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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (5 Viewers)

**** Ref 4 star hot tip ****A good pal of mine is a local Boston Area High School coach with sig tie in's to the BC program. He knows one of the Key Starting Linebackers and talks to him 1-2 times a week to this day. He said it was a BAD week at BC. In fighting and other general suckatude. Now thats not a good thing but I wouldn't bet that info. What I am betting on is this player made it very clear that BC Defense knows they are going to get trucked today.NW -4 for 2 units.
good enough for me
We got 90% great advice. From the Northwestern Goaline to the BC 10 BC is getting trucked. From the BC 10 to the BC goaline they are the 85 bears.
you buying any back at half? BC +2
:thumbup: Just bought one unit back.
 
**** Ref 4 star hot tip ****A good pal of mine is a local Boston Area High School coach with sig tie in's to the BC program. He knows one of the Key Starting Linebackers and talks to him 1-2 times a week to this day. He said it was a BAD week at BC. In fighting and other general suckatude. Now thats not a good thing but I wouldn't bet that info. What I am betting on is this player made it very clear that BC Defense knows they are going to get trucked today.NW -4 for 2 units.
good enough for me
We got 90% great advice. From the Northwestern Goaline to the BC 10 BC is getting trucked. From the BC 10 to the BC goaline they are the 85 bears.
you buying any back at half? BC +2
:thumbup: Just bought one unit back.
:hifive:
 
Las Vegas Sharps Report - NFL Week 2

TAMPA BAY AT NY GIANTS:

The opener here was Giants by 8.5. Sharps were impressed with Tampa Bay’s intensity last week, and know that New York can be spotty as a home favorite (they’re most dangerous when expectations are low, and conversely play down to the level of their opposition when you expect them to outperform). The line has come down to NYG -7 as a result. That also keeps the game out of the two-team teaser window, as anything from 7.5 to 8.5 would encourage teaser players to move the Giants down past both the 7 and the 3 to the -1.5 to 2.5 range. I will only talk about Over/Unders that have seen Sharp influences of at least a point. Nothing yet here.

ARIZONA AT NEW ENGLAND:

No interest from Sharps in this game yet, with the line staying at New England -13.5 and 48.5 or 49 all week. It’s telling that Sharps DIDN’T drive the line to -14. I've told you in the past that any widely available line that settles within a half point of a key numbers gives away Sharp intent. If Sharps wanted the favorite here, they would have jumped all over -13.5, (since its likely that the public will jump on NE, taking the line to two full TDs or more). They didn’t. That tells you Sharps are waiting to see if that scenario plays out on the weekend so they can come in on the big dog at +14 or better.

MINNESOTA AT INDIANAPOLIS:

This line opened at pick-em, and moved to Minnesota -1. That’s not much of a move since games rarely end in a tie. Many Sharps were disappointed with the Colts last week in terms of overall team quality. Andrew Luck is going to be a star, but he’s not surrounded by a lot of talent at the moment, and the defense struggled badly in Chicago. But, even with that, the Vikes only moved a point, possibly because of previous poor performances in this spot, having lost 5 straight and 13 of the last 15 against the AFC, as well as 3 straight vs the Colts.

NEW ORLEANS AT CAROLINA:

Carolina received support as a home dog here, moving from +3 down to +2.5. Even though it’s only a half-point move, that’s a strong indicator because three is a key number and it takes significant money to move off key numbers. Sharps will typically bet any line TOWARD the three just based on historical percentages. Money moving a game off a three is therefore very significant. Note that there was no buyback on the Saints at -2.5. Sharps are anti-Saints after that poor showing last week vs. Washington, and given all that the franchise has gone through in the offseason. Remember Sharps are dog players by default and will usually side with the pup unless there are compelling reasons not to.

KANSAS CITY AT BUFFALO:

No interest from Sharps here that we can decipher from the line or from discussions with well-placed sources. Both teams struggled last week. An opening line of Buffalo -3 basically says the teams are even and the Bills are getting home field advantage. Sharps would fade any public line move, but this isn’t the kind of game the public usually bets with any passion. If nothing significant changes, Sharps will likely grab the points with KC, as they at least showed signs of life against a good Atlanta squad.

BALTIMORE AT PHILADELPHIA:

Big news on both the side and total here, as an opener of 43.5 is up to 46 because Baltimore looked so good in its up-tempo offense last week. If they’re going to strike deep and often, then they will switch from a team that plays defensive struggles to one that plays shootouts. An opener of Philly -3 has come down to -2.5 as well, because the Ravens looked so good Monday. Given how badly the Eagles played in Cleveland, Sharps are taking Baltimore on the moneyline to win outright. As mentioned in NO/Carolina, the game moved off the three and didn’t go back to the key number. Very important.

OAKLAND AT MIAMI:

Here we have another move off a key number, as Oakland opened at -3 but was bet down to -2.5. It’s not that Sharps love Miami -- they looked pretty bad in Houston last week, but the Raiders were also very much out of sync Monday Night vs. San Diego, and are now flying cross country for an early start on a short week. Sharps felt the Raiders were getting too much respect at -3. Nobody of merit has stepped in on the Raiders at -2.5 after the drop. The opening total of 39.5 is down to 38.5 or 38 because both offenses look to be in trouble to start the season.

CLEVELAND AT CINCINNATI:

The only interest here has been on the total, as an opener of 40 is down to 38 or 38.5. That may foreshadow weather issues. But, it’s mostly because Cleveland’s offense was so inept last week that Sharps are reluctant to bet Overs in their games! The Browns didn’t score an offensive TD, but did play valiant defense. Same story as last year. Sharps, particularly the stats guys, hit the Under hard when it went up at 40. The Bengals opened at -7 on the team side line and stayed there. Sharps would fade any public move off the key number.

HOUSTON AT JACKSONVILLE:

Here we have a move on a home dog toward a critical number. Houston opened -7.5 and fell to -7 even though they posted a big win vs. Miami. Jacksonville is a home underdog that tends to get up for its divisional rivals. And they gave Minnesota all they could handle last week. Sharps expect a competitive game, and are backing Jacksonville accordingly.

DALLAS AT SEATTLE:

This may end up being a heavily bet game, but it’s not one showing Sharp tendencies yet. Dallas is -3 on the road after impressing in New York and having extra time to get ready. Sharps absolutely LOVED Seattle last week in Arizona, but have rethought that given the disappointing Seahawks performance. The public will likely bet Dallas on game day. Sharps would come in on the home dog IF they can get them at +3.5. We may just see oddsmakers adjust the vig because they don’t want to risk getting sided in a game that will draw public action on game day.

WASHINGTON AT ST. LOUIS:

Interest here has been on the total, as an opener of 44 is up to 45.5. That’s based on Washington’s strong offensive showing in New Orleans. They’re playing indoors again this week… which should allow RG3 to take advantage of his legs and his arm. The team side line hasn’t moved off Washington -3 because Sharps aren’t ready yet to lay more than a FG with a rookie QB on the road. They would bet the dog at +3.5 if the public were to start a Redskins bandwagon. A lot of games on the three this week.

NY JETS AT PITTSBURGH:

Pittsburgh opened at -6 in the marquee matchup amongst the late games. Sharps hit the dog at that line, dropping the line to Jets +5.5. Sharps weren’t impressed with Pittsburgh Sunday Night in Denver, (having backed them solidly and losing, with more than one mentioning Todd Haley's play-calling) and like New York's chances to make this a competitive game. The total hasn’t moved much yet. But, it will drop if weather becomes a factor, particularly because there’s a college game on this field Saturday.

TENNESSEE AT SAN DIEGO:

San Diego fell a point from -7 down to -6 off their Monday night game. Even though they won, they didn’t look very good. Sharps couldn’t accept them as a full TD favorite given their form last year and lackluster performance in the opener against Oakland. This is a big move off a key number, even if it’s only a point, particularly since Sharps could have waited to see if the public bet the Chargers. They didn’t want to wait, and took the TD early. The total has dropped from 44 to 43.

DETROIT AT SAN FRANCISCO:

This line has frozen at San Francisco by 6.5 with a total of 46. What’s that tell you? If the Sharps liked the favorite, they would have hit that -6.5 immediately. They didn’t, which means they want the dog and are hoping for a +7 (or better) in a Sunday Night TV game that the public has all day to bet. Sharps would likely come in very strong if they saw that seven, and will still get involved with authority on game day if +6.5 is the best they’re going to get.

DENVER AT ATLANTA:

Sharps were impressed with Peyton Manning last week. Atlanta opened here at -3.5 but has been bet down to the key number. That’s something, because Sharps loved Atlanta last week at Kansas City and won with them. The Falcons are a team that Sharps are currently high on… but you can now say that about BOTH of these teams. The total in this Monday Night finale has moved up two points from an opener of 49 to 51. Good quarterbacks playing indoors will draw attention from Sharps, particularly given the high scoring league tendencies last week and during the prime parts of the Preseason.

 
**** Ref 4 star hot tip ****A good pal of mine is a local Boston Area High School coach with sig tie in's to the BC program. He knows one of the Key Starting Linebackers and talks to him 1-2 times a week to this day. He said it was a BAD week at BC. In fighting and other general suckatude. Now thats not a good thing but I wouldn't bet that info. What I am betting on is this player made it very clear that BC Defense knows they are going to get trucked today.NW -4 for 2 units.
good enough for me
We got 90% great advice. From the Northwestern Goaline to the BC 10 BC is getting trucked. From the BC 10 to the BC goaline they are the 85 bears.
Just looked at the stats...you ain't lyin.
 
'Tiger Fan said:
'The Ref said:
'Tiger Fan said:
'The Ref said:
**** Ref 4 star hot tip ****A good pal of mine is a local Boston Area High School coach with sig tie in's to the BC program. He knows one of the Key Starting Linebackers and talks to him 1-2 times a week to this day. He said it was a BAD week at BC. In fighting and other general suckatude. Now thats not a good thing but I wouldn't bet that info. What I am betting on is this player made it very clear that BC Defense knows they are going to get trucked today.NW -4 for 2 units.
good enough for me
We got 90% great advice. From the Northwestern Goaline to the BC 10 BC is getting trucked. From the BC 10 to the BC goaline they are the 85 bears.
Just looked at the stats...you ain't lyin.
31 first downs. 500 yards...... 5 FG and 0 TD. Cant make it up if I tired.
 
'Tiger Fan said:
'The Ref said:
'Tiger Fan said:
'The Ref said:
**** Ref 4 star hot tip ****A good pal of mine is a local Boston Area High School coach with sig tie in's to the BC program. He knows one of the Key Starting Linebackers and talks to him 1-2 times a week to this day. He said it was a BAD week at BC. In fighting and other general suckatude. Now thats not a good thing but I wouldn't bet that info. What I am betting on is this player made it very clear that BC Defense knows they are going to get trucked today.NW -4 for 2 units.
good enough for me
We got 90% great advice. From the Northwestern Goaline to the BC 10 BC is getting trucked. From the BC 10 to the BC goaline they are the 85 bears.
Just looked at the stats...you ain't lyin.
31 first downs. 500 yards...... 5 FG and 0 TD. Cant make it up if I tired.
Never trust smart kids.
 
'Doctor Detroit said:
FWIW I just went through all the consensus plays from the services and there were a lot of BYUs and UNCs. I think I'll try UNC +3.5.
I'm shocked UNC has come back to make this close. Sweating it for you :thumbup:
 
Can someone who is watching the game tell me if that last NW TD was BC letting them score? I imagine it had to be.
Why would you let a team score when doing so puts them up 9?
Because 1:30 left on the clock and running with no T.O. left..00000001 chance > .0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001 Chance
no they weren't but the NU guy was stupid not to fall down after getting a first down.
 
Just got home from the gym. I hope I never have to quit because they have ESPN on about seventy high definition televisions over there constantly reminding you.

 
Phils are f'n me up, locked in Martinez to put a beating on Chavez Jr. tonight at -200

ETA: just went to add, now at -260 :thumbdown:

 
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I dont care what happened in the first half. If you would have offered me 53 points for a total in the LSU before the game started I would have gladly played the under.

2HU 23.5

 
'John Bender said:
'LHUCKS said:
Convince me Michigan St. -5.5 vs. Notre Dame isn't free money?
I guess the first reason would be that you apparently like it and you are complete mush when it comes to predicting anything.
:coffee:It's uncanny.
Guy loves losing money. Probably the saddest sack we've seen in this thread. Not even going to win my ML Mich St play thanks to Levi Mush.:hot:You are awful.
 
I dont care what happened in the first half. If you would have offered me 53 points for a total in the LSU before the game started I would have gladly played the under.2HU 23.5
Is that a typo, it's 26.5 at SB?I'm on under as wellETA: Idaho actually has had some good playcalling...but I think LSU will be pounding the ball all 2h
 
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Yeah, Utah +3.5 is getting more expensive at 5D, yet all the consensus sites show a majority on BYU..

I'll take the home dog in the rivalry game. Plus Utah opened at -1.

Fingers crossed.

EDIT sorry meant utes +3.5 not -3.5

 
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'Doctor Detroit said:
Gussy why do we like Army so much today?Nothing for me yet, still watching a lot of games to find my footing. I liked FSU giving the points and Kansas giving the points so we'll see how those tests pan out. Kind of leaning Ole Miss and the points tonight, that might be my only play.
It was an early home underdog ATS stat I saw earlier this week. Went 50/50 on the two plays.
 
NFL Plays:

Texans - 7 1/2 -WIN

Bengals -7 -PUSH

Colts +3 -WIN

Rams +3 1/2 -WIN

Added Texans -7 -WIN

AND

Eagles -3 -LOSS

6 point tease from early on the week on:

Colts +7 1/2

Texans -1 1/2 WINNER

 
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I dont care what happened in the first half. If you would have offered me 53 points for a total in the LSU before the game started I would have gladly played the under.2HU 23.5
Is that a typo, it's 26.5 at SB?I'm on under as wellETA: Idaho actually has had some good playcalling...but I think LSU will be pounding the ball all 2h
yes 26.5. or half of 53. I'm a dummy.
right call....without that pick 6 by the 300lb DL it would only be 14
 
I've got the following...Giants -3.5, 1 unit :no: Lions -7, 4 units (lock city) :no: Saints -7, 1 unit :no:
'LHUCKS said:
Afternoon GamesUSC -8.5, 2 units probably :no:Arizona St. +3.5, 1 unit :no: Arizona St. Moneyline, 1 unit :no:Michigan St -5.5, 1 unit probably :no:
You ever think of just doing the opposite of everything you think?
 
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