LionsFan78
Footballguy
I needed a break from defense stuff. Selling high during the season is always important, you all know that. Never hurts to have some players in mind. Here's my list. Half strategy, half prediction. So post yours if you got some. Of course, there's still much that will change during training camp. Here's what I'm thinking so far. REDRAFT, non-PPR leagues btw....
1. Chester Taylor, RB, MIN - Weeks 2/3: There's no chance that he'll remain the starting RB with Adrian Peterson in town, barring an injury. However, there's a chance that both will see plenty of action the first few weeks. With Atlanta and Detroit in the lineup the first few weeks, Taylor could post a few great games. Unless you own Peterson, I'd get rid of him here while you can.
2. Anthony Thomas, RB, BUF - Week 2/3: Pretty much the same logic as above, although I think he'll actually start at least the first few games in front of Lynch. He did quite well in relief of McGahee last year, so there's no reason to think he can't post a few good outings to start the season. The schedule is rough, with DEN, PIT and NE to start the season. But if you find an owner that's willing to bite and trade you a quality player for a "starting" RB, pull the trigger. He won't start for long. He's this year's Dominic Rhodes. And since he'll likely cost you pennies in the draft, chances are you'll get a steal if you trade him at the right time.
3. Derrick Mason, WR, BAL - Weeks 2-4: If you think Mason's the true #1 on this team, you're in trouble. It's Heap and Clayton's show. With some favorable matchups to start the season against teams that were generous to opposing WR's last year (CIN W1 and ARI W3), there's a decent chance that Mason could have some great numbers after the first few games. If you can trade him for a much better value WR at that point, or perhaps someone else that benefits your team, then go for it.
4. Tatum Bell, RB, DET - Week 2: This one needs some attention, because it all depends on how Kevin Jones' rehab goes this year. Pay close attention to how he does in training camp. If you feel like he'll be back by midseason, then sell Bell for everything you can after their week 1 matchup vs. OAK. There's no reason to believe he won't have a great game that week, and the next three games are all against great run defenses.
5. Muhsin Muhammed, WR, CHI - Week 3/4: A little bit of the same rationale as Mason above, but I actually believe Moose can be a solid WR3 for a fantasy team this year. However, it's Berrian's show at the WR position, I just don't think Muhammed will outscore him in fantasy points this season. But if he does well to start the season, somebody will believe he's a true WR1 this year. If you can get an upgrade at the WR position out of the deal, test the waters.
These next two are my off-the-wall sleepers as a SELL HIGH. They need a 'perfect storm' of scenarios in order to benefit someone's team by selling:
6. Jon Kitna, QB, DET - Midseason: I have Kitna ranked high as a QB this year. He'll be a solid starter. However, if the following conditions apply, he could be a sell-high candidate this year. 1) The Lions must have a bad record by midseason. If they look to be out of the playoff hunt, I think there's a better than 50/50 chance you'll see Stanton in there sometime this year. Just in time to screw you for the fantasy playoffs. If Det even looks like they'll have a chance at a solid season, all bets are off. 2) You have to have a good QB2 on your roster. If, for example, you pair Kitna with Leinart, Cutler, Campbell, etc., and they prove to be very start worthy (I believe all 3 will be, actually), then throw Kitna on the trading block and see what you can get. 3) You have to target an owner that's willing to trade up for a better QB, and give you somebody that'll help your team in return. Don't just trade Kitna for a solid benchwarmer.
7. BAL D/ST - Midseason: This one also needs some scenarios to play out to benefit from a sell-high. 1) You have to believe that they'll disappoint at the end of the season. There's a murderous stretch of games weeks 12-14, along with 2 away games against MIA and SEA to round out the fantasy playoffs. If that is enough for you to consider selling, then 2) You need an alternate D/ST that has surprisingly proved very playable, and preferably one with a tremendous playoff schedule. Remember, not many people had SD ranked high last year, and they finished as a great play most weeks. If you can afford to lose Baltimore, it just might work out. Lastly, 3) You have to target an owner that's willing to trade you a great fantasy player for a defense. Baltimore just might be the defense that can lure a great player. It must be somebody that improves your team though, not just someone to sit the bench. I'm talking a no-brainer upgrade to your team.
Anybody else got someone else in mind?
1. Chester Taylor, RB, MIN - Weeks 2/3: There's no chance that he'll remain the starting RB with Adrian Peterson in town, barring an injury. However, there's a chance that both will see plenty of action the first few weeks. With Atlanta and Detroit in the lineup the first few weeks, Taylor could post a few great games. Unless you own Peterson, I'd get rid of him here while you can.
2. Anthony Thomas, RB, BUF - Week 2/3: Pretty much the same logic as above, although I think he'll actually start at least the first few games in front of Lynch. He did quite well in relief of McGahee last year, so there's no reason to think he can't post a few good outings to start the season. The schedule is rough, with DEN, PIT and NE to start the season. But if you find an owner that's willing to bite and trade you a quality player for a "starting" RB, pull the trigger. He won't start for long. He's this year's Dominic Rhodes. And since he'll likely cost you pennies in the draft, chances are you'll get a steal if you trade him at the right time.
3. Derrick Mason, WR, BAL - Weeks 2-4: If you think Mason's the true #1 on this team, you're in trouble. It's Heap and Clayton's show. With some favorable matchups to start the season against teams that were generous to opposing WR's last year (CIN W1 and ARI W3), there's a decent chance that Mason could have some great numbers after the first few games. If you can trade him for a much better value WR at that point, or perhaps someone else that benefits your team, then go for it.
4. Tatum Bell, RB, DET - Week 2: This one needs some attention, because it all depends on how Kevin Jones' rehab goes this year. Pay close attention to how he does in training camp. If you feel like he'll be back by midseason, then sell Bell for everything you can after their week 1 matchup vs. OAK. There's no reason to believe he won't have a great game that week, and the next three games are all against great run defenses.
5. Muhsin Muhammed, WR, CHI - Week 3/4: A little bit of the same rationale as Mason above, but I actually believe Moose can be a solid WR3 for a fantasy team this year. However, it's Berrian's show at the WR position, I just don't think Muhammed will outscore him in fantasy points this season. But if he does well to start the season, somebody will believe he's a true WR1 this year. If you can get an upgrade at the WR position out of the deal, test the waters.
These next two are my off-the-wall sleepers as a SELL HIGH. They need a 'perfect storm' of scenarios in order to benefit someone's team by selling:
6. Jon Kitna, QB, DET - Midseason: I have Kitna ranked high as a QB this year. He'll be a solid starter. However, if the following conditions apply, he could be a sell-high candidate this year. 1) The Lions must have a bad record by midseason. If they look to be out of the playoff hunt, I think there's a better than 50/50 chance you'll see Stanton in there sometime this year. Just in time to screw you for the fantasy playoffs. If Det even looks like they'll have a chance at a solid season, all bets are off. 2) You have to have a good QB2 on your roster. If, for example, you pair Kitna with Leinart, Cutler, Campbell, etc., and they prove to be very start worthy (I believe all 3 will be, actually), then throw Kitna on the trading block and see what you can get. 3) You have to target an owner that's willing to trade up for a better QB, and give you somebody that'll help your team in return. Don't just trade Kitna for a solid benchwarmer.
7. BAL D/ST - Midseason: This one also needs some scenarios to play out to benefit from a sell-high. 1) You have to believe that they'll disappoint at the end of the season. There's a murderous stretch of games weeks 12-14, along with 2 away games against MIA and SEA to round out the fantasy playoffs. If that is enough for you to consider selling, then 2) You need an alternate D/ST that has surprisingly proved very playable, and preferably one with a tremendous playoff schedule. Remember, not many people had SD ranked high last year, and they finished as a great play most weeks. If you can afford to lose Baltimore, it just might work out. Lastly, 3) You have to target an owner that's willing to trade you a great fantasy player for a defense. Baltimore just might be the defense that can lure a great player. It must be somebody that improves your team though, not just someone to sit the bench. I'm talking a no-brainer upgrade to your team.
Anybody else got someone else in mind?
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yes we will all thank nygiants56 for his prophetic powers of predicting a mcnabb injury
You're a little too quick to predict injuries. But let's concentrate on Westbrook. First, why would Westbrook regress after McNabb injury? Look at last year. Westbrook obviously excelled with Garcia, you don't think he could excel with someone else? Going into the season, Garcia was thought of to be a joke but look at what he accomplished. Look at what AJ Feeley accomplished in his game? I think it's safe to say it's the system and the Eagles having any QB ready to play. Further, you're underrating the Eagles offensive line. It's one of the best in the league, and last year showed why they should run more.
