Ok, not intended as a WDIS but interested to hear from Johnson owners and how they think Bailey affects his numbers and specifically how much Bailey and Johnson actually face off.
Here's the information I am considering:
- Obviously Ocho Cinco really respects Bailey
- I am hearing that Bailey usually stays on the left and does NOT follow a receiver around the field
- Denver's other CBs have given up some very big games
- This game is a must win for Cincy
Given all that it would seem to me that Johnson's individual fantasy performance will be primarily determined based on how much of the time he is lined up against Bailey. In most cases when a #1 WR is facing a shut down corner the team moves the receiver into the slot, to the other side, whatever is necessary to get a matchup on another player. In the case of Cincy both Housh and Henry are more than capable of having a huge game, so moving CJ around is not necessary for any reason other than to keep him happy.
I feel like CJ versus Bailey = 30-70 yards and 0 TDs but, CJ versus D. Williams or someone else would be over 100 yards and 1 or more TDs.
My personal situation is that my current backup WR is A. Boldin who has a very good matchup. I feel like Johnson has the much higher ceiling, but Boldin is safer.
Ultimately I think determining how much Johnson goes head to head against Bailey will determine what I do, so I was hoping to get one or both of the following questions answered:
1) What percentage of the time will Bailey and Johnson be head to head?
and/or
2) Does Cincy move Johnson around and work to get him more favorable matchups?
Any thoughts appreciated.
Here's the information I am considering:
- Obviously Ocho Cinco really respects Bailey
- I am hearing that Bailey usually stays on the left and does NOT follow a receiver around the field
- Denver's other CBs have given up some very big games
- This game is a must win for Cincy
Given all that it would seem to me that Johnson's individual fantasy performance will be primarily determined based on how much of the time he is lined up against Bailey. In most cases when a #1 WR is facing a shut down corner the team moves the receiver into the slot, to the other side, whatever is necessary to get a matchup on another player. In the case of Cincy both Housh and Henry are more than capable of having a huge game, so moving CJ around is not necessary for any reason other than to keep him happy.
I feel like CJ versus Bailey = 30-70 yards and 0 TDs but, CJ versus D. Williams or someone else would be over 100 yards and 1 or more TDs.
My personal situation is that my current backup WR is A. Boldin who has a very good matchup. I feel like Johnson has the much higher ceiling, but Boldin is safer.
Ultimately I think determining how much Johnson goes head to head against Bailey will determine what I do, so I was hoping to get one or both of the following questions answered:
1) What percentage of the time will Bailey and Johnson be head to head?
and/or
2) Does Cincy move Johnson around and work to get him more favorable matchups?
Any thoughts appreciated.
