Fanex Analysis Draft (1 Viewer)

[TC]

FanEx - FAD

FanEx Analysis Draft begins with popular Tomlinson, Jackson. Gore selections.

Selection reviews to follow.

We also welcome round-by-round reviews by FBG guest. Send them to the commssioner via the online link .

 

[Faust]

TC,

Thanks for posting the link. The FanEx draft was one of the first online introductions to Fantasy Football that I ever had. I enjoy seeing the picks with the analysis.

Faust

 

[Mr. Pink]

Hey TC,

Great to hear the FanEx Analysis draft is back. I did some guest commentary for a couple of years. Hope to be able to do it again.

 

[Jeff Pasquino]

Thanks for the link TC.

 

[Family Matters]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

 

[OCC]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

People love Bush. Seriously, SA at 1.05 I don't understand. Very risky pick. As much or more injury worries then LJ, but add a few more red flags about age.Interesting none the less. I love how 1.02 detailed his passing on LJ, and he slipped to 1.06.

 

[gianmarco]

Hey everyone. Where's the analysis for the draft?

 

[TC]

Hey everyone. Where's the analysis for the draft?

The draft is onging, with analysis input ASAP - FanEx Analysis Draft

Draft Rounds

1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18

FAD Round 1

 

[The Man with the Plan]

Wow! Willie Parker averaged over 100 yards and a touchdown last season and he still can't get any love? Come on now. That's just ridiculous.

 

[TC]

Wow! Willie Parker averaged over 100 yards and a touchdown last season and he still can't get any love? Come on now. That's just ridiculous.

We do agree. Parker is certainly my target at 1.12, but I don't think he's going to last beyond the next (1.08) pick by Emil Kadlec. Personally, I don't understand the strong committment many drafters are making toward RB Westbrook PHI

 

[The Man with the Plan]

Maybe it's just me but Brian Westbrook strikes me as the kind of player you'd love to have as your 2nd running back but makes you a little uneasy as your first round pick. Like I said maybe it's just me.

 

[FantasyTrader]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

I think when you consider how the year developed - and that's with Bush finishing #9 yet starting the season off so slow as well as the offseason retirement of All-World OT Will Shields your assertion that "basicly nothing has changed" becomes a real stretch. I do happen to agree with you that he's falling too far in redrafts though.

 

[OCC]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

I think when you consider how the year developed - and that's with Bush finishing #9 yet starting the season off so slow as well as the offseason retirement of All-World OT Will Shields your assertion that "basicly nothing has changed" becomes a real stretch. I do happen to agree with you that he's falling too far in redrafts though.

First problem is, Shields is not an OT. Second, KC had one of the worst set of tackles in the league. Both have been replaced. Third, LJ was better with Huard.Fourth, Shields was 36, he wasn't playing at "All-World" levels.Fifth, LJ faces a little easier SOS. Last year he crushed SD/Denver/Raiders so I'm not sure that matters with LJ. Yes they lost a decent guard. But getting rid of Black/Turley is addition by subtraction. Green was awful. And LJ is in a contract year. He already plays angry enough, so this year should be extra special angry LJ running style. So Green gone = good. Turley/Black gone = good. No worse then last year IMHO. And probably a little better at QB/O-line. LJ will be a top 3 RB again.

 

[On The Rocks]

The FanEx Anaylsis Draft is like Crack.

Good stuff!

 

[Family Matters]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

I think when you consider how the year developed - and that's with Bush finishing #9 yet starting the season off so slow as well as the offseason retirement of All-World OT Will Shields your assertion that "basicly nothing has changed" becomes a real stretch. I do happen to agree with you that he's falling too far in redrafts though.

First problem is, Shields is not an OT. Second, KC had one of the worst set of tackles in the league. Both have been replaced. Third, LJ was better with Huard.Fourth, Shields was 36, he wasn't playing at "All-World" levels.Fifth, LJ faces a little easier SOS. Last year he crushed SD/Denver/Raiders so I'm not sure that matters with LJ. Yes they lost a decent guard. But getting rid of Black/Turley is addition by subtraction. Green was awful. And LJ is in a contract year. He already plays angry enough, so this year should be extra special angry LJ running style. So Green gone = good. Turley/Black gone = good. No worse then last year IMHO. And probably a little better at QB/O-line. LJ will be a top 3 RB again.

You broke this down pretty well. The overriding sentiment is that many seem to think LJ is going to suffer for 2 reasons:1. The line changes.2. Too many carries.I can understand the average fan not recognizing that KC's line will likely be better, not worse. Everyone keeps referring to Sheilds as he used to be in his prime, not as he has been lately. There's a reason he retired and it's because it was time. And people act as though LJ has been carrying the rock for 6 years and is over 30. There's really no excuse for people to think he's overworked after 1.5 years as the starter.When you consider what happened to this offense last year with Green going out and the adjustments they had to make on offense, you begin to realize just how good LJ really is. The system KC uses is alive and well and he will continue to thrive in that offense. He's a beast and the record speaks pretty clear on that.Just seems some are over thinking this.

 

[Family Matters]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

I think when you consider how the year developed - and that's with Bush finishing #9 yet starting the season off so slow as well as the offseason retirement of All-World OT Will Shields your assertion that "basicly nothing has changed" becomes a real stretch. I do happen to agree with you that he's falling too far in redrafts though.

Good point but think this through further. Expecting Bush to garner another 80 receptions isn't realistic. He had some significant touches when Colston was out and injured. So you have to think that's likely dropping somewhat. Colston DNP weeks 11,12 & 13. In that stretch Bush had 20 receptions or nearly 7 per game. I'm wondering if that will affect his numbers this year? So I'm high on Bush as well but not top 4 high. And certainly not over LJ who is a proven performer.As for LJ, Shields retiring is being overstated as to the impact on the KC O-line. There's a reason he retired. KC has a proven system in place over the years and I doubt there's anything going to change that this year. I'll defer to their years of proven good O-line play as my guide.

 

[The Man with the Plan]

410 carries no matter how you look at it is an incredibly high workload. Most running backs fall off big time after having 370 the previous season but 400? Yikes. I don't know where I'd draft Larry Johnson exactly but I'd take LT, Jackson, Gore, and Parker over him. After that I really can't say.

 

[On The Rocks]

I actually agree that Reggie Bush is a valid choice at 1.4.

As Ian Allen points out he tried to trade out of the spot and he figures Bush would be there to get a few slots later.

I think Bush is going to get all the catches he got last year, plus increase his touches on the ground.

I too would have tried to trade down, but if I couldn't, I would take the guy I wanted. Bush is such a great player and last year he gave you just a taste of what we will get this year.

 

[Keith Lewis]

So far Ladanian, Rudi and Peyton are all spelled wrong.

 

[dparker713]

I actually agree that Reggie Bush is a valid choice at 1.4.

As Ian Allen points out he tried to trade out of the spot and he figures Bush would be there to get a few slots later.

I think Bush is going to get all the catches he got last year, plus increase his touches on the ground.

I too would have tried to trade down, but if I couldn't, I would take the guy I wanted. Bush is such a great player and last year he gave you just a taste of what we will get this year.

I think too many people feel afraid to buck the consensus and drafted based upon their own views. Lets not forget that year in and year out the first round is about %0% busts. So while the consensus is there for a reason, there is no real reason to be tied to it. As for this particular pick, I dont know that you can fault it too much in a PPR league. 80 receptions = 13 TDs

 

[OCC]

Edge just seems like a big reach. Over Rudi?

Rudi is so underrated.

Portis/MJD = value.

 

[dparker713]

Seriously, 14 of the top 15 are running backs. The stud RB theory seems to get less and less palatable every year.

 

[Bears_Man2]

Edge in the first round. WOW

I don't care what you want to say about the AZ O-line, Edge looked just plain ordinary 85% of last year. There were times last year I'd want to say bring in JJ. (that's how bad I thought he was at times)

JMO but MJD's downside is > Edge's upside. AZ may run more, but I fully expect Marcell and/or JJ to be getting that extra. And in the end, I believe AZ will be doing what they are in position to do with their Pro Bowl WR's -- pass often.

 

[Captain Hook]

WHERE are the comments TC?

This draft isn't worth watching without the comments/analysis by the drafters

 

[IRON CHEF]

is no-one concerned about the KC o'line? IT IS NOT the same unit as last year!

 

[JoeSteeler]

What are the rules/scoring for this league? TIA

 

[FantasyTrader]

WOW! LJ at 1.6? Bush at 1.4? That's amazing considering that basically nothing has changed from last year. Bush's role has not changed last I checked and LJ is still the man in KC. LJ finished as RB3 and overall #3 last year while Bush finished as RB9 and overall #22 in this league.

I think when you consider how the year developed - and that's with Bush finishing #9 yet starting the season off so slow as well as the offseason retirement of All-World OT Will Shields your assertion that "basicly nothing has changed" becomes a real stretch. I do happen to agree with you that he's falling too far in redrafts though.

First problem is, Shields is not an OT. Second, KC had one of the worst set of tackles in the league. Both have been replaced. Third, LJ was better with Huard.Fourth, Shields was 36, he wasn't playing at "All-World" levels.Fifth, LJ faces a little easier SOS. Last year he crushed SD/Denver/Raiders so I'm not sure that matters with LJ. Yes they lost a decent guard. But getting rid of Black/Turley is addition by subtraction. Green was awful. And LJ is in a contract year. He already plays angry enough, so this year should be extra special angry LJ running style. So Green gone = good. Turley/Black gone = good. No worse then last year IMHO. And probably a little better at QB/O-line. LJ will be a top 3 RB again.

Regarding your second reason:Left Tackle Damion McIntosh signed in the offseason by the Chiefs for their answer at this crucial position where he played for 3 seasons on the thouroughly inept O-line of the Miami Dolphins.Right Tackle Kyle Turley who, when he's not busy throwing helmets and being fined has managed to be healthy enough to actually play in only 7 games in the last 3 years. Glancing at the depth chart I can't even pronounce the guy's name that's behind Turley and unless your name is Houshmanzadeh that's never a good sign. Just the fact that they have been "replaced" doesn't necessarily mean things are better.You make a great point in regards to Shields' age and he probably wasn't playing as effectively as years past as well as the fact that LJ was more productive with Huard under center. But excusing this O-line as a non-concern is burying your head in the sand. LJ is the man though - I'll give you that. People could look silly at the end of the year for letting him fall beyond 3rd overall.

 

[TC]

What are the rules/scoring for this league? TIA

There are links to this information at FanEx FAD DraftRules Updated: July 2007.

An E-mail based draft is be held prior to the FanEx Player Draft. It will be the FanEx Analysis Draft, with results posted at the league website. Owners will select their teams through a serpentine style draft, using the basic FanEx Draft format, enforced by the Commissioner. Individual owners within the in-season leagues can choose to team up for the ANALYSIS DRAFT.

. A 18 round Draft will be conducted via e-mail with a round by round notification posted online. Each owner will be responsible for providing an analysis of why he/she picked the player chosen when the pick is made. Selection analysis will be limited to 100 words, with 50 words being the target.

Analysis Draft Guidelines:.

A. The Analysis Draft will begin at a date set by the commissioner..

B. The Analysis Draft will consist of 18 rounds..

C. The draft order is separate and unique from all other Fanex activities..

D. Each owner will have 12 hours to make their selection..

E. When an team owner exceeds the deadline for submitting their draft selection, other owners may make their selection in his draft position, until the originally schedule team owner has submitted a selection to the commissioner. (i.e. if the owner with selection X.03 misses the deadline, the X.04 and following draft positions may select in that place until the original tardy selection is presented to the commissioner.).

F. Each owner must draft a starting lineup and 18 total players..

G. Beginning with the start of the regular season, each owner will receive the points scored by the following positions on their team each week: Top 1 Quarterback points, Top 2 Running Back points, Top 3 Wide Receiver points, Top 1 Float (RB/WR/TE) player points, Top 1 Tight End points, Top 1 Kicker's points, Top 1 Defensive Team points..

H. These points shall be tallied together through the NFL season..

I. The team with highest total points shall be declared the Analysis Draft Champion..

 

[JoeSteeler]

What are the rules/scoring for this league? TIA

There are links to this information at FanEx FAD DraftRules Updated: July 2007.

An E-mail based draft is be held prior to the FanEx Player Draft. It will be the FanEx Analysis Draft, with results posted at the league website. Owners will select their teams through a serpentine style draft, using the basic FanEx Draft format, enforced by the Commissioner. Individual owners within the in-season leagues can choose to team up for the ANALYSIS DRAFT.

. A 18 round Draft will be conducted via e-mail with a round by round notification posted online. Each owner will be responsible for providing an analysis of why he/she picked the player chosen when the pick is made. Selection analysis will be limited to 100 words, with 50 words being the target.

Analysis Draft Guidelines:.

A. The Analysis Draft will begin at a date set by the commissioner..

B. The Analysis Draft will consist of 18 rounds..

C. The draft order is separate and unique from all other Fanex activities..

D. Each owner will have 12 hours to make their selection..

E. When an team owner exceeds the deadline for submitting their draft selection, other owners may make their selection in his draft position, until the originally schedule team owner has submitted a selection to the commissioner. (i.e. if the owner with selection X.03 misses the deadline, the X.04 and following draft positions may select in that place until the original tardy selection is presented to the commissioner.).

F. Each owner must draft a starting lineup and 18 total players..

G. Beginning with the start of the regular season, each owner will receive the points scored by the following positions on their team each week: Top 1 Quarterback points, Top 2 Running Back points, Top 3 Wide Receiver points, Top 1 Float (RB/WR/TE) player points, Top 1 Tight End points, Top 1 Kicker's points, Top 1 Defensive Team points..

H. These points shall be tallied together through the NFL season..

I. The team with highest total points shall be declared the Analysis Draft Champion..

Thanks!

 

[OCC]

Regarding your second reason:Left Tackle Damion McIntosh signed in the offseason by the Chiefs for their answer at this crucial position where he played for 3 seasons on the thouroughly inept O-line of the Miami Dolphins.Right Tackle Kyle Turley who, when he's not busy throwing helmets and being fined has managed to be healthy enough to actually play in only 7 games in the last 3 years. Glancing at the depth chart I can't even pronounce the guy's name that's behind Turley and unless your name is Houshmanzadeh that's never a good sign. Just the fact that they have been "replaced" doesn't necessarily mean things are better.You make a great point in regards to Shields' age and he probably wasn't playing as effectively as years past as well as the fact that LJ was more productive with Huard under center. But excusing this O-line as a non-concern is burying your head in the sand. LJ is the man though - I'll give you that. People could look silly at the end of the year for letting him fall beyond 3rd overall.

They added Damion McIntosh a 6 year starter at LT. Chris Terry is the new RT.KC used Black at LT, who was a disaster. They used 4 different starters at RT. So yes, any change is good news. As I said, they had one of the worst set of tackles in the league. McIntosh and Terry should be nice upgrades if they can stay healthy. Welbourn will be fine at guard to replace shields.The line last year was not very good. Teams rarely replace both tackles, that's a sign it was a huge area of concern. They went out early in FA and addressed the need. If they can be average tackles, the line will be improved.From what they had at tackle last year, there's not a lot of room to get worse. The interior of their line will remain very strong.

 

[Family Matters]

is no-one concerned about the KC o'line? IT IS NOT the same unit as last year!

If you look at the history of teams the one thing that stands out about KC year over year is their ability to run block. They routinely finish in the top 10 rushing because of their line play. They are rich in tradition in that regard. So you can count on them to continue to filed good run blocking lineman. Further, LJ is one of the storngest backs to ever play. He proved last year that he can handles a big load, work behind a troubled line and get stronger as the season went on. And all the while defenses knew he was coming and yet he still accomplished a fantastic season. So while the line appears to be area of concern you can rest assured that they will be doing just fine when the season starts. LJ will continue to play hard and be effective and there is no evidence to suggest anything different. Absent of their rich lineman tradition I would be concerned. A weaker back and I would be concerned. But they will be just fine.

 

[Family Matters]

WHERE are the comments TC?This draft isn't worth watching without the comments/analysis by the drafters

I can't see them either. Anyone have any help on this?

 

[SDJohnny]

WHERE are the comments TC?This draft isn't worth watching without the comments/analysis by the drafters

I can't see them either. Anyone have any help on this?

See post 8 for the link.

 

[Family Matters]

WHERE are the comments TC?This draft isn't worth watching without the comments/analysis by the drafters

I can't see them either. Anyone have any help on this?

See post 8 for the link.

Thanks!

 

[Joe T]

Edge at #10 overall seems odd.

I don't think I'd take him in the top 25.

 

[OCC]

Portis/Westbrook is a pretty sick RB combo. He should be able to grab Wayne/Boldin in the 3rd, this team is going to be stacked.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

I'm hoping Greg shows up to explain the James pick.

 

[bostonfred]

I usually like Kellogg's picks, but I hate taking Edge in the first. It's not that I don't think Edge can do well enough to justify it (I don't), it's that he could easily have gotten Edge in the second, and gotten a player he likes better than Maroney in the second. I would much rather have taken Rudi, Henry, or even Maroney (who he actually took in the second) in the first, and, if you absolutely had to have Edge, grabbed him in the second. Even if it turns out the only players he really wanted were Edge and Maroney, I think Maroney was much more likely to have been taken before 2.3 than Edge.

 

[ConstruxBoy]

I usually like Kellogg's picks, but I hate taking Edge in the first. It's not that I don't think Edge can do well enough to justify it (I don't), it's that he could easily have gotten Edge in the second, and gotten a player he likes better than Maroney in the second. I would much rather have taken Rudi, Henry, or even Maroney (who he actually took in the second) in the first, and, if you absolutely had to have Edge, grabbed him in the second. Even if it turns out the only players he really wanted were Edge and Maroney, I think Maroney was much more likely to have been taken before 2.3 than Edge.

That's what I was thinking. If you're high on Edge, that's fine. But you're taking a risk with him. So take a safer option like Johnson or Henry in the first and then get Edge at 2.3.

 

[maxxfootball]

how about a copy and past of this draft every-now-and-then for those of us who can't get to MFL.

 

[Captain Hook]

how about a copy and past of this draft every-now-and-then for those of us who can't get to MFL.

FanEx Analysis DraftRound 1 Rules | TransactionsDraft Rounds1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 1.01 Mike HarmonRB Ladainian Tomlinson SDQB: RB: Tomlinson WR: TE: PK: Analysis Pending ================================================================================== 1.02 Duane CahillRB Steven Jackson STLQB: RB: Jackson WR: TE: PK: My choice was Steven Jackson vs. Larry Johnson. I much prefer Jackson's situation with the Rams. In the last two years, LJ has lost Willie Roaf and Will Shields on the offensive line. The Chiefs will start either a rookie or a 34-year old career backup at QB, and their WR corps is ready for Medicare. Neither a possible LJ holdout nor his workload were a factor, as holdouts tend to be resolved and LJ had only 21 more touches than Jackson in '06. I have no reason to doubt that LJ will have a fine season. However, Jackson's will be better. ================================================================================== 1.03 Pitzer | HoustonRB Frank Gore SFQB: RB: Gore WR: TE: PK: Picking behind LT and Jackson is not a great spot, but in Gore, we have a guy who is ready to be a great star. He is coming off that breakout season and the ascending 49ers will ask him to do more. He already was deceptively effective as a receiver last year, important with that point per reception, but the biggest improvement this year should be with TDs. If the 49ers improve as expected, he easily will move into double digits. He was the sixth most valuable player in this scoring format last year so a few more TDs should push him near the top. Larry Johnson has so much risk that he is a scary pick this high; Joseph Addai also would make a lot of sense, but he is a bit more of a projection because he has yet to be an every-down runner. ================================================================================== 1.04 Ian Allan RB Reggie Bush NOQB: RB: Bush WR: TE: PK: I tried to trade out of this draft spot. I offered to swap first- and second-rounders with each of the next five guys. None were interested. Larry Johnson is clearly the best player on the board, but I think he’ll be a holdout and also see him as a significant injury risk, given the number of carries he gets. That left me going back and forth amongst a bunch of other guys. Alexander scores TDs but is an older guy who doesn’t catch many passes. Westbrook has missed an awful lot of games. I’m going with Bush, whom I see as a safe choice to catch 80-plus passes (huge in this format), put up 1,500 or 1,600 total yards and score about 12 TDs. Not a spot I wanted to be in; Bush might have been around at the end of the first round.================================================================================== 1.05 Jerome HickersonRB Shaun Alexander SEAQB: RB: Alexander WR: TE: PK: Analysis Pending ================================================================================== 1.06 Dolfi | Walls RB Larry Johnson KCQB: RB: LJones WR: TE: PK: Analysis Pending================================================================================== 1.07 Paul CharchianRB Joseph Addai INDQB: RB: Addai WR: TE: PK: Analysis Pending ================================================================================== 1.08 Brian HulettRB Brian Westbrook PHI QB: RB: Westbrook WR: TE: PK: Last year was the campaign when the Eagles finally leaned on "little" Brian Westbrook for the whole season, and he responded in a big way, showing no ill effects of his '05 injury. Over the past three years Westbrook has averaged about 70 receptions per, which is huge when you get one point per reception, and he scored 11 times while having his first 1000-yard rushing total. There's no longer any reason to think of this former 3rd-down back as anything less than a safe and productive mid first-rounder. ================================================================================== 1.09 Emil KadlecRB Willie Parker PITQB: RB: Parker WR: TE: PK: The Ninth spot isn’t my favorite drafting position this year. My sexy 1st-rounds picks this year are Reggie Bush and Joseph Addai. Obviously I’m not going to be very sexy this year. However, sexy doesn’t always convert to fantasy victories. Parker, I believe has the lowest risk of the remaining players and even though I love taking risks I am going to settle with him.Parker ran for the third-most yards in team history and he broke the Steelers record with 16 touchdowns (13 rushing). But for all the overall production, Parker was inconsistent, especially on the road. That’s why new coach Mike Tomlin is looking to cut back on Parker’s touches, pushing some of the workload off on a bigger, complementary back. Parker could be upset by such a change, but he apparently sees the league-wide trend of teams using multiple backs to power their running game -- as well as the benefit of lightening the load for someone whose preferred playing weight is right around 210 pounds. ... Still, given Parker’s speed and big-play capabilities, we’re convinced he’ll continue to post top-10 totals even with a slightly-reduced workload.================================================================================== 1.10 Greg Kellogg RB Edgerrin James AZQB: RB: James WR: TE: PK: ================================================================================== 1.11 Rito | NazarekRB Rudy Johnson CINQB: RB: RJohnson WR: TE: PK: ================================================================================== 1.12 TC CannonRB Travis Henry DENQB: RB: Henry WR: TE: PK: There are many good reasons to like selecting 2nd tier fantasy rusher Travis Henry. First off, he can be very productive - He's proven that with the Bills and Titans. Secondly, the Broncos want and need him to be the focus of their offense. It is that very nice combination of opportunity plus talent that makes this pick very promising There seems very little 'gamble' in adding Henry to the roster as a RB1. He could be a top 5 RB in 2007and that is something that is difficult to say about the better remaining RBs - Portis, Maroney, McGahee, Brown

 

[Captain Hook]

FanEx Analysis Draft

Round 2

Rules | Transactions

Draft Rounds

1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18

2.01

TC Cannon

QB Peyton Manning IND

QB: Manning RB: Henry WR: TE: PK:

Don't frown at the pick of an expensive QB. Instead, SMILE with me.... Why would you not draft Manning at the top of the 2nd round? It's either get him now or complete against him every week in this format. He is less risky and more productive than any other passer option in the NFL. Manning is a superstar fantasy player and 4,000 yards plus 30 TDs would not surprise any of us. He is money in the bank . I know it. You know it. He knows it. It's a fact. Manning as your weekly starter gives you an advantage over everyone else.

================================================================================

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2.02

Rito | Nazarek

RB Willis McGahee BAL

QB: RB: RJohnson McGahee WR: TE: PK:

================================================================================

==

2.03

Greg Kellogg

RB Laurence Maroney NE

QB: RB: James Maroney WR: TE: PK:

================================================================================

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2.04

Emil Kadlec

WR Chad Johnson CIN

QB: RB: Parker WR: CJohnson TE: PK:

I appreciate Mr. Kellogg taking Laurence Maroney ahead of me. That makes my decision a little more palatable. Even though the FAD is using the WCOFF.com scoring system, running backs are being drafted at a fast rate. Looking at it strictly from a value based drafting position, I should have taken a wide receiver at the 1.09 spot. However, realizing this usual RB overload I knew there would be one of the top-2 Widouts left at my next pick. I knew I could take a running back at 1.09 and still get a great receiver here at 2.04.

Chad Johnson became the first Bengal to lead the NFL in receiving yards last season thanks in large part to a five-game stretch (Weeks 9 through 13) in which he caught 37 passes for 765 yards with five touchdowns. In the final three games, however, Johnson had just 10 catches for 122 yards. He didn't score a touchdown in the final six games. When the season had ended, several players and Marvin Lewis alluded to a selfish attitude among some players. Lewis said Johnson was among those needing to learn that individual statistics and adulation don't matter without wins. We believe a full offseason of work with a healthy Carson Palmer will help Johnson considerably.

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2.05

Brian Hulett

RB Clinton Portis DEN

QB: RB: Westbrook Portis WR: TE: PK:

Last year I won this contest by a slight margin, thanks in no small part to LT. But underpinning him was a roster full of gimps including Fred Taylor, Jamal Lewis, Rex Grossman, and Braylon Edwards. All of them came through for me nicely, so I'm not afraid to click on Mr. Portis's name to support 1st-rounder Westbrook in spite of a sore shoulder and knee. Prior to his half-season in '06 he averaged double-digit TDs and 30+ receptions, and he has three 1500-yard campaigns under his belt. Plus, an immense dropoff in RBs is about to occur, and no way am I prepared to look over that precipice without two top backs.

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2.06 Paul Charchian

Player

QB: RB Addai WR: TE: PK:

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2.07 Dolfi | Walls

Player

QB: RB: LJones WR: TE: PK:

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2.08 Jerome Hickerson

Player

QB: RB: Alexander WR: TE: PK:

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2.09 Ian Allan

Player

QB: RB: Bush WR: TE: PK:

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2.10 Pitzer | Houston

Player

QB: RB: Gore WR: TE: PK:

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2.11 Duane Cahill

Player

QB: RB: Jackson WR: TE: PK:

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2.12 Mike Harmon

Player

QB: RB: Tomlinson WR: TE: PK:

 

[Bri]

Manning 2.01 2 or 3 years in a row

 

[TC]

WHERE are the comments TC?

This draft isn't worth watching without the comments/analysis by the drafters :(

I can't see them either. Anyone have any help on this?

FAD #1FAD #2

 

[bostonfred]

Wow, did Paul really time out and miss three picks?

 

[duaneok66]

I usually like Kellogg's picks, but I hate taking Edge in the first. It's not that I don't think Edge can do well enough to justify it (I don't), it's that he could easily have gotten Edge in the second, and gotten a player he likes better than Maroney in the second. I would much rather have taken Rudi, Henry, or even Maroney (who he actually took in the second) in the first, and, if you absolutely had to have Edge, grabbed him in the second. Even if it turns out the only players he really wanted were Edge and Maroney, I think Maroney was much more likely to have been taken before 2.3 than Edge.

That's what I was thinking. If you're high on Edge, that's fine. But you're taking a risk with him. So take a safer option like Johnson or Henry in the first and then get Edge at 2.3.

good point, but since he DID get Maroney at 2.3 (a guy who's often taken in the 1st) it came out okay . . .

 

[LordBourbon]

I am part of the Dolfi/Walls team - we took the much discussed LJ at #6. Just too much value there. We thought we would have had Addai/Westbrook to pick from. Alexander going before us was a surprise, as was Bush of course.

All the concerns about LJ are well founded but risk/reward was too much to pass up there.

I am wary for the reasons all pointed out here. I think LJ will be a beaten man 2 years from now, but think he SHOULD hold up this year.

We ended up with MJD in the second round.

 

[bostonfred]

I usually like Kellogg's picks, but I hate taking Edge in the first. It's not that I don't think Edge can do well enough to justify it (I don't), it's that he could easily have gotten Edge in the second, and gotten a player he likes better than Maroney in the second. I would much rather have taken Rudi, Henry, or even Maroney (who he actually took in the second) in the first, and, if you absolutely had to have Edge, grabbed him in the second. Even if it turns out the only players he really wanted were Edge and Maroney, I think Maroney was much more likely to have been taken before 2.3 than Edge.

That's what I was thinking. If you're high on Edge, that's fine. But you're taking a risk with him. So take a safer option like Johnson or Henry in the first and then get Edge at 2.3.

good point, but since he DID get Maroney at 2.3 (a guy who's often taken in the 1st) it came out okay . . .

If he liked Maroney more than the rest, then he took an awful risk waiting. If he liked someone else more than Maroney, then he unnecessarily missed out on them by not taking them first and Edge in the second. The only way the Edge pick makes sense is if he likes Edge so far and away better than any of the next five guys on his list, who he thinks are all relatively equal, that he wouldn't risk the very small chance that Edge got taken before his next pick just to get his favorite one.

 

[Ned]

im having a hard time understanding holt over steve smith.

steve smith @ 2.09 is a steal.

 

[NCPanthersFan]

I have liked Kellogg's analysis no matter where he has been the last few years but after reading this, the Edge pick still needs more splainin.

"After selecting a relatively older back with my first pick, I felt it was imperative I get a young stud to go with him. Maroney is moving into a feature back role for a team that gained 1969 rushing yards last season. With Corey Dillon gone, the bulk of the team’s nearly 500 carries will fall to Maroney. Expect 325 carries for 1400 yards and 10 TDs this season

"

I do not know how Edge gets drafted when Maroney's ADP is clearly higher and Greg's expectations for Maroney are super high.

For all I know he knows something we do not, so I am curious ......