thx. Te2, so hopefully won't be an issueDreesen is listed as the starter on the Depth Chart, but I think this is a platoon situation, and probably one to avoid.
Two things: Paraphrasing here but when John Fox was asked about Manning coming to Denver to run the offense, he said something to the effect of "I'm real excited to see what his offense looks like." Message there being, don't kid yourself, this is Manning's show.The other thing: When has a TE NOT been fantasy-relevant in a big way with Manning?I'm mystified at the situation because I don't know whether the TE value is tied more to John Fox or to Manning. If it's tied more to Fox, not good for either TE because Fox's offenses typically don't feature the TE. If the TE value in Denver is tied more to Manning than to Fox, think back to the days when both D. Clark and Marcus Pollard had successful seasons at the same time. It could be possible too with Tamme and Dressen but unpredictable.
You may be right about this and I hope so because a Manning inspired offense would be more exciting to watch than a Fox offense. However, could Fox's statement only mean that he's excited to see how the Fox offense looks with the new personnel of Manning, Tamme and Dressen along with the WRs having more experience? In other words, I see 2 different ways to interpret Fox's comment.Two things: Paraphrasing here but when John Fox was asked about Manning coming to Denver to run the offense, he said something to the effect of "I'm real excited to see what his offense looks like." Message there being, don't kid yourself, this is Manning's show.The other thing: When has a TE NOT been fantasy-relevant in a big way with Manning?I'm mystified at the situation because I don't know whether the TE value is tied more to John Fox or to Manning. If it's tied more to Fox, not good for either TE because Fox's offenses typically don't feature the TE. If the TE value in Denver is tied more to Manning than to Fox, think back to the days when both D. Clark and Marcus Pollard had successful seasons at the same time. It could be possible too with Tamme and Dressen but unpredictable.
I think this is the key issue. At least it is for me. Dreessen is a much better value play, and given the uncertainty, I wouldn't want to go with Tamme unless I've got better info that suggests he will clearly and distinctly outperform Dreessen. Dreessen did a lot to damage Owen Daniels value last season. In heavy TD leagues, I think Dreessen was actually more productive, in particular in the second half of the season. Of course the situation he's in is now drastically different, but if history repeats, Tamme could be a mild to moderate bust.I was able to get him much later than Tamme in a 2 TE, PPR league where I drafted him as a TE4.
I agree that's the main issue. Even pessimistically for Dreessen, they might be in the realm of fairly equal chances of being a worthwhile fantasy starter with Peyton at QB, so Dreessen makes such a better value pick.My league has enough of an unusual setup it's hard to relate rounds drafted directly to standard leagues, but Tamme went in the 9th and I got Dreessen in the 19th. Just checked some ADPs and I see 25th and 32nd rounds for Dreessen in more standard formats, and 9 to 12 for Tamme.I think this is the key issue. At least it is for me. Dreessen is a much better value play, and given the uncertainty, I wouldn't want to go with Tamme unless I've got better info that suggests he will clearly and distinctly outperform Dreessen. Dreessen did a lot to damage Owen Daniels value last season. In heavy TD leagues, I think Dreessen was actually more productive, in particular in the second half of the season. Of course the situation he's in is now drastically different, but if history repeats, Tamme could be a mild to moderate bust.I was able to get him much later than Tamme in a 2 TE, PPR league where I drafted him as a TE4.
To clarify my point here, my last comment is in reference to the ADP of both. Tamme has been a top 10 TE in most drafts/auctions, while Dressen has been either not going or going for almost nothing.I think the assumption all along was that Tamme would be the guy, simply because he was the one skill position player on the Broncos who had played with Peyton before, but he has not been very good in the preseason, and Dressen appears to the better tight end in all areas, so unless Tamme suddenly gets over his case of the drops, I definitely think Dressen will outperform him.
One issue that arose this preseason, Tamme's unreliability in situations in which he was relied on in his one partial season with Peyton. He had a few of bad drops and routes in bad spots. Preseason, yes, but a couple of repeats in real games and his production going forward becomes a bigger question mark. Not something I downgraded him over, but it absolutely makes him more volatile.Usually, with so many people always making references in their posts about passing "the eyeball test", It surprises me some that people doubt Tamme is the guy here. After all, we have seen him with our eyeballs playing with Manning.Also, for the few people here trying to play down the factor of Manning and Tamme having chemistry, I think you're WAY under estimating the value of that. Look at the Eagles last year: Talent is talent, but production does not occur until you have chemistry. Anyone who has followed manning in his career knows very well the stories of his meticulous preparation. It is what made Harrison and Wayne so good. Their trustworthiness to Manning allowed him to rely on them...to be in exactly the right place and run the right route and, simply, be there when it mattered. When Manning wants to move the chains or get that 6 yards on a third down, he's bringing that ball out quickly and tamme is a prime option every time because he's NOT going to be the blocking TE (so, he's going to be in an active route) and he meets all the previous criteria.
You're right. The simplest answer is always right. Please, people, don't bother to do anything real thinking or analysis. The answer is always right there on the surface waiting for you. Those fools in the minority are clearly missing that half a season's worth of chemistry is more valuable than talent and a complete game.I mean, after all, who needs a complete game? Blocking is for offensive linemen only. We all know that Manning does not like to audible so it makes sense that he'd want a one dimensional player in the game. I'm sure he'd hate to have the option of changing the play from a running play or max protect to a play in which he can pass to his TE. He'll probably never do that.Also, for the few people here trying to play down the factor of Manning and Tamme having chemistry, I think you're WAY under estimating the value of that.
Are you capable of posting without being a complete dbag? I ask because I haven't seen it yet.You seem to occasionally have something to add, but I'm guessing you eliminate half or more of your audience with this garbage.You're right. The simplest answer is always right. Please, people, don't bother to do anything real thinking or analysis. The answer is always right there on the surface waiting for you. Those fools in the minority are clearly missing that half a season's worth of chemistry is more valuable than talent and a complete game.I mean, after all, who needs a complete game? Blocking is for offensive linemen only. We all know that Manning does not like to audible so it makes sense that he'd want a one dimensional player in the game. I'm sure he'd hate to have the option of changing the play from a running play or max protect to a play in which he can pass to his TE. He'll probably never do that.Also, for the few people here trying to play down the factor of Manning and Tamme having chemistry, I think you're WAY under estimating the value of that.
The point being made is there are better ways to make your point than how you have. Dreesen having a meaningful role doesn't surprise me, it's why he was signed on. I'm surprised he's being penciled in above Tamme, but because of the lack of alternatives behind them and the type of offense the Broncos run I'm not concerned with Tamme losing snaps and targets - yet. All that's changed this offseason is Dreesen has earned more snaps among the heap of marginal WR's in camp. More concerned, a little yeah, it's why I have backup plan's in case he continues his shaky August play. I put more stock in actual season play than August though, a couple of good games out of the gate and we forget about the down August quickly. A couple of bad games and diminished playing time and hello waiver wire.Are people in the SP capable of actual analysis or am I going to continue to be disappointed by hearing news of a more talented player being named #1 on the depth chart discounted based solely on silly crap like half a season's worth of chemistry?It's like this place wants to promote group think so that everyone can feel right rather than consider non-consensus opinions. It's dumb and irritating. So sometimes I'm going to break out some sarcasm to make a point. Ignore my point and call me a dbag if it makes you feel good. Fact is, I pointed out that Tamme wasn't anything special over a month ago and was met with the same lame crap argument. Now that Denver has actually named Dreessen the starter the SP is still too stubborn to change its tune.
I'm not sure why some posters believe that talking down to the Shark Pool masses somehow makes them look bigger or better. It doesn't make their points any more meaningful, and it doesn't make them look smarter. All it does is make them look like they are incapable of interacting civilly on a message board.At least for me, I can't remember being undecided on a given debate, such as this one on Dreessen and Tamme, sifting through numerous posts, some detailed others not, some looking at player history, others projecting what may change with the upcoming season, but all of it still leaving me fairly ambivalent. But then, because someone rips the intelligence of the shark pool because everyone isn't agreeing with them, I realize, oh, of course I should think the way that poster does. To disagree with him obviously makes me stupid.Maybe, just maybe, if someone with a long history of respectful debate suddenly goes ballistic, it could make a point. However, for FF Ninja, this is the second time just today that insult has replaced content as the main thrust of an argument, and that proves nothing, except perhaps that FF Ninja does not actually have any more meaningful content to add to the discussion.For what it's worth, I'm on FF Ninja's side on this issue. I might take Dreessen before Tamme in a draft, in particular if it's non-PPR and especially if it's TD-heavy. Given the significantly different ADP, my play is purely Dreessen.Something I learned a long time ago is that people who are truly smart don't need to tell everyone how smart they are, because everyone else can figure that out for themselves. Certainly that applies here in the Shark Pool. Nearly all of the truly informative and insightful posters aren't trying to impress everyone with how smart they are. They just share their thoughts.The point being made is there are better ways to make your point than how you have.Are people in the SP capable of actual analysis or am I going to continue to be disappointed by hearing news of a more talented player being named #1 on the depth chart discounted based solely on silly crap like half a season's worth of chemistry?It's like this place wants to promote group think so that everyone can feel right rather than consider non-consensus opinions. It's dumb and irritating. So sometimes I'm going to break out some sarcasm to make a point. Ignore my point and call me a dbag if it makes you feel good. Fact is, I pointed out that Tamme wasn't anything special over a month ago and was met with the same lame crap argument. Now that Denver has actually named Dreessen the starter the SP is still too stubborn to change its tune.
I rip the intelligence of the SP because NOTHING has been added to the discussion on the Tamme side of the debate other than his half year of chemistry. And I've said before, I'm not drafting either one of them, so I don't really care if people agree with me or not. It is just disheartening that this is as good as the SP gets.'The Jerk said:At least for me, I can't remember being undecided on a given debate, such as this one on Dreessen and Tamme, sifting through numerous posts, some detailed others not, some looking at player history, others projecting what may change with the upcoming season, but all of it still leaving me fairly ambivalent. But then, because someone rips the intelligence of the shark pool because everyone isn't agreeing with them, I realize, oh, of course I should think the way that poster does. To disagree with him obviously makes me stupid.
Again, there has been zero meaningful content added to the Tamme argument. My meaningful content has been quickly dismissed because it can't hold a candle to the Manning-Tamme chemistry.'The Jerk said:Maybe, just maybe, if someone with a long history of respectful debate suddenly goes ballistic, it could make a point. However, for FF Ninja, this is the second time just today that insult has replaced content as the main thrust of an argument, and that proves nothing, except perhaps that FF Ninja does not actually have any more meaningful content to add to the discussion.
'The Jerk said:For what it's worth, I'm on FF Ninja's side on this issue. I might take Dreessen before Tamme in a draft, in particular if it's non-PPR and especially if it's TD-heavy. Given the significantly different ADP, my play is purely Dreessen.
Something I learned a long time ago is that people who are truly smart don't need to tell everyone how smart they are, because everyone else can figure that out for themselves. Certainly that applies here in the Shark Pool. Nearly all of the truly informative and insightful posters aren't trying to impress everyone with how smart they are. They just share their thoughts.
For both of these quotes (the second being cut and pasted from the top of your post) I will honestly tell you I don't care about the reputation of my silly fake name on this board, nor do I care if people think "FF ninja" is smart. Lots of these people do care and I find it rather sad and pitiful. The only reputation I'd like is that people will know they need to bring stats and analysis rather than eyeball tests and gut feelings into player discussions or I will absolutely call them out. Luckily, there are people like you who will stick up and fight for them. Let the stupid points continue to rule the SP! All hail group think!Fun facts from the earlier TE thread:'The Jerk said:I'm not sure why some posters believe that talking down to the Shark Pool masses somehow makes them look bigger or better. It doesn't make their points any more meaningful, and it doesn't make them look smarter. All it does is make them look like they are incapable of interacting civilly on a message board.
Again, I've never said you should target either one of these guys. I just think Tamme has been getting way overdrafted (TE10) on nothing more than the notion that his chemistry with Manning is going to win him the job. Granted, I've had the advantage of being in Houston so I was forced to pay closer attention to Dreessen and hear about him on the local radio but it is frustrating to feel like you are casting pearls before swine. I've got nothing to gain here. Just trying to do my part in the SP. In this case share that Tamme has some serious competition and isn't worth drafting when Olsen and Daniels are still on the board, only to have my case for Dreessen immediately thrown out because obviously Tamme and his 9.0 ypr is the clear #1 on the Broncos because he's got chemistry.over the past four years Dreessen has dropped four passes out of his 134 targets, that's a drop rate of less than 3%. He's also a much better red zone option than anyone the Broncos have had since Daniel Graham in 2008. Over the past three seasons he has 11 touchdowns, six of those came last season. Oh and did I mention only one fumble in that same time period. His large size and decent speed especially make him valuable in deep seam routes where he can exploit the defense's zone coverage, something that plays exactly into the strength of Manning's game. He also has a very good yards per reception with 12.4.
I'm not being a "tool". To me, the shark pool is full of tools. People who don't know what they're talking about, speaking authoritatively in the hopes of convincing the totally uninformed masses into agreeing with them and making them feel good. Or the guys who jump into a discussion just to say that they picked the guy up in a draft or that they just traded for the player and then adding NOTHING. Or people talking about watching every snap in college and promising he's going to be a stud. Me? I'm being elitist. Do your homework or don't post. If you post crap, I'm calling it out - nicely at first. I'm not looking to get into a flame contest with anyone. I just want to clear out the BS in here. I'm actually a pretty busy guy and I'm tired of sorting through utter crapola. I don't like to be the bad guy. But someone's got to say something from time to time. Worthless info runs rampant here. If more people discouraged it, this place would turn into a good information/analysis haven instead of a place full of braggarts and blowhards.Maybe you could be a little less than a tool, FFNinja -- it's not the info you're conveying, it's the way you're conveying it. Maybe check out the pinned thread about being excellent to one another.
I find it telling that most of the people in these forums that have a tendency to criticize people for not presenting a certian thing are the people that are most likely to do that very thing. You come on here and say multiple times how you will respond to people who don't offer actual analysis and reason, yet your only input is a series of one-liner sarcastic remarks and smiley faces with the eyes rolling.Your information was there for you to consider: you just failed to comprehend it. Others have offered lots of info also, but, just to use my own post as example, I gave you an entire paragraph of reasons. You just missed it. Granted, a lot of my responses in these forums are more intangible, team philosophical, and planning instead of a number I googled out of a box score. But if you want a number, how about you, yourself, bringing something to the table to analyze that can contradict the FACT that Tamme and Manning have been very productive together and try to take into account that the fact that they have been on the same team together and worked together accounts for something. Just because you don't get fantasy points for something doesn't mean it doesn't impact the end-result. There are a good number of posters in the forums right now, unfortunately, that are similar to you. They are people that want to make the news instead of report it. You want the chaos and the drama of a cat fight instead of the "boring" real information. You have the desire to speak and be noticed instead of being willing to read and listen and learn. You want everything in a nice little boxscore where you can point to a number instead of actually taking the time to THINK and analyze (the very thing you criticize). But what you don't understand is the boxscore is only the fantasy aspect of it. And its simply a history record. That's not how things pan out in the future. If they were, there would be no point in playing this game because we would already know the results, if we didn't have to think about how changes affect the future.I've watched both these TE's and their teams for a lot of years now and I've watched what the Broncos are doing. I don't get caught up in pre-season because I understand that what they are doing in pre-season isn't centered around making your fantasy team happy. Maroney looked good in a pre-season once, ya know? If Dreesen and Tamme both stay healthy and Dreesen is the guy, then by all means, please come back and bump this post and claim your gift card for your 15 minutes. But if he doesn't, please come back and re-read what some people have been trying to point out to you and take that 15 minutes to learn something.You're right. The simplest answer is always right. Please, people, don't bother to do anything real thinking or analysis. The answer is always right there on the surface waiting for you. Those fools in the minority are clearly missing that half a season's worth of chemistry is more valuable than talent and a complete game.I mean, after all, who needs a complete game? Blocking is for offensive linemen only. We all know that Manning does not like to audible so it makes sense that he'd want a one dimensional player in the game. I'm sure he'd hate to have the option of changing the play from a running play or max protect to a play in which he can pass to his TE. He'll probably never do that.Also, for the few people here trying to play down the factor of Manning and Tamme having chemistry, I think you're WAY under estimating the value of that.
Its real nice that you wondered into town here sheriff and volunteered to clean up the joint but there is a real danger in attention-seeking individuals that wonder into places trying to make the forums what they want it to be instead of just coming in and being a part of what it is. If you want to make a change, do it constructively; if you have something to offer, people will eventually see it and respond to it. And if you like what the forums are or becomes, then stay. And if you don't like it, then leave. Unless you have another agenda, why WOULD a person join something that they basically use every post they post to state all its faults.I'm not being a "tool". To me, the shark pool is full of tools. People who don't know what they're talking about, speaking authoritatively in the hopes of convincing the totally uninformed masses into agreeing with them and making them feel good. Or the guys who jump into a discussion just to say that they picked the guy up in a draft or that they just traded for the player and then adding NOTHING. Or people talking about watching every snap in college and promising he's going to be a stud. Me? I'm being elitist. Do your homework or don't post. If you post crap, I'm calling it out - nicely at first. I'm not looking to get into a flame contest with anyone. I just want to clear out the BS in here. I'm actually a pretty busy guy and I'm tired of sorting through utter crapola. I don't like to be the bad guy. But someone's got to say something from time to time. Worthless info runs rampant here. If more people discouraged it, this place would turn into a good information/analysis haven instead of a place full of braggarts and blowhards.Maybe you could be a little less than a tool, FFNinja -- it's not the info you're conveying, it's the way you're conveying it. Maybe check out the pinned thread about being excellent to one another.
I've never claimed Dreessen was better than Daniels. If you want to look at it from that angle, how did Tamme do while Dallas Clark was healthy in 2010? Oh, that's right. He didn't get a single target. In 2009, he saw 10 targets while playing in 16 games - the 4th most for a TE on the team despite #2 and #3 only playing 3 and 13 games. In 2011, he warranted 31 targets (Dallas Clark missed 5 games). In the last 3 years, the Texans have passed the ball an average of 544 times. The Colts an average of 604 times.you want some stats:
Dreessen has been in the league for 6 years. over that time, he has never had more than 40 receptions, and more than 30 just once. In his best year, he averaged 3.2 receptions per start which pro-rates to 53 in a 16 game season. Owen Daniels, on the other hand, is the same age and played in the exact same situation, being teammates w/ Dreessen for the last 5 years. over that span (2007-2011), Daniels worst season he averaged 3.6 rec/start, which pro-rates to 57 receptions in a 16 game season.
Therefore, we can conclude that by looking at past history, Dreessen's team has not looked to him to be the "move" TE.
Tamme, on the other hand, averaged 8.4 rec/start the last time he played on a team that wasn't completely inept...coincidentally, with the same QB he has in Denver. 8.4 receptions/start pro-rates to 134 per season. If we wanted to include last season, Tamme averaged 3.8 receptions per start, which pro-rates to 61 over a 16 game season... still better than Dreessen's best year.
looking at the past data, it's tough to justify Dreessen > Tamme.
Of course, that's strictly looking backwards and things are completely different now...both players are on a new team, so all stats have little value. Nothing else really can be brought to the table besides eyebell tests and gut feel.
I think you mean "wander".The value in the SP is in finding contrarian opinions. I prefer the spotlights. They are usually the most information dense threads. I like to read other people's takes on players as well as post mine - both to share my analysis and conclusions and to hear people possibly take another side and show me an angle I had not yet considered.Its real nice that you wondered into town here sheriff and volunteered to clean up the joint but there is a real danger in attention-seeking individuals that wonder into places trying to make the forums what they want it to be instead of just coming in and being a part of what it is. If you want to make a change, do it constructively; if you have something to offer, people will eventually see it and respond to it. And if you like what the forums are or becomes, then stay. And if you don't like it, then leave. Unless you have another agenda, why WOULD a person join something that they basically use every post they post to state all its faults.I'm not being a "tool". To me, the shark pool is full of tools. People who don't know what they're talking about, speaking authoritatively in the hopes of convincing the totally uninformed masses into agreeing with them and making them feel good. Or the guys who jump into a discussion just to say that they picked the guy up in a draft or that they just traded for the player and then adding NOTHING. Or people talking about watching every snap in college and promising he's going to be a stud. Me? I'm being elitist. Do your homework or don't post. If you post crap, I'm calling it out - nicely at first. I'm not looking to get into a flame contest with anyone. I just want to clear out the BS in here. I'm actually a pretty busy guy and I'm tired of sorting through utter crapola. I don't like to be the bad guy. But someone's got to say something from time to time. Worthless info runs rampant here. If more people discouraged it, this place would turn into a good information/analysis haven instead of a place full of braggarts and blowhards.Maybe you could be a little less than a tool, FFNinja -- it's not the info you're conveying, it's the way you're conveying it. Maybe check out the pinned thread about being excellent to one another.
That type of behavior doesn't work in most relationships, real or virtual and I don't think it will work well here because I doubt most of us here are girls with daddy issues seeking an abusive relationship of some guy with a superiority complex.
You did a top-notch job of cutting and pasting my quotes, but on the comprehension side, not so much. There is a fairly sizable difference between being a poster that will "stick up and fight for them" as you claim, and pointing out that some of your comments -- in my opinion, to be clear -- are unnecessarily offensive and belittling, while simultaneously being no more effective for the effort.Once more, let me state that I am on your side on this issue, both in the specific (Dreessen/Tamme) and the general, concerning analysis. Assuming someone's post history is still available to be searched (I haven't done that in a long time), you can find countless statistical analyses of mine that emphasize numbers as a large part of FF preparation. More in the deeper past, as I've had less time the past few years. Yet even today, I was analyzing Malcom Floyd's numbers on a per game basis elsewhere in the Shark Pool. I may not be as rigid as you when it comes to looking at only numbers, but suffice it to say we have a lot in common.Where we apparently differ most significantly is in how we value discourse and etiquette in the Shark Pool. I've had my moments, to be sure, but I can see from others posts that I'm not the only one who finds your consistent level of anger and condescension to be unhelpful to your cause. And really, it's our cause, as we all have a stake in the Shark Pool.Feel free to have the last word, as I'm sure you'll be unable to contain yourself. I hoped I was wrong, but apparently I learned all I need to know about your attitude when you statedThe only reputation I'd like is that people will know they need to bring stats and analysis rather than eyeball tests and gut feelings into player discussions or I will absolutely call them out. Luckily, there are people like you who will stick up and fight for them. Let the stupid points continue to rule the SP! All hail group think!
Apparently, you genuinely cannot understand why some people think differently from you, that they may be able to contextualize differently from you (i.e., that smaller leagues can present a different, but possibly equal and sometimes even superior challenge, depending on your experience), and that they may come to conclusions in a different way than you. Have you considered that numbers cannot explain everything in fantasy football? Can you at least acknowledge that chemistry can be a factor, even if only a minor one? Finally, have you noticed that while a lot of us cannot agree on the value of Tamme vs. the value of Dreessen (considering their relative ADP), one thing we are in easy agreement on is that we dislike the arrogant tone of your posts?I'm guessing that you don't like to be faced with people who think differently from you. Where you seem threatened or at least annoyed by people who think differently from you, I am fascinated by them and wonder what I can learn from them. I'm going to guess that most of these Shark Pool sheep as you call them are pretty successful at FF. Some of them, dare I say it, may even be better than you. Even if they're not, what makes FF interesting is that we all don't think the same way. If we all thought the same way, then there would be no variety at all. Every league and draft would become the same boring exercise. The fact that there is variety in FF is one of its best qualities. While you may disagree, I think the same can be said for the Shark Pool.informed fantasy football players look down on these small league/short bench formats.
Dreesen didn't block as much last year because both Owen and Andre missed games. He wasn't retained in large part because the Texans wanted to expand the role of James Casey and they acquired several WR's so they wouldn't have to go so TE-heavy in case Andre misses games again.I think the fundamental difference I think you're missing in Tamme vs. Olsen vs. Daniels vs. other lower end TE's is upside. Tamme has it, the others don't. Best case scenario for an Olsen or Owen is top 7, 8-ish finish imho. We have a good idea of what to expect out of them and what we can find on waivers in standard leagues in a pinch in-season isn't much lower. Roll the dice on a guy like Tamme that has the ability and situation to be top 5 at a backup price and if he doesn't pan out dive in the well and dig up an inuninteresting vet is a formidable strategy. In deeper leagues Tamme drafters should have backed up their risky pick, I did with Rudolph (and Moeaki in another very deep league) - guys that I think have similar physical and opportunity upside.I've never claimed Dreessen was better than Daniels. If you want to look at it from that angle, how did Tamme do while Dallas Clark was healthy in 2010? Oh, that's right. He didn't get a single target. In 2009, he saw 10 targets while playing in 16 games - the 4th most for a TE on the team despite #2 and #3 only playing 3 and 13 games. In 2011, he warranted 31 targets (Dallas Clark missed 5 games). In the last 3 years, the Texans have passed the ball an average of 544 times. The Colts an average of 604 times.you want some stats:
Dreessen has been in the league for 6 years. over that time, he has never had more than 40 receptions, and more than 30 just once. In his best year, he averaged 3.2 receptions per start which pro-rates to 53 in a 16 game season. Owen Daniels, on the other hand, is the same age and played in the exact same situation, being teammates w/ Dreessen for the last 5 years. over that span (2007-2011), Daniels worst season he averaged 3.6 rec/start, which pro-rates to 57 receptions in a 16 game season.
Therefore, we can conclude that by looking at past history, Dreessen's team has not looked to him to be the "move" TE.
Tamme, on the other hand, averaged 8.4 rec/start the last time he played on a team that wasn't completely inept...coincidentally, with the same QB he has in Denver. 8.4 receptions/start pro-rates to 134 per season. If we wanted to include last season, Tamme averaged 3.8 receptions per start, which pro-rates to 61 over a 16 game season... still better than Dreessen's best year.
looking at the past data, it's tough to justify Dreessen > Tamme.
Of course, that's strictly looking backwards and things are completely different now...both players are on a new team, so all stats have little value. Nothing else really can be brought to the table besides eyebell tests and gut feel.
Dreessen averages 12.4 ypr while Tamme dwindles at 9.0 ypr. I don't know Tamme's drop numbers, but Dreessen's 3% is very solid. Dreessen was only asked to block on 30% of Houston passing plays, so he clearly wasn't a one trick pony. And seriously, I'm not trying to make a case for Dreessen >> Tamme, just that Tamme isn't worth a TE10 pick. This discussion originated in a TE value play thread I started. I was saying Tamme is a pretty clear pass at TE10 while guys like Daniels and Olsen have much lower ADPs, but other people chimed in saying Tamme was a great pick if you miss out on the early TEs and the only reason why? You guessed it, chemistry. And now that Dreessen has been named the starter people are still on the Tamme bandwagon, still beating the chemistry drum. I'll get called out if I question the SP, but this just doesn't seem shark-like.
I find it telling that most of the people in these forums that have a tendency to criticize people for not presenting a certian thing are the people that are most likely to do that very thing.
You come on here and say multiple times how you will respond to people who don't offer actual analysis and reason, yet your only input is a series of one-liner sarcastic remarks and smiley faces with the eyes rolling.
False. That was certainly not my only input. I posted a link prior to that which was to my previous thread about TEs in which I had already lined out why Tamme's chemistry was being way overvalued and Dreessen was being overlooked. Plus, I was one of those "few people" you were replying to who don't value Tamme's half season of chemistry.
Your information was there for you to consider: you just failed to comprehend it. Others have offered lots of info also, but, just to use my own post as example, I gave you an entire paragraph of reasons. You just missed it. Granted, a lot of my responses in these forums are more intangible, team philosophical, and planning instead of a number I googled out of a box score. But if you want a number, how about you, yourself, bringing something to the table to analyze that can contradict the FACT that Tamme and Manning have been very productive together and try to take into account that the fact that they have been on the same team together and worked together accounts for something. Just because you don't get fantasy points for something doesn't mean it doesn't impact the end-result.
Haha, no you didn't. Go back and read it. Nothing of value in there.
There are a good number of posters in the forums right now, unfortunately, that are similar to you. They are people that want to make the news instead of report it. You want the chaos and the drama of a cat fight instead of the "boring" real information. You have the desire to speak and be noticed instead of being willing to read and listen and learn. You want everything in a nice little boxscore where you can point to a number instead of actually taking the time to THINK and analyze (the very thing you criticize). But what you don't understand is the boxscore is only the fantasy aspect of it. And its simply a history record. That's not how things pan out in the future. If they were, there would be no point in playing this game because we would already know the results, if we didn't have to think about how changes affect the future.
Yes, I've heard this same argument many times before. Those of us that like logic and analysis instead of eyeball tests and gut feelings are clearly just box score stat junkies. I'm definitely down to listen and learn but I've got nothing to learn from the likes of you. You're too busy posting about things you value like chemistry and ignoring "box score stats" and information like drop %, ypr, blocking ability. I don't even think chemistry has no value, just that there's a LOT more to this situation than that. As for your bit about drama and being noticed, you couldn't be more wrong. I just want good discussion rather than people dismissing depth charts and analysis based on their own feeling that chemistry is far and away the most important factor here...
I've watched both these TE's and their teams for a lot of years now and I've watched what the Broncos are doing. I don't get caught up in pre-season because I understand that what they are doing in pre-season isn't centered around making your fantasy team happy. Maroney looked good in a pre-season once, ya know?
I 100% agree that one shouldn't look into the preseason too much, but Dreessen had never played with Manning before. The fact that he's earned the job for week 1 just might indicate that he's proved his worth or maybe even developed some chemistry with his QB - just like everyone is supposed to do in the offseason/preseason.
If Dreesen and Tamme both stay healthy and Dreesen is the guy, then by all means, please come back and bump this post and claim your gift card for your 15 minutes. But if he doesn't, please come back and re-read what some people have been trying to point out to you and take that 15 minutes to learn something.
One last time, I'm just saying Tamme and his chemistry will be a bust at TE10 for reasons already stated. I'm not recommending either TE, although with Dreessen being named the starter he does become a sleeper in large roster leagues.
Today is 9/5/2012. The regular season starts tonight. I'd wager 95% of all drafts are complete. ADP is now irrelevant. Who cares where so and so was drafted? What's important right now is this: is Tamme a good play? Is Dreessen a good play? That's where the focus should be. If Dreessen > Tamme and you drafted Tamme as TE9, cut him and get Dreessen ASAP.RE: Owen Daniels - the point I was trying to make is that Dreessen has made a career out of being a blocking TE, as opposed to a consistent down-field threat (The fact that he stays in to block 30% of the time (your data) is a little high, don't you think? I wonder how that compares to say, Vernon Davis0. Tamme, on the other hand, seemed to always be a 2nd string "move" TE, behind Clark. Yes, Tamme never got stats while Clark was healthy...he was the back-up. Dreessen did get stats when Daniels was healthy because they had different roles on that offense.I've never claimed Dreessen was better than Daniels. If you want to look at it from that angle, how did Tamme do while Dallas Clark was healthy in 2010? Oh, that's right. He didn't get a single target. In 2009, he saw 10 targets while playing in 16 games - the 4th most for a TE on the team despite #2 and #3 only playing 3 and 13 games. In 2011, he warranted 31 targets (Dallas Clark missed 5 games). In the last 3 years, the Texans have passed the ball an average of 544 times. The Colts an average of 604 times.you want some stats:
Dreessen has been in the league for 6 years. over that time, he has never had more than 40 receptions, and more than 30 just once. In his best year, he averaged 3.2 receptions per start which pro-rates to 53 in a 16 game season. Owen Daniels, on the other hand, is the same age and played in the exact same situation, being teammates w/ Dreessen for the last 5 years. over that span (2007-2011), Daniels worst season he averaged 3.6 rec/start, which pro-rates to 57 receptions in a 16 game season.
Therefore, we can conclude that by looking at past history, Dreessen's team has not looked to him to be the "move" TE.
Tamme, on the other hand, averaged 8.4 rec/start the last time he played on a team that wasn't completely inept...coincidentally, with the same QB he has in Denver. 8.4 receptions/start pro-rates to 134 per season. If we wanted to include last season, Tamme averaged 3.8 receptions per start, which pro-rates to 61 over a 16 game season... still better than Dreessen's best year.
looking at the past data, it's tough to justify Dreessen > Tamme.
Of course, that's strictly looking backwards and things are completely different now...both players are on a new team, so all stats have little value. Nothing else really can be brought to the table besides eyebell tests and gut feel.
Dreessen averages 12.4 ypr while Tamme dwindles at 9.0 ypr. I don't know Tamme's drop numbers, but Dreessen's 3% is very solid. Dreessen was only asked to block on 30% of Houston passing plays, so he clearly wasn't a one trick pony. And seriously, I'm not trying to make a case for Dreessen >> Tamme, just that Tamme isn't worth a TE10 pick. This discussion originated in a TE value play thread I started. I was saying Tamme is a pretty clear pass at TE10 while guys like Daniels and Olsen have much lower ADPs, but other people chimed in saying Tamme was a great pick if you miss out on the early TEs and the only reason why? You guessed it, chemistry. And now that Dreessen has been named the starter people are still on the Tamme bandwagon, still beating the chemistry drum. I'll get called out if I question the SP, but this just doesn't seem shark-like.
I didn't include the whole quote bc there's not much to say about the other part. I will say I'm not as rigid about numbers as you may think. I do like to use them as a starting point, though. And you did not need to re-state it. I read you the first time you said you agreed on this TE debate and the logic/numbers approach.And I think I put it in another post, but I actually come here for analysis and differing opinions. I try to come into every offseason with a clean slate on every player but I still typically have a few favorites. I haven't been talked out of a player that I liked yet (only really loved Mathews, Lynch, Lloyd, Hillis coming into this season) but I've definitely been talked into a few that I had neutral or undecided opinions on.So I don't feel the least bit threatened by differing opinions and takes on situations. They are 90% of the reason I come here (10% for news/articles). I just get sick of seeing people who think they are clever refute a side of a debate with a one line quip (he's a quitter, he's a plodder). I'd like to see well thought out responses on both sides. In this thread it wasn't quite that exaggerated, but shutout definitely dropped a pretty worthless point like it was some sort of iron clad argument combined with a paragraph of nothing and then revealed that he really believes there were some gems in there afterwards.And yes, I'll absolutely agree that chemistry is a factor. If Tamme = Dreessen in all areas then yes, chemistry would be the deciding factor.I also seriously doubt these sheep are all that successful (did I really use the word sheep before?). The "I drafted with guppies and look how awesome my team is LOL" threads show you the result of these arrogant uninformed posters' research on these boards. Not so good.We can talk about small leagues, short rosters, 2WR/2RB lineups, roster restrictions, etc. on PM if you want. They are definitely harder to win because they eliminate a large advantage well prepared drafters typically have. I guess I may have been a bit strong on that one. I should have said, if you hate doing offseason/preseason research and just want to set lineups and play the waiver wire like crazy then small leagues/short rosters are great.Apparently, you genuinely cannot understand why some people think differently from you, that they may be able to contextualize differently from you (i.e., that smaller leagues can present a different, but possibly equal and sometimes even superior challenge, depending on your experience), and that they may come to conclusions in a different way than you. Have you considered that numbers cannot explain everything in fantasy football? Can you at least acknowledge that chemistry can be a factor, even if only a minor one? Finally, have you noticed that while a lot of us cannot agree on the value of Tamme vs. the value of Dreessen (considering their relative ADP), one thing we are in easy agreement on is that we dislike the arrogant tone of your posts?I'm guessing that you don't like to be faced with people who think differently from you. Where you seem threatened or at least annoyed by people who think differently from you, I am fascinated by them and wonder what I can learn from them. I'm going to guess that most of these Shark Pool sheep as you call them are pretty successful at FF. Some of them, dare I say it, may even be better than you. Even if they're not, what makes FF interesting is that we all don't think the same way. If we all thought the same way, then there would be no variety at all. Every league and draft would become the same boring exercise. The fact that there is variety in FF is one of its best qualities. While you may disagree, I think the same can be said for the Shark Pool.
Agreed completely, the bigger the roster, the bigger the edge.18-20 man rosters forever imo.I should have said, if you hate doing offseason/preseason research and just want to set lineups and play the waiver wire like crazy then small leagues/short rosters are great.
Like I said, flag this thread and sit back and watch and then you WILL have something you could have learned from "the likes of me". I very rarely argue for or against "boxscores" and stats. I think all things have a value but my point is there ARE other factors to consider and just because you choose to ignore them doesn't make them any less important.I find it telling that most of the people in these forums that have a tendency to criticize people for not presenting a certian thing are the people that are most likely to do that very thing.
You come on here and say multiple times how you will respond to people who don't offer actual analysis and reason, yet your only input is a series of one-liner sarcastic remarks and smiley faces with the eyes rolling.
False. That was certainly not my only input. I posted a link prior to that which was to my previous thread about TEs in which I had already lined out why Tamme's chemistry was being way overvalued and Dreessen was being overlooked. Plus, I was one of those "few people" you were replying to who don't value Tamme's half season of chemistry.
Your information was there for you to consider: you just failed to comprehend it. Others have offered lots of info also, but, just to use my own post as example, I gave you an entire paragraph of reasons. You just missed it. Granted, a lot of my responses in these forums are more intangible, team philosophical, and planning instead of a number I googled out of a box score. But if you want a number, how about you, yourself, bringing something to the table to analyze that can contradict the FACT that Tamme and Manning have been very productive together and try to take into account that the fact that they have been on the same team together and worked together accounts for something. Just because you don't get fantasy points for something doesn't mean it doesn't impact the end-result.
Haha, no you didn't. Go back and read it. Nothing of value in there.
There are a good number of posters in the forums right now, unfortunately, that are similar to you. They are people that want to make the news instead of report it. You want the chaos and the drama of a cat fight instead of the "boring" real information. You have the desire to speak and be noticed instead of being willing to read and listen and learn. You want everything in a nice little boxscore where you can point to a number instead of actually taking the time to THINK and analyze (the very thing you criticize). But what you don't understand is the boxscore is only the fantasy aspect of it. And its simply a history record. That's not how things pan out in the future. If they were, there would be no point in playing this game because we would already know the results, if we didn't have to think about how changes affect the future.
Yes, I've heard this same argument many times before. Those of us that like logic and analysis instead of eyeball tests and gut feelings are clearly just box score stat junkies. I'm definitely down to listen and learn but I've got nothing to learn from the likes of you. You're too busy posting about things you value like chemistry and ignoring "box score stats" and information like drop %, ypr, blocking ability. I don't even think chemistry has no value, just that there's a LOT more to this situation than that. As for your bit about drama and being noticed, you couldn't be more wrong. I just want good discussion rather than people dismissing depth charts and analysis based on their own feeling that chemistry is far and away the most important factor here...
I've watched both these TE's and their teams for a lot of years now and I've watched what the Broncos are doing. I don't get caught up in pre-season because I understand that what they are doing in pre-season isn't centered around making your fantasy team happy. Maroney looked good in a pre-season once, ya know?
I 100% agree that one shouldn't look into the preseason too much, but Dreessen had never played with Manning before. The fact that he's earned the job for week 1 just might indicate that he's proved his worth or maybe even developed some chemistry with his QB - just like everyone is supposed to do in the offseason/preseason.
If Dreesen and Tamme both stay healthy and Dreesen is the guy, then by all means, please come back and bump this post and claim your gift card for your 15 minutes. But if he doesn't, please come back and re-read what some people have been trying to point out to you and take that 15 minutes to learn something.
One last time, I'm just saying Tamme and his chemistry will be a bust at TE10 for reasons already stated. I'm not recommending either TE, although with Dreessen being named the starter he does become a sleeper in large roster leagues.
Nope..meant it exactly as written. Wonder-as a verb: Desire or be curious to know something. Thought it was fitting in this instance.I think you mean "wander".The value in the SP is in finding contrarian opinions. I prefer the spotlights. They are usually the most information dense threads. I like to read other people's takes on players as well as post mine - both to share my analysis and conclusions and to hear people possibly take another side and show me an angle I had not yet considered.Its real nice that you wondered into town here sheriff and volunteered to clean up the joint but there is a real danger in attention-seeking individuals that wonder into places trying to make the forums what they want it to be instead of just coming in and being a part of what it is. If you want to make a change, do it constructively; if you have something to offer, people will eventually see it and respond to it. And if you like what the forums are or becomes, then stay. And if you don't like it, then leave. Unless you have another agenda, why WOULD a person join something that they basically use every post they post to state all its faults.I'm not being a "tool". To me, the shark pool is full of tools. People who don't know what they're talking about, speaking authoritatively in the hopes of convincing the totally uninformed masses into agreeing with them and making them feel good. Or the guys who jump into a discussion just to say that they picked the guy up in a draft or that they just traded for the player and then adding NOTHING. Or people talking about watching every snap in college and promising he's going to be a stud. Me? I'm being elitist. Do your homework or don't post. If you post crap, I'm calling it out - nicely at first. I'm not looking to get into a flame contest with anyone. I just want to clear out the BS in here. I'm actually a pretty busy guy and I'm tired of sorting through utter crapola. I don't like to be the bad guy. But someone's got to say something from time to time. Worthless info runs rampant here. If more people discouraged it, this place would turn into a good information/analysis haven instead of a place full of braggarts and blowhards.Maybe you could be a little less than a tool, FFNinja -- it's not the info you're conveying, it's the way you're conveying it. Maybe check out the pinned thread about being excellent to one another.
That type of behavior doesn't work in most relationships, real or virtual and I don't think it will work well here because I doubt most of us here are girls with daddy issues seeking an abusive relationship of some guy with a superiority complex.
I think Reggie Wayne and Torrey Smith are two guys I wouldn't have drafted if not for reading some SP discussion on. We've all got guys in our blind spots and I use the SP as my parabolic mirror to see those blind spots. Unfortunately, the mirror is clouded with lots and lots of dust.
Click on the link to the original discussion in my first post of this thread. There is a nice article I pasted in there which details Dreessen's ability in pass blocking (7th best TE in the NFL), run blocking (3rd best TE in the NFL), and pass catching (<3% drops, 12.4 ypr). Despite the stats, the author thought at the time that Tamme would still be the primary TE. But the point I got out of the article was that Dreessen was a superior talent to Tamme in every phase of the game, so I'm not the least bit surprised Dreessen is listed as the week 1 starter. Articles are a good source of information, but independent thinking is always a good idea.Again, i'm still waiting for your actual "input" and "analysis". You keep advocating well thought-out conversations but all I'm seeing from you is a bunch of "HAHA...nuh-uh, I'm right and you're wrong" one-liners. I can get that from the pre-schoolers.
Hahahahaha! This is perfect. Everything makes so much sense now. If you are too stubborn to admit you screwed up when the error is obvious and impossible to deny, then OF COURSE no one can have a reasonable debate with you.Btw, you do you realize you used "wonder" instead of "wander" twice in that paragraph, right? It is an easily forgivable error, but stubbornly sticking to it and trying to pretend like you meant to do it... not making yourself look any smarter. You strike me as a fellow who really cares what people think about you on message boards so you might want to handle that differently in the future.Nope..meant it exactly as written. Wonder-as a verb: Desire or be curious to know something. Thought it was fitting in this instance.I think you mean "wander".The value in the SP is in finding contrarian opinions. I prefer the spotlights. They are usually the most information dense threads. I like to read other people's takes on players as well as post mine - both to share my analysis and conclusions and to hear people possibly take another side and show me an angle I had not yet considered.Its real nice that you wondered into town here sheriff and volunteered to clean up the joint but there is a real danger in attention-seeking individuals that wonder into places trying to make the forums what they want it to be instead of just coming in and being a part of what it is. If you want to make a change, do it constructively; if you have something to offer, people will eventually see it and respond to it. And if you like what the forums are or becomes, then stay. And if you don't like it, then leave.
Unless you have another agenda, why WOULD a person join something that they basically use every post they post to state all its faults.
That type of behavior doesn't work in most relationships, real or virtual and I don't think it will work well here because I doubt most of us here are girls with daddy issues seeking an abusive relationship of some guy with a superiority complex.
I think Reggie Wayne and Torrey Smith are two guys I wouldn't have drafted if not for reading some SP discussion on. We've all got guys in our blind spots and I use the SP as my parabolic mirror to see those blind spots. Unfortunately, the mirror is clouded with lots and lots of dust.
And I would be wrong.Seeing Tamme lined up in the slot a ton and getting lots of looks, plus a TD today.All signs THIS year point to Dressen being the guy.Since we are talking about this season, I'll go with Dressen.