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Ernest Graham (1 Viewer)

poo flingin monkey

Footballguy
Little confused why EG is outside of everyone's top 20? It can't be because of Warrick Dunn can it?

The guy was money last year.

I see him as the most underrated RB heading into fantasy drafts.

 
I agree. I'm a little perplexed also. All he did with his starts in run wild and score. Then again with so many RB in Gruden's backfield and his fickle nature to replacing guys who don't produce, it could be warrented.

If I had to gamble though, I'd agree that Graham wins the job and gets bulk of carries.

 
I agree. I'm a little perplexed also. All he did with his starts in run wild and score. Then again with so many RB in Gruden's backfield and his fickle nature to replacing guys who don't produce, it could be warrented.If I had to gamble though, I'd agree that Graham wins the job and gets bulk of carries.
I sure hope so. He also had 48 receptions in little over a 1/2 season. He carried the rock 222 times and only fumbled once. I am taking him as my second back without worries.
 
Other than age, is there much difference in what Grant and Graham did last year?

Grant getting top 10 love and Graham is forgotten.

 
I like Graham to but the problem I'm seeing and hearing is that Gruden has yet to stick a fork in Cadillac and say he's done for this season.

 
There was a Bucs reporter on Sirius NFL Radio this afternoon who didn't seem too high on EG, calling him the starter in only that he would probably see the ball on First Downs. This guy talked about Dunn playing Gruden's "Joker" position, he can do everything. Graham put up some good numbers last year, hard to see him falling not getting the opportunity.

 
I like Graham to but the problem I'm seeing and hearing is that Gruden has yet to stick a fork in Cadillac and say he's done for this season.
My question is what did Caddy do when he had the opportunity? And now he hopes to be able to play this season.Also Dunn isn't a GL back.I'm not buying any of it.
 
Perhaps there is some worry he is a 2nd half one season wonder... a la William Green. Guys that were waiver wire wonders the previous season, usually don't get quite the respect they should in the following season. This time next summer we'll know whether Graham is a legit NFL rb or was a flash in the pan.

Did a live draft w/ 10 guys in 1 room yesterday and nobody wanted to touch Graham with a 10 foot pole until round 10. I had already snapped up Jacobs & Edge as Rb3/rb4, so I wasnt really interested in a boom/bust pick like Graham.

 
I like the guy - but I sure don't like that deal from Gruden with Dunn and the "joker" position. I would knock him down and few spots on this but the 10th rd is just ridiculous. Still a 5th round guy most likely.

 
My guess would be that everyone has Graham ranked where he is EXCEPT the guys who picked him up last year. I expect those ff owners have him rated higher and will end up with him again.

 
I'm a huge fan and three things concern me about Graham:

1) The potential for Cadillac to be in the mix come fantasy playoffs

2) Gruden LOVES old players and could give more touches to Dunn than most fantasy football owners would

3) Michael Bennett. People are quick to forget how well he played in Minnesota and he showed flashes of brilliance when he got on the field last year. Some people have said he is getting 1st team reps in training camp. I'm not saying this is why Graham is falling down draft boards (that would be 1 and 2), but I wouldn't be surprised at all if Bennett stole some touches this season. Not tons, but some.

If Dunn steals touches and Bennett steals a few that is eating out of Graham's touches. If Cadillac comes back in time for fantasy playoffs which is not in the realm of the unreasonable...

 
Banger said:
good opportunity, avg talent at best.
:goodposting: His talent level prevents him from being ranked higher than about a low end RB2 for me. Lower talent players are more easily replaced. I'd be selling high as soon as he puts up a big game.
 
I had a good long look at him over the last week and came to the conclusion that he did so well last season because of little competition. Thats great for us but not so good for an NFL team. With Caddy on the mend and Dunn brought in he'll be the starter but he'll only see slightly more than the others guys in the committee.

 
EG got nearly every carry and never came out of the game last year because they had absolutely no depth. Gruden said as much in quotes I've read and that will not be the case this year. I say it in every EG thread...IMO Dunn will be more of a threat than most people realize. Gruden loves his skill set and has recently said that his skillset fits their offense the best of any backs on the team. Dunn is always under rated, is a very good NFL RB and can do it all. He may not be a workhorse but he'll get enough touch's to put a serious dent in Graham's value.

Even in Graham's "good season" he had a 4.0 ypc on a 1st place team with a good line. He's just not that good...he's L. Betts... a good backup Rb.

 
Since his ADP is at RB2, he seems like a decent value if you are high on him, you wont need to take him early.

I love the way people rationalize how they are high or low on one guy by all but saying the same thing in so many threads ...

Why I like him as a RB2 that could out perform:

Graham got good money, he will be the starter. Dunn does not worry me. Gruden likes depth but sticks with one guy.

TB has a decent O line and good Defense. I expect plenty of opportunities for Graham to succeed.

Graham has more talent than the other RB in camp.

Good SOS.

 
bucsbaby said:
3) Michael Bennett. People are quick to forget how well he played in Minnesota and he showed flashes of brilliance when he got on the field last year. Some people have said he is getting 1st team reps in training camp. I'm not saying this is why Graham is falling down draft boards (that would be 1 and 2), but I wouldn't be surprised at all if Bennett stole some touches this season. Not tons, but some.
i have a hard time believing in Bennett. His best season - the only time he ever rushed for more than 500 yards - was in 2002. he's going to be 30 once the season starts too. no one is expecting him to start, i know, but i think he's an insurance policy until cadillac returns. graham will lose 3rd carries to dunn. he's also a fantastic change of pace back from the plodding, grind it out style of EG. cadillac's return - provided he's healthy and effective - will mean the Tampa running game will be truly RBBC. EG will be a a player that should look good for the first half of the season. if you have him on your roster, i would look to move him before week 8 or so. he should be a definite sell high candidate by week 6.
 
The Bucs are paying Dunn (3 mil) more than Graham (2.5 mil) this year. Also if they believed in Graham, they would have given him some kind of nice signing bonus, but they didnt. He gets his salary this year, but nothing is guaranteed beyond that. Graham is going right about where he should be - a guy that finished strong last year, but is clearly an average talent, on a team that made getting an old hero back at RB a bigger priority than making him happy.

 
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The Bucs are paying Dunn (3 mil) more than Graham (2.5 mil) this year. given him some kind of nice signing bonus, but they didnt. He gets his salary this year, but nothing is guaranteed beyond that.
Isn't that basically the same kind of deal Ryan Grant signed? Basically all he got guaranteed is his 08' salary as well.
 
Actually, Graham is not outside everybody's top 20 - I have him at #18. I've also drafted him in a lot of leagues this year, including the MB/Staff Survivor league 9. So it is safe to say I am highest among the staff on Earnest Graham. Here's why:

Graham has a good mix of opportunity + talent + health, which is what yields FP. He is healthy, he has minimal miles on his tires after only part of a season as starter. Mentally, he is where he needs to be with a new contract that pays him OK for this season and he's entering his 5th NFL season, all with Tampa Bay (he knows the Gruden offense very well now after all those reps the past 4 years). Talent-wise, he is adequate and suited to grind out the yards for TB's offense. Opportunity-wise, he's in good shape because:

A. Warrick Dunn has a ton of miles on his tires and averaged a pathetic 3.1 yards per carry last year (and a career-worst 6.4 yards per reception). Dunn is 33 entering training camp - his best years are clearly behind him - he lost 2 steps last season, IMO. For those who assert "Atlanta's offense was horrid" I'll point out that Jerious Norwood averaged 6.0 yards per carry last season (102/615/1) on over 100 carries, and 9.9 yards per reception (28/277/0) - Dunn lost his top gear over the past couple of years (5.0, 4.0, 3.1 yards per carry at 30 years, 31 years, 32 years old...) and is a minimal threat to Graham's playing time, IMO.

B. Cadillac Williams is done for 2008, IMO. His knee blew apart late last year (Patellar tendon Surgery, December) and he has yet to start taking any kind of contact. He is running "parachute drills" as of last week, which is remarkable for only 9 months removed from the type of surgery he had (usual prognosis is 9-12 months to recover), but I don't think he'll be in game shape until mid-season, at earliest. Even then, he's not shown an ability to stay healthy - I'd be surprised to see him take up any meaningful PT this year (and, honestly, in subsequent years - he's not holding up to the pounding at the NFL level).

For future years, Graham is a question mark depending on how productive he is this season and free agency 2009 (as is true of any NFL player), but IMO he'll have every opportunity and has adequate talent to easily surpass last year's numbers in his current situation in Tampa Bay. Also, he snagged 49 passes last season so the thought that he's going to lose 2nd and 3rd down PT is highly speculative and hypothetical, IMO. Dunn wasn't any better (actually marginally worse) at catching the ball out of the backfield last year in Atlanta, when the Falcons sorely needed someone to catch Harrington's short passes...

My .02.

 
The Bucs are paying Dunn (3 mil) more than Graham (2.5 mil) this year.
Not 100% sure here, but I think 3 mil a year is probably close to veteran minimum for a player with 12 years of NFL tenure? Anybody have that scale at their fingertips (I couldn't find it easily on NFLPA web site)? I don't think the .5 million difference in salary represents much in this case, anyway.
 
I think it depends on the scoring system. In TD-heavy leagues, Graham should be a useful RB2 -- and can be had in the late 3rd or 4th round by teams who went WR or QB early. In yardage-oriented and PPR leagues, he's not as good of a value. Worth getting if he falls to the 5th or 6th, but probably not before then.

 
I see him as pretty comparable to Reuben Droughns. He's a serviceable talent who had a good year because he fell into a favorable situation. This kind of player is constantly at risk of being replaced in his team's lineup.

 
I'm on the same page with Mark here. I'm really struggling to take threats from Dunn, Caddy and Bennett seriously considering how those guys have looked lately. Other than the Bears being to determined to run Thomas Jones out of town, teams typically don't jettison running backs unless the tank is near empty and it doesn't appear the Falcons and Chiefs are losing any sleep over letting Dunn and Bennett go. Graham isn't an all-world talent, but his 10 TDs and 48 catches are way better than anything his competition has done lately.

 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).

 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
i think it's safe to say that ATL was in complete disarray last year. no one looks good when harrington is your starting QB. dunn rushed for over 1100 yards in 2006. he put together a combined 2500 rushing yards the two seasons before that. is he the same player that he was in his prime? likely not but then he's not being asked to carry the load. graham can be the workhorse. dunn can catch the ball, be a change of pace back and the like. he's the perfect complement to a grinder that graham is.
 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
i think it's safe to say that ATL was in complete disarray last year. no one looks good when harrington is your starting QB. dunn rushed for over 1100 yards in 2006. he put together a combined 2500 rushing yards the two seasons before that. is he the same player that he was in his prime? likely not but then he's not being asked to carry the load. graham can be the workhorse. dunn can catch the ball, be a change of pace back and the like. he's the perfect complement to a grinder that graham is.
I'm not sure it would be a wise decision to give a large number of touches per game to a 33-year-old RB whose skills appeared last season to be in significant decline. But that's me.
 
Banger said:
good opportunity, avg talent at best.
:lmao: His talent level prevents him from being ranked higher than about a low end RB2 for me. Lower talent players are more easily replaced. I'd be selling high as soon as he puts up a big game.
Once again right on the Money Anthony. A very mediocre back in a great situation last year. The comparisons between Grahm and Grant are really bad. Anyone who watched both last year in my opinion could not come away thinking both of these gents poses the same level of talent. Grant stepped in when others where mediocre to poor and excelled. The Giants staff liked Grant but were bubbling over in RB talent. The Pack in my opinion got 1st round talent on the cheap. Grahm did well in his situation and should be given the respect for stepping in and stepping up, but anyone on a John Gruden team is hanging by a small thread at all times and can easily be yoked out of the lineup. I would not pass Grahm up in a late round or as a desperation play in fantasy leagues this year, but I would wait to snag him until most of your starting lineup is filled.It is always possible for Grahm to excel this year and exceed most prognosticators predictions, so I think if you really like Grahm and thought he looked the part last year then draft away. I would not under any circumstances draft him ahead of Grant or any of the consensus top 15 backs. But we could wrong....
 
I'm one of the saavy owners (lucky schmucks) that picked up EG off waivers last year. He was a nice surprise and I'm counting on a lot of owners overlooking him again this year. Huge upsuide talent wise and is in a scenario that could lead to him being the primary guy all season long. In a PPR league his value jumps even higher.

 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
He's been looking good in TC, and busted off a 40 yd TD run last week. He's not just using him as a 3rd down back either.
 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
:shrug: Warrick Dunn was signed by his buddy Gruden as somewhat of a player/coach, not a guy to be used a lot.He's 33 and looked horrendous last season. If Caddy comes back or they sign another back i could see some fear about Graham, but as it stands now he has 0 competition to his job.Seriously....Dunn...did those who are touting him watch him at all last season? It was sad how much he's lost. Once the little/quick guys lose their burst they have nothing to fall back on, and that's what happened to Dunn.Dunn will have around 50-80 carries this year, nothing more.
 
zed2283 said:
My guess would be that everyone has Graham ranked where he is EXCEPT the guys who picked him up last year. I expect those ff owners have him rated higher and will end up with him again.
I'm one of the saavy owners (lucky schmucks) that picked up EG off waivers last year. He was a nice surprise and I'm counting on a lot of owners overlooking him again this year. Huge upsuide talent wise and is in a scenario that could lead to him being the primary guy all season long. In a PPR league his value jumps even higher.
My case in point. If you want Graham, I think you're going to have to draft him higher than his ranking to get him ahead of the guys who had him last year. The owners who had him last year won't easily overlook what he did for them, even if everyone else wants to.
 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
He's been looking good in TC, and busted off a 40 yd TD run last week. He's not just using him as a 3rd down back either.
I could see Gruden giving him carries. He's stubborn enough to do that. However, I believe that unless Dunn shows significant improvement compared to last season and Graham shows a significant decline, giving Dunn a significant number of carries will be a mistake - and quite possibly a huge one. Watching him last season, he looked washed up. And yes I realize he was on a bad team, but I'm not sure how many 33-year-old RBs bounce back from a two-year decline in production and a previous season that was nothing short of terrible.
 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
i think it's safe to say that ATL was in complete disarray last year. no one looks good when harrington is your starting QB. dunn rushed for over 1100 yards in 2006. he put together a combined 2500 rushing yards the two seasons before that. is he the same player that he was in his prime? likely not but then he's not being asked to carry the load. graham can be the workhorse. dunn can catch the ball, be a change of pace back and the like. he's the perfect complement to a grinder that graham is.
I'm not sure it would be a wise decision to give a large number of touches per game to a 33-year-old RB whose skills appeared last season to be in significant decline. But that's me.
i don't anyone really believes that he's going to get many touches though. gruden is famous for talking out of his ### to play games with players, media and the like. he was talking up cadillac during graham's contract negotiations. he was talking about trading for Favre while Garcia was holding out. he talks like this every single year. david boston anyone? michael pittman? people should know better. he uses the media better than anyone to get in his own players heads and muddy the water. it makes him very entertaining for the press but, within the FF realm, it causes the gnashing of teeth.i have explained what i think dunn's role is. sure, some of it is age (last year's struggles are pretty easy to explain) but think more of it is he has players to carry the load. let dunn do what he's best at. let graham and maybe cadillac later in the season do what they're best at.
 
When I watched Graham last season, I simply wasn't that impressed. He reminded me of a Dominic Rhodes, Olandis Gary type of player. Journeyman who could fill in OK if the starter was lost, but that's it.

 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
He's been looking good in TC, and busted off a 40 yd TD run last week. He's not just using him as a 3rd down back either.
I could see Gruden giving him carries. He's stubborn enough to do that. However, I believe that unless Dunn shows significant improvement compared to last season and Graham shows a significant decline, giving Dunn a significant number of carries will be a mistake - and quite possibly a huge one. Watching him last season, he looked washed up. And yes I realize he was on a bad team, but I'm not sure how many 33-year-old RBs bounce back from a two-year decline in production and a previous season that was nothing short of terrible.
There is a huge difference in Dunns situation the last 2 seasons, and his situation this year. Tampa Bay's o-line is sick & very deep. not to mention Askew is a great blocking FB, and Gilmore is a good run blocking TE. Anyone carrying the ball for Tampa is going to do well.
 
When I watched Graham last season, I simply wasn't that impressed. He reminded me of a Dominic Rhodes, Olandis Gary type of player. Journeyman who could fill in OK if the starter was lost, but that's it.
I'll admit I saw very little of Graham last year, but once he got the job it seemed like the guy put up solid numbers and scored every week. So what's not to like this year, if we assume he's the starter and will get most of the work?I'd like to know, because I'm considering him as a good value #2RB.
 
When I watched Graham last season, I simply wasn't that impressed. He reminded me of a Dominic Rhodes, Olandis Gary type of player. Journeyman who could fill in OK if the starter was lost, but that's it.
I agree that as a RB he isn't overly impressive. What was impressive was his ability to catch the ball with consistency. He is also a great closer. That's why I think he is going to really help out in the 2nd half of games when Tampa is trying to secure a lead. If you remember this is when Gruden started usng him last year before Caddy went out in the Stl. game. Stl. D was tired, and Graham just kept wearing them down. I see Gruden using Graham like like Alstott.
 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
:football: Warrick Dunn was signed by his buddy Gruden as somewhat of a player/coach, not a guy to be used a lot.
:rolleyes:
 
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
He's been looking good in TC, and busted off a 40 yd TD run last week. He's not just using him as a 3rd down back either.
I could see Gruden giving him carries. He's stubborn enough to do that. However, I believe that unless Dunn shows significant improvement compared to last season and Graham shows a significant decline, giving Dunn a significant number of carries will be a mistake - and quite possibly a huge one. Watching him last season, he looked washed up. And yes I realize he was on a bad team, but I'm not sure how many 33-year-old RBs bounce back from a two-year decline in production and a previous season that was nothing short of terrible.
There is a huge difference in Dunns situation the last 2 seasons, and his situation this year. Tampa Bay's o-line is sick & very deep. not to mention Askew is a great blocking FB, and Gilmore is a good run blocking TE. Anyone carrying the ball for Tampa is going to do well.
Dunn is also older. I'm not sure how many 33-year-old RBs in the history of the league have shown a marked improvement once they begin to decline. I think he'd be best served as a third-down RB who gets 4-5 carries a game to keep Graham fresh. Based on how bad he looked last year and given his decline in production the past two, I think it would be a mistake to give him more as long as Graham is healthy and doesn't drop off from what he showed last season.But I can see Gruden forcing Dunn into a larger role and I can also see the Bucs suffering because of it.
 
packersfan said:
QUEZILLA said:
packersfan said:
QUEZILLA said:
Have people seen Warrick Dunn lately? The guy looked washed up last year. His YPC has declined each of the past two seasons and it was a pathetic 3.1 last year. If Gruden is planning on giving Dunn a lot of touches, that tells me he's lost his mind. I don't think Graham is a major talent but he looked MUCH better last season than Dunn did (or Cadillac for that matter). Again, I'm not selling Graham as a major talent but I think he's easily the best RB the Bucs have right now. If his production doesn't decline, I don't see why Gruden would take a significant number of carries away from him this season. Dunn's a great guy and it's a nice story that he's back in TB but I think Gruden would be making a huge mistake giving him more than a handful of carries a game (though I do think he'll be useful as a third-down RB).
He's been looking good in TC, and busted off a 40 yd TD run last week. He's not just using him as a 3rd down back either.
I could see Gruden giving him carries. He's stubborn enough to do that. However, I believe that unless Dunn shows significant improvement compared to last season and Graham shows a significant decline, giving Dunn a significant number of carries will be a mistake - and quite possibly a huge one. Watching him last season, he looked washed up. And yes I realize he was on a bad team, but I'm not sure how many 33-year-old RBs bounce back from a two-year decline in production and a previous season that was nothing short of terrible.
There is a huge difference in Dunns situation the last 2 seasons, and his situation this year. Tampa Bay's o-line is sick & very deep. not to mention Askew is a great blocking FB, and Gilmore is a good run blocking TE. Anyone carrying the ball for Tampa is going to do well.
Dunn is also older. I'm not sure how many 33-year-old RBs in the history of the league have shown a marked improvement once they begin to decline. I think he'd be best served as a third-down RB who gets 4-5 carries a game to keep Graham fresh. Based on how bad he looked last year and given his decline in production the past two, I think it would be a mistake to give him more as long as Graham is healthy and doesn't drop off from what he showed last season.But I can see Gruden forcing Dunn into a larger role and I can also see the Bucs suffering because of it.
IIRC, Dunn said he is looking to get about 17 touches a game. He said him and Gruden were on the same page with that when he signed.
 

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