First Auction (1 Viewer)

[Max Fischer]

So I'm about to participate in my first auction. I downloaded one of the footballguys apps to help establish player values, and it spits out some surprising figures. Basically, the studs were valued at 25 - 30 % of the budget, and mid-round guys (think Knox, Maclin, Bradshaw, Portis, etc.) are valued at 1 or 2 bucks.

I figured this was just some flaw of a cold algorithmic piece of software, but when I did a few mock auctions I was seeing similar outcomes. Two thirds of the people seem to blow their entire budget on a couple of studs, leaving the Pierre Garcons and Marion Barbers to sell for peanuts.

From what I've gathered, it's important to pay up for at least two or three of your favorite stars in these mocks and then clean up all of your favorite mid and late-round talent.

My question is for experienced auctioneers. Is it typical for the price curve to be so steep (making mid-rounders sell for 1 or 2% of the budget)? My gut tells me this is not how my real auction will unfold, but I'm curious about the experience of others.

 

[Bri]

Yes but maybe not if it's everyone's first auction.

If so, overspend to get your studs with this knowledge that you will be OK with values later on.

Initially, I think most guys have this whole frugal spending plan that distorts the first auction from how it'll play out in future years.

 

[Longshot88]

my first year for auctions as well, i have done 3 or 4. I have waited for the most part leaves a team with great depth, but short on superstars.my advice..

1.Use DD to get an Idea of values..

2. be flexable , have a few players at each position that you can live with and try to go after the best value.

3.Stay away from the top backs...they will cost way too much. one injury and your done for the year

 

[daveR]

If this is the first auction for everyone, go the frugal route. There will be a TON of bargains! It takes awhile to get used to. People overspend on their first auction.

Best piece of advice: put players into tiers. It doesn't matter who you get, just the fantasy points.

 

[brtdud7]

i avoid studs at all costs. studs to avoid:

QB:

Rodgers

Brees

Peyton

Brady

Schaub

Romo

RB:

All the top 10 guys

WR:

All the top 10 guys

TE:

Dallas

Gates

Vernon

why avoid them? because people pay LOADS for them, and you can find yourself getting caught up in bidding wars. you put in your max, then last second the guy puts in a dollar, you say "its just a dollar" and bid again and so on.

I much rather aim for mid-tier players and fill the roster with decent players at all positions. Also a strategy: Nominate a player you want at your position. So if you are #5 overall, don't just nominate Gore or Turner. If you like Malcolm Floyd, nominate him. If you win him for not too much money, you'll have a better feeling of what you need after and can bid accordingly

my opinion of course

 

[Ray_T]

So I'm about to participate in my first auction. I downloaded one of the footballguys apps to help establish player values, and it spits out some surprising figures. Basically, the studs were valued at 25 - 30 % of the budget, and mid-round guys (think Knox, Maclin, Bradshaw, Portis, etc.) are valued at 1 or 2 bucks.I figured this was just some flaw of a cold algorithmic piece of software, but when I did a few mock auctions I was seeing similar outcomes. Two thirds of the people seem to blow their entire budget on a couple of studs, leaving the Pierre Garcons and Marion Barbers to sell for peanuts.From what I've gathered, it's important to pay up for at least two or three of your favorite stars in these mocks and then clean up all of your favorite mid and late-round talent.My question is for experienced auctioneers. Is it typical for the price curve to be so steep (making mid-rounders sell for 1 or 2% of the budget)? My gut tells me this is not how my real auction will unfold, but I'm curious about the experience of others.

Actually, I dont think this is a mistake.In most cases, a RB who can put up close to 2000 all purpose yards is worth a lot more than 2 players who put up 1200 yards each. The reason for that is that you basically get the production of an extra player. That is a huge advantage for other teams to overcome. As such you pay a premium for those players when they come available.I would actually expect a 2000 yard RB would be worth close to triple the value of a 1200 yard RB.I havnt looked at what the draft dominator says, but if the numbers are close to what I just mentioned, I think it's gotta be close to correct.

 

[CalBear]

i avoid studs at all costs. studs to avoid:QB: RodgersBreesPeytonBradySchaubRomoRB:All the top 10 guysWR:All the top 10 guysTEallasGatesVernonwhy avoid them? because people pay LOADS for them, and you can find yourself getting caught up in bidding wars. you put in your max, then last second the guy puts in a dollar, you say "its just a dollar" and bid again and so on.I much rather aim for mid-tier players and fill the roster with decent players at all positions.

A roster of mediocre players is not going to win much. It's better to overpay for your RB1 and WR1 than to wind up with no studs.