Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock?
I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.
Ugh.
I wouldn't call you an idiot but you're probably guilty of overreacting to one week, which is a very common mistake for new gamblers. Before the season, everyone was talking up the 49ers as if they'd be a breakout team. I think that's a bit overrated but they're a team with a very good defense and decent running attack, which is a solid formula. Point is, they're not as bad as they looked in their week 1 game. This line is an overreaction to that game IMO.A great example of this is the Jets this week. Week 1 they host Baltimore and are 2 point favorites. THe next week they host New England and are 3 point underdogs?!? New England is not 5 points better than Baltimore. Hell, they're probably not better at all. But everyone talked all week about how
terrible Sanchez was and how the JEts are in real big trouble, etc. Try not to overreact to one week.