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Knile Davis traded to Green Bay (1 Viewer)

I posted in another thread, so I'll post it here too... rumors are rumors take them for what they're worth but I'm hearing lacy is looking like he could be out for a very long time... I'm thinking something like 8 weeks. just fyi to lacy owners hopefully my information is wrong, he got good news from the specialist and it's a short time

 
Best ability is availability. From what I'm hearing he might even go on IR.

With that said....I never, ever said he isn't good.....I just said he's not the same running back he use to be.....he's not a stud, he looks out of shape, and I think he's over-rated. Speaking of fantasy football.....How many TDs does he have this season? EXACTLY! ZERO!

Such a stud.....I said this is my two cents, take it or leave it. Throw out his 100 yard game against Detroit....and he's barely averaging 50 yards a game! With no touchdowns....and in the passing game, he's sucked. What are you guys talking about? For goodness sake Jacquizz Rodgers has better numbers against the Panthers, and the dude came in off the street.
You said he was serviceable but not solid.  How is that not saying he isn't good?

How many GL carries has he had this season?

And you seem to be going from what you first said...to now this "not a stud" thing.  Nobody is claiming he is just a stud.  But the claims that he wouldn't even start on other teams and that Davis is some improvement are laughable.

Throw out the one time he got the carries?  Yeah...good logic there.  He hasn't even been involved in the passing game...because they have not tried to involve him.

You are really all over the place with this criticism.

 
I picked him up. Lot's of scenarios where this proves to be "nothing to see here" but there's enough "smoke" to Lacy's ankle situation that Davis might get a window of opportunity beyond a learning week and a fill-in week. If he's the RB1 on an NFL team, I need guys like that...

 
I am going back to the well. :X  

Knile won me a week 17 championship in 2013, when KC rested starters


@SDG


28


Knile Davis 81 rushing yds (8 pts)
Knile Davis 27 rushing atts (6 pts)
Knile Davis 2 receptions (2 pts)
Knile Davis 2 rushing TDs (12 pts)
. . . Knile Davis 17 yd rushing TD
. . . Knile Davis 2 yd rushing TD

I have Zeke on a bye, so starting

Knile and Booker this week :ph34r:  Short bench, can only carry 3 rb's 

Just cut Ryan Matthews for him.

 
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Pro Football Focus Elusive Rating takes into account missed tackles forced by RB's and yards after contact, and by that metric Lacy is the No.1 RB in the league so far this year.

He even looked good in the Cowboys game I thought in the first half, McCarthy is the idiot for letting him run on that ankle in a game they were getting smashed.

The Packers offense stinks right now, but Lacy has looked good this year. He may still have a little chub on him, but he was running extremely well. Davis is worth a flier, esp if you own Lacy, but even 75% of what Lacy was getting in this offense is pretty useless to most owners.

Edited to add this excerpt from PFF

"Right now, Lacy has a 95.4 PFF elusive rating due to his 21 total forced missed tackles on the season. At 76.7, David Johnson has the second-highest rating. Lacy is averaging 3.41 yards after contact, second only to Isaiah Crowell.

He even has four breakaway (15-plus yards) runs on the season. That’s the same amount as DeMarco Murray, LeGarrette Blount, Frank Gore and Lamar Miller. And yet, Lacy has at least 29 fewer carries than each of those backs on the season. He’s tied with Ezekiel Elliott averaging 5.1 yards per carry."

 
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Change of scenery could do this guy wonders.   We're not going to give Alex Smith and Dwayne Bowe the same respect as Aaron Rodgers and Jordy/Cobb.   There will be running room.   If he has some more speed than Lacy I don't see how he can't be efficient.   Starks looked good in Lacy's place and looked quick...I'd imagine Davis will too comared to Lacy. 

 
If he is relevant this week, or at all, I will be very surprised. This team doesnt use its RBs unless its to kill the clock, explains its dysfunction, but they dont.

 
Agree with everyone talking about a change of scenery can change things for the best. He is worth an add until we see how he performs and an update on Lacey.  Maybe McCarthy finally realizes they need to establish a run game and kniles is the healthy back to implement it?

 
If he is relevant this week, or at all, I will be very surprised. This team doesnt use its RBs unless its to kill the clock, explains its dysfunction, but they dont.
I think they will use RB more going forward...just don't think this is the week for it.

 
I think they will use RB more going forward...just don't think this is the week for it.
But ... but ... CBS already has him projected for 10.7 points this week!  :lol:

FWIW, I think you're 100% right and Rodgers is gonna throw until his arm falls off this week. I'm forced to trot Knile out in one league where I'm completely out of RB options, but if I get 13/40 and a 50/50 shot at a TD I'll call it a win.

 
But ... but ... CBS already has him projected for 10.7 points this week!  :lol:

FWIW, I think you're 100% right and Rodgers is gonna throw until his arm falls off this week. I'm forced to trot Knile out in one league where I'm completely out of RB options, but if I get 13/40 and a 50/50 shot at a TD I'll call it a win.
I like Montgomery as a flex play  lots of short passes like last week acting as the run game.

 
sho nuff said:
You said he was serviceable but not solid.  How is that not saying he isn't good?

How many GL carries has he had this season?

And you seem to be going from what you first said...to now this "not a stud" thing.  Nobody is claiming he is just a stud.  But the claims that he wouldn't even start on other teams and that Davis is some improvement are laughable.

Throw out the one time he got the carries?  Yeah...good logic there.  He hasn't even been involved in the passing game...because they have not tried to involve him.

You are really all over the place with this criticism.
I am all over the place? Let's talk reality. We are talking about fantasy football where you want players who score TDs and gain yards. When it comes to running backs, it is preferable to have running backs who can garner 100 yards and catch the ball out of the backfield. Somehow you have stuck yourself to this fat tub of goo and now you feel you have to defend him.

You tell me he hasn't had many GL carries this season? EXACTLY!!!!!!!!! And he is not a stud, he is not the same running back he was years ago, and he isn't involved in the passing game. You take my points, and agree with them, and then argue with me anyway.

Look....I am not looking for a Eddie Lacy internet battle of the ages....LOL. But if anyone is all over the place with their criticism it's you.

If you love him....Go ahead, trade for him right now, if you don't already own him. Personally I would stay clear of trying to shine this turd, but that's me. Every time I have posted about this I have said "that is my two cents"....Meaning my opinion. Would you want a bulletin board where everyone has the same opinion? I wouldn't. I learn a lot on here, I don't pretend to have all the answers, but in this case....the stats talk for themselves.....He's just not that good this season. ZERO TDS! Less than 20 yards receiving for the season. And most of his games he's averaged just about 50 plus yards. If that turns you on...I'd love to play in your fantasy league next season so I could take your money.

 
From Rotoworld's "worksheet":

 Knile Davis/Don Jackson (you're flying blind here on usage here for either and I'd rather just use Montgomery unless desperate, but regardless of what type of talent you believe Davis is, in nine career games in which he's recieved double digit touches, he's finished below RB27 just once with four top-10 scoring games)

 
Saying he is better than you claiming he isnt solid and is just serviceable...is not calling him a stud.  Just stop with that.

That isnt just talking FF either...and he has been a good rb in reality this season.

 
I don't think there is a chance he starts this week. He may get a few touches, but with it being a Thursday night game- nothing major. Had this been a normal Sunday game or a Monday night game. Davis' chances would have went up.

 
GREEN BAY - On his first day as a member of the Green Bay Packers, running back Knile Davis spent his time playing with quarterback Brett Hundley on the scout team.

As much as the Packers would like to ease him into their offense, that's going to change quickly.

Davis should be running, blocking and receiving in the same backfield as Aaron Rodgers against the Chicago Bears on Thursday night because the Packers' running back position has become a scrapheap of bruised and battered bodies and they desperately need help from the newcomer.

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With starter Eddie Lacy expected to be out at least a few weeks with an ankle injury, according to a league source, the Packers agreed Monday night to deal a 2018 conditional seventh-round draft choice to the Kansas City Chiefs for the 5-10, 227-pound Davis. The fourth-year back becomes the first player acquired by the Packers in a trade since safety Anthony Smith was obtained from the Jacksonville Jaguars on Oct. 18, 2010, for a conditional seventh-round draft pick.

On Tuesday, Davis arrived from Kansas City around 10 a.m., giving him about 4½ hours to take his physical, meet with his coaches, get fitted for practice gear and get down to Clarke Hinkle Field. With Lacy on the field watching and lending support, Davis mostly just watched the No. 1 offense operate with practice squad running back Don Jackson and wide receiver Ty Montgomery at Lacy's position.

"I did scout team, that was good to get my feet wet," Davis said after practice. "I did special teams. It was cool. All day today, all day tomorrow, before the game, (I'll be) trying to learn as much as I can."

Newly acquired RB Knile Davis catches passes from a jugs machine at practice. (Photo: Tom Silverstein / Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)
In addition to Lacy's injury, backup James Starks is out this week after having arthroscopic surgery Sunday to clean out debris in his knee. According to coach Mike McCarthy, Starks is expected to miss several weeks, leaving Davis, Montgomery and receiver Randall Cobb as the only running options on the 53-man roster.

Though McCarthy said Jackson was still a member of the practice squad, a source said he is expected to be signed to the active roster Wednesday. Because he took part in the offseason program and rejoined the team in Week 1 after being released just before training camp, Jackson has a solid working knowledge of the offense and may get the starting nod Thursday night.

"Don Jackson will actually work," McCarthy said, stopping himself before declaring him the starter. "He’ll work some, but he’s obviously still a practice-squad member. We’ve got to make sure he’s ready, if needed."

In order to make room for Davis, the Packers placed cornerback Sam Shields, out since suffering a concussion Week 1 against Jacksonville, on injured reserve. When Jackson is added to the 53-man roster, the Packers will have to make another roster move and may wind up putting someone else on injured reserve.

POLL: What hurts the Packers more: losing Sam Shields for several weeks or losing Eddie Lacy for several weeks?

That possibly could be Lacy, whose ankle -- first injured against the New York Giants on Oct. 9 -- got much worse during the Dallas game Sunday. McCarthy would only say that Lacy would not be available for practice Tuesday and was "very sore."

With just one more day of practice before playing the Bears, the Packers are going to try to find a suitable number of plays for Davis, who has experience as a third-down back and could help McCarthy get through the game. Having played for West Coast disciple Andy Reid in Kansas City, Davis has some basic understanding of McCarthy's system, but learning the protections and checks will be a challenge.

"There’s some things you can kind of bring him along (with)," offensive coordinator Edgar Bennett said. "The first part of it is truly the introduction to the playbook, how we go about doing certain things from a technique standpoint and a fundamental standpoint. Everything has been extremely positive as far as what you hear about him, and I think our guys have a good grasp on what he’s able to do for us."

Davis had fallen deep on the Chiefs’ depth chart with the emergence of Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West as capable backups to star running back Jamaal Charles, who recently returned from a torn anterior cruciate ligament suffered last season. Davis was once thought to be a successor to Charles, but Reid wasn't satisfied with Davis' performance as a blocker and receiver and began using him less and less.

Since the start of the 2015 season, Davis has played in 18 games, but he has only 29 carries for 70 yards (2.5 average). This season, he had only one carry for minus-2.  In three-plus years, he has carried 233 times for 775 yards (3.3 average) and four touchdowns. He has 31 catches for 260 yards (8.4) and a touchdown.

Davis started against the Packers in the final exhibition game Sept. 1 in Kansas City and had an impressive night, carrying 14 times for 58 yards and a touchdown. He also had one catch for seven yards.

"I feel like I'm off the reins," Davis said. "I've been on the sideline, I've been itching to get in the game, you know, be part of the team  — which I was in Kansas City. I did what I could. I'm just excited to be a part of Green Bay and do what I can here. Hopefully, my role is bigger."

Drafted in the third round out of Arkansas in 2013, Davis ran the 40-yard dash in 4.37 seconds. He had a vertical jump of 33.5 inches and benched 225 pounds a remarkable 31 times. Davis was part of Kansas City general manager John Dorsey's first draft class following his long stint in the Packers' front office.

During his three-plus years with the Chiefs, Davis scored three kickoff return touchdowns, including a memorable 106-yarder on the opening kick in a wild-card victory over the Houston Texans in January. Davis also had a 108-yard touchdown return as a rookie and a 99-yard touchdown return in 2014.

"He was a guy that we were always concerned about having played against him," special teams coach Ron Zook said. "A lot of talent. I’ve always felt like those guys are guys that either got or they don’t, and he’s got some natural ability and he’s obviously fast and he had one of the longer returns against us last year."

Davis, who is in the final year of his four-year, $2,751,016 contract, has a base salary of $675,000. The Packers will absorb 11/17th of that or $436,765 on their current salary cap and hope that he is worth every dime of it.

He's hoping to make their investment count.

"Really, just running the ball," Davis said of what he can add. "I feel like that’s what’s they’re stressing. ‘You’ve got to get the run game going,’ and I think I can help with that."

Ryan Wood of USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin contributed to this report.

 
I'm gonna go out on a limb here and predict a 4-headed RBBC with Davis, Montgomery, Jackson & Cobb. 

maybe one breaks out,. It I'm not holding my breath. 

/pessimism 

 
is the top 200 off on this guy? I decided to ignore the the advice and rostered him. 

ranked # 109 best RB (in a 12 team league why would you want some one below top 60, assuming each team has 5 RBs)

Football guys have him below guys like 

Brandon Bolden

Rex Burkhead

D.J. Foster

Kapri Bibbs

 
From Rotoworld's "worksheet":

 Knile Davis/Don Jackson (you're flying blind here on usage here for either and I'd rather just use Montgomery unless desperate, but regardless of what type of talent you believe Davis is, in nine career games in which he's recieved double digit touches, he's finished below RB27 just once with four top-10 scoring games)
but...but...Bronco Billy says he wasn't productive.

 
Here's my take on this whole thing (expanding on my brief take last night) -- full disclosure, I own Jackson in every league, and I own Montgomery in most of them (wish I owned him everywhere, and am trying to acquire -- within reason -- prior to Thursday night) and I own Davis is one league:

  • At the Combine, Ty Montgomery measured 6', 221lbs and ran a 4.55 40.  More impressively (and if you've seen my posts previously about Agility Scores and how they matter), he posted a 6.97 3-cone with a 4.21 short shuttle -- that's a 11.18 Agility Score at 220+ lbs.  For context, compared to 220lb+ backs in his draft class, that agility score is pretty solid. 

    Malcolm Brown (224lbs) - 6.86 3-Cone; 4.15 Short Shuttle -- 11.01 Agility Score
  • David Johnson (224lbs) - 6.82 3-Cone; 4.27 Short Shuttle -- 11.09 Agility Score
  • Jay Ajayi (221lbs) - 7.10 3-Cone; 4.10 Short Shuttle -- 11.20 Agility Score
  • Zach Zenner (223lbs) - 7.08 3-Cone; 4.14 Short Shuttle -- 11.22 Agility Score
  • Buck Allen (221lbs) - 6.96 3-Cone; 4.28 Short Shuttle -- 11.24 Agility Score
  • TJ Yeldon (226lbs) - 7.19 3-Cone; 4.22 Short Shuttle -- 11.41 Agility Score
  • Karlos Williams (230lbs) - 7.16 3-Cone; 4.46 Short Shuttle -- 11.62 Agility Score (gross - not his game)

[*]Ty Montgomery's draft profile spoke of a guy that could be an excellent RB. 
Strengths
Built like a full-grown man. Body type resembles that of a running back with well-defined, muscular legs. Foot quickness to create separation on short to intermediate routes. Played outside, from slot, as a tailback and as a wildcat quarterback. Displays good lateral movement and balance with ball in his hands.
Montgomery essentially played the Starks role on Sunday afternoon and has a career game.  The commentators on that game mentioned that Aaron Rodgers told them that RB "might be his [Montgomery's] best position."  Starks has kinda sucked all year, but his primary value to the Packers over the last few years has been in the screen game.  Green Bay targets very athletic linemen that can get out on screen plays and block downfield.  Montgomery brought an element of that back last week that's been missing from the offense.  Starks is also out a month, and Lacy could potentially be headed to IR.  Even if Lacy returns in a month, Montgomery's role as the Starks-type back is stable for the next few weeks IMO.  If he shines... well... can't put that genie back in the bottle, as they say.  Starks is averaging 1.8 YPC this year and is 30 years old.  He's not invincible.

[*]Jackson's role in this, IMO, is as the Lacy replacement for the short term.  I don't really know what to expect from Jackson.  I don't think Knile Davis is very good.  The Chiefs obviously don't think he's very good either -- basically selling him for a complete unknown pick in 2 years that may or may not be anything more than a 7th rounder.  He's averaged a whopping 3.3 YPC for his career.  He's not very agile, though he is big and fast.  Can that work in GB?  Truthfully I don't know, but I kinda think we know what we're going to get with Knile Davis.  He'll get what's blocked... that's it.  I almost see him as an emergency guy if Jackson got hurt, or if Montgomery got hut... Davis gives them a warm body at the position so they're not left with going 5 wide the whole time or just playing Ripkowski at RB.

 
Here's my take on this whole thing (expanding on my brief take last night) -- full disclosure, I own Jackson in every league, and I own Montgomery in most of them (wish I owned him everywhere, and am trying to acquire -- within reason -- prior to Thursday night) and I own Davis is one league:

  • At the Combine, Ty Montgomery measured 6', 221lbs and ran a 4.55 40.  More impressively (and if you've seen my posts previously about Agility Scores and how they matter), he posted a 6.97 3-cone with a 4.21 short shuttle -- that's a 11.18 Agility Score at 220+ lbs.  For context, compared to 220lb+ backs in his draft class, that agility score is pretty solid. 

    Malcolm Brown (224lbs) - 6.86 3-Cone; 4.15 Short Shuttle -- 11.01 Agility Score
  • David Johnson (224lbs) - 6.82 3-Cone; 4.27 Short Shuttle -- 11.09 Agility Score
  • Jay Ajayi (221lbs) - 7.10 3-Cone; 4.10 Short Shuttle -- 11.20 Agility Score
  • Zach Zenner (223lbs) - 7.08 3-Cone; 4.14 Short Shuttle -- 11.22 Agility Score
  • Buck Allen (221lbs) - 6.96 3-Cone; 4.28 Short Shuttle -- 11.24 Agility Score
  • TJ Yeldon (226lbs) - 7.19 3-Cone; 4.22 Short Shuttle -- 11.41 Agility Score
  • Karlos Williams (230lbs) - 7.16 3-Cone; 4.46 Short Shuttle -- 11.62 Agility Score (gross - not his game)

[*]Ty Montgomery's draft profile spoke of a guy that could be an excellent RB. 
Montgomery essentially played the Starks role on Sunday afternoon and has a career game.  The commentators on that game mentioned that Aaron Rodgers told them that RB "might be his [Montgomery's] best position."  Starks has kinda sucked all year, but his primary value to the Packers over the last few years has been in the screen game.  Green Bay targets very athletic linemen that can get out on screen plays and block downfield.  Montgomery brought an element of that back last week that's been missing from the offense.  Starks is also out a month, and Lacy could potentially be headed to IR.  Even if Lacy returns in a month, Montgomery's role as the Starks-type back is stable for the next few weeks IMO.  If he shines... well... can't put that genie back in the bottle, as they say.  Starks is averaging 1.8 YPC this year and is 30 years old.  He's not invincible.

[*]Jackson's role in this, IMO, is as the Lacy replacement for the short term.  I don't really know what to expect from Jackson.  I don't think Knile Davis is very good.  The Chiefs obviously don't think he's very good either -- basically selling him for a complete unknown pick in 2 years that may or may not be anything more than a 7th rounder.  He's averaged a whopping 3.3 YPC for his career.  He's not very agile, though he is big and fast.  Can that work in GB?  Truthfully I don't know, but I kinda think we know what we're going to get with Knile Davis.  He'll get what's blocked... that's it.  I almost see him as an emergency guy if Jackson got hurt, or if Montgomery got hut... Davis gives them a warm body at the position so they're not left with going 5 wide the whole time or just playing Ripkowski at RB.
To add this this, if Monty gains RB eligibility in Yahoo, he would have def been the pick up for Lacy owners.

Perhaps not so big of a chance, but I think McCarthy could get cute and decide to use Monty for the run game like Detroit uses Riddick.

 
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renesauz said:
Jerome Bettis always looked like a fat tub too...and was awfully effective anyway.

Anyone hating on Lacy is free to trade him to me cheap. :)
If you were in my league I would.

In 5 games in PPR, 42.8 points, has only caught 4 passes, has no TD's.

I understand some may be attributed to GB's pass happy offense, but an average of 8.56 per week ain't cutting it.

I'm pretty sure his ankle won't be 100% the rest of the year.

 
From Rotoworld's "worksheet":

 Knile Davis/Don Jackson (you're flying blind here on usage here for either and I'd rather just use Montgomery unless desperate, but regardless of what type of talent you believe Davis is, in nine career games in which he's recieved double digit touches, he's finished below RB27 just once with four top-10 scoring games)


but...but...Bronco Billy says he wasn't productive.
Let's unpack this a little bit...

2013
@WSH - 11 carries for 30 yards (2.7 YPC); 1 reception for 17 yards; 1 TD
@OAK - 9 carries for 34 yards (3.8 YPC); 2 receptions for 8 yards; 1 TD
@SD - 27 carries for 81 yards (3.0 YPC); 2 receptions for 5 yards; 2 TDs

2014
@DEN - 22 carries for 79 yards (3.6 YPC); 6 receptions for 26 yards; 2 TDs; 1 fumble
@MIA - 32 carries for 132 yards (4.1 YPC); no receptions; 1 TD; 2 fumbles, 1 lost
vs. NE - 16 carries for 107 yards (6.7 YPC); 1 reception for 12 yards
@SD - 10 carries for 25 yards (2.5 YPC); 1 reception for 11 yards
vs. STL - 16 carries for 49 yards (3.1 YPC); 1 TD
@OAK - 9 carries for 11 yards (1.2 YPC); 1 reception for 70 yards; 2 TDs

In 7 of the 9 games referenced, Davis scored a TD.  Is that sustainable?  I doubt it -- no one can reasonably expect that.  If you take the TDs out of the equation and look at points from yardage and receptions, he's posted 5.7, 6.2, 10.6, 16.5, 13.2 (less fumbles), 12.9, 4.6, 4.9, 9.1.  That's 5 out of 9 games with less than 10 points, assuming a PPR league.  Obviously you can't say the TDs don't count -- they do, but this is a very TD-dependent player if I've ever seen one.  How many rushing TDs do the Packers have this year? 2 in 5 games.   

What can the RB control (at least more than goal line carries)?  His efficiency, and Davis just isn't very efficient.  Even looking at these 9 games (the best games of his career), he averaged 3.6 YPC... AND he has more games below 3 YPC (3) as he does above 4 YPC (2). 

 
Here's my take on this whole thing (expanding on my brief take last night) -- full disclosure, I own Jackson in every league, and I own Montgomery in most of them (wish I owned him everywhere, and am trying to acquire -- within reason -- prior to Thursday night) and I own Davis is one league:

  • At the Combine, Ty Montgomery measured 6', 221lbs and ran a 4.55 40.  More impressively (and if you've seen my posts previously about Agility Scores and how they matter), he posted a 6.97 3-cone with a 4.21 short shuttle -- that's a 11.18 Agility Score at 220+ lbs.  For context, compared to 220lb+ backs in his draft class, that agility score is pretty solid. 

    Malcolm Brown (224lbs) - 6.86 3-Cone; 4.15 Short Shuttle -- 11.01 Agility Score
  • David Johnson (224lbs) - 6.82 3-Cone; 4.27 Short Shuttle -- 11.09 Agility Score
  • Jay Ajayi (221lbs) - 7.10 3-Cone; 4.10 Short Shuttle -- 11.20 Agility Score
  • Zach Zenner (223lbs) - 7.08 3-Cone; 4.14 Short Shuttle -- 11.22 Agility Score
  • Buck Allen (221lbs) - 6.96 3-Cone; 4.28 Short Shuttle -- 11.24 Agility Score
  • TJ Yeldon (226lbs) - 7.19 3-Cone; 4.22 Short Shuttle -- 11.41 Agility Score
  • Karlos Williams (230lbs) - 7.16 3-Cone; 4.46 Short Shuttle -- 11.62 Agility Score (gross - not his game)

[*]Ty Montgomery's draft profile spoke of a guy that could be an excellent RB. 
Montgomery essentially played the Starks role on Sunday afternoon and has a career game.  The commentators on that game mentioned that Aaron Rodgers told them that RB "might be his [Montgomery's] best position."  Starks has kinda sucked all year, but his primary value to the Packers over the last few years has been in the screen game.  Green Bay targets very athletic linemen that can get out on screen plays and block downfield.  Montgomery brought an element of that back last week that's been missing from the offense.  Starks is also out a month, and Lacy could potentially be headed to IR.  Even if Lacy returns in a month, Montgomery's role as the Starks-type back is stable for the next few weeks IMO.  If he shines... well... can't put that genie back in the bottle, as they say.  Starks is averaging 1.8 YPC this year and is 30 years old.  He's not invincible.

[*]Jackson's role in this, IMO, is as the Lacy replacement for the short term.  I don't really know what to expect from Jackson.  I don't think Knile Davis is very good.  The Chiefs obviously don't think he's very good either -- basically selling him for a complete unknown pick in 2 years that may or may not be anything more than a 7th rounder.  He's averaged a whopping 3.3 YPC for his career.  He's not very agile, though he is big and fast.  Can that work in GB?  Truthfully I don't know, but I kinda think we know what we're going to get with Knile Davis.  He'll get what's blocked... that's it.  I almost see him as an emergency guy if Jackson got hurt, or if Montgomery got hut... Davis gives them a warm body at the position so they're not left with going 5 wide the whole time or just playing Ripkowski at RB.
This isn't a bad assessment. I disagree regarding Davis' abilities but I can agree to disagree on that; we won't know until he actually plays. GB has done better with worse RBs (Samkon Gado for instance). I have been touting Montgomery on a few threads here, starting about 2.5 weeks ago. I am not sure if I see a complete change to RB for him in the immediate future or not. He does add a more receiving option, kind of how we all hoped McCluster would turn out to be all those years. I picked up Montgomery and am starting him this week at flex over Diggs, Crowell, Ajayi as my alternative options. 

Seeing Montgomery add something different to the rushing game/offense is intriguing and it could be just what GB needs ot be competitive. "can't put that genie back in the bottle" is a good statement. Once you see what he can do how can you not try to give him the ball more? At the end of the day I think this could be real interesting moving forward. Glad I grabbed Montgomery. Hope you all listened to me in early October :)  

 
 How many rushing TDs do the Packers have this year? 2 in 5 games.   
Maybe that's the problem. GB doesn't look too great this season. Do we expect them to continue with the status quo assuming it will eventually change? Most Packer fans would agree with me and say they wouldn't be surprised, knowing McCarthy, if things didn't change; but if they don't change it and their offense doesn't turn it around, IMO McCarthy is looking for a job in the offseason

 
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This isn't a bad assessment. I disagree regarding Davis' abilities but I can agree to disagree on that; we won't know until he actually plays. GB has done better with worse RBs (Samkon Gado for instance). I have been touting Montgomery on a few threads here, starting about 2.5 weeks ago. I am not sure if I see a complete change to RB for him in the immediate future or not. He does add a more receiving option, kind of how we all hoped McCluster would turn out to be all those years. I picked up Montgomery and am starting him this week at flex over Diggs, Crowell, Ajayi as my alternative options. 

Seeing Montgomery add something different to the rushing game/offense is intriguing and it could be just what GB needs ot be competitive. "can't put that genie back in the bottle" is a good statement. Once you see what he can do how can you not try to give him the ball more? At the end of the day I think this could be real interesting moving forward. Glad I grabbed Montgomery. Hope you all listened to me in early October :)  
GB has done well with some bad RBs - that's true... I guess my question, if we're betting on bad RBs, is why we wouldn't bet on the guy that's been there, working with the team, who they liked enough to keep on the PS over the guy they gave up a conditional 7th rounder 2 years from now for?

And yeah - I think Montgomery could go full position switch and be a real weapon, especially in the passing game.  I know it's been posted elsewhere, but...

Green Bay PackersVerified account @packers Oct 17
McCarthy: Ty Montgomery did a lot of good things last night...Frankly, we need to get Ty the ball...He's shown ability to play RB.
JJ ZachariasonVerified account @LateRoundQB 4h4 hours ago
The FAAB spent on Knile Davis and Ty Montgomery was a lot more in expert leagues I'm in than casual ones. Talking 70% vs. 20%.
Mike ClayVerified account @MikeClayNFL 20h20 hours ago
Seems like Ty Montgomery will play a big role as a rusher this week, so I'll be ranking him as a flex option.
Aaron NaglerVerified account @AaronNagler Oct 16
Ty Montgomery's 10 receptions today are the most by a Packer in a game this season. 6 of those receptions went for first downs.
To me -- Montgomery's your potential season changer... he's a Theo Riddick type in the passing game, but he's built like a between-the-tackles bruiser. 

 
GB has done well with some bad RBs - that's true... I guess my question, if we're betting on bad RBs, is why we wouldn't bet on the guy that's been there, working with the team, who they liked enough to keep on the PS over the guy they gave up a conditional 7th rounder 2 years from now for?

And yeah - I think Montgomery could go full position switch and be a real weapon, especially in the passing game.  I know it's been posted elsewhere, but...

To me -- Montgomery's your potential season changer... he's a Theo Riddick type in the passing game, but he's built like a between-the-tackles bruiser. 
I agree. Obviously exciting imagining his potential not only as a fantasy player/owner but as a GB fan/owner 

 
To me -- Montgomery's your potential season changer... he's a Theo Riddick type in the passing game, but he's built like a between-the-tackles bruiser. 
And here I was all disappointed that I didn't get Kniles Davis on WW. At least you've given me hope that Ty might amount to something more than a 1 week guy.

 
Let's unpack this a little bit...

2013
@WSH - 11 carries for 30 yards (2.7 YPC); 1 reception for 17 yards; 1 TD
@OAK - 9 carries for 34 yards (3.8 YPC); 2 receptions for 8 yards; 1 TD
@SD - 27 carries for 81 yards (3.0 YPC); 2 receptions for 5 yards; 2 TDs

2014
@DEN - 22 carries for 79 yards (3.6 YPC); 6 receptions for 26 yards; 2 TDs; 1 fumble
@MIA - 32 carries for 132 yards (4.1 YPC); no receptions; 1 TD; 2 fumbles, 1 lost
vs. NE - 16 carries for 107 yards (6.7 YPC); 1 reception for 12 yards
@SD - 10 carries for 25 yards (2.5 YPC); 1 reception for 11 yards
vs. STL - 16 carries for 49 yards (3.1 YPC); 1 TD
@OAK - 9 carries for 11 yards (1.2 YPC); 1 reception for 70 yards; 2 TDs

In 7 of the 9 games referenced, Davis scored a TD.  Is that sustainable?  I doubt it -- no one can reasonably expect that.  If you take the TDs out of the equation and look at points from yardage and receptions, he's posted 5.7, 6.2, 10.6, 16.5, 13.2 (less fumbles), 12.9, 4.6, 4.9, 9.1.  That's 5 out of 9 games with less than 10 points, assuming a PPR league.  Obviously you can't say the TDs don't count -- they do, but this is a very TD-dependent player if I've ever seen one.  How many rushing TDs do the Packers have this year? 2 in 5 games.   

What can the RB control (at least more than goal line carries)?  His efficiency, and Davis just isn't very efficient.  Even looking at these 9 games (the best games of his career), he averaged 3.6 YPC... AND he has more games below 3 YPC (3) as he does above 4 YPC (2). 
You're arguing against me saying he was "productive" (in the past) and taking away his TDs? I stated he wasn't very efficient as a player, but there's no denying he was productive. I saw him play quite a bit and many of those TDs were earned. He didn't just plunge in from the one yard line through a gaping hole.

I actually only own Jackson and Montgomery right now as well in dynasty leagues and Davis nowhere (but may put in a claim for Davis in redraft) - but I don't think he's as terrible as most other on this board think he is - but then again I've been a sucker for the big/fast combo before in the past. However, you're quoting me out of context - we were talking about Davis' past and frankly his production really isn't subject to a subjective evaluation, He was productive, Can he be going forward? I wouldn't bet against it, but have no idea really.

 
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And here I was all disappointed that I didn't get Kniles Davis on WW. At least you've given me hope that Ty might amount to something more than a 1 week guy.
It's hard to believe Davis will understand the entire playbook as well as audibles and be comfortable with everything over the course of the next couple of days/weeks even.

Montgomery has played RB before, knows the plays, and is a dual threat. GB hasn't been focusing on the running the ball up to this point anyways. I agree that Montgomery is the player to get in this scenario, at least for now. We will all see how this plays out. It'd be great if Yahoo made him RB eligible. I don't know how many games he needs to start at RB before he is considered RB eligible. For now he's my flex but I'd love him at RB. 

Edit: Yahoo's eligibility rules, clear as mud I guess; depends on some "data provider's" discretion 

https://help.yahoo.com/kb/SLN6318.html

 
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It's hard to believe Davis will understand the entire playbook as well as audibles and be comfortable with everything over the course of the next couple of days/weeks even.

Montgomery has played RB before, knows the plays, and is a dual threat. GB hasn't been focusing on the running the ball up to this point anyways. I agree that Montgomery is the player to get in this scenario, at least for now. We will all see how this plays out. It'd be great if Yahoo made him RB eligible. I don't know how many games he needs to start at RB before he is considered RB eligible. For now he's my flex but I'd love him at RB. 
I would agree. I was surprised that Forsett played last week. But Davis has even less time than Forsett did. So I wouldn't be surprised if he suited up due to their dire need of RBs, but expecting a heavy workload or anything of that nature I thought would be too optimistic. I was thinking beyond this week. Montgomery certainly has some relevance now. I guess it all depends on how well he does. Perhaps a Theo Riddick type role would be a pretty good scenario for a WW pickup.

 
I would agree. I was surprised that Forsett played last week. But Davis has even less time than Forsett did. So I wouldn't be surprised if he suited up due to their dire need of RBs, but expecting a heavy workload or anything of that nature I thought would be too optimistic. I was thinking beyond this week. Montgomery certainly has some relevance now. I guess it all depends on how well he does. Perhaps a Theo Riddick type role would be a pretty good scenario for a WW pickup.
Yes, if Montgomery does well tonight it'd be hard to justify putting him on the bench or at WR exclusively, although Adams is hurt. Hopefully Abby can step into that role well and Montgomery can play the McCluster role, and hopefully very effectively (for selfish reasons of course). If he does well in that role I think it's hard to put him on the bench just because the number on his back doesn't match up with running backs. 

 
You're arguing against me saying he was "productive" (in the past) and taking away his TDs? I stated he wasn't very efficient as a player, but there's no denying he was productive. I saw him play quite a bit and many of those TDs were earned. He didn't just plunge in from the one yard line through a gaping hole.

I actually only own Jackson and Montgomery right now as well in dynasty leagues and Davis nowhere (but may put in a claim for Davis in redraft) - but I don't think he's as terrible as most other on this board think he is - but then again I've been a sucker for the big/fast combo before in the past. However, you're quoting me out of context - we were talking about Davis' past and frankly his production really isn't subject to a subjective evaluation, He was productive, Can he be going forward? I wouldn't bet against it, but have no idea really.
Wasn't directed at you per se, though I realize I quoted you.  I was trying to inform the board overall by replying to the idea he's been a top-27 RB the vast majority of times he gets double digit touches.  I don't think his TD-rate is sustainable...

 
Lacy headed to IR. Looks like Davis will have a good shot to take this job ROS
Someone will... I'm not sure that's Knile as he's just not a very good RB.  He's a good athlete, but let's see how it plays out before anointing him.

And I own Knile in a league where I could really use a RB to emerge, but... I'm not holding my breath for this guy.

 
Someone will... I'm not sure that's Knile as he's just not a very good RB.  He's a good athlete, but let's see how it plays out before anointing him.

And I own Knile in a league where I could really use a RB to emerge, but... I'm not holding my breath for this guy.
Neither am I, but the Lacy news certainly opens it up for him in the mid to long term for this season. Tonight will obviously be the melange of the WRs and maybe some of him sprinkled in, but you'd have to think that at least for the 3 games that follow he'll have a chance to stake a good claim. Don Jackson obviously being the unknown quantity right now. 

 
Neither am I, but the Lacy news certainly opens it up for him in the mid to long term for this season. Tonight will obviously be the melange of the WRs and maybe some of him sprinkled in, but you'd have to think that at least for the 3 games that follow he'll have a chance to stake a good claim. Don Jackson obviously being the unknown quantity right now. 
Yeah - I mean, my read on the situation is out there in all three player threads.  I think Montgomery gets the biggest boost in a Riddick-type role, but his combine was basically a mirror image of David Johnson's, and Rogers was quoted on the broadcast as saying RB may be Montgomery's best position.  It's plausible to me he's the answer here.

Jackson has some juice though (read Waldman's take over in the Jackson thread).  I just don't think Knile is good at all, but maybe that won't matter.  They're all worth rostering given the opportunity, but I'd rather own them in the following order: Montgomery, Jackson, Knile.

 
Someone will... I'm not sure that's Knile as he's just not a very good RB.  He's a good athlete, but let's see how it plays out before anointing him.

And I own Knile in a league where I could really use a RB to emerge, but... I'm not holding my breath for this guy.
A poor RB wouldn't have avgd 13.8 fantasy points in his 6 lifetime 10+touch games. Been praying for Belichick to trade for this guy since Ware blew everyone away beating out CWest, him and now JCharles, apparently. Got a feeling he's not a good practice guy, though, so he might not be a factor tonite.

 
A poor RB wouldn't have avgd 13.8 fantasy points in his 6 lifetime 10+touch games. Been praying for Belichick to trade for this guy since Ware blew everyone away beating out CWest, him and now JCharles, apparently. Got a feeling he's not a good practice guy, though, so he might not be a factor tonite.
I unpacked that stat yesterday... it's not as impressive as it sounds.  He has 9 games of 10+ touches.  He's basically not been a JAG in 2 of those games.  He's scored a TD in 7 of those 9 games... is that sustainable?  I'm skeptical...  I'll repeat: What can the RB control (at least more than goal line carries)?  His efficiency, and Davis just isn't very efficient.  And given the success of the other KC backs, I think it's a fool's errand to blame the OL.  Even looking at these 9 games (the absolute best games of his career), he averaged 3.6 YPC... AND he has more games below 3 YPC (3) as he does above 4 YPC (2). 

Let's unpack this a little bit...

2013
@WSH - 11 carries for 30 yards (2.7 YPC); 1 reception for 17 yards; 1 TD
@OAK - 9 carries for 34 yards (3.8 YPC); 2 receptions for 8 yards; 1 TD
@SD - 27 carries for 81 yards (3.0 YPC); 2 receptions for 5 yards; 2 TDs

2014
@DEN - 22 carries for 79 yards (3.6 YPC); 6 receptions for 26 yards; 2 TDs; 1 fumble
@MIA - 32 carries for 132 yards (4.1 YPC); no receptions; 1 TD; 2 fumbles, 1 lost
vs. NE - 16 carries for 107 yards (6.7 YPC); 1 reception for 12 yards
@SD - 10 carries for 25 yards (2.5 YPC); 1 reception for 11 yards
vs. STL - 16 carries for 49 yards (3.1 YPC); 1 TD
@OAK - 9 carries for 11 yards (1.2 YPC); 1 reception for 70 yards; 2 TDs

In 7 of the 9 games referenced, Davis scored a TD.  Is that sustainable?  I doubt it -- no one can reasonably expect that.  If you take the TDs out of the equation and look at points from yardage and receptions, he's posted 5.7, 6.2, 10.6, 16.5, 13.2 (less fumbles), 12.9, 4.6, 4.9, 9.1.  That's 5 out of 9 games with less than 10 points, assuming a PPR league.  Obviously you can't say the TDs don't count -- they do, but this is a very TD-dependent player if I've ever seen one.  How many rushing TDs do the Packers have this year? 2 in 5 games.   

What can the RB control (at least more than goal line carries)?  His efficiency, and Davis just isn't very efficient.  Even looking at these 9 games (the best games of his career), he averaged 3.6 YPC... AND he has more games below 3 YPC (3) as he does above 4 YPC (2). 

 
If the Packers just needed a warm body, there are plenty of RBs available in FA.

They specifically traded for Knile, a rare move for the Packers front office.  

If they felt they needed a backup for Ty Montgomery & Don Jackson, they don't need to trade a pick, no matter how late the round.  They can get a #3 RB on FA.

The way it will likely shake out ROS is Knile on rushing downs, and Ty on passing downs, with Don Jackson being pretty irrelevant.  

They didn't even activate Jackson last week when Lacy was hobbled.  

You can cite 3.3 YPC all you want, but this is a potential volume position on a team that will try to find balance in their offense or be in serious trouble of missing the playoffs.  

 
2ksports said:
If the Packers just needed a warm body, there are plenty of RBs available in FA.

They specifically traded for Knile, a rare move for the Packers front office.  

If they felt they needed a backup for Ty Montgomery & Don Jackson, they don't need to trade a pick, no matter how late the round.  They can get a #3 RB on FA.

The way it will likely shake out ROS is Knile on rushing downs, and Ty on passing downs, with Don Jackson being pretty irrelevant.  

They didn't even activate Jackson last week when Lacy was hobbled.  

You can cite 3.3 YPC all you want, but this is a potential volume position on a team that will try to find balance in their offense or be in serious trouble of missing the playoffs.  
Exactly. I guess people will see what they want to see. I don't even own Davis and I would flat out say he will be the bell cow at some point. Montgomery is interesting because if he continues tonight to show that he can transition and give the Packers a sort of hybrid back then he might create a position for himself that would put him in a Riddick type role. That I am hoping for as I am a Montgomery owner, but I can absolutely see a scenario where he is transitioned back to WR when Davis gets the playbook, Starks is back, and Jackson is relegated to 3rd string

 
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Id think the logic of the trade would push to Davis.  But Starks will figure in somewhere.  I just don't know how many opportunities any back will have to gain a significant amount of touches to be consistent in FF.

I like Montgomery a lot tonight though as a flex play.

 
I guess time will tell.  We don't know the exact conditions of that trade... but it was reported as a conditional 7th rounder in 2018.  Could it drop to nothing?  Plausibly.  Could it become more?  Also possible.

I still view Knile as a good athlete that's not a good RB.  They may have a good RB on the roster already in Jackson - we don't know yet.  Ty Montgomery may be a better fit than both of them. 

If I'm wrong here, I'll admit that I'm wrong.  I just have a hard time believing Knile Davis is going to be an impact player here.  To me, if it's not Montgomery or Jackson, it's just as likely nobody's worth anything.

 
I've spent the better part of the week ####ting on Davis but he went unclaimed in one league and was just sitting on the waivers so I felt obligated to pick him up, especially in light of the Lacy news.

This entire backfield feels like a trap seeing as how McCarthy failed to take advantage of a RB who was actually performing well but who knows. 

 
This entire backfield feels like a trap seeing as how McCarthy failed to take advantage of a RB who was actually performing well but who knows. 
I think this is something that is being overlooked but people desperate for their savior at RB - The Packers had a RB that was much better than Davis and (presumedly) Jackson and he wasn't very fantasy relevant.

Of course I added one or the other where I could - but the odds are we'll likely be holding nothing in a couple of weeks.

I do like Montgomery but the downside to him is that he doesn't have RB eligibility so he's not a big help in fantasy at a position where most people already have just as good or better options on their roster. 

 
This entire backfield feels like a trap seeing as how McCarthy failed to take advantage of a RB who was actually performing well but who knows. 
I have seen several respected FF analysts suggest that Lacy be a buy low. Actually, as the news broke about his injury possibly being more serious, one of the analysts had just recommended him to be a buy low. He was productive, but that offense has looked like hot garbage this year (and last). I think the hope is that if the production is there, McCarthy has to at least consider featuring the RB more. Perhaps it's time he gave the playcalling duties away again.

 

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