Hey just wanted to say I loved reading your blog the last 2 years. I was sad to see it go, but know you guys are busy with other things. I know you killed it on FanDuel the last 2 seasons and I used your winnings as a measuring stick for my own.
I was wondering if you're in the black this year on FanDuel? Personally I started out really hot, but after this week I'm going to barely be up on the season.
I am struggling to win consistently. I started pretty good and had one great week where I won nearly everything I entered. Lately, I am finding myself on the wrong side of a lot of coin flips each week. This week I preferred Bell to Freeman and Gurley for instance. I also loved Mike Evans who seemed a lock at a lot of targets. Both flopped.
For the NFL season, I entered this week down about $600, but do have about 35 tickets to various Championship Series finals in week 11. Those have value around $2,500, but the number will come in a lot higher or lower depending how I do in week 11. This week, I find myself down again, but I have a lot of Cam / Olsen which could turn things around.
Here is what I have noticed from the NFL season so far:
- The Thursday games are way easier to beat. Not many analysts have better numbers / understanding of situations than FBG early in the week. But with each podcast, and more and more study a lot better info exists by Sunday.
- The small / off slates have been easier for me to beat. Maybe it's been random or I just don't have nearly as many coin-flips.
- The main slate is becoming quite HARD on most weeks (at least for me).
It feels like the best winning players are becoming a bigger percentage of the entries across the board making the games harder.
I am encouraged by what FanDuel is doing with capping the lower priced games. That should help the ecosystem a bit