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Future HOF Candidates (1 Viewer)

Hines Ward vs. Torry Holt (both will be 30 entering next season, but Ward has played in 1 more season):

Ward:

574 catches, 7030 yards, 52 TDs

4 Pro-Bowls

0 All Pro-Teams

Not in the top 50 in any all-time category

1 Super Bowl title and SB MVP

Holt:

617 catches, 9487 yards, 54 TDs

4 Pro Bowls

1 All Pro-Team

38th all time in receptions

28th all time in receiving yards

1 Super Bowl title

Of course, blocking has to be considered where Ward has the edge. Right now, neither has a chance to get in. But by the time they retire could they be legitimate candidates?
Through players that played at least 7 seasons, Holt ranks #1 in receiving yards, # 2 in receptions, and #15 in receiving TD. He already ranks in the Top 40 in receptions and Top 30 in receiving yards and is just 29.Barring something bizarre happening, he will be all but a shoo-in if he plays even 5 more years.

 
Derrick Brooks - almost, not quite
:lmao: that guy's a lock, sorry. Only Buc I'll say that about, although Sapp is close.Nothing left for Brooks to accomplish. That guy is in.

Maybe if he screamed and did some idiotic dance like Ray Lewis, he'd get more respect from the average fan.
HUFFING ALERT. I dont know what I was reading, because D. Brooks is absolutely in and should be a first ballot guy. My bad.

I think I ready Derrick Thomas. Oops.
:thumbup: no problems, huffer.
 
Coates is a lock IMO but others here disagree, anyhow I think he'll be eligible soon
Coates was great for a 6 years, but the HOF has not inducted many TEs. He is ranked 6th in receptions, 11th in receiving yards, and 6th in receiving TD for TEs (since 1960). However, he is not head and shoulders above the other players near him in any of those categories, so at the very least I would consider him a candidate but far from a lock. For example, I don't see how he's any more qualified than Todd Christensen.The only modern era TEs currently inducted are Dave Casper, Mike Ditka,

John Mackey, Ozzie Newsome, Jackie Smith, and Kellen Winslow.
He and Bavaro are the best TEs I've ever seen until Gonzalez and Gates. The latter two are almost unreal with the stats they're putting up and their athleticism. IIRC when Coates was young, he was thought of as a "freak" and no one expected that athleticism from such a big guy. I think he impacted the positions development.I know Bavaro statistically isn't even in the same ball park as some great TEs but he was everything(as a fan or if I were a coach as we all put ourselves in those ficititious shoes) I'd want as a player and/or TE to be. He was a man among boys, a throwback playing in today's game(then). I have never seen a RB, WR, TE, QB match his ability to not go down when being hit. How the F he carried 5-6 defenders on his back while running was just mind boggling. I'm not sure if any NFL player has ever personified the "he plays with alot of heart" phrase any more than him. Well, I just loved watching that guy play. I also think he impacted the positions development.

 
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Coates is a lock IMO but others here disagree, anyhow I think he'll be eligible soon
Coates was great for a 6 years, but the HOF has not inducted many TEs. He is ranked 6th in receptions, 11th in receiving yards, and 6th in receiving TD for TEs (since 1960). However, he is not head and shoulders above the other players near him in any of those categories, so at the very least I would consider him a candidate but far from a lock. For example, I don't see how he's any more qualified than Todd Christensen.The only modern era TEs currently inducted are Dave Casper, Mike Ditka,

John Mackey, Ozzie Newsome, Jackie Smith, and Kellen Winslow.
He and Bavaro are the best TEs I've ever seen until Gonzalez and Gates. The latter two are almost unreal with the stats they're putting up and their athleticism. IIRC when Coates was young, he was thought of as a "freak" and no one expected that athleticism from such a big guy. I think he impacted the positions development.I know Bavaro statistically isn't even in the same ball park as some great TEs but he was everything(as a fan or if I were a coach as we all put ourselves in those ficititious shoes) I'd want as a player and/or TE to be. He was a man among boys, a throwback playing in today's game(then). I have never seen a RB, WR, TE, QB match his ability to not go down when being hit. How the F he carried 5-6 defenders on his back while running was just mind boggling. I'm not sure if any NFL player has ever personified the "he plays with alot of heart" phrase any more than him. Well, I just loved watching that guy play. I also think he impacted the positions development.
Coates was an excellent player for a few years but I believe Christiansen and Bavaro would have to get in first for him to have any chance.
 
I don't see how Rodney Harrison is a LOCK, but maybe that's just me.
Maybe that is an overstatement. Here is a possibly relevant post on the safeties from the Lynch HOF thread:
Rodney Harrison:158 games1026 tackles27.5 sacks31 interceptions104 passes defensed13 forced fumbles8 fumble recoveries4 TDs (including 2 kick return TDs)2 All Pro selections2 Pro BowlsHis teams played 12 postseason games to date, with a record of 9-3, including 2-1 in Super BowlsLeroy Butler:181 games890 tackles20.5 sacks38 interceptions130 passes defensed13 forced fumbles10 fumble recoveries3 TDs4 All Pro selections4 Pro BowlsSelected for 1990s All Decade teamHis teams played 16 postseason games, with a record of 10-6, including 1-1 in Super BowlsDarren Woodson:178 games940 tackles11 sacks23 interceptions83 passes defensed13 forced fumbles11 fumble recoveries2 TDs3 All Pro selections5 Pro BowlsHis teams played 16 postseason games, with a record of 11-5, including 3-0 in Super BowlsJohn Lynch:195 games914 tackles12 sacks26 interceptions85 passes defensed14 forced fumbles8 fumble recoveries0 TDs3 All Pro selections5 Pro BowlsHis teams played 11 postseason games to date, with a record of 6-5, including 1-0 in Super BowlsBrian Dawkins:141 games703 tackles17 sacks28 interceptions132 passes defensed21 forced fumbles15 fumble recoveries3 TDs (includes 1 receiving TD)2 All Pro selections4 Pro BowlsHis teams played 13 postseason games to date, with a record of 7-6, including 0-1 in Super Bowls...There is no way all of these guys will make the HOF, and I think it will be tough for the voters to figure out which ones stood out....Harrison, Butler, and Woodson all look more deserving, and Dawkins has played 54 fewer games than Lynch... who knows how his numbers will compare when he is done.
Perhaps I am assuming too much, but I was guessing that 1 or 2 of these safeties stood a good chance of making the HOF, in addition to Rod Woodson, of course.
 
I know character isn't supposed to matter, but obviously Lewis trails the other two there. I'm not as certain for Brooks, but Seau has won many awards for his charitable endeavors.

Also, while it probably isn't supposed to matter much, Seau may be the best Asian American ever to play the game. (I can't think of another who was better.) We just saw that race was considered an important factor for Moon, not sure if it will be a factor for Seau or not.

It's hard for me to rank Brooks over Seau, though Brooks has a few more years left to close the gap. Of course, I suspect Capella and perhaps many others will not see a gap.

As for Lewis, his two defensive MVPs and his Super Bowl MVP should seal his induction IMO.

Maybe all 3 will make it.
(nitpick)I don't believe Seau is considerred Asian American. Is he hawaiian? Someone from NFLE last year was to play in the NFL and they said that phrase about him. Of course that could have been misstated.Seau played on a cruddy team while those two went to the Supe and were on some awesome Ds.

I think they'll all get in. They might have to wait like Harry Carson did but they'll get in. A decade as an pro bowler is pretty awesome and also limits the field as they're taking up one of the pro bowl spots for that long. IIRC some Steeler Cs have done this in the AFC. Not certain but I'd swear the Steelers C made the probowl for most of 20 years, throw in Mawae and geesh some guys have owned that spot for a long long time. While people here minimize the pro bowl, what would you think of a player that never made the pro bowl? Their might be some good LBers that didn't make the probowl because of these 3.

 
I was not implying that guys like RSmith, JSmith, Bruce, Law, etc. were locks or even great candidates--only that they meritted consideration.
IMO they are all "if he does such and such from here forward" guys, and I specifically said I was trying to avoid them. I don't expect any of those 4 named here to make it.
Edgerrin James already is Top 20 in rushing yards and is the all-time leader in yards from scrimmage per game. In 2 more years he'll be in the Top 10 in yards from scrimmage (as will Tiki Barber).
I don't think James is in today. He is #19 in rushes, #20 in rushing yards, #30 in rushing TDs, and #36 in YFS. Barber's numbers are all worse, except he is #20 in YFS.I think Barber has virtually no shot, and I posted on that plenty in the Barber HOF thread. Hence, he's not on the list.I think James has a good chance, but his chance will be affected by (a) how he finishes his career and (b) how he stacks up against other peers still with plenty of time to play, like Tomlinson and Alexander. Hence, it's too early to tell IMO. Heck, he might not be eligible for another 10+ years. I was trying to avoid players like that, since it is much more speculative than for canidates who have retired or are on the verge of doing so.
If Terrell Davis is on the list, I can't see how Priest Holmes is not.
I guess this is a valid point, so I'll add him. Priest lasted longer and scored TDs at a higher rate. But Davis has 2 Super Bowl rings, 1 MVP, and 1 Super Bowl MVP, as well as dominant postseason statistics... Priest has none of those things.IMO Davis will not and should not make it, but I think he is a better candidate than Priest. Nevertheless, Priest will likely get consideration and is almost done, so I'll add him to the list.
As for other RBs, Alexander already has 100 TD and Tomlinson has 80, so those guys both will be worthy once they call it a career.
See my explanation for James above. Both have excellent prospects, but it is too early to put these guys on my list.
Owens is already in the Top 4 in receiving TD with 101 and Moss is right behind him with 98. Both get in, IMO, even if they don't do much from here on out.
I agreed above and added Moss. I put Moss ahead of Owens because he has similar regular season numbers in 2 fewer seasons, plus better postseason numbers. I can't bring myself to name Owens as a lock at this point, but he is on the list.
Holt is almost at 10,000 receiving yards in only 7 seasons. He's averaged 1450 yards receiving per yer over the past 6 years. He's the all-time leader in receiving yardage through 7 seasons with 9,487. That's a fair amount more than Moss (9,142) and Rice (9,072). Holt is a lock unless something freaky happens.
See James, Alexander, Tomlinson above. Too early.
Although not a great candidate, I'm not sure we can totally rule out Drew Bledsoe. It's not out of the question that he ends up ranked Top 5 in attempts, completions, passing yards, and passing TD. And don't forget the HOF loves QBs compared to other positions.
His chance is slim at best, and would require that he add more to his resume, thus failing my criteria.---The reason I started the list was to try to compile a list of the locks and likely candidates that we know now. This could in turn help to frame some of the discussions of players who are not as worthy, like some named above, and those who have more years left. Rather than talking only about how many of position X are in the HOF, we could potentially talk about how many there *will be* in the HOF and also get a look at the type of competition such players will face from all positions.
 
Coates is a lock IMO but others here disagree, anyhow I think he'll be eligible soon
Coates was great for a 6 years, but the HOF has not inducted many TEs. He is ranked 6th in receptions, 11th in receiving yards, and 6th in receiving TD for TEs (since 1960). However, he is not head and shoulders above the other players near him in any of those categories, so at the very least I would consider him a candidate but far from a lock. For example, I don't see how he's any more qualified than Todd Christensen.The only modern era TEs currently inducted are Dave Casper, Mike Ditka,

John Mackey, Ozzie Newsome, Jackie Smith, and Kellen Winslow.
Coates was eligible for the first time this year. He did not make it through the first cutdown to 25, and I don't even recall him being discussed. I don't see him with much of a chance, in part because of the lack of respect given to the TE position. And by the time he retired, it was clear that his career overlapped with a better TE, Gonzalez (EDIT: and Sharpe). And by the time Gonzalez retires, it will likely be clear that there is another better one coming, Gates. None of that helps Coates IMO.
 
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All the HOF threads made me think that it could be helpful to show a list of when recent great players will become eligible.Recent players who have a reasonable chance for election, and the years they first become eligible (only players not yet elected):2006 - Thurman Thomas - LOCK2010 - Tim Brown - LOCK
If Thurman Thomas was no voted in on a first ballot I doubt Tim Brown is a "LOCK".I do think Brown is a HOFer but it will be tough for him to get in on a first ballot with that 2010 class.
As I clarified earlier, to me LOCK means a player will get in for certain, not that a player will get in on the first ballot.
 
Matthews is without question the biggest lock to go in next year. That one's an absolute no-brainer.
Why? I'm not questioning it, and I know Matthews has a good reputation, but how do we truly know that an OL is Hall worthy? That is, as one who hasn't followed his career closely, what can I look at as evidence?I tend to agree that he will make it, I just would like to find a good method for comparing OL.

 
(nitpick)I don't believe Seau is considerred Asian American. Is he hawaiian? Someone from NFLE last year was to play in the NFL and they said that phrase about him. Of course that could have been misstated.
Seau was chosen as One of 100 most influential Asian Americans (1990s) by A Magazine. I found this at the cached NFLPLAYERS.COM page on Seau.I can't verify it, but when I was looking them up last night, I noticed it and thought it could be a small factor given that race was apparently a factor for Moon. (I know it's not the same, and I don't think either Moon or Seau needed it to get in.)
 
Matthews is without question the biggest lock to go in next year.  That one's an absolute no-brainer.
Why? I'm not questioning it, and I know Matthews has a good reputation, but how do we truly know that an OL is Hall worthy? That is, as one who hasn't followed his career closely, what can I look at as evidence?I tend to agree that he will make it, I just would like to find a good method for comparing OL.
Well, 14 Pro Bowls would be a good place to start. Just about everything I've read indicates that he's a first ballot lock (really the only one next year). In fact, just a couple of days ago I heard one of the voters indicate as such. I think it's pretty much the consensus.
 
Any one think Hienz Ward will get in.

4 Pro Bowls

Super bowl win

Super bowl MVP

Steelers all time leading reciever in yards Catches and TD

Most complete Wideout in the game

and has 4 to 5 more years in him

In my opinion he is in Torry Holts league right now.
Too early for my list, and I think his chances are not great at this point, though I like him a lot.
 
I know character isn't supposed to matter, but obviously Lewis trails the other two there.  I'm not as certain for Brooks, but Seau has won many awards for his charitable endeavors.

Also, while it probably isn't supposed to matter much, Seau may be the best Asian American ever to play the game.  (I can't think of another who was better.)  We just saw that race was considered an important factor for Moon, not sure if it will be a factor for Seau or not.

It's hard for me to rank Brooks over Seau, though Brooks has a few more years left to close the gap.  Of course, I suspect Capella and perhaps many others will not see a gap.

As for Lewis, his two defensive MVPs and his Super Bowl MVP should seal his induction IMO.

Maybe all 3 will make it.
(nitpick)I don't believe Seau is considerred Asian American. Is he hawaiian? Someone from NFLE last year was to play in the NFL and they said that phrase about him. Of course that could have been misstated.Seau played on a cruddy team while those two went to the Supe and were on some awesome Ds.

I think they'll all get in. They might have to wait like Harry Carson did but they'll get in. A decade as an pro bowler is pretty awesome and also limits the field as they're taking up one of the pro bowl spots for that long. IIRC some Steeler Cs have done this in the AFC. Not certain but I'd swear the Steelers C made the probowl for most of 20 years, throw in Mawae and geesh some guys have owned that spot for a long long time. While people here minimize the pro bowl, what would you think of a player that never made the pro bowl? Their might be some good LBers that didn't make the probowl because of these 3.
Seau is SamoanGrew up in SoCal.

 
There has been a few mentions of Strahan.  I suppose he will make it, but consider the most recent DL and the next most likely DL to be inducted.  Reggie White is arguably the best DL of all time and had 198 sacks.  Bruce Smith had 195 sacks, and may be the best DE of all time.  Both of them won 2 Defensive MVPs, and both played a lot in the postseason.

Strahan has 129.5 sacks and one Defensive MVP, along with the single season sack record.  Certainly he is not in the class of White & Smith, but I suppose he doesn't have to be to make the HOF.  That is why I didn't designate him a lock, however.
He is not only an asbolute lock, but he is very close to Bruce Smith in terms of NFL ability and impact, imo. Reggie is in his own stratosphere, however.Strahan has been the best DE for a good number of years in the NFL. A torrid pass rusher who is a great run defender.
Perhaps you are right, though IIRC you are a Giants fan, right? ;) Bruce Smith was All NFL 8 times, compared to Strahan's 4. Smith made 11 Pro Bowls, compared to Strahan's 7 so far. Smith has 50% more sacks than Strahan at this point. It is no slight to Strahan to question your statement above comparing him to Smith.

 
Matthews is without question the biggest lock to go in next year.  That one's an absolute no-brainer.
Why? I'm not questioning it, and I know Matthews has a good reputation, but how do we truly know that an OL is Hall worthy? That is, as one who hasn't followed his career closely, what can I look at as evidence?I tend to agree that he will make it, I just would like to find a good method for comparing OL.
Well, 14 Pro Bowls would be a good place to start. Just about everything I've read indicates that he's a first ballot lock (really the only one next year). In fact, just a couple of days ago I heard one of the voters indicate as such. I think it's pretty much the consensus.
OK, like I said, I knew he belonged on the list, I just wasn't sure how to rate his chances. But I didn't look up his PBs. Of course, many of the OLs I listed have 9+ PBs and are still playing. Do we think all of them will make the HOF? I was hoping there is a method to discriminate amongst them.
 
There has been a few mentions of Strahan.  I suppose he will make it, but consider the most recent DL and the next most likely DL to be inducted.  Reggie White is arguably the best DL of all time and had 198 sacks.  Bruce Smith had 195 sacks, and may be the best DE of all time.  Both of them won 2 Defensive MVPs, and both played a lot in the postseason.

Strahan has 129.5 sacks and one Defensive MVP, along with the single season sack record.  Certainly he is not in the class of White & Smith, but I suppose he doesn't have to be to make the HOF.  That is why I didn't designate him a lock, however.
He is not only an asbolute lock, but he is very close to Bruce Smith in terms of NFL ability and impact, imo. Reggie is in his own stratosphere, however.Strahan has been the best DE for a good number of years in the NFL. A torrid pass rusher who is a great run defender.
Perhaps you are right, though IIRC you are a Giants fan, right? ;) Bruce Smith was All NFL 8 times, compared to Strahan's 4. Smith made 11 Pro Bowls, compared to Strahan's 7 so far. Smith has 50% more sacks than Strahan at this point. It is no slight to Strahan to question your statement above comparing him to Smith.
I've brought this up before ,but I think Strahan is a media darling and is getting in based on that. he's good no doubt. Not HOF worthy (yet) IMO.

 
Hines Ward vs. Torry Holt (both will be 30 entering next season, but Ward has played in 1 more season):

Ward:

574 catches, 7030 yards, 52 TDs

4 Pro-Bowls

0 All Pro-Teams

Not in the top 50 in any all-time category

1 Super Bowl title and SB MVP

Holt:

617 catches, 9487 yards, 54 TDs

4 Pro Bowls

1 All Pro-Team

38th all time in receptions

28th all time in receiving yards

1 Super Bowl title

Of course, blocking has to be considered where Ward has the edge. Right now, neither has a chance to get in. But by the time they retire could they be legitimate candidates?
Nope.A HOFer should be someone that at sometime in their career was a top 3-5 player at their position. I don't think that Ward has ever been that.

 
Progress report.

So far I/we have identified 29 locks. Add another dozen or so of the players who look like likely candidates but still have a few years left. Then add a dozen players already eligible, a half dozen veteran committee nominations and a half dozen non-playing contributors, and you have about 65 HOFers to be inducted over the next 15 years.

I still think I am missing a center or two. And what about kickers? Maybe one or two?

EDIT: Dropped the locks down to 23. Removed Harrison & all OL other than Matthews, since I cannot distinguish between the rest of them to determine the ones most likely to make it.

 
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Progress report.

So far I/we have identified 29 LOCKS. Add another dozen or so of the players who look like likely candidates but still have a few years left. Then add a dozen players already eligible, a half dozen veteran committee nominations and a half dozen non-playing contributors, and you have about 65 HOFers to be inducted over the next 15 years.

I still think I am missing a center or two. And what about kickers? Maybe one or two?
Elam?
 
And what about kickers? Maybe one or two?
What is there currently . . . one full-time kicker in the HOF (plus Blanda)?Can we narrow it down to one kicker? Maybe Ray Guy as a punter and Vinatieri for a placekicker . . .
 
Progress report.

So far I/we have identified 29 LOCKS. Add another dozen or so of the players who look like likely candidates but still have a few years left. Then add a dozen players already eligible, a half dozen veteran committee nominations and a half dozen non-playing contributors, and you have about 65 HOFers to be inducted over the next 15 years.

I still think I am missing a center or two. And what about kickers? Maybe one or two?
Steve Tasker
 
A HOFer should be someone that at sometime in their career was a top 3-5 player at their position. I don't think that Ward has ever been that.
Hines Ward
4-time Pro Bowler: 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004
Code:
Seasons among the league's top 10Receptions:       2001-8, 2002-2, 2003-5tReceiving yards:  2002-4, 2003-9Receiving TDs:    2002-2, 2003-4t, 2005-3tRush/Receive TDs:	2002-10
A legitimate arguement could be made that he's been a top 5 WR since 2002, at least.
 
A HOFer should be someone that at sometime in their career was a top 3-5 player at their position.  I don't think that Ward has ever been that.
Hines Ward
4-time Pro Bowler: 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004
Seasons among the league's top 10Receptions:       2001-8, 2002-2, 2003-5tReceiving yards:  2002-4, 2003-9Receiving TDs:    2002-2, 2003-4t, 2005-3tRush/Receive TDs: 2002-10A legitimate arguement could be made that he's been a top 5 WR since 2002, at least.
That would be a reach. He was a top 3 WR in 2002. Hard to say he was a top 5 WR in 2003 given that he finished 9th in receiving yards (he ranked 6th in fantasy terms). In 2004, he wasn't on the map (28th in fantasy terms), and in 2005 was 3rd in TDs but wasn't top 10 in either catches or receiving yards (10th in fantasy terms).So something like 2nd, 6th, 28th, 10th in the past 4 years does not strike me as top 5 over the 4 year period. Regardless, it also does not strike me as HOF worthy.

 
Progress report.

So far I/we have identified 29 LOCKS.  Add another dozen or so of the players who look like likely candidates but still have a few years left.  Then add a dozen players already eligible, a half dozen veteran committee nominations and a half dozen non-playing contributors, and you have about 65 HOFers to be inducted over the next 15 years.

I still think I am missing a center or two.  And what about kickers?  Maybe one or two?
Steve Tasker
I thought about mentioning him, but does anyone think he (or the best special teams player ever, if not Tasker) really has a shot?
 
A HOFer should be someone that at sometime in their career was a top 3-5 player at their position.  I don't think that Ward has ever been that.
Hines Ward
4-time Pro Bowler: 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004
Seasons among the league's top 10Receptions:       2001-8, 2002-2, 2003-5tReceiving yards:  2002-4, 2003-9Receiving TDs:    2002-2, 2003-4t, 2005-3tRush/Receive TDs: 2002-10A legitimate arguement could be made that he's been a top 5 WR since 2002, at least.
That would be a reach. He was a top 3 WR in 2002. Hard to say he was a top 5 WR in 2003 given that he finished 9th in receiving yards (he ranked 6th in fantasy terms). In 2004, he wasn't on the map (28th in fantasy terms), and in 2005 was 3rd in TDs but wasn't top 10 in either catches or receiving yards (10th in fantasy terms).So something like 2nd, 6th, 28th, 10th in the past 4 years does not strike me as top 5 over the 4 year period. Regardless, it also does not strike me as HOF worthy.
Winner winner chicken dinner.Even the one good year (good by HOF standards), was he REALLY the 2nd best WR that year?

He is in the Rod Smith category. Solid. But not great. Longevity might make his numbers look decent, but he just isn't one of those WRs that I look at as being "great".

 
A HOFer should be someone that at sometime in their career was a top 3-5 player at their position.  I don't think that Ward has ever been that.
Hines Ward
4-time Pro Bowler: 2001, 2002, 2003, 2004
Seasons among the league's top 10Receptions:       2001-8, 2002-2, 2003-5tReceiving yards:  2002-4, 2003-9Receiving TDs:    2002-2, 2003-4t, 2005-3tRush/Receive TDs: 2002-10A legitimate arguement could be made that he's been a top 5 WR since 2002, at least.
Number of times ranked in the Top 5 in receptions, receiving yards, or receiving TDs (Current players only):Harrison 14

Moss 12

Owens 9

Holt 8

RSmith 7

JSmith 7

Bruce 6

Ward 6

CJohnson 5

 
And what about kickers?  Maybe one or two?
What is there currently . . . one full-time kicker in the HOF (plus Blanda)?Can we narrow it down to one kicker? Maybe Ray Guy as a punter and Vinatieri for a placekicker . . .
I've had the Vinatieri conversation before. In general, the argument for him boils down to him having made a few clutch kicks in the postseason. Meanwhile, guys like Gary Anderson and Morten Andersen have more than twice as many points.I did a brief search, and from what I could find, I'd vote for Morten Andersen, if any place kicker:

- 2nd all time in points (2358) & FGs (520) to Gary Anderson

- 1st all time in games played (354)

- Most consecutive games scoring (332), with Elam a distant second with 188 through 2004

- All time leader in made 50+ yard FGs in career (40), season (8), and game (3)

- Entering 2004, had 31 game deciding kicks... can't find where that ranks

- Kicked the 3rd longest FG in history (60 yards)

- Most Pro Bowls ever for a kicker (7)

- Most Pro Bowl points, FGs, FGAs, XPs

How much of that is made up by a few clutch postseason kicks?

 
And what about kickers?  Maybe one or two?
What is there currently . . . one full-time kicker in the HOF (plus Blanda)?Can we narrow it down to one kicker? Maybe Ray Guy as a punter and Vinatieri for a placekicker . . .
I've had the Vinatieri conversation before. In general, the argument for him boils down to him having made a few clutch kicks in the postseason. Meanwhile, guys like Gary Anderson and Morten Andersen have more than twice as many points.I did a brief search, and from what I could find, I'd vote for Morten Andersen, if any place kicker:

- 2nd all time in points (2358) & FGs (520) to Gary Anderson

- 1st all time in games played (354)

- Most consecutive games scoring (332), with Elam a distant second with 188 through 2004

- All time leader in made 50+ yard FGs in career (40), season (8), and game (3)

- Entering 2004, had 31 game deciding kicks... can't find where that ranks

- Kicked the 3rd longest FG in history (60 yards)

- Most Pro Bowls ever for a kicker (7)

- Most Pro Bowl points, FGs, FGAs, XPs

How much of that is made up by a few clutch postseason kicks?
Who really knows what defines a HOF kicker . . . seeing that there's really only one inducted. If you do start electing them, though, I suppose there would be a lot of similar choices, as many could play forever, some could claim clutch kicks, many could point to a higher percentage of kicks made, etc.
 
And what about kickers?  Maybe one or two?
What is there currently . . . one full-time kicker in the HOF (plus Blanda)?Can we narrow it down to one kicker? Maybe Ray Guy as a punter and Vinatieri for a placekicker . . .
I've had the Vinatieri conversation before. In general, the argument for him boils down to him having made a few clutch kicks in the postseason. Meanwhile, guys like Gary Anderson and Morten Andersen have more than twice as many points.I did a brief search, and from what I could find, I'd vote for Morten Andersen, if any place kicker:

- 2nd all time in points (2358) & FGs (520) to Gary Anderson

- 1st all time in games played (354)

- Most consecutive games scoring (332), with Elam a distant second with 188 through 2004

- All time leader in made 50+ yard FGs in career (40), season (8), and game (3)

- Entering 2004, had 31 game deciding kicks... can't find where that ranks

- Kicked the 3rd longest FG in history (60 yards)

- Most Pro Bowls ever for a kicker (7)

- Most Pro Bowl points, FGs, FGAs, XPs

How much of that is made up by a few clutch postseason kicks?
it's not a few clutch kicks it's like 25-30 in a row over like 2-3 years. I had pasted it into a thread discussing it with CalBear if IIRC. He seemed to be "eh' to it while I thought it was phenomenal that he wouldn't miss in the 4th quarter for so long. I believe his streak ended this year BTW
 
And what about kickers?  Maybe one or two?
What is there currently . . . one full-time kicker in the HOF (plus Blanda)?Can we narrow it down to one kicker? Maybe Ray Guy as a punter and Vinatieri for a placekicker . . .
I've had the Vinatieri conversation before. In general, the argument for him boils down to him having made a few clutch kicks in the postseason. Meanwhile, guys like Gary Anderson and Morten Andersen have more than twice as many points.I did a brief search, and from what I could find, I'd vote for Morten Andersen, if any place kicker:

- 2nd all time in points (2358) & FGs (520) to Gary Anderson

- 1st all time in games played (354)

- Most consecutive games scoring (332), with Elam a distant second with 188 through 2004

- All time leader in made 50+ yard FGs in career (40), season (8), and game (3)

- Entering 2004, had 31 game deciding kicks... can't find where that ranks

- Kicked the 3rd longest FG in history (60 yards)

- Most Pro Bowls ever for a kicker (7)

- Most Pro Bowl points, FGs, FGAs, XPs

How much of that is made up by a few clutch postseason kicks?
it's not a few clutch kicks it's like 25-30 in a row over like 2-3 years. I had pasted it into a thread discussing it with CalBear if IIRC. He seemed to be "eh' to it while I thought it was phenomenal that he wouldn't miss in the 4th quarter for so long. I believe his streak ended this year BTW
If you are saying he made 25-30 clutch kicks in a row over 2-3 years, I'd like to see your definition of clutch kick. I already posted above that Andersen has 31 game winning kicks and 40 50+ yard FGs. I think it is fair to say those are clutch plays for kickers. How does Vinatieri compare in those categories?And then on top of that, Andersen has the career points, the most Pro Bowls, etc. I just don't see how anyone can justify Vinatieri over him, at least not at this time. If Vinatieri keeps kicking for 10+ more years and significantly closes the gap on those other accomplishments, then I could see his clutch playoff kicks becoming a discriminator.

Here is an old post I made on this subject from Vinatieri, Is this guy Canton bound?:

Once again, I will attempt to give this my own perspective on why kickers differ from other positions with respect to HOF (at least other non special teams positions).

How many truly great plays has Vinatieri made in his career? Bostonfred listed 6 earlier. (Why 6? Is that all?) Let's give him the benefit of the doubt and say he has made 20 in his career. Heck, let's go with 27, which would give him the equivalent of 3 great plays per season.

Now consider how many great plays per season guys like <insert favorite HOF player here> made. Note: making 80% of your field goals does not count as making great plays, only the ones like the ones already mentioned in this thread really count.

Does a typical HOFer make as few as 3 great plays per season? My gut says no, but I'm open to other opinions. IMO, this is the reason that making it as a kicker has more to do with sustained excellence than a small number of great plays.
There is some great discussion in that thread for those who are interested in this topic.
 
2010 - Emmitt Smith - LOCK

2010 - Jerry Rice - LOCK

2010 - Tim Brown - LOCK

2010 - Rod Woodson - LOCK

2010 - Aeneas Williams

2010 - Darren Woodson

2011 - Jerome Bettis - LOCK

2011 - Deion Sanders - LOCK - assuming he retires now

2011 - Brett Favre - LOCK - assuming he retires now
Brutal. My man Aeneas is going to get the squeeze. That's a dang shame.
 
Justwinbaby,

I'd have to look back at the thread. IIRC it was 25 to 30 4th quarter kicks not game winning or inside 2 minutes or anything like that. You speak of Vinat playing 10 more years but didn't Anderson play "forever". Curious where Elam stands. He's a gem too IMO

Doug,

I'm an aeneas fan too. that's a sweet "class" there

 
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Progress report.

So far I/we have identified 29 LOCKS. Add another dozen or so of the players who look like likely candidates but still have a few years left. Then add a dozen players already eligible, a half dozen veteran committee nominations and a half dozen non-playing contributors, and you have about 65 HOFers to be inducted over the next 15 years.

I still think I am missing a center or two. And what about kickers? Maybe one or two?
Steve Tasker
I thought about mentioning him, but does anyone think he (or the best special teams player ever, if not Tasker) really has a shot?
I think they should be considered because they have a reasonably important effect on the game. I think Tasker really stands out from the crowd at this position, with only Bill Bates from Dallas being close. But Tasker has the 4 SB appearances, however many Pro Bowls, 1 of those Pro Bowls he was MVP and he played a decent WR when the Bills needed him there. Pretty important guy to those teams. But let's be honest, if Thomas isn't a first ballot HOFer than it's hard to imagine those 39 baffoons recognizing Tasker's impact. :(
 
Progress report.

So far I/we have identified 29 LOCKS.  Add another dozen or so of the players who look like likely candidates but still have a few years left.  Then add a dozen players already eligible, a half dozen veteran committee nominations and a half dozen non-playing contributors, and you have about 65 HOFers to be inducted over the next 15 years.

I still think I am missing a center or two.  And what about kickers?  Maybe one or two?
Steve Tasker
I thought about mentioning him, but does anyone think he (or the best special teams player ever, if not Tasker) really has a shot?
I think they should be considered because they have a reasonably important effect on the game. I think Tasker really stands out from the crowd at this position, with only Bill Bates from Dallas being close. But Tasker has the 4 SB appearances, however many Pro Bowls, 1 of those Pro Bowls he was MVP and he played a decent WR when the Bills needed him there. Pretty important guy to those teams. But let's be honest, if Thomas isn't a first ballot HOFer than it's hard to imagine those 39 baffoons recognizing Tasker's impact. :(
Agreed. We won't likely ever have the best holder, long snapper, kickoff specialist, kickoff returner, or punt returner in the HOF, unless by chance the player was HOF caliber at another position. Where is the line? It is questionable if or when another kicker or any punter will be inducted. Given that, I don't see Tasker or any other special teams coverage player making it. It appears to me that the line among players has been drawn after offense & defense, with Jan Stenerud as the lone exception.
 
Justwinbaby,

I'd have to look back at the thread. IIRC it was 25 to 30 4th quarter kicks not game winning or inside 2 minutes or anything like that. You speak of Vinat playing 10 more years but didn't Anderson play "forever". Curious where Elam stands. He's a gem too IMO

Doug,

I'm an aeneas fan too. that's a sweet "class" there
OK. I feel confident they were not all in clutch situations or we would no doubt be frequently inundated with this stat by the Pats fans around here. :P Heck, at the very least it would have been brought up in the Vinatieri thread I referenced earlier. There were only 6 specific great plays cited by Vinatieri in that thread.
 
I agree, although I do think that Tasker was the most "dominate" at his niche position in that group. Should Mel Gray be there? No. But is Mel Gray better than Steve Tasker?

 
Derrick Brooks - almost, not quite
:lmao: that guy's a lock, sorry. Only Buc I'll say that about, although Sapp is close.Nothing left for Brooks to accomplish. That guy is in.

Maybe if he screamed and did some idiotic dance like Ray Lewis, he'd get more respect from the average fan.
THANK YOU! Not quite what? Not quit the best LB in the last 15 years? Yes he was. I am not a Bucs fan at all, but this guy has been the the best there was for a long time!
 
2010 - Emmitt Smith - LOCK

2010 - Jerry Rice - LOCK

2010 - Tim Brown - LOCK

2010 - Rod Woodson - LOCK

2010 - Aeneas Williams

2010 - Darren Woodson

2011 - Jerome Bettis - LOCK

2011 - Deion Sanders - LOCK - assuming he retires now

2011 - Brett Favre - LOCK - assuming he retires now
Brutal. My man Aeneas is going to get the squeeze. That's a dang shame.
Yes, I was tempted to list Aeneas as a LOCK, but the fact that he comes eligible within a four year window that includes Darrell Green, Rod Woodson, & Deion gave me pause. Also, he didn't really have the exposure of the others... not sure how much that could affect voters.Still, I think he should get in. From the Lynch thread:

A couple of other names not mentioned so far: Aeneas Williams and LeRoy Butler.

Williams:

- All Pro 4 times as a CB

- Pro Bowler 8 times (7 at CB, 1 at S)

- Selected for 1990s All Decade team

- 55 career interceptions, currently #17 all time

- 794 tackles, 3 sacks, 12 forced fumbles, 23 fumble recoveries, 168 passes defensed... not sure how these numbers compare to other CBs/DBs

- 12 defensive TDs, including 9 interception returns (tied for #2 all-time)

- Postseason record 2 interceptions returned for TDs in 1 game (vs. Green Bay 1/20/02)

- Played in 183 consecutive games, including 180 consecutive starts

- Played in one Super Bowl, which his team lost

To me it seems clear that Williams is next in line for recent era DBs, after Sanders & Rod Woodson. (And also behind Darrell Green if you consider him to be of the same era.)

...
 
There has been a few mentions of Strahan.  I suppose he will make it, but consider the most recent DL and the next most likely DL to be inducted.  Reggie White is arguably the best DL of all time and had 198 sacks.  Bruce Smith had 195 sacks, and may be the best DE of all time.  Both of them won 2 Defensive MVPs, and both played a lot in the postseason.

Strahan has 129.5 sacks and one Defensive MVP, along with the single season sack record.  Certainly he is not in the class of White & Smith, but I suppose he doesn't have to be to make the HOF.  That is why I didn't designate him a lock, however.
He is not only an asbolute lock, but he is very close to Bruce Smith in terms of NFL ability and impact, imo. Reggie is in his own stratosphere, however.Strahan has been the best DE for a good number of years in the NFL. A torrid pass rusher who is a great run defender.
Perhaps you are right, though IIRC you are a Giants fan, right? ;) Bruce Smith was All NFL 8 times, compared to Strahan's 4. Smith made 11 Pro Bowls, compared to Strahan's 7 so far. Smith has 50% more sacks than Strahan at this point. It is no slight to Strahan to question your statement above comparing him to Smith.
I admit my Giants bias. I also believe that Smith was the better player - but Strahan has been an absolutely dominant force and if anything, has been overlooked in his skill (people seem to pay attention because he is an attention whore). I think this actually works against him in some football circles.Regardless, he has been the best end in the game since Smith's prime.

 
Is Clay a future hall of famer? I think he is but he has never gotten consideration yet? He should have been eligible for a while I think?

 
I think the word "Lock" is overused in this thread.
Perhaps. It is essentially my opinion of which players will definitely make it. How overused do you think it is? In other words, how many of the guys I identified as Locks do you think will not make it?I know some people disagree with Tim Brown & Bettis, and I went ahead and removed all the offensive linemen locks, given how unlikely it is that they all get in and my inability to distinguish between them effectively. I also removed the lock designator from Rodney Harrison.

So I now have 23. How many of those guys do think are truly locks? Which ones do you disagree with?

 
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Derrick Brooks - almost, not quite
:lmao: that guy's a lock, sorry. Only Buc I'll say that about, although Sapp is close.Nothing left for Brooks to accomplish. That guy is in.

Maybe if he screamed and did some idiotic dance like Ray Lewis, he'd get more respect from the average fan.
THANK YOU! Not quite what? Not quit the best LB in the last 15 years? Yes he was. I am not a Bucs fan at all, but this guy has been the the best there was for a long time!
I don't think best in the last 15 years. Greg Lloyd was very impressive for a few years there and in his old age(like everyone) he's not as good. 15 is too long a time period, he's awesome I suppose my "issue" is with the time period.
 
Nice work. The thing I take out of that list is if you are a "borderline" HOFer, you better get that PR campaign in high gear before 2010. The players becoming eligible in 2010-11 will push a lot of players off the list. If memory serves me right, it is a rough go to get back on the list of finalists after you have left it.

 

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