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I'm starting _______ over _______ in week 1. (1 Viewer)

grouse

Footballguy
DISCLAIMER: One thing this thread isn't or should be, is a WDIS thread. This isn't supposed to be a call for help. This is supposed to be a thread for people to post the tough lineup decisions they've ALREADY MADE or are expecting to make. Joe has gone on record to say this thread has value but will be on a short leash if a bunch of us turn this into WDIS questions. Please post your calls, not your questions.

So nice to get back into the swing of things. But of course, with the dawn of a new season comes a plethora of new stress - lineup decisions! Here is what I've got on my fantasy plate this weekend.

Jerricho Cotchery over James Jones - I could be tempted at the last minute to change this upon hearing the news that everyone expects to hear tomorrow morning - Greg Jennings is OUT. Despite the prospects of a starting James Jones, I think I'm inclined to leave Cotchery in my lineup. I can't imagine the Jets not having to throw the ball to stay in the game against the Pats, and Cotchery has had success against New England previously. Cotchery gets the nod this week, but I'm intrigued to see what Jones can do on my bench on opening day knowing there is now an increasing likelihood that James Jones will push Cotchery for a spot in my lineup soon. Competition, gotta love it!

Chester Taylor over DeShaun Foster - Another GTD for me here. On the one hand, I feel like this is about as good a matchup as Foster will see all year. The Rams are notoriously bad at stopping the run and John Fox's kamikaze loyalty to giving Foster the bulk of the work is probably strongest week 1, and likely to fade as the season evolves. So if I don't use Foster this week, then when? But Taylor is the 'incumbent' starter for me, and much like Foster, Taylor's workload is probably heaviest week 1 and will get lighter as Peterson rounds into NFL form. What tips the scales in Taylor's favor is the run-first mantra for the Vikings. There should be plenty of carries to go around between both Taylor and Peterson this week against the Falcons, and I think it is unlikely that Atlanta would put the Vikings down by a wide margin in this game. When in doubt, I'll take the runner at home on opening day and hope for the best. Taylor over Foster by a whisker.

Redskins DST over Oakland DST, Seattle DST - This is a bold call. Our scoring system heavily emphasizes points scored against and total yardage against. I like all three defenses this week. It seems most people are advocating Seattle out of this group, but I think it's a trap. The Bucs were bad on offense last season, no doubt about it. But I think with an experienced Garcia at the helm, they will be more productive and more savvy on offense. I think Seattle will have their hands full in this game. Oakland is really tempting. I think the Lions traveling across the country to face one of the best pass defenses should favor the Raider DST. Kitna is nowhere near as effective on the road and on grass, and the Raiders could and should get some turnovers. But I think the Lions will score some points and that has me concerned. Enter the Washington Redskins. Not typically a defense I would want to insert in my lineup on opening day, but we're talking about the Miami Dolphins here. We're talking about the most immobile QB in the NFL with Trent 'scrambled eggs' Green and a Dolphins offensive line that should make even the Redskins non-existent pass rush look decent. I just don't think the Dolphins have enough on offense to go on the road and do much damage in terms of points scored or total yardage. I see this game as the equivalent of 'visual dentistry'. Both punters should get a good night sleep tonight, they'll be busy tomorrow. The Redskins will start for me this week, and will be back on the waiver wire next. Like a one night stand, I feel so dirty, and I love it.

What tough calls are you making this week?

 
Im starting Matt Leinart over Vince Young. Leinart gets the 49ers on MNF (MNF is a huge factor for me), and Young is playing Jax. Last year Young was horrible against them. Not really a tough choice for me, but worth noting IMO.

 
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Ronald Curry over Greg Jennings and Patrick Crayton. Jennings' questionable status eliminates him here. As a Cowboys' fan, I originally inserted Crayton into the lineup before I'd put much thought into it. Crayton's stepping into a spot that that Terry Glenn was very productive in and the Raiders have that mess at quarterback. Upon further reflection, mostly about how awful the Lions have been against the pass in recent memory, I switched to Curry. I've also bought into the Curry hype that's been running rampant about here this year.
 
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Brandon Jacobs

over

ADP

Driver

Clayton

Im not concerned about losing this week, and despite Jacobs' tough opponent, I think he has the least risk involved of these 4 guys. Plus, I like RB in my flex when not totally a terrible choice, and I feel its too early to just put ADP in there a expect a bustout game

 
Matt Schaub over Phillip Rivers - I think Schaub will have more success against the KC D than Rivers will have against the Bears.

Tatum Bell as my FLEX - other options were Curry against the DET D, Calvin Johnson against the Raiders D, Jacoby Jones against the KC D. I originally started out with Jacoby, but once I made the Schaub move above, I didn't want all my eggs in one basket. I leaned towards Calvin and Curry for a while, respectively, but have finally settled on Tatum Bell.

 
Schaub over VY...I just don't like Young at Jacksonville considering what happened last year. Plus Schaub gets a matchup against the Chiefs at home.

Foster over ADP

 
Flex:

Brandon Jackson over Warrick Dunn and Jerry Porter

I am hoping takes this opportunity and runs with it. Dunn has a tough matchup vs Minnesota and Porter could be intriguing but I would rather go RB vs WR.

 
Starting A-Pete over C. Taylor and F. Taylor.

Starting Crayton over Benson at flex on a roll of the dice.

Hell, I don't know. Maybe I'll start Fred over A-Pete and Benson over Crayton.

I HATE THIS HOBBY! :rant:

 
You guys that stretch your posts out to 12 lines then provide no explanation aren't really helping out much here. Of course, me #####ing about that without posting anything additional doesn't help out much either.

 
You guys that stretch your posts out to 12 lines then provide no explanation aren't really helping out much here. Of course, me #####ing about that without posting anything additional doesn't help out much either.
Okay, fair enough. I'll explain my thinking.
Starting A-Pete over C. Taylor and F. Taylor.
Here, I'm simply going for the home run potential. I just about levitated out of my seat when I got A-Pete in my dynasty draft. If he goes ballistic in his first game and he's riding my pine, I'll have to eat my pistol. Contrarily, I'm thinking that Freddy's upside is limited. He'll get his between-the-20s yardage, but it's not a given that he'll get many red zone carries. Also, Tennessee has improved its front 7.
Starting Crayton over Benson at flex on a roll of the dice.
This one is iffy. I already have Romo, so the possibility of double points is enticing. Although I LOVE Ced's prospects for 2007, I think he's in for a rough day here. Wouldn't surprise me in the least if he finished with 58 yards and 0 TDs. If San Diego scores like I think they can, there's even the possibility that Chicago goes to the pass early in the game, and Peterson and Wolfe are getting the playing time due to their pass-catching skills.
 
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Bernard Berrian over Donald Driver

I hate to bench a stud who's listed probable, but my WR depth is too strong in this league and Berrian has such a nice matchup.

 
Ahman Green Over Portis - Portis has some risk although he seems to be ready to go. Ahman and the Hou Offense should be pretty solid however, imo. Safer without a huge amount of downside, and Ahman also has upside.

Portis over Caddy Williams - Very very close. But all the promise of Caddy is still just that - promise. Until I see him get back to form, I would rather roll the dice a bit with Clinton.

Favre over Garrard or Pennington - 2 QB league. Favre struggles against the Eagles, but I still have to go with Favre in the opener at home looking for a record breaking season. Need to see how Garrard does though he should be solid, not spectacular this year.

Kevin Curtis over Bobby Wade - .5 PPR gives Wade a little boost, but I like the upside of Curtis and the Eagles offense. They pass a lot, Smith isnt playing - Curtis should be involved and has upside.

 
Santonio Holmes over Brandon Marshall - not too tough a call due to the matchup with a weak Cleveland secondary and all of the expectations I have for Holmes as my #3WR

Ahman Green over Clinton Portis - PPR league and I like the security with Green to backup SJax

And a tough IDP decision...

Paul Posluszny over Patrick Willis & Omar Gaither - this was tough, but I think the Broncos will have the ball more and run more up the middle than Arizona or Green Bay.

 
Toying with the idea of starting Crayton over Boldin. I need to stop drinking soo much damn Crayton Kool-Aid. I do think Crayton finds pay dirt this week, and would not be shocked to see 75+ yards from him.

 
I have AP, Taylor, MBIII

Starting MBIII over Taylor and AP

I see Dallas ahead most of the game and running a lot. And even if they fall behind they still won't abandon the run. MBIII gets the scoring ops inside the 20. There should be a lot of scoring ops.

Jax will run a lot for sure, which would make Freddie T seem like a tasty start, but MJD vultures receptions and GL ops - I have freddie on his traditional 87 yrds rushing.

Minn runs a lot this week vs. ATL, and AP will likely get GL ops (though this has NOT been established). The only reason I'd play him is 'cause he's my shinny new car. Seems too risky.

Ahhh - so many story lines..

:confused:

 
ADP over JJ and CT

Reggie Brown over B. Marshall and VJax

Bal DST over Min DST

Since Brees laid an egg I figure what do I have to lose!

 
Jerricho Cotchery over James Jones - I could be tempted at the last minute to change this upon hearing the news that everyone expects to hear tomorrow morning - Greg Jennings is OUT. Despite the prospects of a starting James Jones, I think I'm inclined to leave Cotchery in my
I'm leaning towards benching TJ Housh for Cotchery. He's now upgraded to probable but, given the Mon Night start, it is not worth the agita. As you said, he played well against NE and looking at last year's ff points against respective match ups, numbers are very close.
 
League 1:

Matt Leinart over Jon Kitna. Not that tough of a decision, but I don't like the matchup vs. the Raiders, and I could see the Lions laying a massive egg in week 1. While San Fran's pass D should be improved this season, I still see them in the bottom half of the league.

Chester Taylor over Jerious Norwood and Patrick Crayton at a Flex spot - Again, this is purely a matchup decision. I see Atlanta being a disaster this year, and I expect the Vikings to try to win games this year with defense and the running game. That should mean a lot of carries for both Minnesota RBs. I won't use Norwood this week because he's going against the best run defense in the league. I have toyed with the idea of using Crayton, but I think this might be one of the few good weeks for Taylor before Peterson starts cutting into his workload.

League 2:

Santonio Holmes over Jerricho Cotchery I'm really struggling with this one. I know Cotchery's history of long TDs against the Pats, but I don't know that he can keep up that pace. But I could see NY needing to throw to try to come back, and the Pats' D probably won't be as strong early in the year with Samuel getting caught up, Harrison being suspended, and most importantly Seymour being on the PUP list. But that matchup with the Cleveland secondary, which may the worst in the league (close call between them and Detroit), is even more tempting.

League 3:

Jake Delhomme over Kitna This one is a little outside the box, but I'm playing against Peyton in this league, and I feel like I need to shoot for a big payday on this one. Looking at the Rams, I don't see much in the secondary, and I expect Delhomme to get back to his form of a couple of years ago, now that his hand issues are better.

 
Berrian over S. Moss - I think the Bears are more likely to give up on the run earlier. That means more heaves from Grossman, and in theory, more chances for Berrian.

 
(from other post mentioned above) but;

I am starting Bulger over Palmer because of Carolinas DB struggles, and Palmer could have his toughest matchup of the year. Also I have Housh going and if Palmer does struggle, I get double kicked. However if Palmer goes off and I look like an idiot for not starting him, hopefully T.J. gets enough of it.

 
Kevin Curtis over Ron Curry

I originally had Curry in my lineup in this league because I really like the matchup vs Det, but changed it to Curtis due to the apparent announcement that McNown will start (I would have left Curry in if Culpepper was likely to start FWIW)

 
Lamont Jordan vs Det

over

Rudi Johnson vs Ravens

and

Berrian vs SD

over

Lee Evans vs Buf
:lmao: Lee Evans is playing for the Pats? Jesus the Pats have Moss, Stallworth, and now Lee Evans? That's just not fair! :D
Bills play the Broncos this week, not the Pats. I can understand the logic Zoom is using, but I disagree. Evans will get his. I have a hard time believing you would bench any WR1 for a WR2/3 regardless of matchup. Berrian vs SD is not even an easier game.My tough choices this week:

D. Foster over Portis and Betts. I may GTD Betts in for Thomas Jones who I have starting right now. Definately not happy with my RB situation in that league (4th yr dynasty). Other options: DeAngelo, L. Booker, V. Morency.

 
Redraft league:

Kitna over Eli Manning: Normally, it wouldn't be a tough call, but Eli has perhaps the better match-up with the banged-up Dallas secondary. But, Eli scares me and I drafted Kitna to start him. I think Kitna's floor is not really all that low here.

ADP over B-Jackson in my flex: I feel like ADP could get the same amount of carries as Jackson, even while sharing with Chester. I expect Green Bay to chucking it a lot, and Minny to be pounding it.

Braylon Edwards and Mark Clayton over Crayton and CJ2: I've flip-flopped a lot, probably having every single permutation in my lineup at one point this week. I think Edwards will get a ton of looks this week, and pull in a long one or two. I'll be disappointed with anything less than 75 and a score. Clayton's preseason ankle sprain scares me, but he gets the nod due to the fact that he's the #1 receiver in Baltimore. I want Crayton and Calvin to show me something before I put them into my lineup. Note that TJ Housh is my #1.

 
Jerricho Cotchery over James Jones - I could be tempted at the last minute to change this upon hearing the news that everyone expects to hear tomorrow morning - Greg Jennings is OUT. Despite the prospects of a starting James Jones, I think I'm inclined to leave Cotchery in my
I'm leaning towards benching TJ Housh for Cotchery. He's now upgraded to probable but, given the Mon Night start, it is not worth the agita. As you said, he played well against NE and looking at last year's ff points against respective match ups, numbers are very close.
HUGE mistake benching TJ, IMO. Bmore can be exposed via the air. Cincy has done it before, and will again. :lmao:
 
Alex Smith over Vince Young - Smith should be involved in a shootout on Monday night. I see at least 2 TDs. Youngs problems with Jacksonville have been well documented.

Jerricho Cotchery and Leon Washington over Santana Moss This may raise a few eyebrows. I just feel the Jets will have to score to keep up with the Pats and will do just that (in a losing effort unfortunately). Cotchery always plays well against the Pats and Leon... call it a hunch but I expect decent things from him this year. I expect the Redskins to be slow out of the gate offensively. Moss was up and down last year and I although I expect a little more consistency from him later in the year, my gut tells me this is going to be 35yds and zero tds in a low scoring affair against the fish...

 
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VY over Cutler

there's absolutely no reason why Young should I have a good game against Jacksonville, which means he probably will.

 
Jerricho Cotchery over James Jones - I could be tempted at the last minute to change this upon hearing the news that everyone expects to hear tomorrow morning - Greg Jennings is OUT. Despite the prospects of a starting James Jones, I think I'm inclined to leave Cotchery in my
I'm leaning towards benching TJ Housh for Cotchery. He's now upgraded to probable but, given the Mon Night start, it is not worth the agita. As you said, he played well against NE and looking at last year's ff points against respective match ups, numbers are very close.
HUGE mistake benching TJ, IMO. Bmore can be exposed via the air. Cincy has done it before, and will again.
thx. i'll sleep on it. matchups here are secondary - more about insurance if t.j. has a setback and doesn't play or is limited.
 
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