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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (11 Viewers)

I mean in all honestly it's tough to not win when you specialize in a market with $500 max bets. But, how long can you keep these books open and operating when betting this much and killing them?
Marshall,Why would the max bet limit have anything to do with his success rate?
 
Sonny Lubick Blowup Doll said:
Thanks Deuce. Come on, where are the rest of you?
Tell your buddy that I will give him the Gold Sheet picks for half of what they want to charge him. I get all of the Gold Sheet picks through my Bloomberg terminal at work.
I just did, we'll see. He's now looking at "adamwins.com"...He's a pretty good capper in his own right, and has been gambling for 20 years, that's why it's kind of funny to me. But he killed college hoops this season with the help of the gold sheets, so now he is looking for similar help for baseball season.
 
I mean in all honestly it's tough to not win when you specialize in a market with $500 max bets. But, how long can you keep these books open and operating when betting this much and killing them?
Marshall,Why would the max bet limit have anything to do with his success rate?
He is betting into a very, very small market. Its like someone betting golf matchups. Obviously its so much easier to beat the small markets then the big ones. I don't really see how this is even a question. One max bet(s) of Tomlinson under 65 rush yds -115 moves it immediately to -145 or so. Good luck trying to move a football game from 6.5 to 7.5 on your own.....What is the harder market to beat props with $500 max bets or nfl side bets of 20k a bet?
 
Um, Marshall, just answer the question. My friend was/is about to buy some baseball tout deal for like 500 for the season. I simply told him I'd see if one of you guys might have a better lead (than Gold Sheets) or something.
no idea on baseball sides and totals. Tell him to search the forums.
He won't, nor will I, just doing him a quick favor because I'm on here (at his house). Figured you guys would throw a few out there, is all. He liked adamwins.com fwiw...over Gold Sheets anyway. In fact, as I typed this, the impatient ####er says he's gonna just pay (Adam) now. ;) I told him to wait and see what comes out of here, one more day.
 
Um, Marshall, just answer the question. My friend was/is about to buy some baseball tout deal for like 500 for the season. I simply told him I'd see if one of you guys might have a better lead (than Gold Sheets) or something.
no idea on baseball sides and totals. Tell him to search the forums.
He won't, nor will I, just doing him a quick favor because I'm on here (at his house).
You guys nude?
 
I mean in all honestly it's tough to not win when you specialize in a market with $500 max bets. But, how long can you keep these books open and operating when betting this much and killing them?
Marshall,Why would the max bet limit have anything to do with his success rate?
He is betting into a very, very small market. Its like someone betting golf matchups. Obviously its so much easier to beat the small markets then the big ones. I don't really see how this is even a question. One max bet(s) of Tomlinson under 65 rush yds -115 moves it immediately to -145 or so. Good luck trying to move a football game from 6.5 to 7.5 on your own.....What is the harder market to beat props with $500 max bets or nfl side bets of 20k a bet?
Nfl sidesamiright?CBB totals are $500 max at the big boys bookmaker and greek(upped to 1k at greek for tourney :confused: ) and have been all season long.I'm not sure why you're ragging on anyone cause they can beat a market with smaller limits. Sportsbook.com has 8 full time employees whose only job is to generate prop lines. Bookmaker now lists NBA player props every night with 1k limits, is that enough for you?Wait whats the point of your post again?The fact that you haven't been booted from sportsbook.com shows me you can't beat those small market props. :thumbup:
 
I mean in all honestly it's tough to not win when you specialize in a market with $500 max bets. But, how long can you keep these books open and operating when betting this much and killing them?
Marshall,Why would the max bet limit have anything to do with his success rate?
He is betting into a very, very small market. Its like someone betting golf matchups. Obviously its so much easier to beat the small markets then the big ones. I don't really see how this is even a question. One max bet(s) of Tomlinson under 65 rush yds -115 moves it immediately to -145 or so. Good luck trying to move a football game from 6.5 to 7.5 on your own.....What is the harder market to beat props with $500 max bets or nfl side bets of 20k a bet?
Nfl sidesamiright?CBB totals are $500 max at the big boys bookmaker and greek(upped to 1k at greek for tourney :headbang: ) and have been all season long.I'm not sure why you're ragging on anyone cause they can beat a market with smaller limits. Sportsbook.com has 8 full time employees whose only job is to generate prop lines. Bookmaker now lists NBA player props every night with 1k limits, is that enough for you?Wait whats the point of your post again?The fact that you haven't been booted from sportsbook.com shows me you can't beat those small market props. :shrug:
But you could open 10 online books and 5 credit books and get down $500 a pop on a cbb total for almost 10k and the credit books may let you bet way more. I would have trouble finding the same prop at 15 sportsbooks and max betting it - winning at a very good rate yet not getting cut off. I mean how many people here have been booted from a book for betting and killing props? A good amount. Who has been booted for winning on other stuff? Very few, if any. There is a reason pros never post prop plays, correlated parlays etc. They are a very small market and they don't want to give out the "goods" in fear of getting cutoff. I absolutely hope more books begin to post props and accept bigger bets on them. It's really what I specialize in myself, so I'm all for guys like GR and yourself being very good prop winners. But, let's not give them too much credit here (and me included) as these are not the toughest thing to beat.
 
Besides Props, I have found Live Betting the next easiest (maybe easier) thing to beat. I did the live betting on sportsbetting all weekend for the first and 2nd round games. The lines were terrible, but they limited you to $50 (halves) and $150 (game) bets. Besides just plain doing the math wrong on some games (they had lines every TV timeout), they would never take in account fouling at end of a game. An example was with the last TV timeout (i.e, 3:45 left in game), they would make the line so only 12 more points to get the over/under even if one team was winning by 8 pts (where you know the losing team is gonna foul), and even in a fast paced game (i.e, G'Town/Ohio was one I know for sure).

Anyways, I did very well and then tried to play some NIT games the other night, and they have now capped me at $5, but only for live betting.

 
Besides Props, I have found Live Betting the next easiest (maybe easier) thing to beat. I did the live betting on sportsbetting all weekend for the first and 2nd round games. The lines were terrible, but they limited you to $50 (halves) and $150 (game) bets. Besides just plain doing the math wrong on some games (they had lines every TV timeout), they would never take in account fouling at end of a game. An example was with the last TV timeout (i.e, 3:45 left in game), they would make the line so only 12 more points to get the over/under even if one team was winning by 8 pts (where you know the losing team is gonna foul), and even in a fast paced game (i.e, G'Town/Ohio was one I know for sure). Anyways, I did very well and then tried to play some NIT games the other night, and they have now capped me at $5, but only for live betting.
livebetting is great if you can wait till the last half of the last quarter to get going on it. Sportsbook used to put up just flat dumb lines late in NFL games until about week 7 then they quit putting up anything with about 7 minutes to go.
 
I mean in all honestly it's tough to not win when you specialize in a market with $500 max bets. But, how long can you keep these books open and operating when betting this much and killing them?
Marshall,Why would the max bet limit have anything to do with his success rate?
He is betting into a very, very small market. Its like someone betting golf matchups. Obviously its so much easier to beat the small markets then the big ones. I don't really see how this is even a question. One max bet(s) of Tomlinson under 65 rush yds -115 moves it immediately to -145 or so. Good luck trying to move a football game from 6.5 to 7.5 on your own.....

What is the harder market to beat props with $500 max bets or nfl side bets of 20k a bet?
Nfl sidesamiright?

CBB totals are $500 max at the big boys bookmaker and greek(upped to 1k at greek for tourney :goodposting: ) and have been all season long.

I'm not sure why you're ragging on anyone cause they can beat a market with smaller limits. Sportsbook.com has 8 full time employees whose only job is to generate prop lines. Bookmaker now lists NBA player props every night with 1k limits, is that enough for you?

Wait whats the point of your post again?

The fact that you haven't been booted from sportsbook.com shows me you can't beat those small market props. :bag:
But you could open 10 online books and 5 credit books and get down $500 a pop on a cbb total for almost 10k and the credit books may let you bet way more. I would have trouble finding the same prop at 15 sportsbooks and max betting it - winning at a very good rate yet not getting cut off.

I mean how many people here have been booted from a book for betting and killing props? A good amount. Who has been booted for winning on other stuff? Very few, if any.

There is a reason pros never post prop plays, correlated parlays etc. They are a very small market and they don't want to give out the "goods" in fear of getting cutoff.

I absolutely hope more books begin to post props and accept bigger bets on them. It's really what I specialize in myself, so I'm all for guys like GR and yourself being very good prop winners. But, let's not give them too much credit here (and me included) as these are not the toughest thing to beat.
You've been out of the game friend......lots of places not booting players but lowering limits on CBB stuff. Sportsbetting, betphoenix, betjam, justbet. Books are using delays and cutting limits severely. Sportsbetting has me at $55 max bet on CBB totals and sides. Betjam has cut limits big time. There are 2 books that I know of that haven't cut players, greek and bookmaker.

ETA: sportsbetting limits on CBB totals were 1100 to start the season and I never reached max on sides so not sure what that was.

ETA2: forgot bodog, they asked me to phone in all bets, same limits but i have to call them now :lmao: no thanks

 
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Maybe I have but in fairness those books aren't exactly the strongest.

CBB total markets are just a step ahead of props, so both markets are very small. My original comparison was with nfl sides.

 
Maybe I have but in fairness those books aren't exactly the strongest. CBB total markets are just a step ahead of props, so both markets are very small. My original comparison was with nfl sides.
NFL sides is a small market, only ~300 games a year. that's 2 saturdays of college basketball :D I'd rather be able to beat NBA or MLBETA: sure those books aren't the strongest, like i said bookmaker and greek don't cut but that's it for the US market, every other book will lower limits.
 
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Maybe I have but in fairness those books aren't exactly the strongest. CBB total markets are just a step ahead of props, so both markets are very small. My original comparison was with nfl sides.
NFL sides is a small market, only ~300 games a year. that's 2 saturdays of college basketball :lmao: I'd rather be able to beat NBA or MLBETA: sure those books aren't the strongest, like i said bookmaker and greek don't cut but that's it for the US market, every other book will lower limits.
nfl sides is a large market with a small amount of games. I do agree I would rather be able to beat other sports with a large number of games - namely baseball with matchbook. But, due to the very large market it's simple sometimes to cherrypick good lines in nfl sides due to the vast amount of money losing bettors bet.
 
OSU +100 to win their bracket(ETA this is at 5dimes)

where's the guy who had OSU at 75-1?

 
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Second call on the MLB player futures list for Sportsbook and/or betus. Great lines still available. Outstanding investment. 13 plays, win % will beat Dodds % return on his stock pick of the century (VISN) or your money back :kicksrock: PM if interested.

 
Syracuse 1400-25500

New Mexico 1300-107750

Purdue 500-10000

West Virginia 500-10000

Villanova 500-7500

Kansas State 500-9075

Round 1 Hedges

Montana +9 1100 to win 1000

Round 2 Hedges

UW ML 1975 to win 1500

SMC +5 2H - nova hedge 550 to win 500

Texas AM -1.5 1100 to win 1000 purdue hedge, hopefully they don't win by 1

Missouri +6(-109) WVU hedge 545 to win 500

Gonzaga +6.5(-108) SU hedge 540 to win 500

Gonzaga +7(-115) SU hedge 570 to win 496

Round 3 Hedges

pending

Total Risked

16330

Total Won

-1555
Round 3 HedgesDuke ML (-380) 4150 to win 1092, I actually didn't love this bet until the ML jumped to -450 and sportsbook was slow to move their line so I jumped on it. I'm not a Duke fan but I think they make the final 4 this year. 3 guys averaging 17+ppg, nice cushion to have in the NCAA tourney, one player struggles, 2 others can pick up the slack.

I like Kansas State, if I see -4 I'll bet them, I'd probably bet it at 4.5 but because of the future I'm probably sitting this game out and hoping for the KSU win

I hate that I bet Gonzaga last round, I thought at the time it was a good bet, SU really came to play. I have no idea what I'm going to do with the Butler game.

WVU favored by 5, again not sure what I'm going to do in this game
Adding UW +4.5 550 to win 500Butler +6 707 to win 642 - using a freeplay on this so I'm not risking anything

Xavier +4.5 550 to win 500

 
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Okay, my buddy subscribed to that "adamwins.com" dude. "They" are on the Lakers tonight, down 9 early. :banned:

His other three picks (4 total) have gone 2 - 1, but they were from his cohorts.

 
Okay, well done for Adam's first night, with the easy Lakers victory. My friend won big, I won a little...

So he (they) go 3 - 1. Under in Barcelona soccer, Over Boston U/Virg Common, and the Nuggets (loser).

I'll post tomorrow's plays early. I know this is silly, but it will be fun at least for March Madness...

 
Okay, well done for Adam's first night, with the easy Lakers victory. My friend won big, I won a little...So he (they) go 3 - 1. Under in Barcelona soccer, Over Boston U/Virg Common, and the Nuggets (loser).I'll post tomorrow's plays early. I know this is silly, but it will be fun at least for March Madness...
i look forward to seeing how this guy's picks go. glad to hear your friend won big too.
 
Syracuse 1400-25500

New Mexico 1300-107750

Purdue 500-10000

West Virginia 500-10000

Villanova 500-7500

Kansas State 500-9075

Round 1 Hedges

Montana +9 1100 to win 1000

Round 2 Hedges

UW ML 1975 to win 1500

SMC +5 2H - nova hedge 550 to win 500

Texas AM -1.5 1100 to win 1000 purdue hedge, hopefully they don't win by 1

Missouri +6(-109) WVU hedge 545 to win 500

Gonzaga +6.5(-108) SU hedge 540 to win 500

Gonzaga +7(-115) SU hedge 570 to win 496

Round 3 Hedges

Adding UW +4.5 550 to win 500

Butler +6 707 to win 642 - using a freeplay on this so I'm not risking anything

Xavier +4.5 550 to win 500

Duke ML -380 4150 to win 1092

Total Risked

16330

Total Won

-3413
This could get ugly if Duke loses tonight. I have WVU and KSU both in the elite 8. KSU line is at -4.5 right now and I'll be betting the Kentucky ML when it's WA.Losing money on that cuse wager is awful.

 
I think it's really interesting to follow Lumpy in his voyage into NCAA tourney championship futures along with the hedging. Hopefully it ends up profitable!!!!! As far as my trials and tribulations...going into this month I set a goal of 60% over the course of the month and with 6 days to go in March, I am sitting at exactly 60% (111-74). It is very important to me that I meet this goal. In case there is anyone else like myself that enjoys following these expeditions, such as Lumpys futures or Dodds stock picks, etc, I will chronicle this mission to achieve 60%. Alot of action tonight:

NCAA

Scotty Hopson (Tenn) under five 3 point attempts -115

Raymar Morgan (MSU) over 18 points+rebounds -115

Eglseder (No Iowa) under 10.5 points +100

Jajuan Johnson (Purdue) over 13.5 points -115 (2 units)

Michigan State -1 -105

NBA

Stoudemire over 6.5 points in 1st quarter -115

Salmons over 16.5 points -130

Harris over 28.5 points+rebounds+assists -115

Udrih over 18.5 points+assists -120 (3 units)

Landry over 22.5 points+rebounds -125

Stephen Jackson over 28.5 points+rebounds+assists -130

MTD:

111-74

60%

 
Okay, here's an under "of the week"...NBA...Portland U192...from our "main" guy. :bag:The other bets today are Wash Huskies and Cornell Over. I was already down on Washington myself...
Well, if any of you followed that Portland under, it was a MIRACLE cover. Unbelievable, it was flying way to the over. Then a slow third, and with 5 minutes to go in the fourth, it was like they decided to shut 'er down. :lmao: I added to the under at half, so it actually saved me (had Washington pretty big).So anyway, the main guy, and again this is just for fun, is 2 - 0 so far. Same with their soccer guy. The college dude has sucked.Not sure what they're on tonight. Personally, it will be Duke for me, big.
 
Okay, here's an under "of the week"...NBA...Portland U192...from our "main" guy. :popcorn:The other bets today are Wash Huskies and Cornell Over. I was already down on Washington myself...
Well, if any of you followed that Portland under, it was a MIRACLE cover. Unbelievable, it was flying way to the over. Then a slow third, and with 5 minutes to go in the fourth, it was like they decided to shut 'er down. :thumbup: I added to the under at half, so it actually saved me (had Washington pretty big).So anyway, the main guy, and again this is just for fun, is 2 - 0 so far. Same with their soccer guy. The college dude has sucked.Not sure what they're on tonight. Personally, it will be Duke for me, big.
I was following that Portland under, miracle indeed. 13 points in the final 5:00 with 7 consecutive missed fg to end the game. Congrats!
 
Wow, I've got NBA props on the board now. This is a first.

So I tailed GooRoo on Harris, Landry and Jackson. :thumbup: The others weren't available and the college lines were all WAY higher than where TGR got them. We'll see!

:popcorn:

 
Okay, here's an under "of the week"...NBA...Portland U192...from our "main" guy. :lol:

The other bets today are Wash Huskies and Cornell Over. I was already down on Washington myself...
Well, if any of you followed that Portland under, it was a MIRACLE cover. Unbelievable, it was flying way to the over. Then a slow third, and with 5 minutes to go in the fourth, it was like they decided to shut 'er down. :lmao: I added to the under at half, so it actually saved me (had Washington pretty big).So anyway, the main guy, and again this is just for fun, is 2 - 0 so far. Same with their soccer guy. The college dude has sucked.

Not sure what they're on tonight. Personally, it will be Duke for me, big.
I was following that Portland under, miracle indeed. 13 points in the final 5:00 with 7 consecutive missed fg to end the game. Congrats!
I was watching it too. I have enjoyed gambling vicariously through the picks posted here for a bit, while I build up my "real world" cash flow again. That under was crazy, it was funy when both teams kept shooting 3's back and forth. And good luck with those plays GR, I'm sure 60% will be an easy hit for you. for me, I am trying very hard to stick to the only wagering i can make money with, and that is the MMA wagering. I have a bunch listed in that thread, but the big plays i have are:

Shane Carwin +130

Ricardo Almeida -160

I may dabble in a few others, but these 2 are the big boys for now

 
When do those MMA fights go? And how much do you like each of them?
the fights are tomorrow night. The MMA wagering thread that is floating around has some good analysis on the fights. I need to brush up a little on some of Almeida's recent fights. I'm fairly confident in both, but I hate saying that because when i do i begin to lose confidence. I will brush up and make sure they are the way to go.
 
Syracuse 1400-25500

New Mexico 1300-107750

Purdue 500-10000

West Virginia 500-10000

Villanova 500-7500

Kansas State 500-9075

Round 1 Hedges

Montana +9 1100 to win 1000

Round 2 Hedges

UW ML 1975 to win 1500

SMC +5 2H - nova hedge 550 to win 500

Texas AM -1.5 1100 to win 1000 purdue hedge, hopefully they don't win by 1

Missouri +6(-109) WVU hedge 545 to win 500

Gonzaga +6.5(-108) SU hedge 540 to win 500

Gonzaga +7(-115) SU hedge 570 to win 496

Round 3 Hedges

Adding UW +4.5 550 to win 500

Butler +6 707 to win 642 - using a freeplay on this so I'm not risking anything

Xavier +4.5 550 to win 500

Duke ML -380 4150 to win 1092

Total Risked

22080

Total Won

-2821
For todayKentucky ML 5750 to win 3000(my largest wager ever :thumbup: )

I played Kansas State -3.5 when it opened so no hedge on KSU for me. Hopefully my hatred of Butler isn't clouding my judgment on this one.

Go KENTUCKY!! :unsure:

 
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Okay, here's an under "of the week"...NBA...Portland U192...from our "main" guy. :rolleyes:

The other bets today are Wash Huskies and Cornell Over. I was already down on Washington myself...
Well, if any of you followed that Portland under, it was a MIRACLE cover. Unbelievable, it was flying way to the over. Then a slow third, and with 5 minutes to go in the fourth, it was like they decided to shut 'er down. :) I added to the under at half, so it actually saved me (had Washington pretty big).So anyway, the main guy, and again this is just for fun, is 2 - 0 so far. Same with their soccer guy. The college dude has sucked.

Not sure what they're on tonight. Personally, it will be Duke for me, big.
I was following that Portland under, miracle indeed. 13 points in the final 5:00 with 7 consecutive missed fg to end the game. Congrats!
I was watching it too. I have enjoyed gambling vicariously through the picks posted here for a bit, while I build up my "real world" cash flow again. That under was crazy, it was funy when both teams kept shooting 3's back and forth. And good luck with those plays GR, I'm sure 60% will be an easy hit for you. for me, I am trying very hard to stick to the only wagering i can make money with, and that is the MMA wagering. I have a bunch listed in that thread, but the big plays i have are:

Shane Carwin +130

Ricardo Almeida -160

I may dabble in a few others, but these 2 are the big boys for now
i'm slimming down my Almeida pick for now. betting against Matt Brown is like betting Lytle, so if Almeida doesn't submit Brown it could be tough. I will throw a nice chunk on Rodney Wallace at -130 though, i watched some of his fights, and some on Hamman, and Wallace should win this. Hamman isn't bringing much to the table, and this is a fight to boost Wallac a bit. at least that is what it would seem to be
 
Just a filthy night yesterday, definitely helping the fight for 60% and with the 2 and 3 unit plays crushing, huge for the months bottom line. Today:

Kentucky -4

Patrick Patterson (Kentucky) o 17.5 points+rebounds -130

Butler Alt. Line +9.5 -220

Shelvin Mack (Butler) o 15.5 points+assists -115

MTD

119-77

60.7%

 
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TheGooRoo said:
Just a filthy night yesterday, definitely helping the fight for 60% and with the 2 and 3 unit plays crushing, huge for the months bottom line. Today:Kentucky -4 Patrick Patterson (Kentucky) o 17.5 points+rebounds -130Butler Alt. Line +9.5 -220Shelvin Mack (Butler) o 15.5 points+assists -115MTD119-7760.7%
nice job bud. I see your Butler pick did well, and I think i will hop on board the Kentucky pick for the halftime line. Should be pretty good, and my guess is that the officials will not do WVU any favors in the second half.
 
TheGooRoo said:
Just a filthy night yesterday, definitely helping the fight for 60% and with the 2 and 3 unit plays crushing, huge for the months bottom line. Today:Kentucky -4 Patrick Patterson (Kentucky) o 17.5 points+rebounds -130Butler Alt. Line +9.5 -220Shelvin Mack (Butler) o 15.5 points+assists -115MTD119-7760.7%
nice job bud. I see your Butler pick did well, and I think i will hop on board the Kentucky pick for the halftime line. Should be pretty good, and my guess is that the officials will not do WVU any favors in the second half.
wow, it seems like Kentucy is the pick at the half. It opened on sportsbook at -4, and i went to confirm and it went to 4.5. 4 minutes later and the line is now Kentucky -5.5.
 
TheGooRoo said:
Just a filthy night yesterday, definitely helping the fight for 60% and with the 2 and 3 unit plays crushing, huge for the months bottom line. Today:Kentucky -4 Patrick Patterson (Kentucky) o 17.5 points+rebounds -130Butler Alt. Line +9.5 -220Shelvin Mack (Butler) o 15.5 points+assists -115MTD119-7760.7%
GooRoo, nice job yesterday. Way to hit them.
 
well, for the big boys, George St.-Pierre is a virtual lock tonight. His latest line was -550 or something. if he falls under-500 i could give it a try, but it is out of my price league

 
I was watching it too. I have enjoyed gambling vicariously through the picks posted here for a bit, while I build up my "real world" cash flow again. That under was crazy, it was funy when both teams kept shooting 3's back and forth. And good luck with those plays GR, I'm sure 60% will be an easy hit for you.

for me, I am trying very hard to stick to the only wagering i can make money with, and that is the MMA wagering. I have a bunch listed in that thread, but the big plays i have are:

Shane Carwin +130

Ricardo Almeida -160

I may dabble in a few others, but these 2 are the big boys for now
Bang, Bang!! ;)
 
Today:

Rip Hamilton u 17.5 pts -115

Curry o 27.5 pts+asst -115

Chris Allen (Michigan State) u 7.5 pts -115

Lucious (Michigan State) o 14 pts+asst -125

Raymar Morgan (Michigan State) u 12.5 pts -115

JP Prince (Tenn) o 10.5 pts -115

Singler (Duke) o 17.5 pts -115

Zoubek (Duke) o 14 pts+reb -115

Scheyer (Duke) o 21 pts+asst -125

Dunn (Baylor) u 3.5 made 3's +100

122-78

61%

 
Syracuse 1400-25500

New Mexico 1300-107750

Purdue 500-10000

West Virginia 500-10000

Villanova 500-7500

Kansas State 500-9075

Round 1 Hedges

Montana +9 1100 to win 1000

Round 2 Hedges

UW ML 1975 to win 1500

SMC +5 2H - nova hedge 550 to win 500

Texas AM -1.5 1100 to win 1000 purdue hedge, hopefully they don't win by 1

Missouri +6(-109) WVU hedge 545 to win 500

Gonzaga +6.5(-108) SU hedge 540 to win 500

Gonzaga +7(-115) SU hedge 570 to win 496

Round 3 Hedges

Adding UW +4.5 550 to win 500

Butler +6 707 to win 642 - using a freeplay on this so I'm not risking anything

Xavier +4.5 550 to win 500

Duke ML -380 4150 to win 1092

Kentucky ML 5750 to win 3000

Total Risked

22080

Total Won

-9071
Yesterday was about as bad as it gets. No more hedging, need WVU to win it all. Hopefully the next team they play also shoots 12.5% from 3
 
Syracuse 1400-25500

New Mexico 1300-107750

Purdue 500-10000

West Virginia 500-10000

Villanova 500-7500

Kansas State 500-9075

Round 1 Hedges

Montana +9 1100 to win 1000

Round 2 Hedges

UW ML 1975 to win 1500

SMC +5 2H - nova hedge 550 to win 500

Texas AM -1.5 1100 to win 1000 purdue hedge, hopefully they don't win by 1

Missouri +6(-109) WVU hedge 545 to win 500

Gonzaga +6.5(-108) SU hedge 540 to win 500

Gonzaga +7(-115) SU hedge 570 to win 496

Round 3 Hedges

Adding UW +4.5 550 to win 500

Butler +6 707 to win 642 - using a freeplay on this so I'm not risking anything

Xavier +4.5 550 to win 500

Duke ML -380 4150 to win 1092

Kentucky ML 5750 to win 3000

Total Risked

22080

Total Won

-9071
Yesterday was about as bad as it gets. No more hedging, need WVU to win it all. Hopefully the next team they play also shoots 12.5% from 3
good luck man. i'll be rooting for WVU for you. and does anybody know how MP's strategy turned out?

 
good luck man. i'll be rooting for WVU for you. and does anybody know how MP's strategy turned out?
I'm not sure how MP's strategy turned out. I would have gotten smoked either way with the teams I had. I would have saved money on the Purdue bet because it was made before Hummel got hurt but I think that's about it. One thing I did learn, cuse was the only bet that had better value than what the books offered after the tourney was setup and all the teams had their seeds. KSU as a 2 seed was +2200, i played them before the tourney at +1815 HOPING they'd get a 2 seed. Need to make sure I remember that next year.
 
any help is mucho appreciated. i cleared all my messages in the inbox and can't find any of the old emails. there was a cat who posted here that was a super duper baseball stat nerd. for my main site, pregame.com, i wanted to get him as a blogger and maybe groom into a pick seller. anyone have a clue who i am talking about?

 
good luck man. i'll be rooting for WVU for you. and does anybody know how MP's strategy turned out?
I'm not sure how MP's strategy turned out. I would have gotten smoked either way with the teams I had. I would have saved money on the Purdue bet because it was made before Hummel got hurt but I think that's about it. One thing I did learn, cuse was the only bet that had better value than what the books offered after the tourney was setup and all the teams had their seeds. KSU as a 2 seed was +2200, i played them before the tourney at +1815 HOPING they'd get a 2 seed. Need to make sure I remember that next year.
That whole New Mexico thing is a cautionary tale i won't soon forget. That was a ####### bear trap.
 
A stupid Question for those of you with sportsbook, and possibly other sites. More specifically golf, When you bet the "zx field" are you getting all of the golfers listed below this bet or the golfers that are not listed?

for example if it were;

Tiger 3-1

zx field 8-1

Mick 10-1

etc.

??

I just dont know if all the golfers golfing in each tourney are listed or not.

i

 
Syracuse 1400-25500

New Mexico 1300-107750

Purdue 500-10000

West Virginia 500-10000

Villanova 500-7500

Kansas State 500-9075

Round 1 Hedges

Montana +9 1100 to win 1000

Round 2 Hedges

UW ML 1975 to win 1500

SMC +5 2H - nova hedge 550 to win 500

Texas AM -1.5 1100 to win 1000 purdue hedge, hopefully they don't win by 1

Missouri +6(-109) WVU hedge 545 to win 500

Gonzaga +6.5(-108) SU hedge 540 to win 500

Gonzaga +7(-115) SU hedge 570 to win 496

Round 3 Hedges

Adding UW +4.5 550 to win 500

Butler +6 707 to win 642 - using a freeplay on this so I'm not risking anything

Xavier +4.5 550 to win 500

Duke ML -380 4150 to win 1092

Kentucky ML 5750 to win 3000

Total Risked

22080

Total Won

-9071
Yesterday was about as bad as it gets. No more hedging, need WVU to win it all. Hopefully the next team they play also shoots 12.5% from 3
Lump, seems to me that the Duke/WV winner will be a pretty decent favorite in the title game.Taking Duke -2.5 might not be a bad idea.

 
good luck man. i'll be rooting for WVU for you. and does anybody know how MP's strategy turned out?
I'm not sure how MP's strategy turned out. I would have gotten smoked either way with the teams I had. I would have saved money on the Purdue bet because it was made before Hummel got hurt but I think that's about it. One thing I did learn, cuse was the only bet that had better value than what the books offered after the tourney was setup and all the teams had their seeds. KSU as a 2 seed was +2200, i played them before the tourney at +1815 HOPING they'd get a 2 seed. Need to make sure I remember that next year.
What was MP's strategy?
 
My strategy was to parlay moneylines throughout on teams that Lumpy liked and a few who I liked - Pitt and Washington. I only did rd 1. I have always said that if you are hedging all games, you really want your team to lose quickly and just make money. You get into a bind with teams like WVU who advance far - now you are in essence gambling they win it all (which is perfectly fine). But, you cannot quit and take a profit.

Moneyline parlaying I could quit with WVU right now and take my profit.

Lumpy had some good bets, too bad they didn't pay off - well maybe wvu still can.

 

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