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Deep Threats (1 Viewer)

netnalp

Footballguy
Deep Threats

May 31st, 2011 | Author: Khaled Elsayed

When you talk about some of the most explosive receivers in the league, your attention turns to the speedsters that go long and get behind defenses. Those guys you have to doubly account for on every play because, if you don’t, they’ll punish you. Not just by moving the chains, but by putting points on the board.

In our continuing look at wide receivers, we set our focus on what they are doing with their deep ball opportunities. For the purpose of this study, we’re looking at the 50 receivers who were targeted on at least 15 deep passes (balls thrown at least 20 yards downfield) and the numbers do include the playoffs. The findings throw up some names you’d expect, and some you wouldn’t.

Targets

Where better to start than by looking at which receivers were targeted downfield the most. Much like you probably did, I went into this thinking the names Mike Wallace and DeSean Jackson would be at the top. Instead, it’s a list headed by Brandon Lloyd and Calvin Johnson, both targeted over 20 yards 41 times. Remarkably, “Fraction Jackson” didn’t even make the Top 10 in terms of targets, as can be seen from the table below:

[*]Wide Receivers, Targets on Deep Passes, 2010

[*]1t Brandon Lloyd DEN 41

[*]1t Calvin Johnson DET 41

[*]3t Larry Fitzgerald ARZ 37

[*]3t Mike Wallace PIT 37

[*]5t Greg Jennings GB 36

[*]5t Reggie Wayne IND 36

[*]7t Braylon Edwards NYJ 33

[*]7t Dwayne Bowe KC 33

[*]9t Mike A. Williams TB 32

[*]9t Nate Washington TEN 32

Receptions

More importantly, Jackson did make the Top 5 when it came to receptions on deep throws. It’s another list headed by Lloyd (Johnson dropped to sixth in this rating), but Jackson’s leap and, to a lesser degree, Mike Wallace, are the most noteworthy inclusions. It’s also the first time we see Kenny Britt appear, but not the last.

Wide Receivers, Receptions on Deep Passes, 2010

1 Brandon Lloyd DEN 17

2t Mike Wallace PIT 15

2t Greg Jennings GB 15

4t DeSean Jackson PHI 13

4t Kenny Britt TEN 13

6t Calvin Johnson DET 12

6t Reggie Wayne IND 12

6t Mario Manningham NYG 12

9t Dwayne Bowe KC 11

9t Johnny Knox CHI 11

Catch Percentage

The Titans’ receiver bested all others when it came to bringing in the highest percentage of deep balls thrown his way. A big reason why Vince Young had the highest completion percentage of deep balls was Britt acting as an imposing downfield target. Up at the top, there are also spots for Robert Meachem and Roddy White, though neither man saw more than 20 balls over the required distance. It’s more impressive to look at what Mario Manningham did in securing over half of his 23 long targets.

Wide Receivers, Catch Percentage on Deep Passes, 2010

Catch %

1 Kenny Britt TEN 56.52%

2 Robert Meachem NO 55.00%

3 Roddy White ATL 53.33%

4 Steve Breaston ARZ 52.63%

5 Mario Manningham NYG 52.17%

6 DeSean Jackson PHI 44.83%

7 Andre Johnson HST 43.48%

8 Johnny Knox CHI 42.31%

9 Jabar Gaffney DEN 42.11%

10t Greg Jennings GB 41.67%

10t Anthony Armstrong WAS 41.67%

10t Malcom Floyd SD 41.67%

Yardage

Next, we’re looking at who picked up the most yards in the long range game. To the surprise of very few (especially those who have read the opening couple of paragraphs) Brandon Lloyd once again leads the way, with Mike Wallace and DeSean Jackson completing the top three. Just behind them is Greg Jennings, though it should be remembered these numbers do include the post season. We can also wonder how much stronger his yardage total might have been if he didn’t lead all receivers with four drops on deep chances.

Wide Receivers, Yards on Deep Passes, 2010

1 Brandon Lloyd DEN 614

2 Mike Wallace PIT 591

3 DeSean Jackson PHI 551

4 Greg Jennings GB 545

5 Mario Manningham NYG 484

6 Anthony Armstrong WAS 477

7 Kenny Britt TEN 460

8 Johnny Knox CHI 418

9 Robert Meachem NO 406

10 Braylon Edwards NYJ 401

Touchdowns

The last point is touchdowns … who is turning these big plays into scores? Steelers wide receiver Mike Wallace is joined by Calvin Johnson at the top with seven catches that went all the way. Behind them we have that man again, Brandon Lloyd, as part of a gaggle of receivers with six.

Wide Receivers, Touchdowns on Deep Passes, 2010

1t Mike Wallace PIT 7

1t Calvin Johnson DET 7

3t Brandon Lloyd DEN 6

3t Mario Manningham NYG 6

3t Kenny Britt TEN 6

3t Dwayne Bowe KC 6

7t Greg Jennings GB 5

7t Pierre Garcon IND 5

9t Robert Meachem NO 4

9t Braylon Edwards NYJ 4

9t Jeremy Maclin PHI 4

9t Terrell Owens CIN 4

9t Hakeem Nicks NYG 4

9t Mike A. Williams TB 4

Ultimately, these numbers aren’t going to give you a hard answer as to who the best deep threat in the league is. Arguments could be made for a variety of players who offer something different, whether it be catching more balls or finding the end zone more often.

What all of this does give you is an idea of which players you really need to worry about. I’m not talking about the Mike Wallace’s and DeSean Jacksons’ – you already know about them – but about just how devastating a player Kenny Britt can be if he doesn’t let off field issues consume him, or how Redskin Anthony Armstrong is able to pick up so much yardage on deep routes.

If and when we get football, watch out for these guys. They can turn a game just like that.

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Surprised to see Armstrong on the list, the Impression I had was that Moss was the deep threat on the Skins. Also, maybe I'm too harsh on Mannigham, though sure seems like he lets the ball hit his palms so he ends up bobbling the ball.

 
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Surprised to see Armstrong on the list, the Impression I had was that Moss was the deep threat on the Skins.
Not last season. It's been 3-5 years since Moss was a legitimate deep threat, but he had been forced into that role despite his declining skills in that area. The Shanahan's finally used him properly last season, primarily as a slot receiver. Some 'Skins fans have been complaining about Moss' misuse for a few years now and were not surprised by the numbers he was able to put up when his current skill set was taken advantage of.
 
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Surprised to see Armstrong on the list, the Impression I had was that Moss was the deep threat on the Skins.
Not last season. It's been 3-5 years since Moss was a legitimate deep threat, but he had been forced into that role despite his declining skills in that area. The Shanahan's finally used him properly last season, primarily as a slot receiver. Some 'Skins fans have been complaining about Moss' misuse for a few years now and were not surprised by the numbers he was able to put up when his current skill set was taken advantage of.
Armstrong played very well too. I think he's one of the most underrated WR's going into 2011. He just didn't get into the end zone enough for people to notice. Rumors are that he'll be starting this year at X regardless so it seems to me he's a great buy low right now
 
Surprised to see Armstrong on the list, the Impression I had was that Moss was the deep threat on the Skins.
Not last season. It's been 3-5 years since Moss was a legitimate deep threat, but he had been forced into that role despite his declining skills in that area. The Shanahan's finally used him properly last season, primarily as a slot receiver. Some 'Skins fans have been complaining about Moss' misuse for a few years now and were not surprised by the numbers he was able to put up when his current skill set was taken advantage of.
Armstrong played very well too. I think he's one of the most underrated WR's going into 2011. He just didn't get into the end zone enough for people to notice. Rumors are that he'll be starting this year at X regardless so it seems to me he's a great buy low right now
Oh, agreed. He was a very pleasant surprise. I would be quite happy if the 'Skins are able to re-sign Moss and run with Moss, Armstrong and Hankerson in 3WR sets.On the "getting in the end zone" point, Armstrong was not able to catch very many of his deep balls in stride. He was consistently being over- or underthrown and having to adjust to the ball just to make the catch. Even just a little more consistency in that department and he adds at least 2-3 TDs, plus the associated yardage.

ETA: To be fair, I believe Armstrong dropped a few, well thrown, would-be TD passes, too.

 
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Surprised to see Armstrong on the list, the Impression I had was that Moss was the deep threat on the Skins.
Not last season. It's been 3-5 years since Moss was a legitimate deep threat, but he had been forced into that role despite his declining skills in that area. The Shanahan's finally used him properly last season, primarily as a slot receiver. Some 'Skins fans have been complaining about Moss' misuse for a few years now and were not surprised by the numbers he was able to put up when his current skill set was taken advantage of.
Armstrong played very well too. I think he's one of the most underrated WR's going into 2011. He just didn't get into the end zone enough for people to notice. Rumors are that he'll be starting this year at X regardless so it seems to me he's a great buy low right now
Oh, agreed. He was a very pleasant surprise. I would be quite happy if the 'Skins are able to re-sign Moss and run with Moss, Armstrong and Hankerson in 3WR sets.On the "getting in the end zone" point, Armstrong was not able to catch very many of his deep balls in stride. He was consistently being over- or underthrown and having to adjust to the ball just to make the catch. Even just a little more consistency in that department and he adds at least 2-3 TDs, plus the associated yardage.

ETA: To be fair, I believe Armstrong dropped a few, well thrown, would-be TD passes, too.
you probably watched more Skins games than I did since you are in Virgina, but I didn't see him drop too many. It does seem that his 41% is pretty good when you look at the company he's with. The beauty about his game is I bet his AFL experience also lends him the ability to play over the middle as well since those guys have to play in a phone booth cause the fields are so small. Not something I've seen the Skins use him, but I'm guessing he has that ability
 
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Good thread. I think 2 guys who have a shot at being on some of these lists this year are Jacoby Ford and Donnie Avery.

 
This makes it look like Meachem could be a real climber if he ever secures a starting job to get enough looks.

 
Good thread. I think 2 guys who have a shot at being on some of these lists this year are Jacoby Ford and Donnie Avery.
Vincent Jackson makes the list based on 2009 numbers, and I expect him to play for the Chargers all season
 
great analysis
Really? You felt the need to say "great analysis" on a thread over a year old?
Really? You felt the need to bust a guy for "bumping" an interesting thread that's over a year old?
Typically people bump a thread for a reason which is stated in the bump. I don't get the point in saying "great analysis" on a 1 year old post. If you're going to bump an old post, explain yo sef!
 

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