I admit it - for projections I'm a little lost (1 Viewer)

[wraith5]

disclaimer: I won't/can't crunch all the numbers for the league myself. I rely on others, then tweak rankings. I admit it, I accept it. But I don’t want to blindly follow the Draft Dominator, either. It's why I spend time here instead of working at work.

I've looked over the rankings, projections, and opinions (including various FBG, LHUCKS, Phenoms)...

I've read the articles and spotlights (Stuarts's QB Rearview SOS was OUTSTANDING - would love to see RB & WR)...

AND I read the threads here to see what folks who I respect have to say (long list).

But it seems like the more I read, the more I blend projections from multiple sources, which in my mind ensures that I'll miss the guys out there who will significantly outperform their draft position. I have mired myself in mediocrity.

And therein lays my question: who among us is the “best” at projections? Who has that uncanny ability to pick the Santana Moss? Who didn’t buy the Collins hype?

What say you?

 

[Unlucky]

And therein lays my question: who among us is the “best” at projections? Who has that uncanny ability to pick the Santana Moss? Who didn’t buy the Collins hype? What say you?

I don't think anyone can consistently hit on the guys that will outperform. I've hit on some, but I've missed plenty of others. I was really high on Larry Fitzgerald last year. However, I wasn't high on Steve Smith, Santana Moss, or Joey Galloway. Oops. Perhaps, look at a few sources and see if someone has one player much higher than the other sites. Then figure out why. Does it make sense? If so, perhaps that guy is onto something there. In the end, I think the key to winning isn't that all of your guys outperform, but rather none of your guys underperform.