I think double digit TDs is a lock.
IMO, it depends on who they bring in and what role that guy will serve. If they sign a big bruiser as a short yardage back, I would not think double digit TDs would be a lock. Think Maroney serving as a Warrick Dunn role in that scenario.I have heard that the Pats behind closed doors were a little disappointed that Maroney was not able to take on a greater share of the workload by the end of the year, and I am not sure if that will impact their strategy for 2007.
How many "big backs" come in and steal TDs?Jacobs.MBIII?And that's it? So there's one, maybe two goal line vultures in the league. (I checked everyone with 4+ TDs last year. )So 2 teams, you could argue 1, had a "big back" who stole TDs. I don't know about you, but that's not something I worry about. Teams almost NEVER take out the #1 RB in the RZ. Duckett couldn't get a carry from Betts/Portis. So after Dodds put Portis at RB21 pre-draft last year, I figured this whole "big mean RB coming to steal all the TDs" myth was done.
Here are teams that at some point in the season implemented a rotation of backs that at times yielded a differnet RB at the goal line: IND, NE, JAX (well, that was the plan but Jones got hurt), NYJ, DEN, NO, TB, DAL, NYG, SF, ARI.