Zasada
Footballguy
For the first time in years I'm venturing out of the FFA and into the Shark Pool.
Reading Clayton Gray's Ultimate SOS, I can't reconcile the first two columns.
Using the DST table, and the Colts as an example. The first column is "5.8". As I understand it, that's supposed to represent the SOS for 2010. The next column, is supposed to be the difference between the 2010 forecast and 2009, correct? So if the difference is also "5.8", does that imply the Colts' SOS last season was zero?
When trying to do a % difference in SOS, these huge swings can result in huge % changes, and I don't remember seeing this in earlier seasons. Did something change this season?
This also extends to other tables, like the RB table. Looking at PIT, this season is forecast at 17.3, a 7.4 point improvement YOY. That's implicitly a 75% easier schedule this year than last.
Looking back to 2009 (link), the tables seems much less volatile with the % changes from the prior year mostly in the single-digits. Some exceptions were as high as 20%+, but nothing near 75%.
Thoughts? Do I need to use this table differently than in prior years?
Reading Clayton Gray's Ultimate SOS, I can't reconcile the first two columns.
Using the DST table, and the Colts as an example. The first column is "5.8". As I understand it, that's supposed to represent the SOS for 2010. The next column, is supposed to be the difference between the 2010 forecast and 2009, correct? So if the difference is also "5.8", does that imply the Colts' SOS last season was zero?
When trying to do a % difference in SOS, these huge swings can result in huge % changes, and I don't remember seeing this in earlier seasons. Did something change this season?
This also extends to other tables, like the RB table. Looking at PIT, this season is forecast at 17.3, a 7.4 point improvement YOY. That's implicitly a 75% easier schedule this year than last.
Looking back to 2009 (link), the tables seems much less volatile with the % changes from the prior year mostly in the single-digits. Some exceptions were as high as 20%+, but nothing near 75%.
Thoughts? Do I need to use this table differently than in prior years?
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