Koya
Footballguy
Let's face it, those of us that have Green likely got him in the middle rounds, often after most of our other starters were drafted. Your typical 3rd RB choice for most 10-12 team leagues I would think.
You know the team was going to suck, that Favre may or may not retire or be traded or just mope all year in interviews.
So far, that thought hasnt changed.
What HAS changed, I think, is the feeling toward Ahman. Two things:
(1) He looked pretty good last week, health and ability wise. I think many of us were surprised by that. Not that he looks as explosive as the 1800 yard rusher, but he did look more than solid running last week. The line might not be solid, but he managed against a very good D last week, and ran decent before garbage time as well.
(2) Even if Green Bay is getting their asses kicked, which may happen a lot this year, Ahman could very well have fantasy production. He did last week, and reports are that Green Bay may want to run the ball considerably more than last year (if someone wants, Ill look up the link).
SOOO, what is the collective take on Ahman. Yeah, he is a RB on a ####ty team - but one that may be running a bit more with Favre all over the place, and a team that could have more fantasy production for the RB in garbage time than you may expect.
My opinion is starting to change on Ahman's season, early as it may be. Not going to trade all my other backs expecting him to be a stud, but he might very well become a more than solid #2 this year. He looked good running on a team that looks to get him the ball.
Your take?
You know the team was going to suck, that Favre may or may not retire or be traded or just mope all year in interviews.
So far, that thought hasnt changed.
What HAS changed, I think, is the feeling toward Ahman. Two things:
(1) He looked pretty good last week, health and ability wise. I think many of us were surprised by that. Not that he looks as explosive as the 1800 yard rusher, but he did look more than solid running last week. The line might not be solid, but he managed against a very good D last week, and ran decent before garbage time as well.
(2) Even if Green Bay is getting their asses kicked, which may happen a lot this year, Ahman could very well have fantasy production. He did last week, and reports are that Green Bay may want to run the ball considerably more than last year (if someone wants, Ill look up the link).
SOOO, what is the collective take on Ahman. Yeah, he is a RB on a ####ty team - but one that may be running a bit more with Favre all over the place, and a team that could have more fantasy production for the RB in garbage time than you may expect.
My opinion is starting to change on Ahman's season, early as it may be. Not going to trade all my other backs expecting him to be a stud, but he might very well become a more than solid #2 this year. He looked good running on a team that looks to get him the ball.
Your take?
For now anyway.

Hint: GB will also pass on 1st and 2nd down. The ideal situation where a 3rd down back is used is 3rd and 5-10. You may see Green anyways since he can block.
jk.Sorta.
Lets forget about your 28 carries per game and go with your low end of 25 per game. You do realize you're projecting 400 carries for Green. It becomes 448 if we go with your high end of 28 carries per game. I don't think any RB in the NFL has EVER seen the high end workload you're suggesting Green will and very few have seen the low end workload.

Well thought out analysis of 3rd down backs. Nice.
Green's primary concerns are injury, o-line play, team playing from behind, then losing cathes to Morency.

the only way he doesn't remain the every down back is if he gets hurt. and if he's hurt, well, no.. he's not going to be a good #3.