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How Bad Was the A.J. Green pick? (<----Bumping my awful thread) (1 Viewer)

Outside shot at Andrew Luck in 2012 since they won't be winning many games. Luck to green is something to build on. If they don't get Luck, then Green's #'s. will suffer. Should have made the ATL move since they weren't going anywhere anytime soon and are in full blown rebuild mode.

 
Outside shot at Andrew Luck in 2012 since they won't be winning many games. Luck to green is something to build on. If they don't get Luck, then Green's #'s. will suffer. Should have made the ATL move since they weren't going anywhere anytime soon and are in full blown rebuild mode.
It will be interesting to see if the Bengals pull the trigger on a QB in round 2 or wait until next year.
 
Outside shot at Andrew Luck in 2012 since they won't be winning many games. Luck to green is something to build on. If they don't get Luck, then Green's #'s. will suffer. Should have made the ATL move since they weren't going anywhere anytime soon and are in full blown rebuild mode.
It will be interesting to see if the Bengals pull the trigger on a QB in round 2 or wait until next year.
They tried and couldn't get it done in a trade but should have a shot at Dalton or Mallett.
 
2007 - Calvin Johnson, 2nd to Detroit - 1 Pro Bowl2005 - Braylon Edwards, 3rd to Cleveland - 1 Pro Bowl2004 - Larry Fitzgerald, 3rd to Arizona - 5 Pro Bowls, 1 time All-Pro, 1 Super Bowl loss2003 - Charles Rogers, 2nd to Detroit2003 - Andre Johnson, 3rd to Houston - 5 Pro Bowls, 2 time All-Pro
So in the past 10 years, this is how it looks. Not bad.
And out of all of those Arizona was in 1 Super Bowl. Now I read this morning the Bengals turned down the Atlanta offer..yikes another great move in Cincy
If that's the standard, taking a QB top 5 is stupid too. Out of the QBs taken top 5 in the last 10 years, only Eli Manning has played in a Super Bowl.
I think it's pretty common knowledge it's much harder to land a franchise QB then a WR to build around. Also the year Arizona went to the Super Bowl they had HOF QB Kurt Warner at the helm. How's Fitz and Arizona been doing since he retired?
 
I think it's pretty common knowledge it's much harder to land a franchise QB then a WR to build around. Also the year Arizona went to the Super Bowl they had HOF QB Kurt Warner at the helm. How's Fitz and Arizona been doing since he retired?
But if you don't think that any of the qb's in the draft are a franchise quarterback, it's better to take a player you think will have a much greater chance of being a stud than it is to force a QB pick like 4 teams in the first round did.
 
I think it's pretty common knowledge it's much harder to land a franchise QB then a WR to build around. Also the year Arizona went to the Super Bowl they had HOF QB Kurt Warner at the helm. How's Fitz and Arizona been doing since he retired?
But if you don't think that any of the qb's in the draft are a franchise quarterback, it's better to take a player you think will have a much greater chance of being a stud than it is to force a QB pick like 4 teams in the first round did.
I agree on this. I don't think they should've taken a QB at 4 .They should've either taken the Atlanta deal or one of the 3 or 4 defensive players that would immediately impact. As I said earlier, Green even if he is the best WR in the class does little for the team's short to mid term improvement prospects with what is happening at the QB position.
 
Huge Bengals fan and usually I am as anti-apologist as it gets, but I have no problem with the pick. He is as close as it gets to a sure thing in the draft. I also would have been okay with moving down with the Falcons offer but I know everyone at our draft party felt the Falcons got the better of the deal with the Browns and in fact(however outdated) judging by the 'chart', they did. In addition, I am usually realistic about the team's chances and I feel this team is not that far off and doesn't have a glaring weakness that had to be addressed at 4. Two years removed from the division title, with roughly the same squad, save for the addition of Green, Gresham and Maualuga vs the surely departed Ocho...the big problem I see is coaching. It seems we are way too often out-coached but pretty sure we're not fixing that in the draft. I agree with the others, the move also is a likely plea to Palmer that we are removing divas and distractions. And not that I agree with our assessment, but the QB we're eyeing ends up still being available at the start of day 2, so as much as I usually rip them to shreds (tough love ;) ) I am on board, though still pray daily for some sort of Brown Family hostile takeover situation. I just know I watch the draft every year with Patriots fans, who watch every media member call BB a genius for 'manipulating the board', while he's moving out of a Clay Matthews slot or a PERFECT NEED Cam Jordan spot to collect picks and choose Ron Braces of the draft. Obviously the Pats are the model franchise in almost every facet, but their drafting since 2005 has largely been atrocious, mostly because they trade away from top talent. So I'll chastise them when they tractor beam on Andre Smith types but I can't kill them on this. Green is a bad, bad man.

 
As a Bengal I would have rejected the Falcons offer as well. I really dont like the talent that was there at 27 and the extra 2nds and 1st would be such a crap shoot I dont think any of them would have been as valuable as Green.
Bengals need bodies....plus they need to build from the lines out IMO- how many lousy teams have turned it around by drafting a stud WR...assuming he is a stud.
 
As a Bengal I would have rejected the Falcons offer as well. I really dont like the talent that was there at 27 and the extra 2nds and 1st would be such a crap shoot I dont think any of them would have been as valuable as Green.
Bengals need bodies....plus they need to build from the lines out IMO- how many lousy teams have turned it around by drafting a stud WR...assuming he is a stud.
The Bengals are one year removed from winning the division. They had a tough schedule and lost some toss up games. They could easily have been 8-8 last year. They aren't a couple of players away from the Super Bowl but arent in total rebuild mode either.How often do fourth round picks even remain on the team after 2 or 3 years much less make a valuable contribution? Considering the Bengals and their history of picking draft flops, those fourth round picks were not worth much. Fourth round talent is a dime a dozen and can easily be picked up via free agency with a better feel for how a player can produce.Moving from 4 to late twenties is a huge dropoff. If you like Green, take what you feel is the sure thing.
 
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While more than a few draft sites see A.J. Green as a solid/safe choice for my Bengals, I still can't believe that it's what they chose to do.I was on the fence about the Atlanta offer that fell through (assuming of course that it's the same as what they gave the Browns and wasn't a lesser offer which is possible) but I have little doubt that this is a big-time blunder.I looked back and in the Super Bowl era there have been 16 other WRs that have been selected in the top 5 of the NFL Draft.Of those 16, exactly 2 won the Super Bowl (neither with the team that drafted them) with 1 winning an MVP (but as a kick returner). 4 others have played for a Super Bowl loser (2 with the team that drafted them). The 16 have combined for 31 Pro Bowl Appearances (11 of them made at least one - 7 of them made 3 or more). 3 of them have made all pro (one of those 3 did it twice).Basically a highly drafted WR, while a nice toy, is no way to build a champion IMO.Here's the other 16, with the team that drafted them, and notes:2007 - Calvin Johnson, 2nd to Detroit - 1 Pro Bowl2005 - Braylon Edwards, 3rd to Cleveland - 1 Pro Bowl2004 - Larry Fitzgerald, 3rd to Arizona - 5 Pro Bowls, 1 time All-Pro, 1 Super Bowl loss2003 - Charles Rogers, 2nd to Detroit2003 - Andre Johnson, 3rd to Houston - 5 Pro Bowls, 2 time All-Pro2000 - Peter Warrick, 4th to Cincinnati - 1 Super Bowl loss (as a KR)1996 - Keyshawn Johnson, 1st to Jets - 3 Pro Bowls, 1 Super Bowl win (with TB)1995 - Michael Westbrook, 4th to Washington1992 - Desmond Howard, 4th to Washington - 1 Pro Bowl, 1 Super Bowl win (with GB as KR - Super Bowl MVP)1984 - Irving Fryar, 1st to New England - 5 Pro Bowls, 1 Super Bowl loss1984 - Kenny Jackson, 4th to Philadelphia1980 - Lam Jones, 2nd to Jets1979 - Jerry Butler, 5th to Buffalo - 1 Pro Bowl1978 - Wes Chandler, 3rd to New Orleans - 3 Pro Bowls, time All-Pro1972 - Ahmad Rashad, 4th to St. Louis (Cards) - 4 Pro Bowls, 1 Super Bowl loss1971 - J.D. Hill, 4th to Buffalo - 1 Pro Bowl*sigh*-QG
I didn't read past the first page, so maybe someone made this point already. Since 2000 the teams represented are the Lions (x2), Browns, Bengals, Cardinals and Texans. Those are 5 teams that are consistently drafting in the top half of the draft. Maybe the reason why these WRs drafted in the top 5 aren't succeeding is because the teams that draft them are consistently bad and one playmaker isn't enough to change the entire team. Calvin, Andre and Larry have all lived up to their draft spots.You can do this at several positions:RB2008 Darren McFadden, Raiders2006 Reggie Bush, Saints2005 Ronnie Brown, Dolphins2005 Cedric Benson, Bears2005 Cadillac Williams, Bucs2001 Ladainian Tomlinson, Chargers2000 Jamal Lewis, RavensEven QB:2010 Sam Bradford, Rams2009 Matt Stafford, Lions2009 Mark Sanchez, Jets2008 Matt Ryan, Falcons2007 Jamarcus Russell, Raiders2006 Vince Young, Titans2005 Alex Smith, 49ers2004 Eli Manning, Giants2004 Phillip Rivers, Chargers2003 Carson Palmer, Bengals2002 David Carr, Texans2001 Michael Vick, FalconsIf you are drafting in the top 5, your chances of that player leading you to a Super Bowl victory during their career is slim. Just looking at the drafts since 2000, here are the players that were drafted in the top 5 and that team became a Super Bowl winning team during their time with the team:2000 Jamal Lewis, Ravens2004 Eli Manning, Giants2006 Reggie Bush, Saints2006 AJ Hawk, PackersOnly 4 picks (so far) out of 50 players from 2000-2010 top 5 have won a Super Bowl. 1 QB, 2 RBs and 1 LB. It's faulty logic to use that statistic to say that drafting a WR in the top 5 is a mistake.
 
Andy Dalton

:lol:

So they can't make it work with their current QB and WR, so they spend their first two picks replacing guys that they've pissed off as an organization?

 
Green is a close to a sure thing as there is in this draft. If you give Mike Brown that many extra picks he is going to draft at least one kicker/punter/long snapper.

 
I'm not saying they picked a bad player. Not at all. I just don't see it as a winning move. I don't feel that this adds wins to the column for us, even if Green isn't a bust.-QG
I agree. At best this pick is a constant--is AJ going to be better than Ochocinco? Truth is that he will be very lucky to be as good. Yes, Ocho is getting old, but they have three young WRs who have all shown talent. A WR is a player you pick when your team is basically together--not a player for a rebuilding team. I know fantasy players here will say 'you can't argue with the pick,' and 'AJ is a sure thing.' But no WR is a sure thing. And no team has ever successfully built around a WR. It's as simple as that. Fantasy players like to see skill position players go high because we know more about those players and because it is of interest to us. But if you are trying to build a winning franchise, you don't do it with a WR and CINN had many more pressing needs.
 
I'm not saying they picked a bad player. Not at all. I just don't see it as a winning move. I don't feel that this adds wins to the column for us, even if Green isn't a bust.-QG
I agree. At best this pick is a constant--is AJ going to be better than Ochocinco? Truth is that he will be very lucky to be as good. Yes, Ocho is getting old, but they have three young WRs who have all shown talent. A WR is a player you pick when your team is basically together--not a player for a rebuilding team. I know fantasy players here will say 'you can't argue with the pick,' and 'AJ is a sure thing.' But no WR is a sure thing. And no team has ever successfully built around a WR. It's as simple as that. Fantasy players like to see skill position players go high because we know more about those players and because it is of interest to us. But if you are trying to build a winning franchise, you don't do it with a WR and CINN had many more pressing needs.
Cinci doesn't need to build around Green. Why would you thin they do?
 
I'm not saying they picked a bad player. Not at all. I just don't see it as a winning move. I don't feel that this adds wins to the column for us, even if Green isn't a bust.-QG
I agree. At best this pick is a constant--is AJ going to be better than Ochocinco? Truth is that he will be very lucky to be as good. Yes, Ocho is getting old, but they have three young WRs who have all shown talent. A WR is a player you pick when your team is basically together--not a player for a rebuilding team. I know fantasy players here will say 'you can't argue with the pick,' and 'AJ is a sure thing.' But no WR is a sure thing. And no team has ever successfully built around a WR. It's as simple as that. Fantasy players like to see skill position players go high because we know more about those players and because it is of interest to us. But if you are trying to build a winning franchise, you don't do it with a WR and CINN had many more pressing needs.
no position or player is a sure thing. green was considered by many the "surest thing" in this draft. and you are underrating the positional value of the wr position. its not a fantasy thing.
 
As a Bengal I would have rejected the Falcons offer as well. I really dont like the talent that was there at 27 and the extra 2nds and 1st would be such a crap shoot I dont think any of them would have been as valuable as Green.
Agreed. I think the draft for the Bengals has turned out great.
 
Who wouldn't want to be a young player and play QB for a team with those young weapons..oh it's the Bengals

 
Welp since we got Dalton too I'm a bit more excited :) Basically it's house cleaning time and I think they have two good pieces to do that. Also encouraged by Green's style and demeanor which is very different than some other wide receivers that are out there who will remain nameless but certainly not tweet-less.

Again, hoping to see a "How Bad Was This Thread?" posting a couple of years down the line ;)

-QG

 
I'm not saying they picked a bad player. Not at all. I just don't see it as a winning move. I don't feel that this adds wins to the column for us, even if Green isn't a bust.-QG
I agree. At best this pick is a constant--is AJ going to be better than Ochocinco? Truth is that he will be very lucky to be as good. Yes, Ocho is getting old, but they have three young WRs who have all shown talent. A WR is a player you pick when your team is basically together--not a player for a rebuilding team. I know fantasy players here will say 'you can't argue with the pick,' and 'AJ is a sure thing.' But no WR is a sure thing. And no team has ever successfully built around a WR. It's as simple as that. Fantasy players like to see skill position players go high because we know more about those players and because it is of interest to us. But if you are trying to build a winning franchise, you don't do it with a WR and CINN had many more pressing needs.
no position or player is a sure thing. green was considered by many the "surest thing" in this draft. and you are underrating the positional value of the wr position. its not a fantasy thing.
No kidding. Michael Crabtree, anyone?
 
I like it, especially since they scored Dalton in the 2nd. Maybe they can keep Plamer for one more season while Dalton sits and learns. Maybe they trade Palmer for future picks. I think they are doing well reloading.

 
name wrs you will draft ahead of green in redraft next yearhe is going to go awfully high. 5-10 range
The key will be Dalton coming into next year. Dalton is playing great this year but if he takes a step backwards his sophomore year a-la Sam Bradford then Green may find the opportunities dwindling. Both of them have the potential to excel next year, no doubt though.
 
i dont see dalton regressing since his play is actually impressive rather than the smoke and mirrors act bradford sold this board on.

i do see green's ceiling a bit lower than other big time receivers bc of the bengals style and conference. steelers and ravens are obv great defenses and the browns have joe haden.

 
name wrs you will draft ahead of green in redraft next yearhe is going to go awfully high. 5-10 range
The key will be Dalton coming into next year. Dalton is playing great this year but if he takes a step backwards his sophomore year a-la Sam Bradford then Green may find the opportunities dwindling. Both of them have the potential to excel next year, no doubt though.
I'm not sure why he would regress with a full off season next year. But even if he does, I dont see it affecting Green much. It's not like any of his catches have been because Dalton is putting the ball into tight windows with persicion, he's throwing it up and letting Green make great plays. Green is ridiculously good.
 
name wrs you will draft ahead of green in redraft next yearhe is going to go awfully high. 5-10 range
I would hope he goes in the 5-8 round range but he will probably be hyped up being the #1 guy on that team. A summer of hype and he will be going in the 3rd.
 
Scary thought.... with the Palmer trade... They have two #1s next year and two the following year as well probably.

 
Scary thought.... with the Palmer trade... They have two #1s next year and two the following year as well probably.
You think the Raiders are probably going to the AFC title game? How exciting.
Heh.... If I was a Bengals fan, I would think the future is quite bright... Dalton + Green + 2 1st rounders 2012 + 2 1st rounders 2013.For the raiders... at least the team will gel a bit... since I don't believe the raiders have any draft picks next year.
 
Scary thought.... with the Palmer trade... They have two #1s next year and two the following year as well probably.
You think the Raiders are probably going to the AFC title game? How exciting.
Heh.... If I was a Bengals fan, I would think the future is quite bright... Dalton + Green + 2 1st rounders 2012 + 2 1st rounders 2013.For the raiders... at least the team will gel a bit... since I don't believe the raiders have any draft picks next year.
Wrong about that. And wrong about the compensation. Just all kinds of wrong.Raiders 2013 pick is a 1st if they make the AFC title game.Go back and take a look at what happened to all those draft picks, and try and guess how many comp picks they get from Nnamdi, Gallery, and Zach Miller. Then add those up.
 
Scary thought.... with the Palmer trade... They have two #1s next year and two the following year as well probably.
You think the Raiders are probably going to the AFC title game? How exciting.
Heh.... If I was a Bengals fan, I would think the future is quite bright... Dalton + Green + 2 1st rounders 2012 + 2 1st rounders 2013.For the raiders... at least the team will gel a bit... since I don't believe the raiders have any draft picks next year.
Wrong about that. And wrong about the compensation. Just all kinds of wrong.Raiders 2013 pick is a 1st if they make the AFC title game in 11 OR 12.

Go back and take a look at what happened to all those draft picks, and try and guess how many comp picks they get from Nnamdi, Gallery, and Zach Miller. Then add those up.
 

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