Muahahaha
Footballguy
I am a firm believer that yards-per-attempt (YPA) is a great barometer of a team's offense. QBs that throw the ball down the field open up the running game and make an overall offense much more effective. Here were the top 5 teams last year in YPA:
1) NE
2) Dallas
3) GB
4) Indy
5) Jax
These were clearly the elite offenses in the NFL. All these teams had great running games as well as passing games. There are numerous 1st and 2nd round fantasy picks on these teams.
By contrast, here were the 5 worst YPA teams from 2007:
28) St. Louis
29) Baltimore
30) Miami
31) Carolina
32) SF
Two of these teams were in the bottom five due to injury, the other three due to ineffective QB play. Most of these teams struggled to put up fantasy points.
Here is the 2007 data for all 32 teams:
New England 8.1
Dallas Cowboys 7.7
Green Bay Packers 7.5
Indianapolis Colts 7.3
Jacksonville Jaguars 7.1
Houston Texans 7.1
Cincinnati Bengals 7.0
Denver Broncos 7.0
Pittsburgh Steelers 6.9
Arizona Cardinals 6.9
Tampa Bay Bucs 6.9
Cleveland Browns 6.8
Seattle Seahawks 6.7
New Orleans Saints 6.6
Detroit Lions 6.6
Washington Redskins 6.6
Philadelphia Eagles 6.5
San Diego Chargers 6.4
Minnesota Vikings 6.4
Tennessee Titans 6.2
Atlanta Falcons 5.9
Buffalo Bills 5.9
Chicago Bears 5.9
New York Jets 5.9
Oakland Raiders 5.8
New York Giants 5.8
Kansas City Chiefs 5.7
St. Louis Rams 5.6
Baltimore Ravens 5.4
Miami Dolphins 5.4
Carolina Panthers 5.4
San Francisco 49ers 4.5
And here is the 2008 preseason data:
Detroit Lions 8.1
New York Jets 7.7
Seattle Seahawks 7.2
San Francisco 49ers 7.0
New Orleans Saints 6.9
Houston Texans 6.8
Denver Broncos 6.6
Dallas Cowboys 6.5
Arizona Cardinals 6.3
Carolina Panthers 6.1
Chicago Bears 6.1
Jacksonville Jaguars 6.1
Cleveland Browns 5.8
Philadelphia Eagles 5.8
Indianapolis Colts 5.6
Miami Dolphins 5.6
New York Giants 5.6
St. Louis Rams 5.5
Minnesota Vikings 5.5
Buffalo Bills 5.4
Washington Redskins 5.4
New England Patriots 5.3
Tennessee Titans 5.3
Atlanta Falcons 5.2
Pittsburgh Steelers 5.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.2
San Diego Chargers 5.1
Oakland Raiders 5.0
Green Bay Packers 5.0
Kansas City Chiefs 5.0
Cincinnati Bengals 4.8
Baltimore Ravens 4.3
Now, with all the caveats that the preseason brings, here were the top YPAs from the preseason:
1) Detroit (Calvin Johnson effect?)
2) New York Jets (#4)
3) Seattle
4) San Francisco (Martz!)
5) New Orleans
And now the bottom five:
28) Oakland
29) Green Bay (no more #4)
30) KC
31) Cincy (uh oh)
32) Baltimore
Notes:
- Brett Favre effect: Green Bay dropped 26 slots, while the Jets jumped 22 slots. How could this be coincidence? My theory until proven different is that Green Bay will struggle and the Jets will shine. The caveat to this, however, is that Green Bay also ranked very low in the 2007 preseason.
- Martz effect: San Fran jumped 28 slots. Martz is a mad genius. That offense may very well be back.
- Cincy dropped 24 slots. However, they finished 26th in the 2007 preseason, so may be of little predictive value. All the talk about Cincy looking bad in the preseason could be overblown.
- Pittsburgh dropped 16 slots. I think that is probably due to a very tough preseason schedule that included Philly, Minnesota & Buffalo.
- Carolina jumped 21 slots. Delhomme being back is huge.
- Other increases: Detroit +14, Miami +14, Chicago +12, Seattle +10, St. Louis +10. QB changes in Miami & Chicago; a return to health for St. Louis. Calvin Johnson could be a freak. Not sure what happened in Seattle. Chicago also had a strong 2007 preseason, but lost it. Could be that they just shift to much more of a conservative philosophy in the regular season. Detroit also had a fall back from the preseason.
1) NE
2) Dallas
3) GB
4) Indy
5) Jax
These were clearly the elite offenses in the NFL. All these teams had great running games as well as passing games. There are numerous 1st and 2nd round fantasy picks on these teams.
By contrast, here were the 5 worst YPA teams from 2007:
28) St. Louis
29) Baltimore
30) Miami
31) Carolina
32) SF
Two of these teams were in the bottom five due to injury, the other three due to ineffective QB play. Most of these teams struggled to put up fantasy points.
Here is the 2007 data for all 32 teams:
New England 8.1
Dallas Cowboys 7.7
Green Bay Packers 7.5
Indianapolis Colts 7.3
Jacksonville Jaguars 7.1
Houston Texans 7.1
Cincinnati Bengals 7.0
Denver Broncos 7.0
Pittsburgh Steelers 6.9
Arizona Cardinals 6.9
Tampa Bay Bucs 6.9
Cleveland Browns 6.8
Seattle Seahawks 6.7
New Orleans Saints 6.6
Detroit Lions 6.6
Washington Redskins 6.6
Philadelphia Eagles 6.5
San Diego Chargers 6.4
Minnesota Vikings 6.4
Tennessee Titans 6.2
Atlanta Falcons 5.9
Buffalo Bills 5.9
Chicago Bears 5.9
New York Jets 5.9
Oakland Raiders 5.8
New York Giants 5.8
Kansas City Chiefs 5.7
St. Louis Rams 5.6
Baltimore Ravens 5.4
Miami Dolphins 5.4
Carolina Panthers 5.4
San Francisco 49ers 4.5
And here is the 2008 preseason data:
Detroit Lions 8.1
New York Jets 7.7
Seattle Seahawks 7.2
San Francisco 49ers 7.0
New Orleans Saints 6.9
Houston Texans 6.8
Denver Broncos 6.6
Dallas Cowboys 6.5
Arizona Cardinals 6.3
Carolina Panthers 6.1
Chicago Bears 6.1
Jacksonville Jaguars 6.1
Cleveland Browns 5.8
Philadelphia Eagles 5.8
Indianapolis Colts 5.6
Miami Dolphins 5.6
New York Giants 5.6
St. Louis Rams 5.5
Minnesota Vikings 5.5
Buffalo Bills 5.4
Washington Redskins 5.4
New England Patriots 5.3
Tennessee Titans 5.3
Atlanta Falcons 5.2
Pittsburgh Steelers 5.2
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 5.2
San Diego Chargers 5.1
Oakland Raiders 5.0
Green Bay Packers 5.0
Kansas City Chiefs 5.0
Cincinnati Bengals 4.8
Baltimore Ravens 4.3
Now, with all the caveats that the preseason brings, here were the top YPAs from the preseason:
1) Detroit (Calvin Johnson effect?)
2) New York Jets (#4)
3) Seattle
4) San Francisco (Martz!)
5) New Orleans
And now the bottom five:
28) Oakland
29) Green Bay (no more #4)
30) KC
31) Cincy (uh oh)
32) Baltimore
Notes:
- Brett Favre effect: Green Bay dropped 26 slots, while the Jets jumped 22 slots. How could this be coincidence? My theory until proven different is that Green Bay will struggle and the Jets will shine. The caveat to this, however, is that Green Bay also ranked very low in the 2007 preseason.
- Martz effect: San Fran jumped 28 slots. Martz is a mad genius. That offense may very well be back.
- Cincy dropped 24 slots. However, they finished 26th in the 2007 preseason, so may be of little predictive value. All the talk about Cincy looking bad in the preseason could be overblown.
- Pittsburgh dropped 16 slots. I think that is probably due to a very tough preseason schedule that included Philly, Minnesota & Buffalo.
- Carolina jumped 21 slots. Delhomme being back is huge.
- Other increases: Detroit +14, Miami +14, Chicago +12, Seattle +10, St. Louis +10. QB changes in Miami & Chicago; a return to health for St. Louis. Calvin Johnson could be a freak. Not sure what happened in Seattle. Chicago also had a strong 2007 preseason, but lost it. Could be that they just shift to much more of a conservative philosophy in the regular season. Detroit also had a fall back from the preseason.
Last edited by a moderator:
on the Niners/Martz combo...you have Gore or something?! D. McFadden had one of the highest ypc avg's in preseason..wanna bet Oakland doesn't finish in the bottom 5 in rush yards this season!?
aralysis_by_over_analysis:
on the Niners/Martz combo...you have Gore or something?! D. McFadden had one of the highest ypc avg's in preseason..wanna bet Oakland doesn't finish in the bottom 5 in rush yards this season!?
