Cutler...any upside with this risk? (1 Viewer)

[Black]

I just finished a (mostly) redraft, where Cutler was the 11th QB off the board. He dropped to the 9th round.

At the same time he was dropping, it seems like people reached for his WRs...Knox, Hester, Aromadoush.

I know he threw 26 INT last year. I know his line sucks. I know he'll get hit and could throw even more INT this year.

However, even if you are penalized -2 for INT, don't you want a QB that will throw 40-50 times a game? How can his WR all be 'upside' guys, but not him?

I guess CHI did throw a ton last year already, but I'd like to think Martz can do more, esp now that the WR have had more time to gel.

I can't even think of another team in had (3) WR/TE taken from the same team (except maybe Indy and New Orleans?) in my 10-team, 16 team draft.

So...thoughts? He won't make it thru the season? Will throw 45 picks?

 

[Kenny Powers]

I think his picks will go down by 6 or so with his TDs being basically the same and his passing yards increasing by around 300-400.

I actually have him at QB7 and projected 2 more points than Rivers. Im not really targetting him, but if he drops enough I'll take him.

 

[Jimmy Johnson's Hairdresser]

I was not targeting him, but he fell to me in the 10th rd. on friday night (12 team re-draft). I didn't want, but couldn't pass on him based on who was still left.

 

[Judge Smails]

Could be wrong, but hate this guy. His picks are just awful - terrible decisions. He'll pile up the yards, but the TD/INT ratio has to improve for him to be top 10 in a -2 int league.

 

[gnarboots11]

I passed on him, he went too high for my liking and I took Stafford late late late instead. I also like Flacco more than Cutler as well.

 

[candymanvandyfan]

This may sound risky, but you might be able to get him cheaper in trade after week 4 or 5. These first few weeks could get pretty ugly/dangerous.

Same issues. Another new offense for the kid, porous line, no running game, terrible midget receivers.

Martz is trying to teach him "fundamentals," which evidently now includes interspersed backpedal drop-back technique and, if these preseason games are any indication, throwing to "space" (AKA nobody) while short, confused receivers line up and then run and break wherever they want on the field. I am not impressed so far with the crispness of the allignments or the routes so far. This will have early consequences which will be remedied (one way or another) as the season goes along. Whoever learns to line up correctly, get off the line and run the routes correctly will end up playing.

The Bears defense looks old and bad. By the end of the year, if he makes it that far, Jay will be throwing 45+ times a game just to keep this team in games.

Best thing from last night fantasy-wise was that they attempted 20 throws in one half.

In his first four seasons, by historical standards, Jay has attempted a lot of passes, completed a lot of passes and thrown a lot of touchdowns. Enter Martz. Jay is going to attempt a lot of passes, complete a lot of passes and throw a lot of touchdowns.

I would spend now for Stafford before his price goes up during the season and spend later on Cutler as his price goes down those first four or five weeks.

I would not want to endure the injury risk of Cutler or Romo during week two. Peppers and Ware are so much better than the players the Cowboys and Bears are going to have blocking Peppers and Ware.

Provided he stays healthy, I think Jay will be scoring a lot by the end of the year as everybody (Cutler included) figures it all out.

 

[two_dollars]

I think his picks will go down by 6 or so with his TDs being basically the same and his passing yards increasing by around 300-400.I actually have him at QB7 and projected 2 more points than Rivers. Im not really targetting him, but if he drops enough I'll take him.

You aren't alone. I'm personally not with you, but he did go before Rivers in my draft as well. In the 5th.