In terms of Dynasty leagues, I'm struggling with how you value this guy.
FBGs rankings vary from 28-50 overall in dynasty.
1) Reggie Bush. If you believe Bush will help the offense, Deuce will be the one cashing in on the TDs. Deuce is a very good goal line runner, and while Bush might cut down on his carries (which might be a good thing) it probably also increases his TDs.
2) Brees/New HC. Again NO was a pretty bad team. Some solid QB play, better offensive system that favors RBs, most of this boost should go to Deuce.
3) ACL. Usually RBs struggle after an ACL. But Bush/Bennett/Brees/better offense should ease his burden, and as stated, he'll get the majority of the rushing TDs.
He's currently projected at RB30. NO would have to BOMB for him to get 6 tds. Bush/Brees/HC would all have to pretty much tank. I don't see NO being in bottom 1/4 offensively.
Back to dynasty. If Bush gets a huge deal, can they really keep Deuce next year? His contract is fairly cap friendly, but it’s nothing to sneeze at. The Saints just have a ton of holes.
Lets say Deuce has a healthy year, joins a new team in 07. Wouldn't he be a lock for top 15? He'd be 28. When healthy, the guy produces, no questions. He seems like a guy who if he stays healthy in 2006, his value will explode if he joins a new team. Look at Taylor, totally unproven. Deuce is still pretty young.
And if they keep him in 2007, that probably means Bush struggled, and Deuce had a solid year. Again I don't see his value dropping because of that. If Bush gets better, Deuce gets more TDs. Then we have 2008/2009, where he's 29/30. Still should be very productive. This guy is a huge talent. Proven track record. Still very young.
In FBG dynasty RB rakings, you have 3 rookie RBs, KJ, JJ, DD, McGahee, Droughns, Jones, Taylor all ranked higher? Bunch of them have as much injury concerns, and 1/2 of them are 100% unproven. Seriously Droughns over Deuce in dynasty? Droughns might not even have a starting job in the NFL next year.
A lot of thing hinges on Deuce staying with NO. I'd like some feedback on that. But also the point that if he does walk, he's a top 15 pick in 2007 without question (assuming he stays healthy). And at 27, people have totally slept on this guy. Jamal Lewis stinks it up for TWO YEARS, and people still taking him in the top 20. Edge blew out a knee and has put up some monster numbers since. So the ACL isn’t a huge concern for me.
I just see a huge overreaction to Bush. If Bush is the next LT, Deuce is a free man. If Bush stinks, Deuce will be a top 15RB. It's no lose for Deuce. If Bush helps them move the ball up and down the field, Deuce will get 10-12 TDs in his sleep.
I must be missing something, because I don't see how this guy is RB24 in dynasty. Projecting ahead 3 years, Deuce if healthy, will be a top 15RB. And I don’t believe he has any more health concerns then 1/2 the RBs ranked ahead of him.
FBGs rankings vary from 28-50 overall in dynasty.
1) Reggie Bush. If you believe Bush will help the offense, Deuce will be the one cashing in on the TDs. Deuce is a very good goal line runner, and while Bush might cut down on his carries (which might be a good thing) it probably also increases his TDs.
2) Brees/New HC. Again NO was a pretty bad team. Some solid QB play, better offensive system that favors RBs, most of this boost should go to Deuce.
3) ACL. Usually RBs struggle after an ACL. But Bush/Bennett/Brees/better offense should ease his burden, and as stated, he'll get the majority of the rushing TDs.
He's currently projected at RB30. NO would have to BOMB for him to get 6 tds. Bush/Brees/HC would all have to pretty much tank. I don't see NO being in bottom 1/4 offensively.
Back to dynasty. If Bush gets a huge deal, can they really keep Deuce next year? His contract is fairly cap friendly, but it’s nothing to sneeze at. The Saints just have a ton of holes.
Lets say Deuce has a healthy year, joins a new team in 07. Wouldn't he be a lock for top 15? He'd be 28. When healthy, the guy produces, no questions. He seems like a guy who if he stays healthy in 2006, his value will explode if he joins a new team. Look at Taylor, totally unproven. Deuce is still pretty young.
And if they keep him in 2007, that probably means Bush struggled, and Deuce had a solid year. Again I don't see his value dropping because of that. If Bush gets better, Deuce gets more TDs. Then we have 2008/2009, where he's 29/30. Still should be very productive. This guy is a huge talent. Proven track record. Still very young.
In FBG dynasty RB rakings, you have 3 rookie RBs, KJ, JJ, DD, McGahee, Droughns, Jones, Taylor all ranked higher? Bunch of them have as much injury concerns, and 1/2 of them are 100% unproven. Seriously Droughns over Deuce in dynasty? Droughns might not even have a starting job in the NFL next year.
A lot of thing hinges on Deuce staying with NO. I'd like some feedback on that. But also the point that if he does walk, he's a top 15 pick in 2007 without question (assuming he stays healthy). And at 27, people have totally slept on this guy. Jamal Lewis stinks it up for TWO YEARS, and people still taking him in the top 20. Edge blew out a knee and has put up some monster numbers since. So the ACL isn’t a huge concern for me.
I just see a huge overreaction to Bush. If Bush is the next LT, Deuce is a free man. If Bush stinks, Deuce will be a top 15RB. It's no lose for Deuce. If Bush helps them move the ball up and down the field, Deuce will get 10-12 TDs in his sleep.
I must be missing something, because I don't see how this guy is RB24 in dynasty. Projecting ahead 3 years, Deuce if healthy, will be a top 15RB. And I don’t believe he has any more health concerns then 1/2 the RBs ranked ahead of him.
I'd be stunned if he even approached 1300 yds.
