Not to be a buzz kill to all the Warner freaks, but Kurt had a cupcake schedule when he put up those huge numbers. I think he'll be ok if he's healthy, but out of his 10 starts, he faced 3 teams that had reasonable pass defenses over his starts; Seattle, Washington and Tampa Bay. In those games he threw 5 TD's vs. 9 INT's. In the other 7 starts he faced 7 of the statistically worst 12 pass defenses from last year. In those games he threw 18 TD's vs. 7 INT's.
1) Against Seattle, Warner had 337 yards, 3 TDs, and 5 INTs. That's a pretty good day in a lot of leagues, even with the interceptions. Against Washington, he had 282 yards, 2 TDs, and 2 INTs. The only truely bad fantasy game he had all year was against Tampa (172/0/2).2) Last year, Warner started against San Francisco once (484 yards, 2 TDs, 2 INTs). He plays them twice this year.Washington once (282/2/2). He plays them again this year.St. Louis once (300/3/2). He plays them twice this year.Unfortunately he doesn't get to play against the AFC North again. Fortunately, though, he plays the AFC East instead. And if the Seattle game is so bad, you'll be glad to know he doesn't play them until week 17. The only real negative with Warner is his playoff schedule (STL, MIN, @NE). St. Louis certainly seems like a good matchup at this point. It's hard to say if Minnesota will be a bad passing matchup this year, or New England after losing their top corner in the offseason, but they're probably not great matchups. But even if you're scared of the matchups, Warner seems like a great guy to trade somewhere around a week 10 trading deadline, after he's blown up on STL and SF in back to back weeks.