Lines are up for Divisional Playoffs (1 Viewer)

[Mik789fl]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:

Arizona vs Carolina(-10)

Philadelphia vs New York Giants(-4)

San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Baltimore vs Tennessee(-3)

Thoughts?

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Panthers, Giants, Chargers, Push

 

[Sigmund Bloom]

Arizona +10 and Baltimore ML look like terrific plays. I expect that Arizona line to start to move down once people remember that these two teams played already in Carolina and Arizona hung just fine - if anything, they shot themselves in the foot and only have themselves to blame for the loss.

SD + 6.5 is enticing just because the Steelers haven't run away and hid from any good teams this year except for the NE game.

 

[massraider]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

 

[Chase Stuart]

Arizona +10 and Baltimore ML look like terrific plays. I expect that Arizona line to start to move down once people remember that these two teams played already in Carolina and Arizona hung just fine - if anything, they shot themselves in the foot and only have themselves to blame for the loss.SD + 6.5 is enticing just because the Steelers haven't run away and hid from any good teams this year except for the NE game.

Pitt covered 6.5 the last time they played the Chargers.

 

[Chase Stuart]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

I can't tell if you think the line should be more or less

 

[Mik789fl]

Caesar's just put their's out,Balt/Tenn and Arizona/Carolina are the same,but they've got Pittsburgh-6 and The Giants-5

 

[massraider]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

I can't tell if you think the line should be more or less

I'm not sure the line isn't perfect. Just interesting to me. Pittsburgh has a big following nationwide, the public likes favorites, and they are at home. It seems like Vegas is expecting a decent amount of SD money, or they are making a statement with this game.

 

[Jeff Pasquino]

My guesses from the game threads:

Early guesses at the lines for me:Baltimore +3O/U 37SD +7.5O/U 39

Line-guessing time?PHI +4.5O/U 41.5AZ +8O/U 48

 

[Chase Stuart]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

I can't tell if you think the line should be more or less

I'm not sure the line isn't perfect. Just interesting to me. Pittsburgh has a big following nationwide, the public likes favorites, and they are at home. It seems like Vegas is expecting a decent amount of SD money, or they are making a statement with this game.

I swear I'm not being dense, but I have no idea what you're talking about.

 

[Jeff Pasquino]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

I can't tell if you think the line should be more or less

I'm not sure the line isn't perfect. Just interesting to me. Pittsburgh has a big following nationwide, the public likes favorites, and they are at home. It seems like Vegas is expecting a decent amount of SD money, or they are making a statement with this game.

I swear I'm not being dense, but I have no idea what you're talking about.

He's saying that they can't move the line to 7.5 because "7" is a magic number and sharps would play PITT -6.5 and SD +7.5 and hope to hammer the house with a 7-pt victory for PITT.The big following of the crowd will have lots of $ falling on the PIT -6.5. Normally you'd move the line to a bigger spread in that case, but then the house might take a bath on that middle of 7-pts.

 

[Chase Stuart]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

I can't tell if you think the line should be more or less

I'm not sure the line isn't perfect. Just interesting to me. Pittsburgh has a big following nationwide, the public likes favorites, and they are at home. It seems like Vegas is expecting a decent amount of SD money, or they are making a statement with this game.

I swear I'm not being dense, but I have no idea what you're talking about.

He's saying that they can't move the line to 7.5 because "7" is a magic number and sharps would play PITT -6.5 and SD +7.5 and hope to hammer the house with a 7-pt victory for PITT.The big following of the crowd will have lots of $ falling on the PIT -6.5. Normally you'd move the line to a bigger spread in that case, but then the house might take a bath on that middle of 7-pts.

Ok, I think I get it. That sounds to me like massraider thinks the line should be higher, and say, started at 7.5. If the line was lower, you'd have the same problem of the public hammering Pitt and driving it past seven, no?But isn't it just as reasonable to say that if the line was 7.5 there'd be lots of SD money, and the line would move to 6.5, and then lots of Pit money?

 

[massraider]

From The Hilton in Las Vegas:San Diego vs Pittsburgh(-6 1/2)

Man, that is interesting. I wonder what the thinking here is. If the Steelers get pounded, they really can't move the line more than 1/2 point, because of the middle opportunity it'd create. The books must really expect the public to jump on the Chargers.

I can't tell if you think the line should be more or less

I'm not sure the line isn't perfect. Just interesting to me. Pittsburgh has a big following nationwide, the public likes favorites, and they are at home. It seems like Vegas is expecting a decent amount of SD money, or they are making a statement with this game.

I swear I'm not being dense, but I have no idea what you're talking about.

He's saying that they can't move the line to 7.5 because "7" is a magic number and sharps would play PITT -6.5 and SD +7.5 and hope to hammer the house with a 7-pt victory for PITT.The big following of the crowd will have lots of $ falling on the PIT -6.5. Normally you'd move the line to a bigger spread in that case, but then the house might take a bath on that middle of 7-pts.

Ok, I think I get it. That sounds to me like massraider thinks the line should be higher, and say, started at 7.5. If the line was lower, you'd have the same problem of the public hammering Pitt and driving it past seven, no?But isn't it just as reasonable to say that if the line was 7.5 there'd be lots of SD money, and the line would move to 6.5, and then lots of Pit money?

One would think so, but the reality is that there is more public money out there for Pitt, and the public loves favorites.