The contract argument is weak. Let it go.Beast Mode doesnt usually come out after signing the big contract
Right.First, he may not be convicted of a DUI. He may go to trail and be acquitted — or, more likely, he may plead down to a wet reckless.Second, if he is convicted, it may not be until after the 2012 season.Third, this appears to fall under the substance abuse provision of the CBA (according to Florio & Mort), not the personal conduct policy (where he has a prior offense). I believe that the penalties for first, second, etc., offenses under the substance abuse provision are governed by the CBA without a lot of discretion on Goodell's part. And I don't think a player can be suspended for a first offense (without aggravating circumstances). So even if he is convicted before or during the 2012 season, that doesn't mean he'd be suspended. (This is likely his first offense under the substance abuse policy. We don't hear about first positive drug tests, so it's possible that he's failed a drug test before. But it doesn't sound like it based on what he and his agent and attorney have said.)All in all, I'm personally assigning a fairly low probability to the chance that he'll be suspended this season.From most of the stuff I've read anyway this is his first offense of the drug category, so it is not likely he would get a suspension anyway. That is what it seems like anyway. Only Goodel knows for sure though.
YesFBG expert adp (ppr) for lynch is 65. Wouldn't this ranking be considered very low with the likelihood of no suspension?
I think you missed what I was saying . . . if it were only considered a criminal matter, then Lynch would almost certainly be suspended. But since it is considered substance abuse, that might save Lynch from suspension.recently drafted Lynch late in one of the Anarchy leagues in the Mock Drfat Forum....I think since this is criminal he will play all year....had this just been a conduct thing (ala Ben) he might get suspended...the fact that he actually got "arrested" seems to work in the favor of Lynch and his fantasy owners....and the icing is that with this hanging over his head.....he may not fall into the "I signed a big contract so I have no motivation" things others have mentioned....I am willing to bet there are some clauses in his new contract that will make it in his "best interest" to plays balls out this year since his current contract could be affected by what happens when this does go to trial....![]()
thanks David...I wasn't really responding to you specifically or discounting anything you said....just making a comment on how it relates to THIS season and a possible suspension...I understood what you were saying....if he gets convicted of a crime, but it is not really considered a criminal matter by the NFL cause it is trumped in the NFL's policies by "substance abuse" then that was some good negotiating on behalf of the players side...bottom line: I would imagine that it is in Lynch's best interest right now to NOT have this resolved in a timely manner....at least be able to play this season and more importantly get PAID for doing so....I think nothing gets resolved and no action is taken by Goddell until after the season....which leaves us with a motivated Lynch, who may have some things in his current contract that when he is found guilty or whatever, it may wipe out his current contract....therefore he will play hard realizing he may eventually be facing a suspension going into next year and he is going to have to be "so" good that a team is willing to not only sign him, but do so knowing he will miss a few games....that's what I'm going with anyway since I drafted him...I think you missed what I was saying . . . if it were only considered a criminal matter, then Lynch would almost certainly be suspended. But since it is considered substance abuse, that might save Lynch from suspension.recently drafted Lynch late in one of the Anarchy leagues in the Mock Drfat Forum....I think since this is criminal he will play all year....had this just been a conduct thing (ala Ben) he might get suspended...the fact that he actually got "arrested" seems to work in the favor of Lynch and his fantasy owners....and the icing is that with this hanging over his head.....he may not fall into the "I signed a big contract so I have no motivation" things others have mentioned....I am willing to bet there are some clauses in his new contract that will make it in his "best interest" to plays balls out this year since his current contract could be affected by what happens when this does go to trial....![]()
Yep - I got him at 5.10 in the 16-team Anarchy League 6 myself. Insane value that late, even if he only plays 12-13 games, let alone the entire season. RB 20 at pick 74 overall? He was taken immediately after such luminaries as Shonn Greene, Fred Jackson (who I actually like) and Frank Gore.recently drafted Lynch late in one of the Anarchy leagues in the Mock Drfat Forum....I think since this is criminal he will play all year....had this just been a conduct thing (ala Ben) he might get suspended...the fact that he actually got "arrested" seems to work in the favor of Lynch and his fantasy owners....and the icing is that with this hanging over his head.....he may not fall into the "I signed a big contract so I have no motivation" things others have mentioned....I am willing to bet there are some clauses in his new contract that will make it in his "best interest" to plays balls out this year since his current contract could be affected by what happens when this does go to trial....![]()