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If Hitler would have ONLY invaded Russia? (1 Viewer)

shadrap

Footballguy
Been watching the History & military channels a lot lately & keep wondering.  Now I'm pretty sure Hitler would have to take Poland and a few others along the road to the motherland but is there any doubt that Russia would have fell in a giant heap?  Now I know France & England joined in after the invasion of Poland but do you really think they go all out if Germany ignores them & goes for Russia?  Would the world have even cared?

 
September 1939 was too late in the year to launch an offensive into Russia.  The Germans would have had to wait until May-June 1940.  By then, the Western Allies were fully mobilized and Germany would face the likelihood of a two front war.  It's possible they could have kept a minimal presence on the Western frontier and focused the Wehrmacht entirely against the Russians but the back door would have been open to the French and British.

The winter of 40-41 was just as brutal as the following two years and Russia was just as vast.  The Germans came close to capturing Moscow in 1941.  It's certainly possible that an attack a year earlier could have been more successful but the resistance wouldn't have collapsed just because the capital fell.

 
September 1939 was too late in the year to launch an offensive into Russia.  The Germans would have had to wait until May-June 1940.  By then, the Western Allies were fully mobilized and Germany would face the likelihood of a two front war.  It's possible they could have kept a minimal presence on the Western frontier and focused the Wehrmacht entirely against the Russians but the back door would have been open to the French and British.

The winter of 40-41 was just as brutal as the following two years and Russia was just as vast.  The Germans came close to capturing Moscow in 1941.  It's certainly possible that an attack a year earlier could have been more successful but the resistance wouldn't have collapsed just because the capital fell.
The ability of the Russians to move their manufacturing capacity to the east of the Ural Mountains surprised everyone, likely the Russians themselves.

 
The Iron Curtain would have started at the English Channel after the Russians reached it in 1947. 

 
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It could be argued that England/France may not have ever done anything but talk had Germany not invaded France. The Phoney War did last for eight months after they declared war after all.

Furthermore, their response was pitiful when Norway was invaded.

 
It could be argued that England/France may not have ever done anything but talk had Germany not invaded France. The Phoney War did last for eight months after they declared war after all.

Furthermore, their response was pitiful when Norway was invaded.
I agree. No way England and France invade Germany over the sovereignty of the Soviet Union.

 
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Ha ha, the Ukraine.  Do you know what the Ukraine is?  It's a sitting
duck.  A road apple, Newman.  The Ukraine is weak.  It's feeble.  I think it's
time to put the hurt on the Ukraine.

 
They could have won during Barbarossa if they would have focused on one target instead of 3 and were allowed to give up ground elsewhere to take one of the major cities.

 
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It could be argued that England/France may not have ever done anything but talk had Germany not invaded France. The Phoney War did last for eight months after they declared war after all.

Furthermore, their response was pitiful when Norway was invaded.
Norway was a sideshow.  The attention of France and Britain was on preparing to defend France.  That didn't work out well but it's beside the point.

A major invasion of the USSR in 1940 would have been a clear signal that Germany wasn't going to invade France.  They might very well have continued to wait it out while war raged in the East but Germany would still have had to commit troops in the West to cover the possibility of action in Alsace-Lorraine and the Rhineland.

I still think knocking France out before taking on Russia was sound strategy.

 
Been watching the History & military channels a lot lately & keep wondering.  Now I'm pretty sure Hitler would have to take Poland and a few others along the road to the motherland but is there any doubt that Russia would have fell in a giant heap?  Now I know France & England joined in after the invasion of Poland but do you really think they go all out if Germany ignores them & goes for Russia?  Would the world have even cared?
Yes

 
Eephus said:
September 1939 was too late in the year to launch an offensive into Russia.  The Germans would have had to wait until May-June 1940.  By then, the Western Allies were fully mobilized and Germany would face the likelihood of a two front war.  It's possible they could have kept a minimal presence on the Western frontier and focused the Wehrmacht entirely against the Russians but the back door would have been open to the French and British.

The winter of 40-41 was just as brutal as the following two years and Russia was just as vast.  The Germans came close to capturing Moscow in 1941.  It's certainly possible that an attack a year earlier could have been more successful but the resistance wouldn't have collapsed just because the capital fell.
What if...

- Germany doesn't invade France

- Germany doesn't bomb England

- Germany starts Barbarossa 4 months earlier and concentrates on capturing Moscow (instead of the oil fields and the other distractions)

- after taking Moscow, Hitler announces that he wants peace with England, France and America, and only wants to conquer Russia, Poland, and a few other eastern European territories

Wouldn't the allies agree to that?

 
Eephus said:
Norway was a sideshow.  The attention of France and Britain was on preparing to defend France.  That didn't work out well but it's beside the point.

A major invasion of the USSR in 1940 would have been a clear signal that Germany wasn't going to invade France.  They might very well have continued to wait it out while war raged in the East but Germany would still have had to commit troops in the West to cover the possibility of action in Alsace-Lorraine and the Rhineland.

I still think knocking France out before taking on Russia was sound strategy.
A) Norway was far from a sideshow. It enabled Germany to level the playing field in the North Sea and also ensured iron ore supply from Sweden.

B) I think it's a stretch to think that France would had any interest in invading Germany over anything going on in the Soviet Union. They believed in their own Maginot Line so they would be reluctant to take on the Siegfried Line.

 
What if...

- Germany doesn't invade France

- Germany doesn't bomb England

- Germany starts Barbarossa 4 months earlier and concentrates on capturing Moscow (instead of the oil fields and the other distractions)

- after taking Moscow, Hitler announces that he wants peace with England, France and America, and only wants to conquer Russia, Poland, and a few other eastern European territories

Wouldn't the allies agree to that?
Barbarossa began in June.  The Germans might have been able to push that up by four weeks but not four months.  The halt before Moscow was as much due to overextended supply lines as it was winter.  I don't think capturing Moscow would have as crucial as you think it is.  It might win you a few victory points in a wargame but it would be another case of Russia's willingness to exchange territory for time.  The fall of Moscow wouldn't have marked victory in 1940 or 1941 (or 1812 for that matter).

A peace treaty with the West wouldn't be very Hitlery.

A) Norway was far from a sideshow. It enabled Germany to level the playing field in the North Sea and also ensured iron ore supply from Sweden.

B) I think it's a stretch to think that France would had any interest in invading Germany over anything going on in the Soviet Union. They believed in their own Maginot Line so they would be reluctant to take on the Siegfried Line.
Norway was much more important to the Germans than it was to the Allies.  The British were slow to commit the Royal Navy in part because they were still fighting WWI but once the Germans overran Denmark and established their Norwegian beachheads, there was nothing the Allies could have done.

This whole thread is a stretch.  We're speculating about events that didn't happen 75 years ago.  You're probably right that France would have continued to think defense but the Germans would still have had to commit more divisions to defend their Western border than they did in 41-42.

 
Russia will just keep buying infantry, giving the UK and USA time to build up a fleet of transports.
Great strategy is for the UK to keep buying fighters and go park them in Russia. Russia supplies infantry cannon fodder to keep them alive and after a few rounds there's so many planes the Germans have no hope of taking there. At which point the US invasion begins and Britain can then quickly try to catch up in transports.

 
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What if...

- Germany doesn't invade France

- Germany doesn't bomb England

- Germany starts Barbarossa 4 months earlier and concentrates on capturing Moscow (instead of the oil fields and the other distractions)

- after taking Moscow, Hitler announces that he wants peace with England, France and America, and only wants to conquer Russia, Poland, and a few other eastern European territories

Wouldn't the allies agree to that?
The oil fields were absolutely not a distraction. Moscow might have been although it probably was (and is I would guess) a pivotal rail hub they would need to move the oil from the Caucasus in the absence of a Bosporus/Mediterranean route.

In your scenario what are the Italians doing and are the Germans busy attacking in North Africa to take the Suez and cut Britain's connection to India?

What about Crete, Cyprus, Greece?

And another big one: Does Hitler declare war on the US after Pearl Harbor, and if not how does he keep the alliance with Japan and how does the US enter the European theatre?

 
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Eephus said:
September 1939 was too late in the year to launch an offensive into Russia.  The Germans would have had to wait until May-June 1940.  By then, the Western Allies were fully mobilized and Germany would face the likelihood of a two front war.  It's possible they could have kept a minimal presence on the Western frontier and focused the Wehrmacht entirely against the Russians but the back door would have been open to the French and British.

The winter of 40-41 was just as brutal as the following two years and Russia was just as vast.  The Germans came close to capturing Moscow in 1941.  It's certainly possible that an attack a year earlier could have been more successful but the resistance wouldn't have collapsed just because the capital fell.
It (taking Moscow) didn't work for Napoleon and it wouldn't have worked for Hitler either.

In any case, I am pretty sure Germany would have had to take Poland first before attacking Russia.  That would have brought in France/England and you'd have a two front war anyway.  The Germans went into Russia because the war in Western Europe was largely over (sans Britain - which wasn't going to bring a ground war to mainland Europe), so Germany thought they could attack Russia without too much interference on the Western front. The early success of the Germans in Western Europe proved to work against them. 

You have to give Stalin credit for building up his army (and tank force) as quickly as he did.

 
A) Norway was far from a sideshow. It enabled Germany to level the playing field in the North Sea and also ensured iron ore supply from Sweden.
Norway also gave them the heavy water plant that potentially could have been used for nuclear weapons.
I don't think it's right to judge Norwegians, or anyone, based on their weight. Especially if it's only water weight we're talking about. 

 
peaces said:
Ha ha, the Ukraine.  Do you know what the Ukraine is?  It's a sitting
duck.  A road apple, Newman.  The Ukraine is weak.  It's feeble.  I think it's
time to put the hurt on the Ukraine.


Ukraine is game to you?!

 
It (taking Moscow) didn't work for Napoleon and it wouldn't have worked for Hitler either.

In any case, I am pretty sure Germany would have had to take Poland first before attacking Russia.  That would have brought in France/England and you'd have a two front war anyway.  The Germans went into Russia because the war in Western Europe was largely over (sans Britain - which wasn't going to bring a ground war to mainland Europe), so Germany thought they could attack Russia without too much interference on the Western front. The early success of the Germans in Western Europe proved to work against them. 

You have to give Stalin credit for building up his army (and tank force) as quickly as he did.
Stalin and his generals opened up a can of whoop ### on the Nazis. Of course, they didn't really value the lives of their own soldiers either. 

 
It (taking Moscow) didn't work for Napoleon and it wouldn't have worked for Hitler either.

In any case, I am pretty sure Germany would have had to take Poland first before attacking Russia.  That would have brought in France/England and you'd have a two front war anyway.  The Germans went into Russia because the war in Western Europe was largely over (sans Britain - which wasn't going to bring a ground war to mainland Europe), so Germany thought they could attack Russia without too much interference on the Western front. The early success of the Germans in Western Europe proved to work against them. 

You have to give Stalin credit for building up his army (and tank force) as quickly as he did.
Based on their treaty from 1938(?), Germany would've been fine taking Poland up until they crossed into the Soviet half of the agreed-to carve up of Poland. You could say that it would have been on with Russia before the Nazis ever made it to Russia.

 
Based on their treaty from 1938(?), Germany would've been fine taking Poland up until they crossed into the Soviet half of the agreed-to carve up of Poland. You could say that it would have been on with Russia before the Nazis ever made it to Russia.
I was thinking more in the way of the Allies threatening Germany with war if Germany attacked Poland.  Figure Germany would need to attack through Poland to keep lines of communication clear.  If it did that, then it would have brought the Allies in, creating a war on both fronts.

 
I think the bigger question should be "what if Italy was with the Allies instead of the Axis?"

Would we all be speaking German today?

 
I was thinking more in the way of the Allies threatening Germany with war if Germany attacked Poland.  Figure Germany would need to attack through Poland to keep lines of communication clear.  If it did that, then it would have brought the Allies in, creating a war on both fronts.
Well, there's war and there's "war".  France and Britain technically declared war on 3 Sept but Poland was defeated before the Allies could mobilize.

If Germany invaded the USSR in Spring 1940, that probably just would have pushed up the Anglo-Soviet agreement by a year.  Churchill hated both Hitler and Stalin but Germany was a more immediate threat to the West.

 
Well, there's war and there's "war".  France and Britain technically declared war on 3 Sept but Poland was defeated before the Allies could mobilize.

If Germany invaded the USSR in Spring 1940, that probably just would have pushed up the Anglo-Soviet agreement by a year.  Churchill hated both Hitler and Stalin but Germany was a more immediate threat to the West.
Take time to mobilize.  No way were France and Britain going to physically defend Poland as it was a lost cause.  Only people who didn't think Poland would fall were the Poles who thought rather highly of themselves (and their horse cavalry).  Poland was a line in the sand. Chamberlain's appeasement policy was full on failure by that time and putting their heads in the sand was no longer an option.  

Loved Churchill.  Always figured he was quite the womanizer based on his personality but seems he wasn't.  My understanding is that he thought he had both Stalin and FDR in the palm of his hand. 

eta. Just taking a look at Wikipedia.  Funny quote Churchill supposedly said: When asked about the circumstances of his birth (he was born 8 months after his parents married), Winston Churchill would reply, "Although present on the occasion, I have no clear recollection of the events leading up to it.

 
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I think the bigger question should be "what if Italy was with the Allies instead of the Axis?"

Would we all be speaking German today?
Serious answer to a non-serious question.  It could have had a major impact on the Mediterranean theater.  The North African campaign was a result of Mussolini's attempt to overrun Egypt and get to the Suez.  There also obviously would be no invasion required in Italy although attacking Germany over the Alps was pretty unlikely.  The Balkans would have still been a mess.

 
Been watching the History & military channels a lot lately & keep wondering.  Now I'm pretty sure Hitler would have to take Poland and a few others along the road to the motherland but is there any doubt that Russia would have fell in a giant heap?  Now I know France & England joined in after the invasion of Poland but do you really think they go all out if Germany ignores them & goes for Russia?  Would the world have even cared?
If you think about what would have happened if Germany had only two fronts instead of three what they could have done.  It's pretty amazing how successful they were with how divided their forces were.

 
I think the bigger question should be "what if Italy was with the Allies instead of the Axis?"

Would we all be speaking German today?
Yea, quite a powerhouse.  They flexed their muscle & defeated some African country that were armed with spears & clubs.  Ethiopia maybe?

 
If you think about what would have happened if Germany had only two fronts instead of three what they could have done.  It's pretty amazing how successful they were with how divided their forces were.
What Germany accomplished and how advanced they were compared to the rest of the world was nothing short of amazing.  One of the more remarkable things in history. 

 
If somehow the Nazis could've invaded Russia without having to deal with the rest of the allies, they would've gotten to the oil fields and kicked Russia's ###. Wouldn't have been close.  Then, it would've been an even more terrible war once they turned back to the rest of the allies. But so many hypotheticals. 

 
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What Germany accomplished and how advanced they were compared to the rest of the world was nothing short of amazing.  One of the more remarkable things in history. 
Honestly the only thing that saved Europe was that Hitler was as bad at warmongering as he was good at public speaking.  His decisions, from a strategic standpoint, were awful. 

 
Germany loses every scenario that involves the United States joining the war. For one, they couldn't match our production over time. More importantly, we invented the atom bomb.

 
Honestly the only thing that saved Europe was that Hitler was as bad at warmongering as he was good at public speaking.  His decisions, from a strategic standpoint, were awful. 
The drugs and delusions didn't help. But he was a nut, so his idea that he was some sort of God is probably the reason he thought he could take over the world anyway. 

 
OK, Poland/Russia, defeat Communism, achieve continental primacy without further adventurism. What year does the west invade the German Empire because a genocide is going on?

Secondary question - 1941, USSR conquered, the Reich offers peace to Western Europe if they ship their mud people & deviants to Germany for solution. What happens?

 
An earlier invasion would have failed because the wehrmacht was heavily dependent on captured French vehicles for mobility. Before the fall of France only the panzer divisions had the modern mobility of vehicles.

 
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far superior plan would if been to ignore Russia in 1941 and use that year to drive thru Egypt to middle East capturing oil and depriving England of the same. That would of made England completely dependent on American oil, threatened India, and put the panzers much closer to southern Russian oil. 

 
far superior plan would if been to ignore Russia in 1941 and use that year to drive thru Egypt to middle East capturing oil and depriving England of the same. That would of made England completely dependent on American oil, threatened India, and put the panzers much closer to southern Russian oil. 
This is an interesting scenario but Germany was barely able to supply the Afrika Korps and the Italians because the British controlled the Mediterranean.  It would have taken a much larger force to push past El Alamein through Cairo to the Suez and logistics would have been a huge problem.

 
This is an interesting scenario but Germany was barely able to supply the Afrika Korps and the Italians because the British controlled the Mediterranean.  It would have taken a much larger force to push past El Alamein through Cairo to the Suez and logistics would have been a huge problem.
The Germans never tried before they were deeply involved in Russia for a push to the Suez.  And Rommel far exceded his orders and The logistics he had.  The point is if not involved in russia, concentration of the luftwaffe and u boats in the medeterrian would be possible along with the best panzer divisions. German air superoity negates the royal navy in the med. and insures the supplies get through for the 20 or so German divisions that would of been needed.  German numerical superiority vs. The british in these years practically insures success. This scenario was churchills biggest fear, and the german navys dream plan. 

 

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