Free Fantasy Strength of Schedule Resources (1 Viewer)

[Post Corner]

I like to spend this time of the year in my draft prep considering strength of schedule (SOS). My hope is this thread will be useful for other footballguys, and I am also hopeful I can learn from some other footballguys as well! This has and continues to be a great place to learn and excel at fantasy.

I don't base my draft on it, but SOS is a variable I've found helps, particularly deciding between 2 or 3 players. I've made the mistake drafting based on playoff SOS, and the big problem I've found there is you have to make your playoffs first! I've had some big point teams that had very good match-ups in the playoffs, but I didn't make the playoffs due to the tough match-ups to get there - DOAH!

I really like the footballguys SOS as I think they do the most comprehensive version (IDP SOS alone is impressive). It's nice for those that haven't yet spent some time with it - check it out. But I like to weight in with the comments by docs and today as well. Enough with the rambling, here's some resources with strength of schedule.

REGULAR SEASON AND PLAYOFF SOS:

http://subscribers.footballguys.com/apps/article.php?article=2015gray_sos

http://www.footballdocs.com/strength-schedule-passing.html

http://www.footballdocs.com/strength-schedule-rushing.html

http://www.footballdocs.com/strength-schedule-defense.html

PLAYOFF ONLY SOS:

http://www.fftoday.com/articles/mitchell/15_playoff_schedule_analysis_good.html

http://www.fftoday.com/articles/mitchell/15_playoff_schedule_analysis_bad.html

OVERALL:

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/eye-on-football/25066031/2015-nfl-strength-of-schedule-steelers-at-no-1-falcons-at-no-32

 

[FFFIEND]

Good sources. I like to compile across SOS to get an idea of who to start the first few weeks of the season. I typically do QB by committee and just play the match ups.

This way I get by with a cheap QB on draft day. Last season I got by pretty well with Rivers and Roethlisberger.

 

[Dragon1952]

Not sure how these compare but at least it's another source/opinion.

http://fftoolbox.scout.com/football/strength_of_schedule.cfm

 

[FFFIEND]

Dragon, not a bad list there. Confirms they guys I am targeting in 2015 late: Romo and Eli. I also think Stafford could make a good committee QB.

 

[Post Corner]

Good sources. I like to compile across SOS to get an idea of who to start the first few weeks of the season. I typically do QB by committee and just play the match ups.

This way I get by with a cheap QB on draft day. Last season I got by pretty well with Rivers and Roethlisberger.

It's all about the match-ups. I limped through the 2012 season rotating a QB based on match-up alone... and I won my title.

 

[FFFIEND]

This Arian Foster injury news is going to make the QB early folks feel even better about avoiding QBBC. They take a Luck or Rodgers in the first round and avoid the RBs injuries that seem to keep happening in the 1st round.

Hard to argue going that way as well.

 

[Insein]

What I don't like about SOS in the preseason is that they base it solely around 2014 data. They treat it as if the teams didn't make new acquisitions, have talent improve or others take a decline due to retirement or injury. I'm very hesitant to base anything around obsolete data.

If these were based on projections by the creators that they reasonably believe a defense has improved or regressed, I might listen based on the projectors track record. But we won't know the good and bad defenses till about week 4.

 

[The Man With No Name]

Mid August and all of FBG's Clayton Gray Ultimate SOS is not colorized.

IDP gets the shaft again

 

[Post Corner]

What I don't like about SOS in the preseason is that they base it solely around 2014 data. They treat it as if the teams didn't make new acquisitions, have talent improve or others take a decline due to retirement or injury. I'm very hesitant to base anything around obsolete data.

If these were based on projections by the creators that they reasonably believe a defense has improved or regressed, I might listen based on the projectors track record. But we won't know the good and bad defenses till about week 4.

That's a good point Insein, but it also assumes that a significant effort isn't made to best predict 2015 defensive performance. It's like offensive projections and fantasy football rankings - same thought and analysis. Otherwise, why do ANY of us have ANY rankings to use in our draft. They have to be based on something (2014), and then adjusted based on known facts (like Suh leaving Detroit and now in Miami). Balance that with other changes, and a reasonable effort can be made with the time and resources used to make them to increase the liklihood something will happen (like Vegas odds - Vegas is not correct 100% of the time - but they are VERY good and much better than just a random number generator... sometimes ). FootballGuys does invest the the time and resources for quality stuff, and that is exactly why I consider them one of the best sites out there.