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Early vegas lines for divisional playoffs - who do you like? (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter KCC
- Start date
That 8.5 spread seemed awfully big for a team that has played the way Chicago has the last few weeks. (And, yes, I know Seattle stumbled into the playoffs too.)
Widbil83
Footballguy
I will be curious to see what the Bears line does as the week progresses.
PatsWillWin
Footballguy
I can't remember the last time the Pats got this many points. I'm biting.
Colin Dowling
Footballguy
Pats w/ the points.
Indy/Balt under
Sea/Chi over
NO -3.5
Indy/Balt under
Sea/Chi over
NO -3.5
I think you could also look at it and say the Seahawks shouldn't even be in this game. And I'm no Cowboy fan.I think the Bears roll over them w/ T.Jones and BensonKCC said:Sea Bass said:
Blackjacks
Footballguy
I usually like the favorites but give me Indy, Seattle and NE but I will take NOKCC said:
Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
Baltimore.
Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
Next pick, Philly / NO over.Third - Seattle and the points.
Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
Seattle +14.5 PHI/NO over 42.5 Teaser looks good as well.6.5 version even better (+15, over 42)KCC said:
Assani Fisher
Footballguy
I like all 4 favorites
Sweeper
Footballguy
It's just you.
PatsWillWin
Footballguy
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
A teaser bet. Minimum of two teams, and you swing (in Jeff's example) 6 points one way or another. So you could grab Chicago -2.5 or bump Seattle up to +14.5. You can do that with any other game spread or under/over. Two teams/six points typically requires that you lay $55 to make $50. Three teams/six points returns $90 on a $50 wager, and so on....
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
Not with my money, Hoss...
San Diego led the NFL in PPG.... 31 or so IIRC. If it gets out of hand, look out.
Raider Nation
Devil's Advocate
At first glance, I'm thinking that Seattle & Baltimore are a LOCK party.KCC said:
PhillyFunk
Footballguy
Philly and the over baby! Still livin' the dream! And New England is a safe bet too...
Jack Burton
Footballguy
Pats + 6.5... in january??? sold. Chargers are a good team and all but I gotta take those points.
Seattle + 8.5
NO/phi under
Balt/Ind over
Seattle + 8.5
NO/phi under
Balt/Ind over
Billy Bats
Footballguy
Seattle jumped out at me at first, but then I remembered that the Hawks got smoked in Chi. earlier in the year. I only like the Hawks a little bit here because ya can't trust Rex.
Also like the pats plus the points, I think that gets bet down a little this week. Remember, it's Bill v Marty. Gotta take the points.
Also like the pats plus the points, I think that gets bet down a little this week. Remember, it's Bill v Marty. Gotta take the points.
weisguy0831
Footballguy
My gut coming into the weekend told me that I didn't like Chicago. But then after watching a weekend of playoff football, I remembered how pivotal defense was: And the Bears have the best defense in their game with the Seahawks. Likewise, I think the Eagles defense has improved to the point where it will give them a great shot in New Orleans.
Workhorse
Footballguy
Guess I'm on an island on this line of thinking: NE's game plan is going to be "keepaway" -- Short passing game and run the ball (SD is 20th in the NFL in yards allowed per carry). Long drives. Keep the ball out of LT's hands. On defense, stack the box with the big guys, keep the speed guys on the outside to keep LT between the tackles. Make Rivers (a guy making his first ever playoff start) beat you...I think this game is going to be much lower scoring than people think.
:nod:What I was thinking too. NE will scheme to put the ball in Rivers hands, then confuse the beee-jezus outta him. SD defense, yeah...that Merriman guy, he's pretty good. I'll be shocked if the under doesn't pay.
Im surprised SD is such a big favorite. Rivers first playoff game, Pats looked solid yesterday...
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Indianapolis
Baltimore -4.0 40½
Indy and the over
Phila.
New Orleans -3.5 48½
Saints and the under
Seattle
Chicago -8.5 37½
Seattle and the under
New England
San Diego -6.5 46½
New England and the under
Baltimore -4.0 40½
Indy and the over
Phila.
New Orleans -3.5 48½
Saints and the under
Seattle
Chicago -8.5 37½
Seattle and the under
New England
San Diego -6.5 46½
New England and the under
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
The Chargers are -5, not 6.5. Last night at 9pm they were -5, 6.5's long long gone. Under is at 47 right now.
RedRaiders
Mr. +EV
Maybe he was just confused because the advice to tease a total is ridiculous. Seattle to 14.5 from 8.5 is bearable, although I don't think it hits enough to be a +EV teaser leg.A teaser bet. Minimum of two teams, and you swing (in Jeff's example) 6 points one way or another. So you could grab Chicago -2.5 or bump Seattle up to +14.5. You can do that with any other game spread or under/over. Two teams/six points typically requires that you lay $55 to make $50. Three teams/six points returns $90 on a $50 wager, and so on....
Workhorse
Footballguy
And don't forget one key word:Martyball.
Godsbrother
Footballguy
The_Man
Footballguy
I love Baltimore, but will wait to see if the public pushes the line down another half-point or point.
The Colts have lost 4 straight road games. The Ravens are 7-1 at home and have the best home record in the NFL since 2000. The Ravens' D has been game planning for Indy for a week, and if the 3-4 defenses of teams like Jacksonville and Dallas can get to Manning, then the Ravens will be all over him.
To me, this is the classic case of a team looking unexpectedly good during the Wild Card round (in this case, the Colts' D), generating a lot of hype, and then getting rolled on the road by a rested and prepared opponent.
The Colts have lost 4 straight road games. The Ravens are 7-1 at home and have the best home record in the NFL since 2000. The Ravens' D has been game planning for Indy for a week, and if the 3-4 defenses of teams like Jacksonville and Dallas can get to Manning, then the Ravens will be all over him.
To me, this is the classic case of a team looking unexpectedly good during the Wild Card round (in this case, the Colts' D), generating a lot of hype, and then getting rolled on the road by a rested and prepared opponent.
Ghost Rider
Footballguy
The Pats looked solid in the first round last year, and then lost by 14 in Denver to a team QB'd by Jake Plummer. And the '06 Chargers are better than the '05 Broncos were.
Workhorse
Footballguy
And the '06 Patriots are better than the '05 Patriots were.
Jack Burton
Footballguy
That was the Pats only playoff loss in something like six years. I wouldnt count on them losing by 14 again.
As I am fond of saying - remember that we've only seen the Belicheck/Brady Pats lose ONCE in the playoffs. O-N-C-E.
shuke
Black Ice Skeptic
Plays of the week right here.
The Colts' D played out of their minds yesterday. I don't see them doing that to Baltimore if Vincent and Ogden (who both say they are going to play) are on the OL for the Ravens. Ron freaking Dayne put up 100+ and 2 TDs rushing against the Colt's D - they just managed to get on top of the Chiefs by a lot of adrenaline, IMO.
Jeff Pasquino
Footballguy
Why?Maybe he was just confused because the advice to tease a total is ridiculous. Seattle to 14.5 from 8.5 is bearable, although I don't think it hits enough to be a +EV teaser leg.A teaser bet. Minimum of two teams, and you swing (in Jeff's example) 6 points one way or another. So you could grab Chicago -2.5 or bump Seattle up to +14.5. You can do that with any other game spread or under/over. Two teams/six points typically requires that you lay $55 to make $50. Three teams/six points returns $90 on a $50 wager, and so on....
