Draft impact on current "starting RBs" (1 Viewer)

[switz]

Most drafts have NYJ, OAK, CAR, DAL taking an RB in the first round... and some have IND taking one in 2nd or 3rd. I included Addai only due to recent comments from some who seem to think his job is in danger of being taken.

Anyway, interested to see the impact the draft will have on some of these RB situations in the "mind" of the board.

Edited to make the title more specific

 

[bjlmonster]

Does LaMont Jordan have the starting job now???

 

[switz]

Does LaMont Jordan have the starting job now???

Good point... it's really Jordan/Fargas. Some believe Fargas is the starter, others feel Jordan would be if they didn't draft an RB...

 

[switz]

150 views, only 20 votes?

 

[Atomic Punk]

I mocked Stewart to Carolina because I just don't see the Panthers putting their playoff hopes (and beyond) on DWill. He appears to be the most likely to lose his job outright.

I ignored the Oak situation, since I don't think anyone currently "owns" the starting job. Fargas is the most likely to be a complementary back, if Oak drafts McFadden in round 1.

Addai's job is secure in my mind and they will only draft a RB for depth and insurance.

 

[Holland Freeze]

Jordan/Fargas/Bush has the most up in the air (especially if a RB is drafted). Jones would be next likely with NYJ in the market for drafting a RB but the fact that he does not have as much competition already on the team which was the deciding factor why I didn't go with him.

I did not vote for Marion Barber because I am not sure it will be a RBBC.

 

[jurb26]

Voted:

Jordan/Fargas for most likely to loose their starting job. Really I think this is a no brainer as who ever is/gets the starting job already has pretty much a 50/50 chance of loosing it because of the other one let alone what Bush or another rookie may add to that.

Barber for most likely to be a featured RB. He is the most talented guy on the list and Dal got rid of his competition for carries. Until I actually see Dal bring in a threat, I'm not buying that he will not get the lions share of the work.

Jones for most likely to share in a RBBC. I just think that role suites him well and NYJ already has Washington in the mix.

 

[Ack88]

1. Oakland will draft an RB on day #1. That rb has an even money chance of starting on opening day. Fargas will still get some carries. I don't trust Jordan at all and suspect he'll be the odd man out.

2. I think DMC doesn't get past the Jets at #6. He and Jones split carries, with DMC taking over in the first quarter of the season. Jones was a major dissapointment last season and there is no way DMCs talent and price tag keep him on the bench for long. By midyear DMC gets 70% of the carries.

3. Carolina takes Mendenhall and he takes the job from DWill. DWill still gets around 1/3 of the carries.

4. Dallas takes a RB in round 2 or 3. He splits carries with MBIII, with MBIII retaining the starting role.

The real difficulty with projecting RBs comes from the league wide trend of using RBBC. The cycle of having 20+ teams with clear, definitive starters getting 75%+ of the carries has turned the last two or three seasons, with the majority of teams choosing to spread the workload. RBs are not the slam dunk top picks they used to be, especially in ppr leagues.

 

[gianmarco]

Those of you thinking DWill is going to lose the starting job to a rookie RB drafted:

When Foster was outperforming Davis, S. Davis was still the primary back for 2 yrs.

When DWill was outperforming Foster, Foster was still the primary back for 2 yrs.

Over the last few years, the more inexperienced RB has sat behind the more experienced RB despite outperforming them. Now, while this isn't a guarantee of anything, it is definitely a trend and speaks to the mindset of the Carolina coaching staff (whether right or wrong). They have been reluctant to hand over the reigns to rookie RBs, whether it be due to pass protection or other little things or just plain loyalty to veteran players. I think the chances are far greater that DWill keeps the starting job and at worst shares in a RBBC than losing the job or playing 2nd fiddle.

 

[JPeso]

TJ/MB3/DW for me.

 

[cstu]

1. Oakland will draft an RB on day #1. That rb has an even money chance of starting on opening day. Fargas will still get some carries. I don't trust Jordan at all and suspect he'll be the odd man out.2. I think DMC doesn't get past the Jets at #6. He and Jones split carries, with DMC taking over in the first quarter of the season. Jones was a major dissapointment last season and there is no way DMCs talent and price tag keep him on the bench for long. By midyear DMC gets 70% of the carries.3. Carolina takes Mendenhall and he takes the job from DWill. DWill still gets around 1/3 of the carries.4. Dallas takes a RB in round 2 or 3. He splits carries with MBIII, with MBIII retaining the starting role.The real difficulty with projecting RBs comes from the league wide trend of using RBBC. The cycle of having 20+ teams with clear, definitive starters getting 75%+ of the carries has turned the last two or three seasons, with the majority of teams choosing to spread the workload. RBs are not the slam dunk top picks they used to be, especially in ppr leagues.

1. Disagree since I think they'll give Bush a shot. If they do draft RB early it will show they don't believe in Bush, but I don't see that happening.2. The Jets IMO would be crazy to pass on DMC after the OL they've put together. They need help elsewhere, but if DMC is the real deal then he'll instantly turn that team around.3. They won't take a RB in the 1st, but likely that they'll draft someone to back up DeW - maybe even early. Like someone posted, rookie RB's have a hard time getting carries in Carolina and DeW has paid his dues so he'll get a chance to prove himself now.4. The Cowboys need another RB but the job is all MBIII's.