Charles / Jones Balance (1 Viewer)

[gardener]

Another Jamal Charles thread asserts that Charles' carries seem to be based on whether they are behind (Jamal) or ahead and trying to run out the clock (Jones). What do you guys think? I think it may be more on the total # of carries like in week 5. There were 28 rushing plays involving these two, Jamal got 19 and Jones got 9. When there were 40 rushing plays it was broken down roughly 20-20. Can we expect Charles' carries to be about 20 per week and have Jones pick up the slack? If so, what would be Jones' likely touches from this point forward.

 

[Modog814]

According to my numbers:

Charles has 66 rushes, 25 when KC is ahead (~38%), 41 when trailing.

Jones has 79 carries, 39 when KC is ahead (~49%), 40 when trailing

Broken down by how far ahead/down they are:

Charles has 10 carries when KC up by 8+, 14 for Jones

Charles has 10 rushes when KC up between 3 and 7, 16 for Jones

Charles has 5 rushes when KC up between 0 and 3, 9 for Jones

Charles has 17 rushes when KC down by 1 to 3, 26 for Jones

Charles has 22 rushes when KC down 4 to 7, 14 for Jones

Charles has 2 carries when trailing 8+, Jones 0 carries.

 

[cvnpoka]

i would expect the split to be 5050 at best for tjones the rest of the way, as a whole. sure there will likely be some games where tjones gets the edge, likewise for charles.

modog, that is nice info.

 

[gardener]

Great info. My read is that part of the argument is supported by the data. It is not clear when they are behind or even, but when they get behind the carries definitely favor Charles. That means a lot of their production will be tied to how far ahead or behind they are in specific games. How does their season project, not just against the run but overall. Is KC solid enough to be favored in the majority of games?