FFA Wagering Thread: THERE HE IS!@! (3 Viewers)

[modogg]

week 3 at greekoak +4.5

hou -2.5

 

[lumpy19]

going down with the ship nyg -0.5(-105)

 

[Urinal Mint]

HOU -2.5 seems like free money, but I will never underestimate Dallas's ability to show up and play a game w/ their ### in the grinder for 2 straight weeks.

 

[Urinal Mint]

Dallas is an 0-2 team by virtue of correctable errors. By a combined 13 points. They've left about 21 on the field at least.

 

[LHUCKS]

Dallas is an 0-2 team by virtue of correctable errors. By a combined 13 points. They've left about 21 on the field at least.

I agree with this. I also believe that both teams the Cowboys have played are better than most expected.

 

[LHUCKS]

11 more points to hit the over!!

 

[modogg]

Dallas is an 0-2 team by virtue of correctable errors. By a combined 13 points. They've left about 21 on the field at least.

I agree with this. I also believe that both teams the Cowboys have played are better than most expected.

I have a hard time being objective with the Cowboys because of my utter distaste for that team, but their OL has gotten old and is pretty bad at this point. You can discuss correctable errors, and i didn't see the game today, but the holding by Barron in the game against the Skins saved Romo's life. If he didn't hold, it would have pretty much been a sack. Maybe you 2 are right, but i figure if they can't get up for the home opener against an average team, they will be in for a long year.

 

[LHUCKS]

Dallas is an 0-2 team by virtue of correctable errors. By a combined 13 points. They've left about 21 on the field at least.

I agree with this. I also believe that both teams the Cowboys have played are better than most expected.

I have a hard time being objective with the Cowboys because of my utter distaste for that team, but their OL has gotten old and is pretty bad at this point. You can discuss correctable errors, and i didn't see the game today, but the holding by Barron in the game against the Skins saved Romo's life. If he didn't hold, it would have pretty much been a sack. Maybe you 2 are right, but i figure if they can't get up for the home opener against an average team, they will be in for a long year.

They are still one of the most talented teams in the NFL. Agreed that their offensive line has shown some age, but every team in the NFL has a weakness.

 

[crewmember]

jumped on Cinncy -3 -118 at Carolina. Already bet it, but would like for some of you to tell me why I'm wrong or list reasons why Carolina is the play.

 

[cstu]

Some other plays because I'm bored.

Jacobs un 60' rush yds -115 and ov 52' +100 - more on un

longest fg un 45' -115

manningham un 4' rec +110 and ov 3' -130

eli yes int -160

addai/brown +55' rush/rec yds -135 over jacobs/bradshaw

jacobs 1st rush un 3' yds -115

Good luck guys.

Where are you getting odds like this?

 

[Detroit Fan 365]

Wow, glad I won the over, but I feel for the ones who had the bad beat and that was a bad beat.

 

[MarshallPlan]

Some other plays because I'm bored.

Jacobs un 60' rush yds -115 and ov 52' +100 - more on un

longest fg un 45' -115

manningham un 4' rec +110 and ov 3' -130

eli yes int -160

addai/brown +55' rush/rec yds -135 over jacobs/bradshaw

jacobs 1st rush un 3' yds -115

Good luck guys.

Where are you getting odds like this?

over was at bodog. under was at a website my local uses.

 

[safariplanet]

wow. That two-point conversion by the Lions dealt me a heartbreaker and ganked my $25

 

[MarshallPlan]

After some success at this the past few years I have come to one conclusion. Book selection and diversification is the absolute key to winning (and not getting cut from props ) If you gave me the choice of starting with 20k at Pinny or starting with 10k scattered at 5-7 various books, in a heartbeat I would take less money. At the end of the season, I would probably have more starting with less.

I think that betting within your bankroll is also very key (and cliche). I typically bet only .5% of my bankroll per play. Obviously some plays are more but I never get over 2% per play and if I do get close it's probably a pretty good bet. It really makes the bad beats a lot easier to take.

 

[Raider Nation]

At first glance, Bet of the Century is Stanford -3½ @ NOTRE DAME. Are they serious with this number?

If Notre Dame was called Joe Blow University, but had the same players, this line would be about 10.

 

[lumpy19]

week 3 at greekoak +4.5

hou -2.5

NE -12.5

 

[LHUCKS]

I think that betting within your bankroll is also very key (and cliche). I typically bet only .5% of my bankroll per play. Obviously some plays are more but I never get over 2% per play and if I do get close it's probably a pretty good bet. It really makes the bad beats a lot easier to take.

Agree with this.

 

[Leroy Hoard]

At first glance, Bet of the Century is Stanford -3½ @ NOTRE DAME. Are they serious with this number?If Notre Dame was called Joe Blow University, but had the same players, this line would be about 10.

At first I was thinking maybe ND played better @ home, but ND is 17-35 ATS in their last 52 home games.

 

[LHUCKS]

I like Stanford here as well, they are very well coached team with huge guys in the trenches and a pro-caliber QB.

Harbaugh is IMHO an extraordinary coach.

I'll be hammering Stanford in that one.

 

[lumpy19]

At first glance, Bet of the Century is Stanford -3½ @ NOTRE DAME. Are they serious with this number?If Notre Dame was called Joe Blow University, but had the same players, this line would be about 10.

The board is moving this to 4.5 right now but for some reason sportsbook.com just moved to 3.5....in for 2u

 

[MarshallPlan]

6 ev on SF at sia. I took some although I am not sold on the side.

I like un 45' -115 longest fg again tonight.

 

[lumpy19]

week 3 at greekoak +4.5

hou -2.5

NE -12.5

cincy -3(-115) at betonline....with claussen starting this week i like the bengals here

 

[culdeus]

Call me crazy but I thought Claussen looked ok. He's no worse than Moore.

That stanford/nd line is just sick. I've stayed off NCAA except for one or two little taps here and there. May have to hit this soon and hard.

 

[lumpy19]

Call me crazy but I thought Claussen looked ok. He's no worse than Moore. That stanford/nd line is just sick. I've stayed off NCAA except for one or two little taps here and there. May have to hit this soon and hard.

I agree on Claussen, it's more of a play against his first start in the NFL, we're not in preseason anymore. I think the opener of 3.5 is the right line

 

[KGB]

week 3 at greekoak +4.5

hou -2.5

NE -12.5

You gotta think NE is gonna come strong and its just been announce that bills will be starting a new QB this week.

 

[lumpy19]

Anyone that played greek props last week, I see the limits are $200 for tonights game....what were the limits for week 1?

 

[lumpy19]

I couldn't be on SF any bigger tonight. Between teasers, props, SF +5 and 5.5.....lets go 49ers!

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

SF +6 (+105) at bodog at this point.

 

[lumpy19]

SF +6 (+105) at bodog at this point.

betus has 6.5(-105)....NO wins this game by 6 i'll probably drink myself to deathI can't find 6 at any books i still have limits at, all the dog books don't want my business anymore

 

[derek245583]

at Lumpy's "Follows Closely"

 

[culdeus]

Wow you guys really like Alex Smith, alot.

 

[JerseyToughGuys]

SF +6 (+105) at bodog at this point.

betus has 6.5(-105)....NO wins this game by 6 i'll probably drink myself to deathI can't find 6 at any books i still have limits at, all the dog books don't want my business anymore

I will be cheering for a blowout GB.

 

[zander_s]

What did i miss? Why all the SF love?

 

[Man In The Box]

at Lumpy's "Follows Closely"

That's great.

 

[LHUCKS]

Wow you guys really like Alex Smith, alot.

 

[lumpy19]

Wow you guys really like Alex Smith, alot.

foeget smith....i'm a bigger fan of the OC who doesn't properly call plays!!

 

[Romulan]

I cannot believe the line for the Carolina Cinci game!

I put 3 units on Cinci and tempted to put more... Why is the line so low? only -3 Cincy at Bodog...

Is this a trap game? it really doesnt feel like one especially the way Carolina has been playing no matter what qb they start.

 

[MarshallPlan]

among many pro-sf bets.

SF to win every quarter +7000.

 

[Raider Nation]

Nice snap, D-bag.

 

[Raider Nation]

among many pro-sf bets.SF to win every quarter +7000.

Safety, 1st possession, YES +22,000?

 

[MarshallPlan]

among many pro-sf bets.SF to win every quarter +7000.

Safety, 1st possession, YES +22,000?

had it!!! not. SF looks dreadful.

 

[regularguy]

Rolling my SF +3 1H win into a SF +3/u20.5 2H parlay +310.

 

[MarshallPlan]

+3 -105 for me. I also have some 3q saints -.5 +100 and sf +.5 +110. Free money on SF if they cover.

 

[Warehouse Nasty]

jumped on Cinncy -3 -118 at Carolina. Already bet it, but would like for some of you to tell me why I'm wrong or list reasons why Carolina is the play.

That seems like a fair line to me based on my ratings of the teams. But Carolina has certainly looked terrible so far...

 

[Warehouse Nasty]

Locked in Pit-2.5. My numbers say they should be higher and want to get on this before it goes to 3.

 

[YSR]

Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock?

I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.

Ugh.

 

[Raider Nation]

Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock? I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.Ugh.

I'm not a fan of the "L word"... but this game could still go either way. One break could make the difference.

 

[guru_007]

Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock? I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.Ugh.

Here's the deal....Saints are a better team. But, a home dog is usually a good bet. Further a home dog, that opens at +4.5/5 and the public is all over, yet the line goes to +5.5/6, well, that's not a great sign either. I'm on the Niners a little. But, I also teased the Cowboys and Vikings this week because I love home teams.Don't fall in love with any team/bet.g'luck

 

[culdeus]

Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock? I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.Ugh.

Don't sweat it. I mean in general the NFL gambling manifesto has you taking home dogs whenever possible.

 

[Warehouse Nasty]

Honest opinion here: was I an idiot for thinking that Saints -6 was a lock? I'm a rook so I'll take my licks, but I actually saw -6 on Tuesday and grabbed it and then put another .5 unit on a -5 today.Ugh.

I wouldn't call you an idiot but you're probably guilty of overreacting to one week, which is a very common mistake for new gamblers. Before the season, everyone was talking up the 49ers as if they'd be a breakout team. I think that's a bit overrated but they're a team with a very good defense and decent running attack, which is a solid formula. Point is, they're not as bad as they looked in their week 1 game. This line is an overreaction to that game IMO.A great example of this is the Jets this week. Week 1 they host Baltimore and are 2 point favorites. THe next week they host New England and are 3 point underdogs?!? New England is not 5 points better than Baltimore. Hell, they're probably not better at all. But everyone talked all week about how terrible Sanchez was and how the JEts are in real big trouble, etc. Try not to overreact to one week.