Marion Baber to see 120+ carries in 2006 (1 Viewer)

[Kit Fisto]

Add Marion Barber to the "Over-hyped by FBGs" list.

Jones is the starter, Barber is the back-up. Period. Could things change, sure, but you can't play a successful fantasy season waiting on injuries.

tell that to everyone who took LJ in the 5th round last year.Barber can be had in the 8th.

Larry Johnson never got this much attention...

 

[AB in DC]

So basically, JJ had 31 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 9 (29%) and on 13 of the carries he got - or 0 yards. Keep in mind that the majority of these were of 2nd and 5 in the middle of the field type carries and not traditional "short yardage" carries where the team is looking to get the 1st down. Over the entire 2nd half of season JJ only got 2 3rd and short carries and converted on 1.

Barber on the other hand had 20 opportunities on 1st, 2nd, 3rd down of 5 yards or less and was "successful" (1st down/TD) on 12 (60%) and only 2 times got - or 0 yards. Barber had 8 opportunities in 3rd/4th and 3 or less yards and converted on 7 of them.

FYI, looking at every running play, Football Outsiders ranks JJ's "success rate" at 39%, and Barber's at 41%.

 

[ImTheScientist]

It works out to about 7.5 carries/game.  Not really news since we already knew that Barber was going to get 3rd down/short yardage duty.

I think that the "news" is that SportingNews is saying that we should not expect MBIII to get a bigger role, thus (hopefully) allowing JJ to produce as a fantasy team's RB2

I have been screaming at the top of my lungs for months now about this.People hear what they want to.

Julius = 18-22 carries a game.

MB 3 =5-7 carries a game.

If they say MB3 will get 120+ carries per game at worst he will recieve 120 for the year. 120/3 = 7.5 carries per game.Bankerguy, are you saying Barber only gets 80-112 carries for the season and Jones gets 288-352 carries when his previous high is 252?? Thats a lot of carries for someone who will only see the field for 2 downs and has never played an NFL season without missing games.