tom22406 said:
Was hoping for our resident historian and middle east expert to chime in but so far nothing.
If you're referring to me, I'm hardly that. But it's very informative and seems factual. However, there is one very important point that it missed, IMO: Although he discusses Sykes-Picot, their agreement had to be ratified by the British and French governments, and in England's case, Winston Churchill, who at that time (just after the Great War ended) was Colonial Secretary. Although Sykes and Picot drew the lines of Iraq, they did not determine that the Sunnis, who were and still are a minority of the population, would be in charge. That was Churchill's idea. Why was this done? Because Iran was largely Shiite, and Churchill believed that a powerful Sunni nation on their border would serve to inhibit Iranian geographical ambitions. Churchill's entire foreign policy, both here and elsewhere, was based on surrounding the most powerful enemy with buffer states that inhibited it: so a powerful Iran and Turkey stop Russia from moving south, a powerful France and Czechoslovakia stop Germany from expanding, a powerful Korea and Indochina inhibit China, etc. This would allow trade to flow, and he believed, freedom to expand, which was good for England and good for the United States. It's a lesson he preached continually between the wars and after World War II.
The reason this is so important is because the Iraqi buffer lasted until we removed it in 2004 when we eliminated the Sunni government and attempted to impose a democracy. Any election in Iraq guarantees a Shiite majority- not a democracy of course, but a Shiite dictatorship aligned with Iran, which is what we brought about. This is exactly what Churchill warned us against. Now we are reaping the whirlwind.
Perhaps if Churchill had made sure the borders were drawn better we would have had a buffer country while also having a much more peaceful Middle East.
And frankly I don't like the idea of putting dictators in powers just so we feel better. That kind of thinking got us where we are today (see Iran, Mosaddegh).
It's certainly a troublesome notion. However, it's important to note that in the case of Iraq, we didn't install any dictators. We removed one, which I believe was unwise, and we attempted to install a democracy, which I also believe to be unwise. One person one vote does not create democracy, no matter how many American politicians display purple thumbs. A democracy is impossible in Iraq under the current circumstances, and we failed to realize that.
The only analogy I can offer is this: imagine if the United States had 2 political parties: the Catholic Party and the Protestant Party. And 99% of all Protestants voted for the Protestant Party, and 99% of all Catholics voted for the Catholic Party. Imagine further that the Catholic Party campaigned on a platform of promoting Catholics and suppressing all Protestants, atheists, Jews, and any other non-Catholic, while the Protestant Party campaigned on a platform of offering equal representation to "minority groups" but once in power (as they would be, given the numbers) proceeded to suppress all non-Protestants. Would this be anything close to a democracy? Would a democracy even be possible?
Now in the case of Mossadegh, that's a different story. Ike and Dulles were concerned that he was being promoted by Soviets who wanted northern Iran to be separated and "returned" to Russia. And this was at the height of the Cold War. So we re-installed the Shah. Probably a mistake, but it was magnified into a far greater event than it actually was during the propaganda by leftists in the aftermath of the Iranian revolution in 1978. And it's still believed by many people today that our ousting of Mossadegh led to the revolution and hatred of us in the region. This is extremely simplistic and not really so. Fundamentalist Mullahs like Khomeini hated Mossadegh and were very happy when the Shah returned. It was only the Shah's White Revolution, which was an attempt to modernize Iran and give women there human rights, which alienated the mullahs and eventually led to the Shah's overthrow.
Contrary to progressive thought, the Iranian revolution was not against American imperialism, it was against western liberal idealism.