So on NPR this morning the call-in show "On Point" had its usual panel of ridiculously intellectual, studied, insightful and brilliant people and today they were talkinbg about Yemen and Saudi Arabia.
One of the panelists (a "Hegel," no not the SOD, a professor of some kind) stated quite pointedly that the Sauds are much more worried about developments in Yemen than ISIL/ISIS/IS in the Levant.
The main reason for this is that the lines drawn encompassing Saudi Arabia are just man-made, as many of you know, and bands of tribes stretch across the border with SA quite easily and unimpeded. Yemen apparently is also one of the most heavily armed areas in the world, meaning not just arms held by militias but also those in households and ordinary, everyday citizens.Apparently traditionally nearly everybody has a gun.
And the concern is that the instability in Yemen will spread to SA via this route, not from above and ISIL.
And it occurred to me then and there that is more or less the route that Lawrence took, though from above. Anyone who has seen the movies or read Seven Pillars knows that Aqaba and the Red Sea coast is the heart of Arabia.
Lawrence famously took Aqaba from the desert to the south, which was considered even (especially) by Arabs to be impossible.
http://www.filmclips.be/images/lawrence%20of%20Arabia-map.jpg
Since Aqaba could also be taken from the south, which once upon a time meant solely by sea and navy (so all the guns faced that way, towards the ocean), by doing this Lawrence also cut off Mecca and Medina from the Ottoman Turks, who put a good deal of their legitimacy on their holding and protecting those holy sites, essentially making them the keepers of islam.
Today that honor goes to the Saud family.
Indeed the Arab "revolution" (essentially a rogue British military operation dreamed up and pulled off by Lawrence himself) started in the south at Mecca and later he and King Feisel (Saud) led the Arab army north all the way to Damascus and Aleppo.
Now today, however, with Yemen falling, especially in the south and west, the belly of Arabia, and Mecca and Medina, can again be taken from the south.
The distance from Sanaa to Mecca is 637 miles, which in today's age of mechanized travel is essentially a day trip. If AQAP pulled this off then AQ (and their ilk) would indeed pull off hijacking the religion of islam, both figuratively and literally. Owning and controlling Mecca is a big, big deal.