Hey guys,
Not entirely sure what to make of Kevin Kolb. I was initially hoping Skelton got the starting job, and decided to do an analysis to determine if there was anything I was missing.
I noticed something interesting.
Kolb played in 9 games (8 games if you discount game 14 where he got hurt after throwing only one pass.
To project for a full year, you should be able to double his stats to get a 16 game result.
so looking at his stats.....
253 attempts, 146 completions. 57.7% completion percent. 1955 yards 9 TD 8 INT over 8 games
This projects to 506 attempts, 292 completions 57.7% completion %, 3910 yards, 18 TD and 16 INT over 16 games.
Now this is basically his first year as a pro starter (I dont count 2009 and 2010 where he started 2 and 5 games respectively)If we compare these projected full year stats with what Cam Newton did as a rookie starter:
310 completions on 517 passes for 4051 yards, 21 TD and 17 INT.
The stats are actually quite similar to what Kolb would have projected to full year.
I acknowledge you dont like to see that many INT's or a QB who gets hurt as much as Kolb has.... but if you consider he has less than 16 career starts, is it not fair to assume that the INT's will go away once he has another year or two of experience? right now his projected yardage over 16 games would have ranked him #11 for yardage ahead of last year's fantasy QB darling Ryan Fitzpatrick who threew for 3832 yards, 24 TD and 24 INT
but It's funny how everyone is singing the praises of Cam Newton and talking about how bad Kolb is. If you further analyze the situation, Kolb also would have had an easier schedule in the remaining games of the season(if he had played the full season so I wonder if he may have hit the 4000 yard mark because the games he missed were not against the same kind of defenses he faced while he was in the lineup.
I'm not suggesting that the everyone is wrong, but I think this warrants another look to see if there is something we have missed here.
anyhow, I thought I'd see if anyone else knows more about the situation.
As for Skelton, I was also suitably impressed with him at times. Those last 4 games of the year he looked pretty good (although he threw too many INT's too).
Opinions please.
Not entirely sure what to make of Kevin Kolb. I was initially hoping Skelton got the starting job, and decided to do an analysis to determine if there was anything I was missing.
I noticed something interesting.
Kolb played in 9 games (8 games if you discount game 14 where he got hurt after throwing only one pass.
To project for a full year, you should be able to double his stats to get a 16 game result.
so looking at his stats.....
253 attempts, 146 completions. 57.7% completion percent. 1955 yards 9 TD 8 INT over 8 games
This projects to 506 attempts, 292 completions 57.7% completion %, 3910 yards, 18 TD and 16 INT over 16 games.
Now this is basically his first year as a pro starter (I dont count 2009 and 2010 where he started 2 and 5 games respectively)If we compare these projected full year stats with what Cam Newton did as a rookie starter:
310 completions on 517 passes for 4051 yards, 21 TD and 17 INT.
The stats are actually quite similar to what Kolb would have projected to full year.
I acknowledge you dont like to see that many INT's or a QB who gets hurt as much as Kolb has.... but if you consider he has less than 16 career starts, is it not fair to assume that the INT's will go away once he has another year or two of experience? right now his projected yardage over 16 games would have ranked him #11 for yardage ahead of last year's fantasy QB darling Ryan Fitzpatrick who threew for 3832 yards, 24 TD and 24 INT
but It's funny how everyone is singing the praises of Cam Newton and talking about how bad Kolb is. If you further analyze the situation, Kolb also would have had an easier schedule in the remaining games of the season(if he had played the full season so I wonder if he may have hit the 4000 yard mark because the games he missed were not against the same kind of defenses he faced while he was in the lineup.
I'm not suggesting that the everyone is wrong, but I think this warrants another look to see if there is something we have missed here.
anyhow, I thought I'd see if anyone else knows more about the situation.
As for Skelton, I was also suitably impressed with him at times. Those last 4 games of the year he looked pretty good (although he threw too many INT's too).
Opinions please.
Either way I have zero interest in both of them, but if there's a new QB every week it's going to effect the skill position players, at least some. I've been saying Kolb sucks since getting into the league and never understood the hype behind him, so I'm expecting a mess. Still, looking like Ryan Williams is going to end up on a lot of my teams but he may be the only Cardinal I land.
