I love Sports Illustrated's weekly projections (1 Viewer)

[timschochet]

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/fantasy/football/nfl/player_projections/2011/01/eagles.rams.html

I don't know who writes these up, but year after year they are the most shameless and optimistic projections out there. Everybody gets a touchdown. If your running back can catch a ball, they're going to get a rushing touchdown plus a passing touchdown. Each game is a high scoring affair (though the defenses generally do fine as well.)

Of course, there is a bit of disconnect involved. Take a look at the game I linked: on the Eagles, McCoy, Jackson, Maclin, and Celek all catch touchdowns. Vick, however, only throws for two touchdowns, so I'm assuming Vince Young gets in the fun as well. But forget that. If we add these 4 touchdowns to the two rushing touchdowns (one by McCoy, one by Vick) plus two field goals, that's 48 points the Eagles are going to put up on the Rams. But they will still lose, as based on the predictions I calculate the Rams will put up 7 touchdowns and 2 field goals. Final score: Rams 55, Eagles 48.

 

[timschochet]

Check out Caddy's projections: SI warns that he is "only a backup". But this doesn't prevent him from getting one TD on the ground and one in the air.

 

[Kev4029]

The top 30 running backs all have a receiving TD, the top 63 have a rushing TD, including Buckhalter who isn't on an NFL roster.

ETA: every RB in the top 89 gets at least one TD, and that includes a handful of guys who aren't on rosters or are out for significant time (Buckhalter, L Johnson, Ivory, Aaron Brown).

ETA2: Every WR in the top 136 gets exactly one receiving TD.

 

[lion_crazz]

They are the worst. Although, I am not sure I want to look at any projections/rankings other than FBG this year. They get me to overthink things and then they are usually wrong.

 

[uwftbl]

Complete joke and waste of time. Tonight's game Saints score 9 tds and misses 8 PATs...right.

 

[Dought Man]

Man, these are horrible. Clearly, these do not go through any editing process.

They have TWELVE QB's predicted to rush for TD's this week... wow!

 

[Hipple Long Ware & Peete]

Hilarious. This is my favorite of the bunch

Cadillac Williams

14 rush yards, rush TD, 2 rec, 11 rec yards, rec TDWilliams comes in as the best backup that Steven Jackson has ever had in St. Louis, although it's important to remember that is what Williams is: a backup.

so projecting him for 25 total yards, but two scores, as a backup rb who will spell Steven Jackson...

 

[rizzler]

Fantastic projections.

I think they're well executed and better go out on a limb than some "experts"

Found my new site!

 

[Hipple Long Ware & Peete]

The top 30 running backs all have a receiving TD, the top 63 have a rushing TD, including Buckhalter who isn't on an NFL roster.ETA: every RB in the top 89 gets at least one TD, and that includes a handful of guys who aren't on rosters or are out for significant time (Buckhalter, L Johnson, Ivory, Aaron Brown).ETA2: Every WR in the top 136 gets exactly one receiving TD.

 

[Ladsud]

I like how every wideout gets a few rushing yards each game.

 

[POTA]

What's really funny are the (gross) mismatches between the QB passing TDs and the receiving TDs. The OP cited Vick / Eagles but there are also three unaccounted-for passing TDs between Bradford's projections (2 PaTD) and projected receivers (5 ReTD). Plus Brown apparently misses seven of his eight PATs. WTF.

 

[timschochet]

If I were running a fantasy football league in a kindergarten class, this is exactly what the results would be: everybody wins!

 

[Insein]

If I were running a fantasy football league in a kindergarten class, this is exactly what the results would be: everybody wins!

Damn liberals. Wait wrong forum.

 

[Seekay]

I guess week 1 is going to be a high scoring week.

 

[killrobotkill]

It's like they can see the future.

 

[McBokonon]

Of course, there is a bit of disconnect involved. Take a look at the game I linked: on the Eagles, McCoy, Jackson, Maclin, and Celek all catch touchdowns. Vick, however, only throws for two touchdowns, so I'm assuming Vince Young gets in the fun as well. But forget that. If we add these 4 touchdowns to the two rushing touchdowns (one by McCoy, one by Vick) plus two field goals, that's 48 points the Eagles are going to put up on the Rams.

Actually, they'll only be scoring 44 points since Henery is only projected to make 2 extra points, unless they're going for two on the other four TD's and they're simply not listed.

 

[Raiderfan32904]

If I were running a fantasy football league in a kindergarten class, this is exactly what the results would be: everybody wins!

Could you be my son's kindergarten teacher? She's a salty old dame that wears army boots, and totally skipped sight words and now expects her kids to tell the time on the clock! Whatever happened to flashcards with short words and pictures? Give my poor kid a break! :(

 

[Seekay]

According to SI, Jordan Palmer will throw for a TD and rush for 1 yard!

Mewelde Moore will rush for 4 yards.. but held to 0 TDs!

There must be a pick up backyard game somewhere for guys cut in the NFL.

 

[Seekay]

Actually my mistake Moore is still on the steelers...

Which makes this even worse. SI has Rashard Jennings and Mikel Leshoure ranked ahead of him.

 

[timschochet]

According to SI, Jordan Palmer will throw for a TD and rush for 1 yard!

Mewelde Moore will rush for 4 yards.. but held to 0 TDs!

There must be a pick up backyard game somewhere for guys cut in the NFL.

Mewelde must really suck this year. If you can't get a TD from SI, you're pretty low on the totem pole.

 

[OPS]

Bet the over baby!

 

[Shane Falco]

Don Banks just screwing with Fantasy Footballers

 

[eaglesfan7]

These aren't real projections, they're just computer projected. See Alex Green.

 

[BroadwayG]

Tehy'd fit right in posting here in the spotlight threads.

 

[GroveDiesel]

Peter King must be doing their projections now.

Man I miss Dr. Z.

 

[Seekay]

These aren't real projections, they're just computer projected. See Alex Green.

This must be where Skynet starts to be self aware and it's first task is to screw up everyone's FF teams.

 

[eaglesfan7]

These aren't real projections, they're just computer projected. See Alex Green.

This must be where Skynet starts to be self aware and it's first task is to screw up everyone's FF teams.

Haha nice!

 

[nickel&dime]

No wonder why SI came in 38th place out of 39 sites for accuracy.

 

[BroncoFreak_2K3]

:hawkscreech:

 

[McBokonon]

No wonder why SI came in 38th place out of 39 sites for accuracy.

Good Lord, there's a actually a more inaccurate site? I could poop better projections than them.

 

[BroncoFreak_2K3]

No wonder why SI came in 38th place out of 39 sites for accuracy.

Good Lord, there's a actually a more inaccurate site? I could poop better projections than them.

MFL.com has always promoted this site (FantasySharks)...I always found it to be hilarious. I recommend it highly to all my fellow leaguemates.

 

[LittlePhatty]

No wonder why SI came in 38th place out of 39 sites for accuracy.

What that chart really says is projections are a waste of time.52% accuracy for Sports Illustrated. - the guys who can't even add up total TDs for a team.

62% accuracy for the best on the list - the guys doing the most research and trying the hardest.

It's more useful to just look at the matchup info: good/neutral/bad

Yet every week there will be a thread crying "why is (__my player__) ranked so low this week?!?!?!", when the projections they are looking at actually show just a 2 point differential between their player and the next 15 players above them.

 

[ready5]

No wonder why SI came in 38th place out of 39 sites for accuracy.

What that chart really says is projections are a waste of time.52% accuracy for Sports Illustrated. - the guys who can't even add up total TDs for a team.

62% accuracy for the best on the list - the guys doing the most research and trying the hardest.

It's more useful to just look at the matchup info: good/neutral/bad

Yet every week there will be a thread crying "why is (__my player__) ranked so low this week?!?!?!", when the projections they are looking at actually show just a 2 point differential between their player and the next 15 players above them.

62 is almost 20% better than 52. how many games have you lost by a closer margin than that?

 

[ponchsox]

LOL...like every player has at least 1 TD

 

[ponchsox]

2 TDs for Larod Stephens-Howling wow....

 

[netnalp]

Did they outsource their projections department to India?

 

[Clifford]

Eagles TDs

Vick 2 passing, 1 running

McCoy: 1 running, 1 rec

Brown: 1 running

Djax: 1 rec

MAclin: 1 rec

Celek: 1 rec

K: 2 PATs, 2 FGs

ok, let's add up.

Vick throws two TDs but there are 4 receiving TDs listed, so Young or some other player throw the other two

Three rushing scores

So that's 7 (not double counting Vicks passing) TDs total

So just on this side of the ball, they would have us believe:

Both RBs score a rushing TD and so does the QB

The kicker misses 5 PATs while making two FGs

Backup passers combine for 2 passing TDs even though Vick racks up a full game's stats

Scoring = [2x7]+[5x6]+[2x3] = 50 points

Yeah, they just make this stuff up and don't even check it. Same thing with the Rams: Bradford has only 2 passing Tds but there are 5 receiving TDs listed, plus another 3 rushing tds, yet kicker has only one PAT.

WTF are they smoking?

 

[Army Eye]

If the NFL ever moves extra point tries back to the 50 yard line, SI will have the jump on all of us.

 

[Johnny Blood]

Lake Wobegon Fantasy League

 

[Late225]

My guess is it's a programming error. I think there should be a # before the receiving TD and rushing TD categories - in many cases, this number would be 0. I'm not 100% sure, but just a hunch.

 

[timschochet]

My guess is it's a programming error. I think there should be a # before the receiving TD and rushing TD categories - in many cases, this number would be 0. I'm not 100% sure, but just a hunch.

It's never been this bad, but I noticed it a lot last year. Whenever I was down about my team, I always looked at their projections, because everybody did well. So it's been going on for a while.

 

[FavreCo]

jesus. Collins passes for 34 total yards but Wayne has 66 himself. Everyone scores a TD. I kinda want to punch the creator of this trash in the forehead.

 

[timschochet]

35-27 early in the 3rd quarter of the first game- could SI have been right???

 

[johnnyboy8102]

Joe Webb, Seneca Wallace, Troy Smith, and Jordan Palmer are all projected to throw a TD.

 

[spodog]

Plus Brown apparently misses seven of his eight PATs. WTF.

This is the funniest thing out of the entire list. I haven't laughed out loud at something like this in a long time.