Excellent post.the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
so you are saying you don't think he'll ever start another game? He'll get an opportunity at some point. How many QB's get hurt each year? At some point, he'll get on the field for somebody. May not be this year, but he'll have his choice of teams for 2011. He'll likely go to one where he can compete for a job or as Moderated said, he'll be a stop gap for a young guy. It's up to him, to put it on film at that point. If he plays well, there is always a need for QB's for some team.You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
The Eagles helped him put it on film last year and currently there have been no takers. Unless forced to, I do not think the Eagles will give him any starts this year, let alone enough snaps per game to improve upon whatever film he accumulated last year. Yes, I am saying that I do not think he will ever start another game in the NFL, at least not based on his merits alone......of course he would most likely be a fine stop-gap for a few games as a starter, for whichever team was desperate enough to actually need him.eta: that does not translate into any value whatsoever fantasy-wise.loose circuits said:so you are saying you don't think he'll ever start another game? He'll get an opportunity at some point. How many QB's get hurt each year? At some point, he'll get on the field for somebody. May not be this year, but he'll have his choice of teams for 2011. He'll likely go to one where he can compete for a job or as Moderated said, he'll be a stop gap for a young guy. It's up to him, to put it on film at that point. If he plays well, there is always a need for QB's for some team.Ruffrodys05 said:You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.loose circuits said:I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.moderated said:the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
your statement contradicts yourself. You say he's not gonna start, but then agree that he would be a stop gap. If he gets a gig as a stop gap or is allowed to compete for a job in camp, then it is up to him to win it. With starter reps & snaps, then we will be able to determine if he's washed up or re-bornThere haven't been any takers cause he didn't put anything on film last year. He didn't get much of a training camp (reps divided among 3 QB's with present & future ahead of him). He also didn't play football or even have an opportunity to work out much while he spent 2 years behind bars so he was a little sluggish. Reports are surfacing that he has his legs back underneath and looks 100% different and his package is going to expand this season. By all accounts he is taking his role seriously and still putting the time in. He's going to be well versed in the WCO. Obviously considering the fall of Clausen & McCoy this was a year without a lot of demand for QB's as well. A lot of factors mixed into why there was no market for Vick. To me, none of them mean that we should immediately conclude that he doesn't have a future in the NFL at 30.The Eagles helped him put it on film last year and currently there have been no takers. Unless forced to, I do not think the Eagles will give him any starts this year, let alone enough snaps per game to improve upon whatever film he accumulated last year. Yes, I am saying that I do not think he will ever start another game in the NFL, at least not based on his merits alone......of course he would most likely be a fine stop-gap for a few games as a starter, for whichever team was desperate enough to actually need him.eta: that does not translate into any value whatsoever fantasy-wise.loose circuits said:so you are saying you don't think he'll ever start another game? He'll get an opportunity at some point. How many QB's get hurt each year? At some point, he'll get on the field for somebody. May not be this year, but he'll have his choice of teams for 2011. He'll likely go to one where he can compete for a job or as Moderated said, he'll be a stop gap for a young guy. It's up to him, to put it on film at that point. If he plays well, there is always a need for QB's for some team.Ruffrodys05 said:You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.loose circuits said:I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.moderated said:the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
The guy is 30 years old, how many additional years do you think this will take?loose circuits said:I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.moderated said:the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
It seems very likely he will get an opportunity. Not too many starting QBs play 16 games. Most get hurt at some point. And, he will be out of his contract at the end of this season and will most likely choose to go somewhere that doesn't have a strong QB so he will at least have a chance to compete. I think there is a good chance he will be a starting QB again. Whether he is worth hanging onto and waiting for that to happen depends on how deep your league is. I have him in a league with 22 man rosters and if he Kolb doesn't hurt in training camp I will be cutting him in the preseason. But if you had 25 man rosters he is worth hanging onto for one more year to see what happens.Ruffrodys05 said:You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.loose circuits said:I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.moderated said:the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
The Eagles helped him put it on film last year and currently there have been no takers. Unless forced to, I do not think the Eagles will give him any starts this year, let alone enough snaps per game to improve upon whatever film he accumulated last year. Yes, I am saying that I do not think he will ever start another game in the NFL, at least not based on his merits alone......of course he would most likely be a fine stop-gap for a few games as a starter, for whichever team was desperate enough to actually need him.eta: that does not translate into any value whatsoever fantasy-wise.loose circuits said:so you are saying you don't think he'll ever start another game? He'll get an opportunity at some point. How many QB's get hurt each year? At some point, he'll get on the field for somebody. May not be this year, but he'll have his choice of teams for 2011. He'll likely go to one where he can compete for a job or as Moderated said, he'll be a stop gap for a young guy. It's up to him, to put it on film at that point. If he plays well, there is always a need for QB's for some team.Ruffrodys05 said:You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.loose circuits said:I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.moderated said:the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
They both stink!Vick was much more successful than Leftwich. Not even close.
Doubtful at bestIt seems very likely he will get an opportunity. Not too many starting QBs play 16 games. Most get hurt at some point. And, he will be out of his contract at the end of this season and will most likely choose to go somewhere that doesn't have a strong QB so he will at least have a chance to compete. I think there is a good chance he will be a starting QB again. Whether he is worth hanging onto and waiting for that to happen depends on how deep your league is. I have him in a league with 22 man rosters and if he Kolb doesn't hurt in training camp I will be cutting him in the preseason. But if you had 25 man rosters he is worth hanging onto for one more year to see what happens.Ruffrodys05 said:You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.loose circuits said:I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.moderated said:the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
The illustration was meant to describe what sort of emergency QB job Vick might have a chance at in the future, not a comparison between his and Leftwich's records or abilities. I think a short-term gig filling in for a suspended/hurt starter is the best situation Vick could likely find given his baggage and declining physical abilities.Vick was much more successful than Leftwich. Not even close.
honestly, I think the Eagles signed him as insurance while Kolb was hurt and also because they figured they could trade him away and get something.I am guessing that noone has come up with any kind of a decent offer cuz I think a 3rd or 4th round pick would have been enough.The Eagles helped him put it on film last year and currently there have been no takers. Unless forced to, I do not think the Eagles will give him any starts this year, let alone enough snaps per game to improve upon whatever film he accumulated last year. Yes, I am saying that I do not think he will ever start another game in the NFL, at least not based on his merits alone......of course he would most likely be a fine stop-gap for a few games as a starter, for whichever team was desperate enough to actually need him.eta: that does not translate into any value whatsoever fantasy-wise.so you are saying you don't think he'll ever start another game? He'll get an opportunity at some point. How many QB's get hurt each year? At some point, he'll get on the field for somebody. May not be this year, but he'll have his choice of teams for 2011. He'll likely go to one where he can compete for a job or as Moderated said, he'll be a stop gap for a young guy. It's up to him, to put it on film at that point. If he plays well, there is always a need for QB's for some team.You are assuming he is going to get that opportunity, when in actuality, he may never (and most likely won't) see that opportunity ever again.I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
depends on him. If he shows he can fix his accuracy issues by studying and getting the ball to the right place at the right time, maybe 5-7....if he comes out and plays like Waldman seems to expect, much less.I think it's way too early to completely write him off. I'm rooting for him because I like to think people can change their lives around and start making better decisions. If he is truly dedicated, then I don't think we've seen the best of him yet...The guy is 30 years old, how many additional years do you think this will take?I appreciate your line of thought, but it will be up to him to put the doubters to rest when he gets his opportunity. If it's true that his legs are back, with his mind right, he has the potential to be around for a long time if he can master the cerebral part of the game with study.the problem with him is that i don't think any teams want him to be their long-term solution. He may get a chance due to injury or a team will bring him in as a stop gap while transitioning but not sure we'll ever see a team hang their hat on him.
He has value as a 3rd QB on a dynasty roster since he might be a good fill in on occasion, but his value is severely capped due to the lack of potential for a stable longish term gig.
But it is a misleading comparison. Vick is a Pro Bowl QB who took his team to the playoffs. Leftwich doesn't have nearly the same talent. So, if Vick gets a similar opportunity to what Leftwich has he is much more likely to hang onto the position. I don't know about declining physical abilities--can you really judge based on what little we saw last season? And his baggage is more a marketing issue than a team chemistry problem; as far as I know he was never a team cancer in the locker room.The illustration was meant to describe what sort of emergency QB job Vick might have a chance at in the future, not a comparison between his and Leftwich's records or abilities. I think a short-term gig filling in for a suspended/hurt starter is the best situation Vick could likely find given his baggage and declining physical abilities.Vick was much more successful than Leftwich. Not even close.
Look, it is not a misleading comparison. I was citing Leftwich's Pittsburgh opportunity this year as the sort of job that Vick could hope to land in the future. In no way did I compare their physical abilities or records or anything else. I watched Vick play last year, and was thoroughly unimpressed. 6/13 for 86 yards and one TD with 24/95/2 rushing. Right at his usual ~50% completion percentage (53.7% for his career). The lowest YPC average of his career (4.0, his former low was 5.9).But it is a misleading comparison. Vick is a Pro Bowl QB who took his team to the playoffs. Leftwich doesn't have nearly the same talent. So, if Vick gets a similar opportunity to what Leftwich has he is much more likely to hang onto the position. I don't know about declining physical abilities--can you really judge based on what little we saw last season? And his baggage is more a marketing issue than a team chemistry problem; as far as I know he was never a team cancer in the locker room.The illustration was meant to describe what sort of emergency QB job Vick might have a chance at in the future, not a comparison between his and Leftwich's records or abilities. I think a short-term gig filling in for a suspended/hurt starter is the best situation Vick could likely find given his baggage and declining physical abilities.Vick was much more successful than Leftwich. Not even close.
13 pass attempts is not statistically meaningful. You can't base anything on that in an objective way.Mark Wimer said:Look, it is not a misleading comparison. I was citing Leftwich's Pittsburgh opportunity this year as the sort of job that Vick could hope to land in the future. In no way did I compare their physical abilities or records or anything else. I watched Vick play last year, and was thoroughly unimpressed. 6/13 for 86 yards and one TD with 24/95/2 rushing. Right at his usual ~50% completion percentage (53.7% for his career). The lowest YPC average of his career (4.0, his former low was 5.9).az_prof said:But it is a misleading comparison. Vick is a Pro Bowl QB who took his team to the playoffs. Leftwich doesn't have nearly the same talent. So, if Vick gets a similar opportunity to what Leftwich has he is much more likely to hang onto the position. I don't know about declining physical abilities--can you really judge based on what little we saw last season? And his baggage is more a marketing issue than a team chemistry problem; as far as I know he was never a team cancer in the locker room.The illustration was meant to describe what sort of emergency QB job Vick might have a chance at in the future, not a comparison between his and Leftwich's records or abilities. I think a short-term gig filling in for a suspended/hurt starter is the best situation Vick could likely find given his baggage and declining physical abilities.Vick was much more successful than Leftwich. Not even close.
He is aging, he has never been able to master the more cerebral elements of the game on a consistent basis (following a progression, quick reads, etc), and he has all the drug abuse/attitude problems I cited as his personal baggage. The baggage is not solely a marketing issue. He openly admits that he was lazy and unmotivated while with the Falcons. He has always relied more on his physical abilities than on becoming a student of the game/technically proficient as an NFL passer. His time window for all the professional development he COULD have done while a young man is now closed.
Plus, the highly unsavory details of his involvement with professional gamblers running illegal wagering contests (ie. dog fights), animal abusers/torturers, and etc. make him an unmarketable item as far as jersey sales and etc (except among his small, hard-core cadre of fans who want to excuse his past behavior). How many responsible dads/moms are going to buy a new #7 Vick jersey for their sons/daughters? Not many, I expect.
I don't think any responsible GM will hand Vick a full-time, starting gig. Not at his current level of performance, and not given his past treatment of the Falcons' organization (which included lying to the face of the owner, Arthur Blank, who always trusted Vick and gave him the benefit of the doubt, as well as an astronomical contract).
31 for a running QB, he may as well be as old as Favre. Also, what good is it to have weapons when you cant throwl. Look at Roddy White with Vick, then without.I happen to think Vick would be very productive from a FF standpoint if anything happens to Kolb. He has a ton of weapons around him, and I think the claims of his physical abilities deteriorating are getting a bit overstated. I'm not saying the guy would duplicate his 2006 level of fantasy dominance, but I'm guessing he would be a low QB1/high QB2 at the very least. Someone mentioned in this thread that his value is less than most of the backups in the league. I find that a bit hard to believe. He will be 31 next year, and could still be a factor depending on where he ends up. People are making it sound like he's just a couple years younger than Old Man Favre.
He was a top 5 QB and was valued anywhere in the top 10.Question for those who have been playing dynasty for a long time.....What was Vick's dynasty value like back when he was in his prime? I would have to guess he was damn near untouchable after he just put up a 1000 yard rushing season to go along with 2500 yards passing and 20 TD's.
what are you basing this off? do you have any proof of what you are claiming? every report I've read says the complete opposite. He puts in hours at the facility, does what the coaches tell him, and is genuinely remorseful...He grew up in a different culture with different surroundings than most people. Even people that grow up in the best surroundings make mistakes. What has he done since his release from prison that make you think that he wasn't rehabilitated properly or hasn't properly adjusted to society the way we would want him too?He didnt grow up, and the only thing he is sorry for is getting caught. He would still be torturing animals if he wasnt so stupid to get caught. Anyone who thinks he can put the work in to become even a decent passer, which he will need to do to get a starting job, is very desperate at the QB position. Just drop him from your roster and pick up JP Losman.
wrong everywhere. nice call.He didnt grow up, and the only thing he is sorry for is getting caught. He would still be torturing animals if he wasnt so stupid to get caught. Anyone who thinks he can put the work in to become even a decent passer, which he will need to do to get a starting job, is very desperate at the QB position. Just drop him from your roster and pick up JP Losman.
I was supporting his value all year and still think he has value. That being said, his style of play makes him a high injury risk and he has still has the negative baggage that means he may not land on a good team next season. Whatever happens between Kolb and him in PHI, he will be starting somewhere next year and could put up very good numbers for a season or two. I wouldn't want him as my QB1, but as a QB3 this season and QB2 next season, yes, he has value. As someone else said, he is the kind of guy you can plug in for your starter when starter has a bad matchup, and Vick is quite capable of putting up 30 points for you. He doesn't usually put up less than 10 points because of his running. But his age and injury concerns and character issues would make me value him at only a QB2 and never a QB1 at this point in his career.Any new thoughts on Vick's dynasty value? He's obviously proving he still has value, but the question is just how much. Even if Kolb ends up returning from injury and producing at an even higher level than Vick has these last two games, the guy is going to get a shot somewhere. And produce.
I've got him 16th in my latest dynasty rankings. I think he's putting up quality fantasy QB1 production for someone next season.Any new thoughts on Vick's dynasty value? He's obviously proving he still has value, but the question is just how much. Even if Kolb ends up returning from injury and producing at an even higher level than Vick has these last two games, the guy is going to get a shot somewhere. And produce.