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FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (4 Viewers)

Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock?

I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.

Ugh.
I wouldn't call you an idiot but you're probably guilty of overreacting to one week, which is a very common mistake for new gamblers. Before the season, everyone was talking up the 49ers as if they'd be a breakout team. I think that's a bit overrated but they're a team with a very good defense and decent running attack, which is a solid formula. Point is, they're not as bad as they looked in their week 1 game. This line is an overreaction to that game IMO.A great example of this is the Jets this week. Week 1 they host Baltimore and are 2 point favorites. THe next week they host New England and are 3 point underdogs?!? New England is not 5 points better than Baltimore. Hell, they're probably not better at all. But everyone talked all week about how terrible Sanchez was and how the JEts are in real big trouble, etc. Try not to overreact to one week.
He is terrible and the jets are still overrated
 
I feel like everyone and their mama is on the Pats this week. Line is up to -3 on my book.Divisional home dog? thinking about fading the public hard and grabbing the Jets for a few units. Moss should be locked up by Revis. I really don't see the Pats having the same kind of offensive success they enjoyed in week 1, making them look REALLY good and inflating this line a bit.I know the Jets offense looked anemic but I'm still not a believer in the Patriots D. The Jets can hang 3 TDs and a field goal on them in my opinion and I like something like Jets 27 - Pats 24BEFORE Week 1 (and the over-reactions that tends to come with the results of Week 1), what would you have put the line at for the Pats @ the Jets?Jets -2? -3?
Not to toot my own horn - but this is the only good call I've made this betting season. Talk about week 1 overreactionsETA: Only thought of this because Warehouse made a post about Week 1 overreactions and here's case in point.
 
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Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock?

I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.

Ugh.
I wouldn't call you an idiot but you're probably guilty of overreacting to one week, which is a very common mistake for new gamblers. Before the season, everyone was talking up the 49ers as if they'd be a breakout team. I think that's a bit overrated but they're a team with a very good defense and decent running attack, which is a solid formula. Point is, they're not as bad as they looked in their week 1 game. This line is an overreaction to that game IMO.A great example of this is the Jets this week. Week 1 they host Baltimore and are 2 point favorites. THe next week they host New England and are 3 point underdogs?!? New England is not 5 points better than Baltimore. Hell, they're probably not better at all. But everyone talked all week about how terrible Sanchez was and how the JEts are in real big trouble, etc. Try not to overreact to one week.
He is terrible and the jets are still overrated
Agree on both counts. But the Pats are overrated as well. Those 2 are equal teams on a neutral field IMO.
 
Where's RN? he's my drinking/rambling/betting on games we have no business betting on in this thread buddy
You rang?I was out all day selling lemonade by the road to get as much money as possible to put on Stanford.
Already up to -4.5 on my book. Steaming QUICKLY.Is that what we're doing this week? I pretty much ride your plays in College because I don't know #### about it outside of the Big East.I really like PITT in the thursday night game +3
 
I feel like everyone and their mama is on the Pats this week. Line is up to -3 on my book.Divisional home dog? thinking about fading the public hard and grabbing the Jets for a few units. Moss should be locked up by Revis. I really don't see the Pats having the same kind of offensive success they enjoyed in week 1, making them look REALLY good and inflating this line a bit.I know the Jets offense looked anemic but I'm still not a believer in the Patriots D. The Jets can hang 3 TDs and a field goal on them in my opinion and I like something like Jets 27 - Pats 24BEFORE Week 1 (and the over-reactions that tends to come with the results of Week 1), what would you have put the line at for the Pats @ the Jets?Jets -2? -3?
Not to toot my own horn - but this is the only good call I've made this betting season. Talk about week 1 overreactionsETA: Only thought of this because Warehouse made a post about Week 1 overreactions and here's case in point.
:confused:
 
I have 5 units on Saints -6 and 5 units on Saints -5.5

I drank a lot of whisky before this game and got ambitious.

Sweating it right now

 
Where's RN? he's my drinking/rambling/betting on games we have no business betting on in this thread buddy
You rang?I was out all day selling lemonade by the road to get as much money as possible to put on Stanford.
Already up to -4.5 on my book. Steaming QUICKLY.Is that what we're doing this week? I pretty much ride your plays in College because I don't know #### about it outside of the Big East.I really like PITT in the thursday night game +3
I SWEAR I am moving lines at the Greek. Played three games last night... Stanford -3.5, Arizona -6.5 and BAMA -7.Stanford is now 4.5, Arizona is now 7 and Bama is now 7.5.Love the Cardinal, clearly. I respect Arkansas, but they are playing big boy football this week. And the Cats are just way better than CAL.
 
Where's RN? he's my drinking/rambling/betting on games we have no business betting on in this thread buddy
You rang?I was out all day selling lemonade by the road to get as much money as possible to put on Stanford.
Already up to -4.5 on my book. Steaming QUICKLY.Is that what we're doing this week? I pretty much ride your plays in College because I don't know #### about it outside of the Big East.I really like PITT in the thursday night game +3
I SWEAR I am moving lines at the Greek. Played three games last night... Stanford -3.5, Arizona -6.5 and BAMA -7.Stanford is now 4.5, Arizona is now 7 and Bama is now 7.5.Love the Cardinal, clearly. I respect Arkansas, but they are playing big boy football this week. And the Cats are just way better than CAL.
lol
 
I SWEAR I am moving lines at the Greek. Played three games last night... Stanford -3.5, Arizona -6.5 and BAMA -7.Stanford is now 4.5, Arizona is now 7 and Bama is now 7.5.Love the Cardinal, clearly. I respect Arkansas, but they are playing big boy football this week. And the Cats are just way better than CAL.
lol
:lmao:Which part?
 
i can't wait for the NO TD and a 6pt win....it's coming, brace yourselves

sidebar: i have vernon davis over 4.5 rec....that 2pt conversion isn't considered a reception is it?

 
That 2-point conversion being overturned was great for me. Now there's a chance they cover. Super small, but I'm hopeful they take one look for the EZ before settling on the FG.

 

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