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Earnest Graham (1 Viewer)

Blackjacks

Footballguy
I just acquired him and the more research I'm doing on him the more I like. I'm wanting to get some others feedback, especially Tampa homers, on their thoughts of his potential holdout and the TB offense as whole. Is Graham fool's gold or a prescious jewel?

 
I dont know what you gaveup, but I dont want him...I live in the Tampa area and he isnt happy, and neither is Garcia...IMO the Bucs front office are a bunch of cheap bastards...they benched Garcia late last year and cost him a bunch of incentive money and promised to make it up to him, yet they still havent...Graham came out of nowhere and saved their season rushing wise, and gets nothing...I dont think Gruden likes him and they added Dunn, not much but a still solid 3rd down RB, which would hurt Graham as he was $ on 3rd downs...I definitely dont see much of a future for Graham, especially in Tampa anyway...

 
I dont know what you gaveup, but I dont want him...I live in the Tampa area and he isnt happy, and neither is Garcia...IMO the Bucs front office are a bunch of cheap bastards...they benched Garcia late last year and cost him a bunch of incentive money and promised to make it up to him, yet they still havent...Graham came out of nowhere and saved their season rushing wise, and gets nothing...I dont think Gruden likes him and they added Dunn, not much but a still solid 3rd down RB, which would hurt Graham as he was $ on 3rd downs...I definitely dont see much of a future for Graham, especially in Tampa anyway...
I can agree with alot of that. I don't think my post was absolutely right. I like the TB running game more than I like Graham. I really like their Oline and the division they have to run against. Their Oline is young (especially the guards) and only getting better. Add in the fact that they don't have a star qb, and probably won't for awhile and you get good production out of the rb position. I do have Bennett also but I think Graham is a better fit for the offense as of right now. I am alittle worried about this holdout but I think Graham will be there when he has to and hopefully get rewarded alittle.
 
Earnest Graham was at the right place at the right time last season. There was nobody else at running back when he became the starter so he got every meaningful carry, reception, and touchdown. Add in a defense that let him run out the clock and a bunch of soft defenses and you have Graham putting up the numbers that he did in 2007. Talent-wise he's nothing special.

The funny thing he just might be in that exact same situation this season. The only guys behind him are Warrick Dunn and Michael Bennett so that means no one's behind him again. To his credit he can catch the ball and that's always useful playing in the West Coast offense. Assuming he gets to camp I think he can repeat what he did last season but expecting more than that is expecting too much.

 
The strength of the Bucs oline is in the middle and that is where Graham can be successful. I have no idea how Dunn will affect his opportunities, hopefully just 3rd down and change of pace. The minicamp holdout threat seems to be the new thing with players, I seriously doubt he holds out, he needs what little money he is getting.

 
Earnest Graham was at the right place at the right time last season. There was nobody else at running back when he became the starter so he got every meaningful carry, reception, and touchdown. Add in a defense that let him run out the clock and a bunch of soft defenses and you have Graham putting up the numbers that he did in 2007. Talent-wise he's nothing special. The funny thing he just might be in that exact same situation this season. The only guys behind him are Warrick Dunn and Michael Bennett so that means no one's behind him again. To his credit he can catch the ball and that's always useful playing in the West Coast offense. Assuming he gets to camp I think he can repeat what he did last season but expecting more than that is expecting too much.
Cadillac Williams is still around also.I think he ran hard last season, and I like the kid. I hope he gets his shot.
 
I dont know what you gaveup, but I dont want him...I live in the Tampa area and he isnt happy, and neither is Garcia...IMO the Bucs front office are a bunch of cheap bastards...they benched Garcia late last year and cost him a bunch of incentive money and promised to make it up to him, yet they still havent...Graham came out of nowhere and saved their season rushing wise, and gets nothing...I dont think Gruden likes him and they added Dunn, not much but a still solid 3rd down RB, which would hurt Graham as he was $ on 3rd downs...I definitely dont see much of a future for Graham, especially in Tampa anyway...
The Bucs aren't cheap, they are smart. Why pay tons of money to a 38 year old QB and a mediocre RB?
 
I dont know what you gaveup, but I dont want him...I live in the Tampa area and he isnt happy, and neither is Garcia...IMO the Bucs front office are a bunch of cheap bastards...they benched Garcia late last year and cost him a bunch of incentive money and promised to make it up to him, yet they still havent...Graham came out of nowhere and saved their season rushing wise, and gets nothing...I dont think Gruden likes him and they added Dunn, not much but a still solid 3rd down RB, which would hurt Graham as he was $ on 3rd downs...I definitely dont see much of a future for Graham, especially in Tampa anyway...
The Bucs aren't cheap, they are smart. Why pay tons of money to a 38 year old QB and a mediocre RB?
Because they have the money and they told Garcia they would, since they cost him money by benching him...as for Graham, I would mostly agree...but this is the way the Bucs work, why do you think McCardell heldout and actually stayed out, he was lied to and didnt like it, why do you think Derrick Brooks did a few years back, a great player with plenty of money, cause it was his turn and he was repeatedly told he would get his money, finally he had to take a stand...I dont think its a coincedence...they are not keeping their word when they talk to these guys, and it makes the organization look bad, I bet other players around the league hear this stuff and I bet they may have lost a few players because of it, they had a ton of money this offseason and only sign Jeff Faine and a bunch of scrubs...hmmmm...
 
Earnest Graham was at the right place at the right time last season. There was nobody else at running back when he became the starter so he got every meaningful carry, reception, and touchdown. Add in a defense that let him run out the clock and a bunch of soft defenses and you have Graham putting up the numbers that he did in 2007. Talent-wise he's nothing special. The funny thing he just might be in that exact same situation this season. The only guys behind him are Warrick Dunn and Michael Bennett so that means no one's behind him again. To his credit he can catch the ball and that's always useful playing in the West Coast offense. Assuming he gets to camp I think he can repeat what he did last season but expecting more than that is expecting too much.
Cadillac Williams is still around also.I think he ran hard last season, and I like the kid. I hope he gets his shot.
All reports that I have read, says that Caddie won't be playing this season with the bucs, so they better pay some money or good luck with the running game this season.
 
Earnest Graham was at the right place at the right time last season. There was nobody else at running back when he became the starter so he got every meaningful carry, reception, and touchdown. Add in a defense that let him run out the clock and a bunch of soft defenses and you have Graham putting up the numbers that he did in 2007. Talent-wise he's nothing special. The funny thing he just might be in that exact same situation this season. The only guys behind him are Warrick Dunn and Michael Bennett so that means no one's behind him again. To his credit he can catch the ball and that's always useful playing in the West Coast offense. Assuming he gets to camp I think he can repeat what he did last season but expecting more than that is expecting too much.
Cadillac Williams is still around also.I think he ran hard last season, and I like the kid. I hope he gets his shot.
All reports that I have read, says that Caddie won't be playing this season with the bucs, so they better pay some money or good luck with the running game this season.
Caddy is done...bank it...if he ever comes back he will still be worthless anyway...
 
I'm also a Tampa homer, and I think Graham and the front office are doing the right thing. Graham needs to cash in, Tampa needs Graham to further prove his worth before committing big money to him.

Look for Graham to cave 1st likely within the next week or 2, as long as Graham doesn't holdout, I think he's a very safe top-20 RB.

Dunn and Bennett aren't much bigger threats to Graham's job than I am. A healthy Caddy on the other hand might be, but a healthy Caddy may not exist.

 
Who else could even win the starting job? Cadillac is done, as is Dunn. Bennett cannot stay healthy...so Graham wins it if only by default. With a young, quality offensive line, I see no reason he can't be a top 20 rb this season. I wouldn't call him a precious jewel but he's not fool's gold as I see him retaining the starter's job this year.

 
First of all, Graham isn't going to hold out. He has never gone to OTAs in the past, so this year is no different. He has already said that he would never hold out.

I think Warrick Dunn is going to have a bigger impact than a lot of people think. Gruden has always loved Dunn, and he isn't getting paid $3 million per year to sit the bench. I also see Bennett being used more this year. Gruden loves speed, so look for some packages with Dunn and Bennett on the field at the same time. I think there is even a slight chance that Dunn starts. The more likely senario is Graham gets 50% of the carries, with Dunn getting 35%, and Bennett getting 15%. I do think Caddy will return after starting the season on PUP, but who knows what kind of impact he will make after coming back from that kind of injury.

Graham:

224 carries 4.0 ypc 896 yards 9 TDs

32 catches 256 yards 2 TDs

1142 total yards 11 TDs

 
I think Warrick Dunn is going to have a bigger impact than a lot of people think. Gruden has always loved Dunn, and he isn't getting paid $3 million per year to sit the bench. I also see Bennett being used more this year. Gruden loves speed, so look for some packages with Dunn and Bennett on the field at the same time. I think there is even a slight chance that Dunn starts.
:goodposting:
 
I think Warrick Dunn is going to have a bigger impact than a lot of people think. Gruden has always loved Dunn, and he isn't getting paid $3 million per year to sit the bench. I also see Bennett being used more this year. Gruden loves speed, so look for some packages with Dunn and Bennett on the field at the same time. I think there is even a slight chance that Dunn starts.
:shrug:
:shrug: Both Dunn and Graham made the Buy Low Sell High RBs article coming out this week. Only Michael Turner, Marion Barber, and Julius Jones got paid more among FA RBs this year - Dunn is going to have a pretty big role.
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.

 
Sigmund Bloom said:
QUEZILLA said:
RJS113 said:
I think Warrick Dunn is going to have a bigger impact than a lot of people think. Gruden has always loved Dunn, and he isn't getting paid $3 million per year to sit the bench. I also see Bennett being used more this year. Gruden loves speed, so look for some packages with Dunn and Bennett on the field at the same time. I think there is even a slight chance that Dunn starts.
:goodposting:
:lmao: Both Dunn and Graham made the Buy Low Sell High RBs article coming out this week. Only Michael Turner, Marion Barber, and Julius Jones got paid more among FA RBs this year - Dunn is going to have a pretty big role.
Dunn better have more left than he showed last year in Atlanta then. That was painful to watch.
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
 
Dunn better have more left than he showed last year in Atlanta then. That was painful to watch.
:lmao: For Graham owners worried about Dunn, look at this split:Dunn at 30 years old or younger: 1,970 carries for 8,321 yards (4.2 YPC) & 404 recepts for 3,601 yards (8.9 YPR)Dunn at 31+ the past two seasons: 513 carries for 1,860 yards (3.6 YPC) & 59 recepts for 408 yards (6.9 YPR) Also, Dunn is 33 heading into the season, and coming off a 227 carry year where he averaged 3.2. The guy is as classy as it gets, but class won't beat Father Time.
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
 
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Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
Dunn is 33 years old, 3 years removed from his career year, ypc 5.1, 4.0, 3.2 the last three years. I doubt that they are looking at Dunn as the starter.
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
Dunn is 33 years old, 3 years removed from his career year, ypc 5.1, 4.0, 3.2 the last three years. I doubt that they are looking at Dunn as the starter.
I don't think he'll be the starter either but you can discount his 3.2 to being on a horrid team. In Graham's "good year" he avg'd 4.0 on a team that won their division and supposedly has a good line. Dunn is a good runner and has 265, 280, 286 and 228 carries over the last 4 years and he also had 37 catches for 238 yards last year. In his 13 games as a starter last year Graham had 199 carries. If it ends up being a 2/3 1/3 split what does that do for Graham's value? There's just a lot of uncertainty around that situation. If I had Graham I would definitely look to deal him for a more stable situation and I certainly am not looking to get him in any format. I have no axe to grind, just my 2 cents...
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
Dunn is 33 years old, 3 years removed from his career year, ypc 5.1, 4.0, 3.2 the last three years. I doubt that they are looking at Dunn as the starter.
You're right, but for 3 mil, they are definitely looking for him to do more than get a few change of pace carries - they have Bennett for that.
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
Dunn is 33 years old, 3 years removed from his career year, ypc 5.1, 4.0, 3.2 the last three years. I doubt that they are looking at Dunn as the starter.
I don't think he'll be the starter either but you can discount his 3.2 to being on a horrid team. In Graham's "good year" he avg'd 4.0 on a team that won their division and supposedly has a good line. Dunn is a good runner and has 265, 280, 286 and 228 carries over the last 4 years and he also had 37 catches for 238 yards last year. In his 13 games as a starter last year Graham had 199 carries. If it ends up being a 2/3 1/3 split what does that do for Graham's value? There's just a lot of uncertainty around that situation. If I had Graham I would definitely look to deal him for a more stable situation and I certainly am not looking to get him in any format. I have no axe to grind, just my 2 cents...
Yet Norwood averaged 6.0 ypc. The team was horrid but Dunn wasn't the player he used to be either.
 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
Dunn is 33 years old, 3 years removed from his career year, ypc 5.1, 4.0, 3.2 the last three years. I doubt that they are looking at Dunn as the starter.
I don't think he'll be the starter either but you can discount his 3.2 to being on a horrid team. In Graham's "good year" he avg'd 4.0 on a team that won their division and supposedly has a good line. Dunn is a good runner and has 265, 280, 286 and 228 carries over the last 4 years and he also had 37 catches for 238 yards last year. In his 13 games as a starter last year Graham had 199 carries. If it ends up being a 2/3 1/3 split what does that do for Graham's value? There's just a lot of uncertainty around that situation. If I had Graham I would definitely look to deal him for a more stable situation and I certainly am not looking to get him in any format. I have no axe to grind, just my 2 cents...
Yet Norwood averaged 6.0 ypc. The team was horrid but Dunn wasn't the player he used to be either.
yet Norwood had 100 carries which is less than 1/2 of Dunn's total with Dunn coming off back surgery and missing most of the preseason. I wonder why the team wasn't smart enough to see that Norwood was the better player? Last year, the year before...and then they go out and get a new starter leaving Norwood in the same/diminished role. YPC is pretty meaningless to me when you are averaging 6 carries a game..big runs distort the average. No, Dunn's not the player but he still may be as good as Graham is now. People have been selling Dunn short for years but he's been a good back for a long time. Put in a lesser role, i.e. 140-160 carries he may be fresher and more effective which could kill Graham's value....Think D. Foster with a few more TD's...

 
Graham = L. Betts. A nice fill-in when called upon but an ordinary back. A decent redraft option but wouldn't want any part of him dynasty wise.
except right now, he's not filling in for anyone. He is the guy. Dunn looked absolutly brutal last year and bennett isnt the answer anywhere. I agree that i wouldn't want him past this season (as i have to believe they will address the position) but i own him in my 5 man keeper (1 must be a rook) and I'm thinking about holding on to him. (granted i dont have a ton of great options) He'll be a decent RB2 this year, especially in a PPR
He'll probably be fine but if he chirps too much and the team brings a Kevin Jones or other free agent, where does he stand then? That's the problem when you're the "starter" but aren't very talented. I wouldn't count out Dunn, he's a pro and they went out and signed him, it's not as if he was on their roster. Looking at his receiving stats, he did have a nice year catching the ball. I'd imagine the Garcia situation bears watching because he is a pretty efficient QB and the best one they have on the roster. If they lose Garcia (which I doubt will happen) I'd down grade their whole offense quite a bit.
Dunn is 33 years old, 3 years removed from his career year, ypc 5.1, 4.0, 3.2 the last three years. I doubt that they are looking at Dunn as the starter.
I don't think he'll be the starter either but you can discount his 3.2 to being on a horrid team. In Graham's "good year" he avg'd 4.0 on a team that won their division and supposedly has a good line. Dunn is a good runner and has 265, 280, 286 and 228 carries over the last 4 years and he also had 37 catches for 238 yards last year. In his 13 games as a starter last year Graham had 199 carries. If it ends up being a 2/3 1/3 split what does that do for Graham's value? There's just a lot of uncertainty around that situation. If I had Graham I would definitely look to deal him for a more stable situation and I certainly am not looking to get him in any format. I have no axe to grind, just my 2 cents...
Yet Norwood averaged 6.0 ypc. The team was horrid but Dunn wasn't the player he used to be either.
yet Norwood had 100 carries which is less than 1/2 of Dunn's total with Dunn coming off back surgery and missing most of the preseason. I wonder why the team wasn't smart enough to see that Norwood was the better player? Last year, the year before...and then they go out and get a new starter leaving Norwood in the same/diminished role. YPC is pretty meaningless to me when you are averaging 6 carries a game..big runs distort the average.

No, Dunn's not the player but he still may be as good as Graham is now. People have been selling Dunn short for years but he's been a good back for a long time. Put in a lesser role, i.e. 140-160 carries he may be fresher and more effective which could kill Graham's value....Think D. Foster with a few more TD's...
:tinfoilhat: I think this is the key to the argument. How good is Graham? He can catch, but he definitely doesn't fit JG's preferred mold for RB.

 

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