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Interview with the Scout (1 Viewer)

OMG! Ponies!

Footballguy
Really good read. However, I can't seem to locate part I.

http://football.realgm.com/src_twelfthwrit..._scout_part_ii/

The draft is just three weeks away, which means draft boards are being finalized. Individual team visits and pro days are nearing their conclusions, and agents are actively pushing the stock of their clients (note to one particular agent: stop spamming me with press releases!).

I conducted another interview with a current NFL scout, but we got sort of waylaid by interlopers and other responsibilities. This is shorter than I wanted but still provides some valuable insight.

Jeff Risdon: After his strong pro day, it’s a given that Sam Bradford will be taken #1 overall. I’m not sold at all on Bradford and I wonder what your opinion of him going #1 overall might be?

Scout: We’re damn glad it isn’t us picking there. Look, Sam Bradford might wind up being a hell of a quarterback, but I wouldn’t touch him at #1. The last two times he got hit, his shoulder got hurt. He doesn’t do us any good if he can’t stay on the field. That’s why they need a QB in the first place, because Marc Bulger couldn’t take the hits anymore.

JR: How much stock does your team place in health concerns?

Scout: It’s a big deal. ...we look at how the injuries happened. If a kid gets caught in a horse collar and breaks his ankle, that’s one thing. But to go back to Bradford, he got hurt on hits that most guys just shake off. Big Ben (Roethlisberger) gets hit like that 20 times a week. So that’s a real big deal with him.

JR: Keeping on that injury theme, Jahvid Best suffered a nasty concussion last year. Are concussions viewed differently than a shoulder or a knee?

Scout: You know what, we spend so much to make sure these kids with the concussions are clear now. I don’t know for sure but I bet we check out (head injuries) harder than we do anything else these days. We had a doctor come in and give us a little presentation about concussions and how they can come back, stuff like that. We are more comfortable than we used to be there. Best has passed every test so we’re not that worried about him.

JR: Aside from Tim Tebow, the player I get asked more about than any other is Jimmy Clausen. I know you’ve scouted him extensively.

Scout: Yeah I have. I’ve seen every snap he took and a lot of them more than a few times. The thing about him is that kid just loves football and it’s his whole life. All these people talk about him being this or being that, and they sure as hell haven’t ever spent time with him. Because that kid is all about making himself the best NFL quarterback, and he’s got the physical ability to do it.

JR: But will he be successful?

Scout: I really think so. Look, he’s got some warts. That kid was a world class ##### when he got there, but he figured it out and grew up. You could really see it over the last year. They ran an NFL offense and (Clausen) made reads and drops that none of the other guys have even thought about. He just anticipates routes so well. Now would I like to see him gun it a little harder sometimes, yeah, sure. But for my money this kid is the surest bet in this draft (at QB).

JR: We’ve talked about this before, but I’m not nearly as high on the offensive tackle crop this year as most people. How do you feel about it?

Scout: You know, I think some of the kids that people aren’t looking at as high are gonna be real good. That kid from Indiana (Rodger Saffold), that kid can flat out play. If he came from Oklahoma or Florida he’d be a top 10 pick, no question in my mind. I like (Charles) Brown out of USC more the more I see him. A lot of Brick (D’Brickashaw Ferguson) in that kid but he might be a little tougher. ...I know you really like Kyle Calloway. On the right side he’ll be fine but he ain’t no zone guy. Even that kid from Abilene (Christian, Tony Washington), he has everything you can want. Love his feet. He’s got some issues but for my money he’s better than that Bruce Campbell kid.

JR: What about the guys at the top that I find overrated? Bryan Bulaga, Trent Williams, even Russell Okung to some extent.

Scout: Well Jeff, I think you’re wrong about Okung there. He’s a top-five pick and he belongs there. That kid is mentally tough and I think that’s a factor that not enough people consider for tackles. You have to be mentally tough to accept getting beat, because everyone gets beat. That was what was wrong with Tony Ugoh. He couldn’t get past his own mistakes. Look at Jacksonville last year. The Monroe kid (Eugene Monroe) they took first has the same problem and we knew it. The other guy they took later (Eben Britton) is a better player and will be a real good one for a long time because he understands how to handle getting beat. Okung is like that, and he ain’t gonna get beat too much either.

...I do think people overrate Williams but that doesn’t mean I think the kid can’t play. We can start him next year on the right (right tackle) and not worry. He’s a kid you’re going to have to keep pushing though, if that’s what you mean. And I’ll tell you this about Bulaga--he’s got that mental toughness too. That kid competes. I think he might be a right-sider in the long run but he’ll be fine. I think he’s like Chris Samuels, one of those guys that isn’t in the Pro Bowl every year but you never have to worry about him either. You can win a lot with guys like that.

JR: Getting back to the mental toughness concept. What you said there reminds me of down in Mobile (Senior Bowl week) where we stood with (the GM of his team) and watched Vlad Ducasse beg the coaches to move back inside after a couple of bad plays at tackle. Is that more of what you’re talking about?

Scout: You got it. I know we said right then there ain’t no way he’s ever gonna make it. He’s afraid of getting beat and looking bad. That’s the risk you run with the smaller college guys and the kids that everyone calls “projects” (yes, he made the air quotes!). There is a hell of a lot of pressure on those kids to try and hit home runs on every pitch and never look bad. Especially early on. Some of the kids can handle it, some can’t. He can’t, and that ain’t gonna change. Move him to guard, whatever...that’s (how they handle it) hard to see from those kids that come from small schools or kids like him that haven’t played very long.

JR: Same thing with Jason Pierre Paul, right?

Scout: I don’t know him very well. Then again I don’t know how anyone could with how little he played. That kid has what, six starts in college? I’d hate to be the guy responsible for drafting him in the first round, but I’ll bet you someone does. Won’t be us, I can tell you that much.

JR: Tell me why Jermaine Gresham is viewed so highly. I see a player that missed a season to a bad knee injury, runs slower than half the tackles in this draft, and can’t block a lick.

Scout: You know what, we’ve had that exact conversation a couple of times in working out our (draft) board. There are people in our front office who feel the same way you do, and we will not pick him above the 3rd round because of that. But that kid does have his defenders. I think you understate his speed. He’s not fast but he plays faster than he runs. I love how he uses his body to create a target, and if you throw the ball near him he’s gonna catch it. I’ll give you this though--he ain’t no blocker, that’s for sure. When you see a kid his size you think he should be able to line up tight and maul, but he can’t do that at all.

JR: Give me a couple of players that most people like me believe are first round picks that you think will slide.

Scout: Brian Price, the fat kid from UCLA. I’ll tell you what, Terrence Cody is in a lot better shape than that kid and he’s (Cody) comfortable with his size. Price will flash you the ability to get into the backfield, but watch him against good teams and he didn’t do sh**. I know a lot of people that think he’s going to be a big bust. Enough people that I think he’ll get humbled a little come draft day.

JR: What about Taylor Mays?

Scout: You want to talk about physical freaks, that’s your guy right there. There’s too much to like for him to fall, right or wrong. It won’t be us but someone will get him in the first (round).

JR: I’ll give you a few names and you tell me where you think they will be drafted...

JR: Jimmy Clausen?

Scout: Top 10, no doubt in my mind

JR: Tim Tebow?

Scout: (laughs) no later than #33 (overall)

JR: Colt McCoy?

Scout: I bet someone goes up and gets him in the 20s (overall). Could be us, you never know (laughs with a very wry smile)

JR: Corey Wootton?

Scout: First few picks of the second round

JR: Jason Worilds?

Scout: Middle of the 2nd, maybe higher

JR: Myron Rolle?

Scout: Good question. 4th round probably

JR: And your prediction for Mr. Irrelevant?

Scout: Wow, how about...hmmm...who has the pick?

JR: Detroit does. The reason I ask is that I’m in a pool where if we pick it correctly we get free dinner in Mobile next winter.

Scout: Alright then, how about Antonio Brown, the wideout from Central Michigan.

JR: Thanks!
 
Found Part I. Woohoo!

Read more: http://football.realgm.com/src_feature/332.../#ixzz0kKBUXaIB

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I recently had the opportunity to sit down with two NFL scouts for a nice conversation regarding a wide range of prospects and topics. One scout is a former NFL player currently employed by an AFC West team as a regional scout. The other is a longtime scout for a NFC South team, who frequent readers will recognize as someone I’ve interviewed in the past. The actual conversation went well beyond what is included here, and I have arranged to speak with both again before the end of the Bowl season. Some highlights:

Jeff Risdon: Let’s jump right in with the quarterbacks. I know some are underclassmen, but give me your order on: Tim Tebow, Sam Bradford, Colt McCoy, and Jevan Snead.

AFC West Scout: McCoy is the easy #1 for me. I’d put Tebow next, then Snead. I’m not seeing a lot of NFL qualities out of Sam Bradford. He’s real accurate but his fastball isn’t fast, and he really struggles when you get pressure on him. He’s not going to get all that time at the next level. And you look at how his backup has done, it sort of takes off the buzz.

NFC South Scout: I like Snead because he of what he’s done in Ole Miss’ offense. The kid has made NFL throws from NFL formations. He needs some work... I would put McCoy next. I like his mobility and his awareness. I agree with (AFC West Scout, hereafter AW) about Bradford, the arm just isn’t enough. He’s got some Chad Pennington to him, but Chad was always the smartest cookie in the box. I don’t get that vibe from (Bradford). And you know, we’ve talked about the Tebow kid before. He’s a NFL fullback. I say that ‘til I’m blue in the face, but there are people I know on our staff that think he’s the best player in the next draft. It won’t be my (butt) that goes down with him. Great kid but he ain’t no NFL quarterback.

JR: Just so I’m straight, neither of you believe Sam Bradford is worth a high pick. Where would you slot him?

AW: I like him in the compensatory picks after the third round.

NS: You know he ain’t gonna last past 15 (#15 overall). Teams see that high profile QB and they can’t help themselves. Look at what Tampa did with that Freeman kid (Josh, Kansas State QB taken in the first round). That kid had 4th round written all over him and they took him, what, 20 (overall)?

JR: Does Bradford’s shoulder injury have anything to do with his falling stock?

AW: Some, yeah. He doesn’t have a rifle to begin with, so he needs to show he can make the longer throws. He’s got a lot of things that you want to see...the accuracy stands out. Maybe he’s the next Drew Brees, but I don’t see it.

JR: Oklahoma products haven’t exactly translated real well to the NFL. How much does that factor?

NS: (Bradford) ain’t no wide receiver. Those are the kids who can’t cut it.

AW: I know some people worry about that, but it doesn’t bother me.

JR: Any others that stand out worth mentioning? Maybe Dan Lefevour? Tim Hiller? Tony Pike?

NS: Pass on Lefevour. He can go back to Canada with that softball. Tough kid but he puts too much air under the ball, even on short stuff. Pike’s got a shot if his shoulder stays good. He could make a nice backup if he doesn’t blow up his shoulder throwing that three quarters crap. I haven’t seen enough of the Hiller kid to comment.

AW: You forgot Jake Locker up in Washington. He’s got some Matt Hasselbeck to him. They brought him in a real coach and he is just, wow, really taking off. Hiller is the best of those guys you brought up. Live arm, good feel for the game, nice touch. He’s got some Drew Bledsoe to him. Can’t move much but he can really sling it, and he’s got that kind of demeanor. Watch him take off after the season, after the Senior Bowl and those workouts. He could be this year’s Joe Flacco. I’m with (NS) on Lefevour, sorry Jeff, I know you like him. I know you see some Vince Young, but I see Bruce Gradkowski. It’s too bad because we’ve all seen him zip it, but the kid just doesn’t let it fly in games.

JR: How much did Locker help himself with the USC game?

AW: I’ll tell you what I took from that game. Jake Locker is a leader and a fighter. His intangibles are just through the roof. All that losing and he stayed positive and kept working his a** off.

NS: (All he has been through at Washington) has to make him look real good to a bad team. I know a guy who compares him to John Elway when he was back at Stanford and they were terrible. They want it more when they come from lesser programs, like it ain’t been easy for ‘em and they, you know, they know how to work.

JR: Heading back to the MAC, a couple of prospects stand out to me. Talk to me about Barry Church (Toledo safety) and Taylor Price (Ohio wide receiver).

AW: I wish there was a place for Barry Church (with his team). His problem is that he’s not really a safety and he’s not big enough to play linebacker. In a perfect world he’s a Tampa-2 Mike (middle backer) but he’s what, 215? Great college player, but he’s got to really pick up his coverage skills or else he won’t make it out of camp next summer. Your man Price (I am a proud Ohio graduate!) could really be something. Just like Mike Mitchell (Raiders 2nd rounder) last year. Taylor is big and he can flat-put fly, and he isn’t shy about it either. Nice hands, good blocker. He reminds me of Greg Jennings in a way. Probably not as polished but he’s got potential.

NS: That kid (Price) can really go, lemme tell you. I caught their opener and he just jumps off the tape. That kid can fly and he’s pretty big. He ain’t real tall but he’s solid and he knows how to use his body. I got him for a 3rd round grade right now. You wanna know something? That kid got helped a lot when their QB (Boo Jackson) got hurt. The new QB (Theo Scott) throws a better ball and all that lets (Price) show off more. ...Church has a chance. I like how physical he is. He plays so damn shallow though. You can tell he played linebacker and that’s where he belongs. I see him like Adam Archuleta, a kid that can really thump in the box but can’t really cover. He’ll get drafted but he’s the kind of kid that has to make it on special teams before he gets a shot on defense.

JR: Adam Archuleta tried to come back as a linebacker and didn’t make it. Any thoughts on a comparison to Roy Williams?

AW: Kind of similar. I think (of) Aaron Rouse but Church is quite a bit smaller. Darnell Bing is probably the most like him. Church is a better football player than Darnell Bing, but that’s the transition curve for him.

JR: A couple of prominent tight ends have recently come down with major injuries. What does that do to the stock for Jermaine Gresham and Rob Gronkowski?

NS: No way we’re touching Gresham. That kid is damaged goods. I was never sold on his blocking to begin with, but that’s what, his third major knee surgery? I feel for the kid because I thought he was coming out (in 2009) and he went back to school to win a national title. And he got hurt again, (Bradford) gets hurt, and now he’s probably a 4th rounder if he’s lucky.

AW: I don’t know about that. He’s still got a lot of very good football abilities. Obviously the knee issues mean he’s not a 1 (1st rounder) but if he checks out before the draft I could see him in the 2nd. He’s better as a receiver than Jermichael Finley or (Martellus) Bennett, the Cowboys tight end.

JR: I’m very wary of his knee and I can’t get the image of Sergio Kindle (Texas LB) blowing him backwards out of my mind. What about Gronkowski?

NS: Our scout out there called him a faster Jeremy Shockey. I’ve only seen him play a couple of times so I’ll stick with that.

AW: The thing with him is, he just exudes “football player” (yes he did actually use the finger-quotes!). I get the feeling he could be a hell of a linebacker if he wanted to be one. Now that he got hurt (back surgery) I would tell him to stay in school, you know, come back strong next year and erase the doubts. He’s every bit as good as Kellen Winslow and he’s not an a**hole. That whole program is getting better and he can really capitalize on that if he comes back.

JR: Including the likely underclassmen, what positions are the strongest in this draft?

NS: D-tackle is stacked, just stacked. Look at some of those kids. Gerald McCoy, the Oklahoma kid, he’s the best player in this draft. Tyson Jackson (#3 overall last April) can’t carry that kid’s water. The Alabama kid (Terrence Cody), if he doesn’t eat too much he’s a monster. Great zero technique nose.

JR: Cody has a lot of similarities to Andre Smith, does that worry you?

NS: No. Well, a little. The kid plays defense because he likes to be aggressive and hit people. Look at a big man like Grady Jackson. He’s (expletive) fat but he can still play. Cody is so much quicker than Grady.

AW: I’m with (NS) on defensive tackle. You didn’t even mention Ndamukong Suh from Nebraska, and I would bet money he’s the first player drafted. You couldn’t design a better 3-4 defensive end, but he’s athletic enough to play the 3 (technique, a 4-3 DT spot). ...Arthur Jones up in Syracuse is going to be a good one. Plays a lot like Ziggy Hood from last year. I see Cody being a lot like Pat Williams. Let him clog the middle on first and second down, then bring in a quick rusher for passing downs.

JR: I love Suh. I completely agree about his versatility and how he can fit all over a line. What about Marvin Austin from North Carolina? I’ve seen him twice and he really stands out.

AW: Oh yeah, he’s a good one. Ideal 3-technique if he can keep his legs going.

NS: I’ll give you a kid who you’re going to hear more about too. They got a kid at Hampton named (Kenrick) Ellis, goes about 350 but he’s real quick for his size. Our guy down there is convinced he’s gonna come out...(he) calls him a taller Shaun Rogers.

JR: Any other positions that really stand out?

NS: There’s some good safeties coming up. It’s top heavy but the top is better than it has been.

JR: Quick question: Taylor Mays or Eric Berry?

AW: Berry.

NS: Yep. Berry is special. I see a lot of bust written on that Mays kid.

JR: I agree about Berry being better. Care to elaborate on Mays, because I share the opinion that he could be a major bust.

NS: Look at how damn deep the kid lines up. He’s 22 yards off the ball. When they move him up he can’t keep his deep help, he just forgets about it. The kid is built like a body builder, not a football player. That tight build worries me, makes him stiff. It ain’t like he’s the most natural guy back there anyways.

AW: That’s my big concern is the injuries. Guys built like that are always worried about the smallest little pains... I don’t see a lot of instincts in coverage either.

JR: Who do you see as overrated right now?

NS: How many you want? Start with (Sam) Bradford. Lemme see. The (Trevard, cornerback) Lindley kid from Kentucky.

AW: Greg Hardy and Jevan Snead.

NS: (laughs) what you got against Mississippi?

AW: I know who you think (is) Jeff, so I’ll say it for you. Ciron Black (T, LSU)

JR: I qualify that by saying I think he could make a good guard, but at tackle, absolutely (overrated). Another guy getting a lot of props that I just don’t see it is Jerry Hughes (DE, TCU).

NS: I dunno. That kid can get after the quarterback.

AW: But that’s all he offers. I don’t think he can play standing up other than as a nickel rusher.

JR: Sam Young (Notre Dame tackle) seems to be losing steam. Is that fair?

NS: That kid is too stiff. He’s a right guard in a left tackle body.

JR: I know we’ve all seen Corey Wootton at Northwestern. Your opinions of the Wildcats’ defensive end.

NS: For as tall as that kid is (Wootton is 6’7), he sure can move. ...real active hands.

AW: I love how he handles himself inside. The way Jay Ratliff is being used down in Dallas, with that quickness inside, I can see Wootton being that type of player. (Wootton) is probably too tall for that, wrong body type, but put him at end in a 30 (3-4) front and his quickness is going to cause problems.

JR: I was glad to see his knee looks fine. I’ve seen him drop in coverage and not look bad. Any chance he can move to outside linebacker at times?

AW: I don’t think so. You get a player with his arm length and quickness and you want to use that right, You don’t put him out in space, you put him on the line and let him use his skills.

JR: Give me a couple of names that are under the radar now but are players you are keeping an eye on.

AW: I saw UConn play and they have a defensive end that just jumps out. Lindsey Witten. He’s faster that Cody Brown (former UConn end drafted in the 2nd round at OLB), better in space already. I bet you didn’t know he’s Donte Whitner’s little brother.

JR: I knew he was from Glenville (Cleveland, OH high school) but I did not know he was Whitner’s brother. I saw (Witten) tear up Ohio U. and he reminded me of Cliff Avril.

After several more names...

NS: The best kid we’ve talked about here is Brandon Ghee (Wake Forest CB). He can’t catch a cold but he’s gonna be a real good zone corner. That kid can really bring it and he knows it.

Read more: http://football.realgm.com/src_feature/332.../#ixzz0kKBUXaIB
 
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Good read, but I have to say that this guy way overvalues arm strength in QBs.



Scout: We’re damn glad it isn’t us picking there. Look, Sam Bradford might wind up being a hell of a quarterback, but I wouldn’t touch him at #1. The last two times he got hit, his shoulder got hurt. He doesn’t do us any good if he can’t stay on the field. That’s why they need a QB in the first place, because Marc Bulger couldn’t take the hits anymore.

They need a QB because they need an offensive line. Sure Bulger was more fragile than a scarecrow, but Kurt Warner's career would have been over five years ago if he were still in St. Louis with that offensive line. I wouldn't touch a QB at No.1 either if I were thinking about St. Louis, I would prefer to get better on both sides of the line and pick a QB later so there is no pressure to have him start right away.

Scout: It’s a big deal. ...we look at how the injuries happened. If a kid gets caught in a horse collar and breaks his ankle, that’s one thing. But to go back to Bradford, he got hurt on hits that most guys just shake off. Big Ben (Roethlisberger) gets hit like that 20 times a week. So that’s a real big deal with him.

Are you kidding me? He's going to compare Ben Roethlisberger to the average NFL QB. Roethlisberger extends plays more than any QB in football and that's why he takes hits. He might be right that Bradford could be brittle, but I've seen Bradford take some huge shots and not get hurt. So in this sense, I'm not that convinced by his argument.

(On Clausen) Scout: Yeah I have. I’ve seen every snap he took and a lot of them more than a few times. The thing about him is that kid just loves football and it’s his whole life. All these people talk about him being this or being that, and they sure as hell haven’t ever spent time with him. Because that kid is all about making himself the best NFL quarterback, and he’s got the physical ability to do it.

JR: But will he be successful?

Scout: I really think so. Look, he’s got some warts. That kid was a world class ##### when he got there, but he figured it out and grew up. You could really see it over the last year. They ran an NFL offense and (Clausen) made reads and drops that none of the other guys have even thought about. He just anticipates routes so well. Now would I like to see him gun it a little harder sometimes, yeah, sure. But for my money this kid is the surest bet in this draft (at QB).

I agree with the Clausen take.

JR: Tell me why Jermaine Gresham is viewed so highly. I see a player that missed a season to a bad knee injury, runs slower than half the tackles in this draft, and can’t block a lick.

Scout: You know what, we’ve had that exact conversation a couple of times in working out our (draft) board. There are people in our front office who feel the same way you do, and we will not pick him above the 3rd round because of that. But that kid does have his defenders. I think you understate his speed. He’s not fast but he plays faster than he runs. I love how he uses his body to create a target, and if you throw the ball near him he’s gonna catch it. I’ll give you this though--he ain’t no blocker, that’s for sure. When you see a kid his size you think he should be able to line up tight and maul, but he can’t do that at all.

I agree with the detractors. He's a good player, but not the top TE in this draft. Not even close. I have him ranked 6th.

AFC West Scout: McCoy is the easy #1 for me. I’d put Tebow next, then Snead. I’m not seeing a lot of NFL qualities out of Sam Bradford. He’s real accurate but his fastball isn’t fast, and he really struggles when you get pressure on him. He’s not going to get all that time at the next level. And you look at how his backup has done, it sort of takes off the buzz.

NFC South Scout: I like Snead because he of what he’s done in Ole Miss’ offense. The kid has made NFL throws from NFL formations. He needs some work... I would put McCoy next. I like his mobility and his awareness. I agree with (AFC West Scout, hereafter AW) about Bradford, the arm just isn’t enough. He’s got some Chad Pennington to him, but Chad was always the smartest cookie in the box. I don’t get that vibe from (Bradford). And you know, we’ve talked about the Tebow kid before. He’s a NFL fullback. I say that ‘til I’m blue in the face, but there are people I know on our staff that think he’s the best player in the next draft. It won’t be my (butt) that goes down with him. Great kid but he ain’t no NFL quarterback.

Snead?Snead is Josh McCown. Enjoy picking that guy up and wasting a roster spot. I'd rather have Juice Williams over Snead and Juice is a developmental project for sure. McCoy folds under pressure like a chair at a banquet. I also think teams like the concept of mobility, but don't really differentiate between mobility and effectively navigating the pocket. They think they can teach that later, but I believe it's late in the game to have to start from square one with learning that skill as a pro. I think McCoy, Tebow, and quite a few others have to learn that skill. Completely agree with Tebow = fullback.

JR: Quick question: Taylor Mays or Eric Berry?

AW: Berry.

NS: Yep. Berry is special. I see a lot of bust written on that Mays kid.

JR: I agree about Berry being better. Care to elaborate on Mays, because I share the opinion that he could be a major bust.

NS: Look at how damn deep the kid lines up. He’s 22 yards off the ball. When they move him up he can’t keep his deep help, he just forgets about it. The kid is built like a body builder, not a football player. That tight build worries me, makes him stiff. It ain’t like he’s the most natural guy back there anyways.

LOL-I couldn't agree more. Berry may look more like a CB and Mays a freakish-sized safety, but this will play out as a perfect example as to why you just need a baseline of physical talent when you have a mind for the game. Berry has the mind for the game.



JR: Any others that stand out worth mentioning? Maybe Dan Lefevour? Tim Hiller? Tony Pike?

NS: Pass on Lefevour. He can go back to Canada with that softball. Tough kid but he puts too much air under the ball, even on short stuff. Pike’s got a shot if his shoulder stays good. He could make a nice backup if he doesn’t blow up his shoulder throwing that three quarters crap. I haven’t seen enough of the Hiller kid to comment.

AW: You forgot Jake Locker up in Washington. He’s got some Matt Hasselbeck to him. They brought him in a real coach and he is just, wow, really taking off. Hiller is the best of those guys you brought up. Live arm, good feel for the game, nice touch. He’s got some Drew Bledsoe to him. Can’t move much but he can really sling it, and he’s got that kind of demeanor. Watch him take off after the season, after the Senior Bowl and those workouts. He could be this year’s Joe Flacco. I’m with (NS) on Lefevour, sorry Jeff, I know you like him. I know you see some Vince Young, but I see Bruce Gradkowski. It’s too bad because we’ve all seen him zip it, but the kid just doesn’t let it fly in games.

Agree with Hiller and Bledsoe, but the key phrase is "some Drew Bledsoe to him." I might have some Ocatvio Paz in me, but it doesn't make me a Nobel Prize Poet. As for LeFevour, if they haven't seen him let it fly in games, they have watched the wrong games and don't take the offensive philosophy of C Michigan into account. They obviously don't watch every game, because one of them admitted he didn't see much of Gronkowski, one of the best prospects in this draft at TE. So with that in mind, I agree that LeFevour doesn't have a gun, but I think he has a better arm than Gradkowski, who by the way has outplayed the guy they were probably drooling over for his arm strength (Russell) and has shown he can play in this league.

This is a great interview. I just wish we could learn more about the qualifications of the scouts. Where did they come from? Who did they work with? What positions did they study? Fun stuff.

 
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Matt.

Thanks for including your takes with these articles. Very insightful.

Regarding LeFevour, that first Interview was done, i believe, in September of 09, so maybe they hadn't watched too much tape on smaller school guys at that point, or seem them live. who knows.

 
Matt.Thanks for including your takes with these articles. Very insightful. Regarding LeFevour, that first Interview was done, i believe, in September of 09, so maybe they hadn't watched too much tape on smaller school guys at that point, or seem them live. who knows.
Probably (on LeFevour). Not trying to lambaste these guys, but we never really get a chance to learn about the who these people are that watch these players and what they truly know. There's this really strange dynamic that I would love to know more about. Some of these scouts probably know more about the game and evaluation than anyone. Some might be an owner or GM's nephew or in-law with little experience.
 
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Matt.

Thanks for including your takes with these articles. Very insightful.

Regarding LeFevour, that first Interview was done, i believe, in September of 09, so maybe they hadn't watched too much tape on smaller school guys at that point, or seem them live. who knows.
Probably (on LeFevour). Not trying to lambaste these guys, but we never really get a chance to learn about the who these people are that watch these players and what they truly know. There's this really strange dynamic that I would love to know more about. Some of these scouts probably know more about the game and evaluation than anyone. Some might be an owner or GM's nephew or in-law with little experience.
no doubt. like any other analysis, i take it with a grain of salt. i suppose it'd be nice to be in good with a current scout or two and get to pick their brain on a somewhat consistent basis.

 
Very fun read, I love how plain spoken those scouts were. Good ol' boys it seems.

I certainly agree with them on Clausen/Bradford; but agree with Matt that it seems like these guys are a bit old school in the way they see things. All about rifle arms and not much else.

 
Thanks for posting. It would be interesting to see the same questions asked to the same scouts today to see what has changed over time.

 
Matt.

Thanks for including your takes with these articles. Very insightful.

Regarding LeFevour, that first Interview was done, i believe, in September of 09, so maybe they hadn't watched too much tape on smaller school guys at that point, or seem them live. who knows.
Probably (on LeFevour). Not trying to lambaste these guys, but we never really get a chance to learn about the who these people are that watch these players and what they truly know. There's this really strange dynamic that I would love to know more about. Some of these scouts probably know more about the game and evaluation than anyone. Some might be an owner or GM's nephew or in-law with little experience.
no doubt. like any other analysis, i take it with a grain of salt. i suppose it'd be nice to be in good with a current scout or two and get to pick their brain on a somewhat consistent basis.
It would be great to have the access. One thing that is fascinating about this Q&A is how they are so plain about the business end of the draft and not just the evaluation of talent. There are some statements in this Q&A where it's clear they wouldn't want to be in the position to have to support their views in the draft room at a pick where they know the risk/reward for that player is dicier than they would like it to be. It's telling of the dynamics in the room and what the scouts have to navigate to balance the line between providing information that they saw but without stepping on too many toes, working within a team, and risking their necks/reputation. The rifle arm thing always gets me. I watched Tim Hiller and I completely though Drew Bledsoe when I saw him, but one thing that Bledsoe was at the beginning of his career was mobile. He wasn't a scrambler, but he was about as mobile as Matt Ryan, maybe even a bit more athletic. Age, wear, and tear changed that about Bledsoe. Hiller is maybe slightly more mobile than the aged version of Bledsoe, but he might as well be Andrew Walter (and not even as good as Walter was).

I am becoming a big believer in the notion that anticipation, movement within the pocket, and pinpoint accuracy are far more important than arm strength once arm strength meets a certain minimum requirement. I think these guys are kind of making Bradford out to be Matt Leinart and I think it's unfair to Bradford, who has a more than adequate NFL arm to make plays. Leinart was seen as a potential savior by some when his arm was absolute junk in comparison to Bradford's. Leinart needed his receivers to bail him out on intermediate and deep passes (his maximum range of distance was maybe 40 yards, often losing accuracy at 35 yards - especially his senior year coming off arm surgery). Bradford didn't need that kind of help.

 
Who the heck is Matt Waldman; what are his credentials??

Just kidding Matt. I started printing the RSP here at work last Thursday; the copier is still tied up!!!!! Gotta feed those Hamsters a little extra to keep the paper moving.

 
It's people like you that has trees everywhere misunderstanding my intentions.
No, I didn't print it out; PDF is the way to go. The Georgia Pine have taken enough of a beating through the years.It's a dreary day here in Colorado; trying to cheer myself up with self-made humor. Guess I'm not a candidate to be a writer for Letterman.
 
It's all good...

Back to the subject. I can't wait to watch Jake Locker after hearing what they said about him. Once Locker said he was staying, I didn't bother to watch him this year. He and Andrew Luck are two players I plan to watch this summer and profile in The Gut Check columns during the season. I'm planning to incorporate an analysis of one college player per week into my column, so I can get an earlier start on the research.

 
I guess what struck me in this article was the discussion of Tackles and their ability, or lack there of, to recover from being beaten. Seems to me I have seen that discussed mostly with CB's. Makes sense that it could really mess with an offensive tackle's technique if he starts thinking too much and loses his natural feel for the game.

Matt, have you made particular note of that in your film study? Have you seen it in your evaluation of QB's where a tackle may have a couple of bad series yet recover and protect the Qb later in the game.

The Patriots line certainly was thrown out of rhythm against the Giants in the Super Bowl.

 
Really good read. However, I can't seem to locate part I.

http://football.realgm.com/src_twelfthwrit..._scout_part_ii/

The draft is just three weeks away, which means draft boards are being finalized. Individual team visits and pro days are nearing their conclusions, and agents are actively pushing the stock of their clients (note to one particular agent: stop spamming me with press releases!).

I conducted another interview with a current NFL scout, but we got sort of waylaid by interlopers and other responsibilities. This is shorter than I wanted but still provides some valuable insight.

Jeff Risdon: After his strong pro day, it’s a given that Sam Bradford will be taken #1 overall. I’m not sold at all on Bradford and I wonder what your opinion of him going #1 overall might be?

Scout: We’re damn glad it isn’t us picking there. Look, Sam Bradford might wind up being a hell of a quarterback, but I wouldn’t touch him at #1. The last two times he got hit, his shoulder got hurt. He doesn’t do us any good if he can’t stay on the field. That’s why they need a QB in the first place, because Marc Bulger couldn’t take the hits anymore.

JR: How much stock does your team place in health concerns?

Scout: It’s a big deal. ...we look at how the injuries happened. If a kid gets caught in a horse collar and breaks his ankle, that’s one thing. But to go back to Bradford, he got hurt on hits that most guys just shake off. Big Ben (Roethlisberger) gets hit like that 20 times a week. So that’s a real big deal with him.

JR: Keeping on that injury theme, Jahvid Best suffered a nasty concussion last year. Are concussions viewed differently than a shoulder or a knee?

Scout: You know what, we spend so much to make sure these kids with the concussions are clear now. I don’t know for sure but I bet we check out (head injuries) harder than we do anything else these days. We had a doctor come in and give us a little presentation about concussions and how they can come back, stuff like that. We are more comfortable than we used to be there. Best has passed every test so we’re not that worried about him.

JR: Aside from Tim Tebow, the player I get asked more about than any other is Jimmy Clausen. I know you’ve scouted him extensively.

Scout: Yeah I have. I’ve seen every snap he took and a lot of them more than a few times. The thing about him is that kid just loves football and it’s his whole life. All these people talk about him being this or being that, and they sure as hell haven’t ever spent time with him. Because that kid is all about making himself the best NFL quarterback, and he’s got the physical ability to do it.

JR: But will he be successful?

Scout: I really think so. Look, he’s got some warts. That kid was a world class ##### when he got there, but he figured it out and grew up. You could really see it over the last year. They ran an NFL offense and (Clausen) made reads and drops that none of the other guys have even thought about. He just anticipates routes so well. Now would I like to see him gun it a little harder sometimes, yeah, sure. But for my money this kid is the surest bet in this draft (at QB).

JR: We’ve talked about this before, but I’m not nearly as high on the offensive tackle crop this year as most people. How do you feel about it?

Scout: You know, I think some of the kids that people aren’t looking at as high are gonna be real good. That kid from Indiana (Rodger Saffold), that kid can flat out play. If he came from Oklahoma or Florida he’d be a top 10 pick, no question in my mind. I like (Charles) Brown out of USC more the more I see him. A lot of Brick (D’Brickashaw Ferguson) in that kid but he might be a little tougher. ...I know you really like Kyle Calloway. On the right side he’ll be fine but he ain’t no zone guy. Even that kid from Abilene (Christian, Tony Washington), he has everything you can want. Love his feet. He’s got some issues but for my money he’s better than that Bruce Campbell kid.

JR: What about the guys at the top that I find overrated? Bryan Bulaga, Trent Williams, even Russell Okung to some extent.

Scout: Well Jeff, I think you’re wrong about Okung there. He’s a top-five pick and he belongs there. That kid is mentally tough and I think that’s a factor that not enough people consider for tackles. You have to be mentally tough to accept getting beat, because everyone gets beat. That was what was wrong with Tony Ugoh. He couldn’t get past his own mistakes. Look at Jacksonville last year. The Monroe kid (Eugene Monroe) they took first has the same problem and we knew it. The other guy they took later (Eben Britton) is a better player and will be a real good one for a long time because he understands how to handle getting beat. Okung is like that, and he ain’t gonna get beat too much either.

...I do think people overrate Williams but that doesn’t mean I think the kid can’t play. We can start him next year on the right (right tackle) and not worry. He’s a kid you’re going to have to keep pushing though, if that’s what you mean. And I’ll tell you this about Bulaga--he’s got that mental toughness too. That kid competes. I think he might be a right-sider in the long run but he’ll be fine. I think he’s like Chris Samuels, one of those guys that isn’t in the Pro Bowl every year but you never have to worry about him either. You can win a lot with guys like that.

JR: Getting back to the mental toughness concept. What you said there reminds me of down in Mobile (Senior Bowl week) where we stood with (the GM of his team) and watched Vlad Ducasse beg the coaches to move back inside after a couple of bad plays at tackle. Is that more of what you’re talking about?

Scout: You got it. I know we said right then there ain’t no way he’s ever gonna make it. He’s afraid of getting beat and looking bad. That’s the risk you run with the smaller college guys and the kids that everyone calls “projects” (yes, he made the air quotes!). There is a hell of a lot of pressure on those kids to try and hit home runs on every pitch and never look bad. Especially early on. Some of the kids can handle it, some can’t. He can’t, and that ain’t gonna change. Move him to guard, whatever...that’s (how they handle it) hard to see from those kids that come from small schools or kids like him that haven’t played very long.

JR: Same thing with Jason Pierre Paul, right?

Scout: I don’t know him very well. Then again I don’t know how anyone could with how little he played. That kid has what, six starts in college? I’d hate to be the guy responsible for drafting him in the first round, but I’ll bet you someone does. Won’t be us, I can tell you that much.

JR: Tell me why Jermaine Gresham is viewed so highly. I see a player that missed a season to a bad knee injury, runs slower than half the tackles in this draft, and can’t block a lick.

Scout: You know what, we’ve had that exact conversation a couple of times in working out our (draft) board. There are people in our front office who feel the same way you do, and we will not pick him above the 3rd round because of that. But that kid does have his defenders. I think you understate his speed. He’s not fast but he plays faster than he runs. I love how he uses his body to create a target, and if you throw the ball near him he’s gonna catch it. I’ll give you this though--he ain’t no blocker, that’s for sure. When you see a kid his size you think he should be able to line up tight and maul, but he can’t do that at all.

JR: Give me a couple of players that most people like me believe are first round picks that you think will slide.

Scout: Brian Price, the fat kid from UCLA. I’ll tell you what, Terrence Cody is in a lot better shape than that kid and he’s (Cody) comfortable with his size. Price will flash you the ability to get into the backfield, but watch him against good teams and he didn’t do sh**. I know a lot of people that think he’s going to be a big bust. Enough people that I think he’ll get humbled a little come draft day.

JR: What about Taylor Mays?

Scout: You want to talk about physical freaks, that’s your guy right there. There’s too much to like for him to fall, right or wrong. It won’t be us but someone will get him in the first (round).

JR: I’ll give you a few names and you tell me where you think they will be drafted...

JR: Jimmy Clausen?

Scout: Top 10, no doubt in my mind

JR: Tim Tebow?

Scout: (laughs) no later than #33 (overall)

JR: Colt McCoy?

Scout: I bet someone goes up and gets him in the 20s (overall). Could be us, you never know (laughs with a very wry smile)

JR: Corey Wootton?

Scout: First few picks of the second round

JR: Jason Worilds?

Scout: Middle of the 2nd, maybe higher

JR: Myron Rolle?

Scout: Good question. 4th round probably

JR: And your prediction for Mr. Irrelevant?

Scout: Wow, how about...hmmm...who has the pick?

JR: Detroit does. The reason I ask is that I’m in a pool where if we pick it correctly we get free dinner in Mobile next winter.

Scout: Alright then, how about Antonio Brown, the wideout from Central Michigan.

JR: Thanks!
:goodposting:
 
Matt, my impression is that there are a lot of NFL teams that could use an objective, outside evaluation of their scouting and drafting process. I really don't think that the process is very scientific or very well organized and hearing these guys confirms this opinion.

You have done Quality Control Analysis in your professional life, right? It seems like you could apply those skills and market your services as a consultant for teams that want an outside opinion on their scouting and drafting procedures. First, do all the scouts have a common template to use in evaluating? How do they weight it? What process do they use to put together their draft board? And what system do they employ on draft day to actually determine their selections?

I suppose not too many GMs or HCs want an outsider to come in because it could make them look bad, but if I were an owner it would be one of the first things I did.

As a Viking fan I lost all trust in Tice when the Vikings couldn't even get their pick up to the podium in time. Clearly, something was very flawed in their decision-making process. But that makes you wonder how messed up the whole scouting and evaluation process was too!

 
Matt, my impression is that there are a lot of NFL teams that could use an objective, outside evaluation of their scouting and drafting process. I really don't think that the process is very scientific or very well organized and hearing these guys confirms this opinion. You have done Quality Control Analysis in your professional life, right? It seems like you could apply those skills and market your services as a consultant for teams that want an outside opinion on their scouting and drafting procedures. First, do all the scouts have a common template to use in evaluating? How do they weight it? What process do they use to put together their draft board? And what system do they employ on draft day to actually determine their selections? I suppose not too many GMs or HCs want an outsider to come in because it could make them look bad, but if I were an owner it would be one of the first things I did. As a Viking fan I lost all trust in Tice when the Vikings couldn't even get their pick up to the podium in time. Clearly, something was very flawed in their decision-making process. But that makes you wonder how messed up the whole scouting and evaluation process was too!
I have asked Daniel Jeremiah the same questions. We're scheduled to talk about it. We'll see...
 
The scout saying Tebow will be taken before the 33rd pick is comical to me. Maybe I am in the minority, but any team that takes Tebow before the 5th round is wasting a pick. I don't see him being able to do anything at the pro level.

 
The scout saying Tebow will be taken before the 33rd pick is comical to me. Maybe I am in the minority, but any team that takes Tebow before the 5th round is wasting a pick. I don't see him being able to do anything at the pro level.
i bet the scout would agree with you. as would i. but there will be a GM out there that's gonna give it a shot. right or wrong.
 
My two impressions from reading this:

1. It really takes the luster off of the Bengals first round picks (this years in Gresham and last years in Smith).

2. It laughable on how far off these guys were with some of their draft predictions.

 
My two impressions from reading this:1. It really takes the luster off of the Bengals first round picks (this years in Gresham and last years in Smith).2. It laughable on how far off these guys were with some of their draft predictions.
On point 2, I think it shows how little of a consensus teams have on players, especially ones taken after the first round. Those guys may have been completely correct about their own war room, and if you had asked different scouts, you'd get different answers. Some teams have players ranked as high as second rounders, and are not even on some boards. It sounds nice to hear from a true scout, but one guy isn't the final word on players, even if he gets paid to do this. A lot of these guys are regional guys, and don't even get to see a lot of these players. Keeping in mind that teams have very different boards, it's why I tend to be more forgiving of the Kipers, Scott Wrights, and NFL Draft Scouts of the world. They put their rankings out there, and people get to pick over their opinions. I have a feeling a lot of teams would find their own draft boards wouldn't hold up to that much scrutiny either.
 
I love the quote comparing Elway and Locker to guys comng from "lesser programs". The Pac-10 might as well be D-III. These guys lost some credibility there.

Matt, I think Locker v. luck will be one of your toughest evaluatiions. I think the team drafting first in 2011 will have a tough choice.

 
Matt, I think Locker v. luck will be one of your toughest evaluatiions. I think the team drafting first in 2011 will have a tough choice.
That debate is already raging, but it's premature at this point. I think it's likely that both of those guys are future top 10 picks, but Locker needs to show some statistical improvement this season or he will be out of excuses and Luck needs to prove that he can thrive without Toby Gerhart.The bigger reason why I think this debate might not become all it's cracked up to be is because I think there's a very real chance that Luck will stay in college until 2012 even if his stock is sky high next year. The guy comes from a rock solid family that places a high value on education. This will only be his second college season, so don't be shocked if he stays around for his redshirt junior year and then bounces in 2012. I would actually say that's the most likely scenario, but 2011 isn't out of the question.
 
Matt, I think Locker v. luck will be one of your toughest evaluatiions. I think the team drafting first in 2011 will have a tough choice.
That debate is already raging, but it's premature at this point. I think it's likely that both of those guys are future top 10 picks, but Locker needs to show some statistical improvement this season or he will be out of excuses and Luck needs to prove that he can thrive without Toby Gerhart.The bigger reason why I think this debate might not become all it's cracked up to be is because I think there's a very real chance that Luck will stay in college until 2012 even if his stock is sky high next year. The guy comes from a rock solid family that places a high value on education. This will only be his second college season, so don't be shocked if he stays around for his redshirt junior year and then bounces in 2012. I would actually say that's the most likely scenario, but 2011 isn't out of the question.
I think Luck stays in school too. But the worst team in the league is going to wonder until he announces he is staying, just like some teams were scouting Locker until he decided to stay.I've already said that I'm leading the Locker bandwagon. Barring injury, I think he's going #1 even if the stats don't shine. If Tebow's intangibles are worth the 25th pick to a team, then Locker's intangibles plus his freakish intangibles make him #1. If he puts up stats, that just cements it.
 
Well you can't really improve someone's arm strength that much. A guy with a cannon can learn to throw with touch and accuracy, read defenses, etc. You can't teach a guy to develop a cannon arm. And a guy that has a cannon arm and then develops accuracy and awareness will be able to make throws the guy who is just accurate can't. Hence, why Clausen fell. He is the most pro-ready but every other QB drafted is expected to be pro-ready at some extent of their career.

 
Well you can't really improve someone's arm strength that much. A guy with a cannon can learn to throw with touch and accuracy, read defenses, etc. You can't teach a guy to develop a cannon arm. And a guy that has a cannon arm and then develops accuracy and awareness will be able to make throws the guy who is just accurate can't. Hence, why Clausen fell. He is the most pro-ready but every other QB drafted is expected to be pro-ready at some extent of their career.
But a really high percentage of them don't.If you think of the biggest busts at QB (and they tend to be the biggest busts overall), the list is replete with guys who were drafted for their cannons but couldn't learn the things you mentioned. And I think you're underestimating how much of throwing with touch, accuracy, and the ability to read defenses is "talent" rather than something that anyone can learn.

 
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