the ones Fasano role will produce is long, and they are all on waivers in most leagues.

Im glad this started some vigorous debate, thats what 100 is all about. I am going to be very wrong about some of the calls on this list, just by the law of averages, but i hope it pushes some quality info out and helps everyone decide for themselves.

Ill admit that Fasano was one of my conspicuous controversial guys to leave off the list. I dont even have him as the first TE in the post 100 - that would be Jeff King.

 
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Interesting that Garrett Mills is listed before David Thomas. I really wondered if the Pats really needed to take both of them. I like both of them as players though...

 
Bloom: Tremendous job as always. Appreciate the hard work. :thumbup:

You've got Tony Scheffler, TE, DEN ranked 30 – I'm curious if your ranking reflects him ahead or behind Wesley Duke heading into camp. Both appear to be "projects" and this appears to be a pretty high rating for a guy who has to compete in the "Battle of the Projects" :P

 
Hey folks, I know there are some typos in there and I am working on fixing them.

thanks to those giving me the heads up.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
arrgh i have the article blocked by websense here at work too! bloom, any way you can post the whole article here so we can comment/critique like always (and so that people with the page blocked can view?) thanks!
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I'll add it to the initial post.Friday productivity in the can now too.

:D

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
thanks jene. its ok, its cinco de mayo so who cares about productivity.
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
That reminds me. I need to break out my Ween CD.Cinco de Mayo's on Tuesday

And I hoped we'd see each other again.

Yes I hoped we'd see each other again.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I cant tell you how psyched I am that Ween made into this thread.
 
Bloom:  Tremendous job as always.  Appreciate the hard work. :thumbup:

You've got Tony Scheffler, TE, DEN ranked 30 – I'm curious if your ranking reflects him ahead or behind Wesley Duke heading into camp.  Both appear to be "projects" and this appears to be a pretty high rating for a guy who has to compete in the "Battle of the Projects"  :P

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
Forget about Duke, he's in NFL europe last I checked. Scheffler may need a year to get some polish, but the Broncos drafted him to be their receiving TE.
 
Nice job Bloom, thank you for the effort.

I enjoyed the analysis as it helped to reinforce some of the opinions that I had, both good and bad.

Our IDP league is scored so evenly between OFF and DEF that I cannot use this as a ranking, but none the less it is a solid read.

Tom

 
I'll add my "thanks!" to that of those who have already done so...

A question - how much (if any) do you change what your rankings were of the players between the end of the college season and the combines/personal days?

 
One thing I have to toss out there. You MUST adjust this for your scoring system, lineup. in different leagues, this list changes dramatically! I also do not use it as a straight cheat sheet. I adjust for runs i expect to happen and which kinds of players have perceived trade value.

Lastly, I am still re-entering the atmosphere from being at the draft. This is PRELIMINARY. Rookie minicamps are going to shake things up a little. Training camp will turn this on its head...

Good luck in the rookie drafts everyone!

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
First off, thank you very much for putting the effort - the explanations - as usual, wonderful insight! :thumbup: From your comment above (and since I'm a relative newbie here) I would guess that "The list" will include some projections in the future? (as we get closer and closer to the start of the season) in order for us to plug these in our scoring system / roster requirements... to have a better idea of the dropoffs / the position runs that we might expect...

 
I'll add my "thanks!" to that of those who have already done so...

A question - how much (if any) do you change what your rankings were of the players between the end of the college season and the combines/personal days?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
I put a decent amount of stock in the all star games and practices, combine/interviews/pro days, and general buzz about a player leading up to the draft - the job interview phase. I also put stock in a players first camp as I think its an indicator of how well he'll respond to NFL coaching and sets the tone for his development and relationship/role with his team - its when latent potential first reveals itself. I like seeing players start their careers with positive momentum. Starting off on the right foot can make all of the difference. I am always seeing players in new lights - Im not wedded to my opinions, even though I present them strongly.
 
One thing I have to toss out there. You MUST adjust this for your scoring system, lineup. in different leagues, this list changes dramatically! I also do not use it as a straight cheat sheet. I adjust for runs i expect to happen and which kinds of players have perceived trade value.

Lastly, I am still re-entering the atmosphere from being at the draft. This is PRELIMINARY. Rookie minicamps are going to shake things up a little. Training camp will turn this on its head...

Good luck in the rookie drafts everyone!

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
First off, thank you very much for putting the effort - the explanations - as usual, wonderful insight! :thumbup: From your comment above (and since I'm a relative newbie here) I would guess that "The list" will include some projections in the future? (as we get closer and closer to the start of the season) in order for us to plug these in our scoring system / roster requirements... to have a better idea of the dropoffs / the position runs that we might expect...

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>
There will be projections for the rookies for this year on FBG. I dont project stats for the rooks because whats relevant for these rankings is their entire career. I do include my stab at a ceiling ranking wise for the most important rookies.
 
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Nice job.

One that jumps out at me is Mario Williams at 33. A potential elite DE is one of the only IDP's worth reaching for IDP dynasty fantasy drafts. Every other position it is usually a better gamble to look harder at offense, even if the player is more of a reach.

LB and S, you can count more on tackles. At other positions, you are looking for playmakers b/c tackle numbers won't be consistent or, typically, as much. Sacks and turnovers are the big point plays for IDP. Picks are impossible to predict. So that leaves forced and recovered fumbles. Like picks, fumble recoveries a crapshoot. Generally, your elite DEs are going to be the leaders in forced fumbles and, of course, sacks. So that is the one position on defense if you can lock down a stud it is worth reaching for. Even if you aren't sold Super Mario is the next Julius Peppers, the potential that he can should objectively increase his value.

 

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