Get your $$$ down now before the line moves... (1 Viewer)

[bigmiiiiike]

The Cardinals should be getting approximately 7 points against a below average to mediocre NFL team these days, but the defending champs??? I understand the Saints haven't been blowing teams out yet, but this looks like a nice "get right" game for them. I predict the Cards do not score an offensive TD and the Saints put up 30. Get in on this before the line moves off of the TD.

 

[Insein]

Saints haven't exactly lit it up this year. They went across the country to SF and barely pulled it out. I think 7 points is a fair line to start. Might move to 7.5 at the most. Don't see it going much higher.

 

[tangfoot]

I'd like to say that it will depend on whether Hall or Anderson starts, but it really doesn't...

 

[kutta]

This is why I stay away from betting NFL. Every fiber of my being tells me that the Saints are going to demolish the Cards and that I should put my life savings on the Saints. And that means the Cards will cover.

 

[bigmiiiiike]

Saints haven't exactly lit it up this year. They went across the country to SF and barely pulled it out. I think 7 points is a fair line to start. Might move to 7.5 at the most. Don't see it going much higher.

49er game was on MNF, where strange things happen that usually benefit the home team. And the 49ers are light years ahead of the Cardinals.

 

[Jayrod]

The Cardinals are maybe the worst team in football this year.

 

[CaptainHook]

this is what sports bettors refer to as a barstool pundit pick. going the otehr way on picks like this usually yields great results

 

[CaptainHook]

U bet on the jaguars last week didnt u

 

[bigmiiiiike]

this is what sports bettors refer to as a barstool pundit pick. going the otehr way on picks like this usually yields great results

Many times I agree with this. Last week two games fit the bill with Cleveland only +3 v. Cincy and Jags +8 v. Colts. Both road teams looked prime to demolish the home teams but that wasn't the case. The way I would explain it is both games were divisional games, and the underdogs have a history of playing well against their rival favorites. MJD always runs well against the Colts. Cleveland, for as bad as they've been in recent years, plays Cincy tough in Cleveland. However there are other games that look prime for a beat down, like Arizona @ SD last week, and the beat down occurs. SD playing at home was nice, but the rub was that AZ is just an awful team, and they had no reason to get up for a game against a non-rival out of division opponent. Next week will be no different. Saints will rolllllllllllllllllllllllllll!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[Rounders]

This is why I stay away from betting NFL. Every fiber of my being tells me that the Saints are going to demolish the Cards and that I should put my life savings on the Saints. And that means the Cards will cover.

Placing $$ on the cards right now!!!

 

[Bruce Leroy]

Say goodbye to your money!

 

[bonesman]

this is what sports bettors refer to as a barstool pundit pick. going the otehr way on picks like this usually yields great results

So how much you throwing on the Cards then?

 

[CaptainHook]

this is what sports bettors refer to as a barstool pundit pick. going the otehr way on picks like this usually yields great results

So how much you throwing on the Cards then?

probly like $100.

 

[eurotrashman]

The Saints have yet to cover this year, correct?

 

[bostonfred]

The Cardinals are maybe the worst team in football this year.

They're 2-2 and lead their division. The Saints are likely to overlook them. They'll have a full week of practice for Hall. They will get up for playing the defending champs. They are playing at home against a team that has to travel across the country, and hasn't been as good this year as they were last.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Vegas loves people like you

 

[Chase Stuart]

The Cardinals may well have played like the worst team in the NFL so far, but that doesn't make the spread off. The Saints haven't played particularly well, either.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/nfl10.htm

Jeff Sagarin's computer ratings have the Saints as the 12th best team in the league, and I think that might even be generous. He's got them at 21.75 points and the Cardinals at 12.33 points, a difference of 9.4 points on a neutral field. But the Saints haven't ever played at the new Arizona stadium; games in a different time zone in an unfamiliar stadium are games where HFA is greatest. Because of that, a 9.4 point difference between these two teams should yield something like a 5.5 point spread. A 7 point spread seems totally reasonable.

And yes, the Saints haven't exactly looked good ATS this year, covering by 0.5 points in the opener and coming up 1.5 points, 6 points and 10.5 points short of the line over the last three weeks.

 

[AB in DC]

Saints haven't exactly lit it up this year. They went across the country to SF and barely pulled it out. I think 7 points is a fair line to start. Might move to 7.5 at the most. Don't see it going much higher.

49er game was on MNF, where strange things happen that usually benefit the home team.

You mean like last night? Strange things do seem to happen on MNF, but I haven't noticed any particular benefit to one team vs another. Just makes the games more unpredictable.

 

[Fear The Turtle]

My money's with bigmike this weekend.

 

[bigmiiiiike]

Saints haven't exactly lit it up this year. They went across the country to SF and barely pulled it out. I think 7 points is a fair line to start. Might move to 7.5 at the most. Don't see it going much higher.

49er game was on MNF, where strange things happen that usually benefit the home team.

You mean like last night? Strange things do seem to happen on MNF, but I haven't noticed any particular benefit to one team vs another. Just makes the games more unpredictable.

I mean like the SD/KC game week 1, the Saints/49ers game week 2, and the Packers/Bears game week 3. Also the Dallas/Buffalo game, and the NYG/Cleveland games from a few years ago come to mind. The HFA seems to be much greater for MNF games.

 

[RedskinsFan]

This is why I stay away from betting NFL. Every fiber of my being tells me that the Saints are going to demolish the Cards and that I should put my life savings on the Saints. And that means the Cards will cover.

 

[myhousekey]

Saints are pretty banged up right now. Lost Tracy porter and Reis in the last game.

 

[shortbow]

But the Saints are bad?

 

[D'OHtis]

I'd feel a lot more comfortable knowing where Pierre's playing or not. Not that backup RB's can't roast the Cards (see Snelling/Tolbert below), but Pierre should run wild on the Cards.

McFadden, Snelling & Tolbert have all run for 100 or more yards vs. the Cards thus far. Stephen Jackson ran for 81. Ryan Matthews also ran for 55 yards in relief.

 

[QUEZILLA]

The real money is on Tampa coming off a bye week against a mediocre Bengals. +7 the last time I checked.

 

[buster c]

Saints 24

Cards 17

 

[SeniorVBDStudent]

I was positive the colts would cover against the jags last week.

nuf said.

 

[firstseason1988]

just put a bet in on the Saints - 6.5.

the line did move. :dunno:

 

[Zigg]

The Saints could be down to their #4 and #5 RBs, two CBs starting at safety, and a starting CB is out. Add that to the fact that the deep ball has disappeared, and there is no reason to give 7 points on the road, against anyone.

 

[CaptainHook]

 

[dickey moe]

Lots of kids going hungry tonight.

 

[Go deep]

Again, never take a road favorite.

 

[kneeunthaface]

LOL!!!!!!

JUST LOL!!!!!!

 

[Doug B]

LOL!!!!!!JUST LOL!!!!!!

How do inveterate gamblers ever make money when stuff like this happens? Did the OP just not see enough of the Saints this year to realize how far they've fallen?

 

[Northbound Train]

 

[Das Boot]

lhucks alias.

 

[Hipple Long Ware & Peete]

 

[swirvenirvin]

Vegas loves people like you

SMART

 

[T.Rex]

GOOD CALL

 

[gethugefast1]

The Cardinals should be getting approximately 7 points against a below average to mediocre NFL team these days, but the defending champs??? I understand the Saints haven't been blowing teams out yet, but this looks like a nice "get right" game for them. I predict the Cards do not score an offensive TD and the Saints put up 30. Get in on this before the line moves off of the TD.

 

[John Windle]

To be fair, I believe he was right about them not scoring an offensive TD...

 

[FFCardsFan]

hahahahahaha

 

[Sigfawn]

Betting advice on a FF forum, that's rich.

 

[PolishNorbi]

This game cost me turning $10 into $2,500

 

[Judge Smails]

The hit rate on these locks is about 10%. Even when I come in with a 100 star play it's destined to tank. We need to learn from this, bet the farm every time the other way and make boatloads...Seriously, somebody should track these over time. It's comical.

 

[Go deep]

Betting advice on a FF forum, that's rich.

Maybe you should check my record over the last 3 years in the weekly wagering thread. :X

 

[bigmiiiiike]

The Cardinals should be getting approximately 7 points against a below average to mediocre NFL team these days, but the defending champs??? I understand the Saints haven't been blowing teams out yet, but this looks like a nice "get right" game for them. I predict the Cards do not score an offensive TD and the Saints put up 30. Get in on this before the line moves off of the TD.

At least I got the "no offensive TD" part right. Sigh, I don't think I'll ever understand the intracacies of the NFL, where the defending champs can lose to a team that looks terrible the first 4 weeks of the season who hand the ball to a rookie QB to make his first ever start. The Cowboys put up 500 yards of offense and lose, where Vince Young completes less than 50% of his passes, and Chris Johnson was relatively held in check (final numbers looked good, thanks to some late 4th quarter scampering). The Chargers put up over 500 yards of offense and lose to the McFadden-less and Gradkowski-less Raiders. Alabama gets slammed by South Carolina. Did the sun at least rise in the east this morning?

 

[scott72]

The Cardinals should be getting approximately 7 points against a below average to mediocre NFL team these days, but the defending champs??? I understand the Saints haven't been blowing teams out yet, but this looks like a nice "get right" game for them. I predict the Cards do not score an offensive TD and the Saints put up 30. Get in on this before the line moves off of the TD.

At least I got the "no offensive TD" part right. Sigh, I don't think I'll ever understand the intracacies of the NFL, where the defending champs can lose to a team that looks terrible the first 4 weeks of the season who hand the ball to a rookie QB to make his first ever start. The Cowboys put up 500 yards of offense and lose, where Vince Young completes less than 50% of his passes, and Chris Johnson was relatively held in check (final numbers looked good, thanks to some late 4th quarter scampering). The Chargers put up over 500 yards of offense and lose to the McFadden-less and Gradkowski-less Raiders. Alabama gets slammed by South Carolina. Did the sun at least rise in the east this morning?

Don't forget the best one of all. The Bears won while their QB had a rating of 6.5..

 

[[icon]]

The hit rate on these locks is about 10%. Even when I come in with a 100 star play it's destined to tank. We need to learn from this, bet the farm every time the other way and make boatloads...Seriously, somebody should track these over time. It's comical.

 

[My Hope Street Alias]

The Cardinals should be getting approximately 7 points against a below average to mediocre NFL team these days, but the defending champs??? I understand the Saints haven't been blowing teams out yet, but this looks like a nice "get right" game for them. I predict the Cards do not score an offensive TD and the Saints put up 30. Get in on this before the line moves off of the TD.

At least I got the "no offensive TD" part right. Sigh, I don't think I'll ever understand the intracacies of the NFL, where the defending champs can lose to a team that looks terrible the first 4 weeks of the season who hand the ball to a rookie QB to make his first ever start. The Cowboys put up 500 yards of offense and lose, where Vince Young completes less than 50% of his passes, and Chris Johnson was relatively held in check (final numbers looked good, thanks to some late 4th quarter scampering). The Chargers put up over 500 yards of offense and lose to the McFadden-less and Gradkowski-less Raiders. Alabama gets slammed by South Carolina. Did the sun at least rise in the east this morning?

No need to apologize dude. At least you had the nads to put your prediction out there. Not like some of these Mon. morning bumpers who are "Norman" Einstein after the fact. Of course, some said you were wrong beforehand so props to them, though I wonder if they would've revisited the thread if they had been wrong. I hope the Pool never gets to the point where guys refrain from putting stuff out there just because some gutless bumpers will "boldly" call them out on it after the fact.