timschochet
Footballguy
By Michael David Smith:
The Colts will be just fine.
Seventy minutes of football ago, the Colts were the best team in the NFL. With 10 minutes remaining in their Week 9 game against the Patriots, Peyton Manning scored a touchdown on a 1-yard quarterback sneak, giving the Colts a 20-10 lead. At that moment, you would have been hard-pressed to find a football fan in America who could name a flaw with the defending Super Bowl champions.
And then they got outscored 14-0 over the rest of the game, and then they lost to the Chargers a week later, and now the flaws are as apparent as Manning's forehead.
Most of the flaws have to do with injuries: Defensive end Dwight Freeney is out for the season with a foot injury. Wide receiver Marvin Harrison has missed four games with a knee injury, and the guy who should be taking his place, rookie Anthony Gonzalez, is out with a hand injury. Tight end Dallas Clark sat out the loss to the Chargers with a concussion, and a concussion has sidelined starting outside linebacker Freddy Keiaho for five games. The other starting outside linebacker, Tyjuan Hagler, has missed the last two games with a neck injury. Just about every offensive tackle on the roster is injured to some extent.
And there are problems with the healthy guys, too: Manning threw a career-high six interceptions against the Chargers, Reggie Wayne is dropping passes, Adam Vinatieri is missing chip-shots and Tony Dungy is wasting timeouts.
So does that mean the Colts are in trouble?
No. It means the Colts are going through a rough patch of the season, just like almost every football team does at some point. It's a stretch, remember, that has seen them lose two games by a grand total of six points. That's nowhere near as bad as the bump in the road the Colts hit last year, when they went from 9-0 in mid-November to 11-4 in late December and couldn't tackle anyone to save their lives.
The only area of the team that really needs to concern the Colts is the special teams. It's hard to overstate just how bad Vinatieri has been this year — so bad that if he weren't the NFL's most famous and highest-paid kicker, they'd cut him — but he's not the only problem. For all their successes in the player personnel department, the Colts just don't put guys on their 53-man roster who know how to cover punts and kickoffs, and that means the Colts are going to lose the field position battle all season.
But they can afford to lose the field position battle because their defense — even without Freeney — is one of the best in the league. These aren't the Colts of November and December 2006. Indianapolis got better in the off-season by letting cornerbacks Jason David and Nick Harper go, getting safety Bob Sanders healthy and adding one of the surprise players of the season in undrafted rookie defensive tackle Ed Johnson. Will the Colts miss Freeney? Of course. But this defense is still in good shape, miles ahead of where it was last year.
Another area where the Colts are better now than they were a year ago is the running game. The combination of Joseph Addai and Kenton Keith this year is better than the combination of Addai and Dominic Rhodes was last year. Addai, now in his second NFL season, looks like he has a better understanding of his role in the offense. And Keith, who had never played an NFL game until this season, has great running instincts and is a better back now than Rhodes ever was. Keith averages 4.6 yards a carry this year; Rhodes averaged 3.4 last year.
It sounds crazy to say, but if there's an area of weakness on the Colts, other than the special teams, it's the passing offense. If you had asked Manning six months ago which teammates he could least afford to lose, it's entirely possible that the first three names he would have mentioned would have been Harrison, Clark and left tackle Tarik Glenn, who retired just before the season. Not only have the Colts lost all three of those players, they've also lost the two rookies they drafted to be backups to Harrison and Glenn, Gonzalez and Tony Ugoh. No passing attack, not even one as potent as the Colts', can withstand those losses without a decline in production.
But even without all those players Sunday night, Manning still managed to find a way to throw for 328 yards and drive the Colts into position to kick a game-winning field goal late in the game. Harrison, Clark, Gonzalez and Ugoh are all expected to be healthy come playoff time, and when they are, the Colts' passing attack will be back to its usual outstanding self. (The one injury they can't afford, obviously, is to Manning; it probably goes without saying that this team isn't getting to the Super Bowl with Jim Sorgi under center.
The best news for the Colts is that their schedule gets easier. They get the Chiefs at home on Sunday, and their other three home games down the stretch are against their three divisional opponents, the Jaguars, Texans and Titans, all of whom the Colts have already beaten on the road. Their three road opponents are the Falcons, Ravens and Raiders. With that schedule, there's no reason at all that the Colts can't finish the season on a seven-game winning streak, which would put them at 14-2, two games better than they were last year.
When you get right down to it, the 2007 Colts are a better team than the 2006 Colts. The only problem is that the 2007 Patriots are a better team than the 2006 Colts, too. The large presence of the Patriots looms over the entire season, but if anyone is going to beat New England, my money is still on Indianapolis.
The Colts will be just fine.
Seventy minutes of football ago, the Colts were the best team in the NFL. With 10 minutes remaining in their Week 9 game against the Patriots, Peyton Manning scored a touchdown on a 1-yard quarterback sneak, giving the Colts a 20-10 lead. At that moment, you would have been hard-pressed to find a football fan in America who could name a flaw with the defending Super Bowl champions.
And then they got outscored 14-0 over the rest of the game, and then they lost to the Chargers a week later, and now the flaws are as apparent as Manning's forehead.
Most of the flaws have to do with injuries: Defensive end Dwight Freeney is out for the season with a foot injury. Wide receiver Marvin Harrison has missed four games with a knee injury, and the guy who should be taking his place, rookie Anthony Gonzalez, is out with a hand injury. Tight end Dallas Clark sat out the loss to the Chargers with a concussion, and a concussion has sidelined starting outside linebacker Freddy Keiaho for five games. The other starting outside linebacker, Tyjuan Hagler, has missed the last two games with a neck injury. Just about every offensive tackle on the roster is injured to some extent.
And there are problems with the healthy guys, too: Manning threw a career-high six interceptions against the Chargers, Reggie Wayne is dropping passes, Adam Vinatieri is missing chip-shots and Tony Dungy is wasting timeouts.
So does that mean the Colts are in trouble?
No. It means the Colts are going through a rough patch of the season, just like almost every football team does at some point. It's a stretch, remember, that has seen them lose two games by a grand total of six points. That's nowhere near as bad as the bump in the road the Colts hit last year, when they went from 9-0 in mid-November to 11-4 in late December and couldn't tackle anyone to save their lives.
The only area of the team that really needs to concern the Colts is the special teams. It's hard to overstate just how bad Vinatieri has been this year — so bad that if he weren't the NFL's most famous and highest-paid kicker, they'd cut him — but he's not the only problem. For all their successes in the player personnel department, the Colts just don't put guys on their 53-man roster who know how to cover punts and kickoffs, and that means the Colts are going to lose the field position battle all season.
But they can afford to lose the field position battle because their defense — even without Freeney — is one of the best in the league. These aren't the Colts of November and December 2006. Indianapolis got better in the off-season by letting cornerbacks Jason David and Nick Harper go, getting safety Bob Sanders healthy and adding one of the surprise players of the season in undrafted rookie defensive tackle Ed Johnson. Will the Colts miss Freeney? Of course. But this defense is still in good shape, miles ahead of where it was last year.
Another area where the Colts are better now than they were a year ago is the running game. The combination of Joseph Addai and Kenton Keith this year is better than the combination of Addai and Dominic Rhodes was last year. Addai, now in his second NFL season, looks like he has a better understanding of his role in the offense. And Keith, who had never played an NFL game until this season, has great running instincts and is a better back now than Rhodes ever was. Keith averages 4.6 yards a carry this year; Rhodes averaged 3.4 last year.
It sounds crazy to say, but if there's an area of weakness on the Colts, other than the special teams, it's the passing offense. If you had asked Manning six months ago which teammates he could least afford to lose, it's entirely possible that the first three names he would have mentioned would have been Harrison, Clark and left tackle Tarik Glenn, who retired just before the season. Not only have the Colts lost all three of those players, they've also lost the two rookies they drafted to be backups to Harrison and Glenn, Gonzalez and Tony Ugoh. No passing attack, not even one as potent as the Colts', can withstand those losses without a decline in production.
But even without all those players Sunday night, Manning still managed to find a way to throw for 328 yards and drive the Colts into position to kick a game-winning field goal late in the game. Harrison, Clark, Gonzalez and Ugoh are all expected to be healthy come playoff time, and when they are, the Colts' passing attack will be back to its usual outstanding self. (The one injury they can't afford, obviously, is to Manning; it probably goes without saying that this team isn't getting to the Super Bowl with Jim Sorgi under center.
The best news for the Colts is that their schedule gets easier. They get the Chiefs at home on Sunday, and their other three home games down the stretch are against their three divisional opponents, the Jaguars, Texans and Titans, all of whom the Colts have already beaten on the road. Their three road opponents are the Falcons, Ravens and Raiders. With that schedule, there's no reason at all that the Colts can't finish the season on a seven-game winning streak, which would put them at 14-2, two games better than they were last year.
When you get right down to it, the 2007 Colts are a better team than the 2006 Colts. The only problem is that the 2007 Patriots are a better team than the 2006 Colts, too. The large presence of the Patriots looms over the entire season, but if anyone is going to beat New England, my money is still on Indianapolis.
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